| $23B | “twenty three billion dollars” | Calacanis: Wiz previously turned down a $23 billion offer from Google | Jason Calacanis | Mar 22, 2025 | — |
| $3.2B | “3.2 billion dollars” | Calacanis: Google's Wiz deal includes a $3.2B cash breakup fee | Jason Calacanis | Mar 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: Google's Wiz deal includes a $3.2B cash breakup fee | Jason Calacanis | Mar 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Calacanis: Wiz reached $100M ARR in 18 months and $500M ARR last year | Jason Calacanis | Mar 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 500M | “five hundred million” | Calacanis: Wiz reached $100M ARR in 18 months and $500M ARR last year | Jason Calacanis | Mar 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “five percent” | Bessent: Yellen's Treasury shortened debt duration to suppress interest rates | Scott Bessent | Mar 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 27% | “27%” | Cyan Banister: Shein and Temu prices have increased by 27% | Cyan Banister | Mar 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 80M | “eighty million” | Chamath discloses a $380 million loss on his Relativity Space investment | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 22, 2025 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Lutnick committed 25% of Cantor Fitzgerald's profits to 9/11 families | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | — |
| 10M | “ten million” | Lutnick donated $10M and raised $15M for Trump's 2020 re-election | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 15M | “fifteen million” | Lutnick donated $10M and raised $15M for Trump's 2020 re-election | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Lutnick: US can cut $1T in spending and gain $1T through tariffs | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | Open |
| $1T | “one trillion dollars” | Lutnick reveals MSG rally plan for Musk and himself to pledge trillions | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | — |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Lutnick: $200 billion in PPP funds went to Chinese fraud gangs | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1.2T | “1.2 trillion” | Lutnick: $200 billion in PPP funds went to Chinese fraud gangs | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50% | “50%” | Lutnick: India has a 50% average tariff while the US averages 4% | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $2T | “Two trillion dollars” | Lutnick: Tariffs drove $2 trillion of committed domestic production to US | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Lutnick says he sold 1,000 $5M investor visas in one day | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | — |
| 37M | “thirty-seven million” | Lutnick: 37 million people globally can afford $5M investor visa | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | — |
| 35M | “thirty five million” | Lutnick: Biden closed 635 million acres of public land | Howard Lutnick | Mar 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Soros Fund gained another 20% in 1992 following Black Wednesday trade | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 35% | “35%” | Bessent: Biden-era CPI rose ~22% while Everyman Index rose over 30-35% | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Bessent: Biden-era CPI rose ~22% while Everyman Index rose over 30-35% | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Bessent: Biden-era CPI rose ~22% while Everyman Index rose over 30-35% | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Bessent: American intergenerational income mobility dropped from 90% to 50% | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 18% | “18%” | Bessent: Federal spending expanded to 25% of GDP under Biden | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Bessent: Cutting $300 billion in government spending reduces GDP by 1% | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “a percent” | Bessent: Cutting $300 billion in government spending reduces GDP by 1% | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Bessent: Small and community banks provide 70% of US agricultural loans | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Bessent: Small and community banks provide 70% of US agricultural loans | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Bessent: 100% support for Federal Reserve autonomy in monetary policy | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | — |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Palihapitiya: $9T–$10T in US debt needs refinancing in 9 months | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 19, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 25% | “25%” | Bessent: 25% of US GDP flows within 10 miles of Washington, DC | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | — |
| 3.7T | “a 2.7 trillion” | Calacanis notes Social Security holds $2.7 trillion in untradeable Treasury bonds | Jason Calacanis | Mar 19, 2025 | Supported |
| $3T | “three trillion dollars” | Calacanis compares Australia's $3 trillion superannuation fund to US Social Security | Jason Calacanis | Mar 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Calacanis compares Australia's $3 trillion superannuation fund to US Social Security | Jason Calacanis | Mar 19, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Bessent: National security tasks consume 40% to 50% of Treasury Secretary schedule | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Bessent: Connecticut requires towns to allocate 10% vacant land to multifamily | Scott Bessent | Mar 19, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 95% | “95%” | Chamath Palihapitiya: Renewables now generate 95% of all US energy | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 15, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Jason Calacanis: Corporate leaders are bribing Donald Trump via inauguration donations | Jason Calacanis | Mar 15, 2025 | — |
| 4.8% | “4.8%” | Friedberg: Social Security Trust Fund returns have averaged 4.8% annually | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | Supported |
| $15T | “15 trillion dollars” | David Friedberg: Social Security would be $15T if invested in S&P 500 | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | — |
| 2.7T | “2.7 trillion” | Friedberg: Social Security Trust Fund will go bankrupt in 2032 | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | Open |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: Social Security Trust Fund owns ~8% of total US Treasuries | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 8% | “eight percent” | Friedberg: Social Security Trust Fund owns ~8% of total US Treasuries | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Palihapitiya: Over 20,000 global companies earn $1B+ annually | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 15, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 60% | “60%” | Friedberg: 60% of middle-class net worth is tied to housing | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Friedberg: 60% of middle-class net worth is tied to housing | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Friedberg: Investors should allocate about 20% of net worth to real estate, not 60% | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Friedberg: Investors should allocate about 20% of net worth to real estate, not 60% | David Friedberg | Mar 15, 2025 | — |
| $4B | “four billion dollars” | Chamath Palihapitiya reveals he suffered a $4 billion market loss | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 15, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Calacanis: All-In Podcast tripled its audience after Chamath cancel attempt | Jason Calacanis | Mar 15, 2025 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Calacanis: Cardano, XRP, and Solana surged following Trump crypto reserve post | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 32% | “32%” | Calacanis: Cardano, XRP, and Solana surged following Trump crypto reserve post | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Calacanis: Cardano, XRP, and Solana surged following Trump crypto reserve post | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 200M | “Two hundred million” | Calacanis: Crypto trader opened $200M 50x leveraged long on BTC and ETH | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 5M | “a four million” | Calacanis: Crypto trader opened $200M 50x leveraged long on BTC and ETH | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 50× | “50 times” | Calacanis: Crypto trader opened $200M 50x leveraged long on BTC and ETH | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Calacanis: Trump announced $100B TSMC investment in American fabs | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Friedberg: Greenhouse LED light prices jumped 25% following tariffs | David Friedberg | Mar 8, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: EU imposes 10% tariff on US cars versus 2.5% US tariff | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Calacanis: EU imposes 10% tariff on US cars versus 2.5% US tariff | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Friedberg: Total government spending accounts for 30% of US GDP | David Friedberg | Mar 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 91% | “91%” | Chamath: FERC report shows renewables were 91% of December power additions | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Chamath's battery materials startup secured a $100M DOE grant | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 8, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lonsdale: Trump's crypto promotions are silly schemes that damage moral authority | Joe Lonsdale | Mar 8, 2025 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Palihapitiya: Mark Zuckerberg spent $350 million on 2020 election efforts | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Chamath: Only 10% to 20% of political spending goes to ads | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 8, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Calacanis: CoreWeave relies on Microsoft for 60% of its revenue | Jason Calacanis | Mar 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $80B | “eighty billion dollars” | Friedberg worries massive cloud capex will diminish specialized GPU service providers | David Friedberg | Mar 8, 2025 | — |
| $10T | “10 trillion dollars” | Chamath: US government must borrow $10T in the next nine months | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 8, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Friedberg: 60% chance Trump 2.0 is less influenced by market drops | David Friedberg | Mar 8, 2025 | — |
| $200M | “two hundred million dollars” | Sacks: Craft Ventures sold $200M in crypto, including $85M personal stake | David Sacks | Mar 8, 2025 | — |
| $85M | “eighty-five million dollars” | Sacks: Craft Ventures sold $200M in crypto, including $85M personal stake | David Sacks | Mar 8, 2025 | — |
| 5M | “five million” | Chamath: Top 100 AI startups reached $5M ARR in 24 months | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 5M | “five million” | Chamath: 80/90 reached $5M in revenue in three months | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 1, 2025 | — |
| $300B | “three hundred billion dollars” | Calacanis: Stripe could generate $10B-$20B profit via stablecoins in 5 years | Jason Calacanis | Mar 1, 2025 | — |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Calacanis: Stripe could generate $10B-$20B profit via stablecoins in 5 years | Jason Calacanis | Mar 1, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Calacanis: Stripe could generate $10B-$20B profit via stablecoins in 5 years | Jason Calacanis | Mar 1, 2025 | — |
| 0.5% | “half percent” | Steve Cohen: US economic growth will slow to 1.5% in H2 | Steven A. Cohen | Mar 1, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| $10T | “10 trillion dollars” | Chamath: US must refinance $10 trillion in debt in six months | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 1, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 5% | “five percent” | Friedberg notes US 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.26 percent | David Friedberg | Mar 1, 2025 | Supported |
| 4.78% | “4.78%” | Friedberg notes US 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.26 percent | David Friedberg | Mar 1, 2025 | Supported |
| 4.26% | “4.26%” | Friedberg notes US 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.26 percent | David Friedberg | Mar 1, 2025 | Supported |
| $5M | “five million dollars” | Chamath: Non-US founders will take $5M in secondary sales for Gold Cards | Chamath Palihapitiya | Mar 1, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| 75% | “75%” | Calacanis: Federal government can sell 75% of its real estate | Jason Calacanis | Mar 1, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Collison: Corporate policies should target top talent, not bottom 5% | John Collison | Feb 23, 2025 | — |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | John Collison: Stripe processes over $1 trillion in annual transaction volume | John Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Patrick Collison says companies lose 1% to 3% revenue to AP/AR | Patrick Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | — |
| 1.5B | “half a billion” | Patrick Collison says Stripe Billing reached $500 million ARR | Patrick Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 93% | “93%” | John Collison: Stripe has previously seen 93% of processed credit cards | John Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Patrick Collison: Stripe fraud metrics dropped 80% over past two years | Patrick Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Patrick Collison: US labor productivity has risen 20% in 10 years | Patrick Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 16T | “16 trillion” | Calacanis: US wasted surplus years by adding $16 trillion in debt | Jason Calacanis | Feb 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 79% | “79%” | Patrick Collison: 79% of surveyed top scientists would alter research without NIH grants | Patrick Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 9T | “nine trillion” | Patrick Collison: Evo 2 achieves state-of-the-art human mutation prediction from one human genome | Patrick Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Patrick Collison: Arc Institute spends around $100 million annually | Patrick Collison | Feb 22, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Friedberg: NASA lowers Asteroid 2024 YR4 Earth impact probability to 0.33% | David Friedberg | Feb 22, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 25B | “a twenty four billion” | Chamath: Microsoft turned to Anduril after failing a $24B Army contract | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Chamath: Future politics will revolve around working class, business owners, and innovators | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 15, 2025 | — |
| $10T | “10 trillion dollars” | Chamath: The US has $10 trillion in debt to refinance soon | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $20B | “twenty billion dollars” | Friedberg: US paid over $20B in farm relief during first Trump trade dispute | David Friedberg | Feb 15, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Chamath: Sleep is the single most critical factor in Bryan Johnson's protocol | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 15, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Friedberg: GLP-1 study shows 30% decrease in cardiac arrest probability | David Friedberg | Feb 10, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Friedberg: Reducing government deficit below 3% of GDP will drop interest rates | David Friedberg | Feb 7, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Gracias: Twitter cut 80% of full-time staff following acquisition | Antonio Gracias | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Chamath: The Truman Committee spent $6.5M and saved $250B in modern dollars | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| $15B | “fifteen billion dollars” | Chamath: The Truman Committee spent $6.5M and saved $250B in modern dollars | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Chamath: The Truman Committee spent $6.5M and saved $250B in modern dollars | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.3M | “a 1.3 million” | Calacanis: Federal spending on Politico surged to $8M under Biden | Jason Calacanis | Feb 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 8M | “eight million” | Calacanis: Federal spending on Politico surged to $8M under Biden | Jason Calacanis | Feb 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.7M | “2.7 million” | Calacanis: BBC received $2.7M from USAID in 2023 | Jason Calacanis | Feb 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $20M | “twenty million dollars” | Calacanis: Thomson Reuters received $120M in federal funding since 2011 | Jason Calacanis | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Sacks: USAID disburses $50B annually as a left-wing slush fund | David Sacks | Feb 7, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Chamath: Democratic Party will shrink to 15-20% support without a hard reset | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 7, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Chamath: Total U.S. energy reserves are three times Saudi Arabia's | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 75B | “seventy five billion” | Friedberg: Google's $75B CapEx signals high confidence in returns | David Friedberg | Feb 7, 2025 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Gracias: 1970s steel job losses cost economy $1M per worker | Antonio Gracias | Feb 7, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 30% | “30%” | Friedberg: GLP-1 drugs reduced cardiac arrest probability by 30% in VA study | David Friedberg | Feb 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Sacks: DeepSeek release erased $1 trillion in market cap in one day | David Sacks | Feb 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 6M | “six million” | Sacks: US AI models' final training runs cost tens of millions | David Sacks | Feb 2, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Sacks: US AI models' final training runs cost tens of millions | David Sacks | Feb 2, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Sacks: DeepSeek's compute cluster costs over $1 billion | David Sacks | Feb 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 6M | “six million” | Sacks: DeepSeek's compute cluster costs over $1 billion | David Sacks | Feb 2, 2025 | Supported |
| $200M | “two hundred million dollars” | Palihapitiya: Smaller $2M seed rounds force AI startups to innovate | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 2, 2025 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Palihapitiya: Smaller $2M seed rounds force AI startups to innovate | Chamath Palihapitiya | Feb 2, 2025 | — |
| 3M | “three million” | David Friedberg's Eatsa generated $3 million annually from an 800-square-foot store | David Friedberg | Jan 31, 2025 | — |
| 8× | “eight times” | David Sacks notes DeepSeek V3 self-identified as ChatGPT-4 | David Sacks | Jan 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Travis Kalanick says Saudi Arabia invested $3.5B before the Vision Fund existed | Travis Kalanick | Jan 31, 2025 | Supported |
| $2T | “two trillion dollars” | Chamath Palihapitiya predicts DOGE spending cuts could exceed $2 trillion | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 31, 2025 | Didn’t hold up |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Travis Kalanick calculates a $500B surplus using 2019 spending and 2024 revenues | Travis Kalanick | Jan 31, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Travis Kalanick warns expanding California's grid by 10% will take years | Travis Kalanick | Jan 31, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 10% | “10%” | Travis Kalanick warns expanding California's grid by 10% will take years | Travis Kalanick | Jan 31, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 30% | “30%” | David Friedberg warns nearly 30% of US federal debt matures in 2025 | David Friedberg | Jan 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 2× | “two X” | David Friedberg notes the latest US Treasury auction barely reached 2x coverage | David Friedberg | Jan 31, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 80% | “80%” | Dalio: Japanese bondholders lost 80% vs gold and 60% vs US bonds | Ray Dalio | Jan 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Dalio: Japanese bondholders lost 80% vs gold and 60% vs US bonds | Ray Dalio | Jan 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Dalio: Japanese bondholders lost 80% vs gold and 60% vs US bonds | Ray Dalio | Jan 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 33% | “33%” | Dalio: China accounts for 33% of global manufacturing output | Ray Dalio | Jan 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Dalio: Roughly 70% of U.S. government expenditures cannot be cut | Ray Dalio | Jan 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Laffont: US TikTok time spent matches Facebook and Instagram combined | Thomas Laffont | Jan 25, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Chamath discloses battery materials startup received $150M Department of Energy grant | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 25, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: Forcing TikTok equity surrender sets dangerous precedent for US firms abroad | David Friedberg | Jan 25, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Lafont: ChatGPT maintains over 80% market share against AI rivals | Thomas Laffont | Jan 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 12B | “twelve billion” | Lafont: Top five US tech companies will spend $312B on 2025 CapEx | Thomas Laffont | Jan 25, 2025 | Held up |
| 20× | “20 X” | Lafont: US internet companies spend 20x more on CapEx than Chinese peers | Thomas Laffont | Jan 25, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 3× | “three X” | Friedberg: US pays up to three times more for electricity than China | David Friedberg | Jan 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Friedberg: China electricity generation grew to 9,000 TWh vs U.S. 1,600 TWh | David Friedberg | Jan 25, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.1T | “a 1.12 trillion” | Chamath: Broadcom is a $1.12T business that receives little attention | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Friedberg: Broadcom grew 8x and Nvidia 20x while Intel dropped 70% | David Friedberg | Jan 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 8× | “eight X” | Friedberg: Broadcom grew 8x and Nvidia 20x while Intel dropped 70% | David Friedberg | Jan 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 20× | “20 X” | Friedberg: Broadcom grew 8x and Nvidia 20x while Intel dropped 70% | David Friedberg | Jan 25, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: Tech return-to-office mandates typically yield 20% worker attrition | Jason Calacanis | Jan 20, 2025 | — |
| 1.2T | “1.2 trillion” | Pincus: Outside contractors account for 70% of US federal labor spending | Mark Pincus | Jan 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 800B | “eight hundred billion” | Pincus: Outside contractors account for 70% of US federal labor spending | Mark Pincus | Jan 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 900B | “nine hundred billion” | Pincus: Outside contractors account for 70% of US federal labor spending | Mark Pincus | Jan 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 70% | “70%” | Pincus: Outside contractors account for 70% of US federal labor spending | Mark Pincus | Jan 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $150M | “a hundred fifty million dollars” | Calacanis: Trump campaign spent $150M on 'they/them' Kamala ad | Jason Calacanis | Jan 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 5% | “five percent” | Friedberg: 5% yield U.S. Treasuries are a good buy if DOGE cuts spending | David Friedberg | Jan 20, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Mark Pincus rates dating apps 1/10 and Raya 3/10 | Mark Pincus | Jan 20, 2025 | — |
| 77M | “seventy-seven million” | Emmer: Trump won 77 million votes vs. 75 million for House Republicans | Tom Emmer | Jan 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 75M | “seventy-five million” | Emmer: Trump won 77 million votes vs. 75 million for House Republicans | Tom Emmer | Jan 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 7T | “seven trillion” | Emmer: House Republicans compiled list of $5T to $7T in spending cuts | Tom Emmer | Jan 20, 2025 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis advocates for a sophisticated investor test for crypto retail buyers | Jason Calacanis | Jan 20, 2025 | — |
| 55% | “55%” | Emmer: NYT poll shows 55% support deporting all undocumented immigrants | Tom Emmer | Jan 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Friedberg: U.S. agricultural labor costs tripled over four to five years | David Friedberg | Jan 20, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 40% | “40%” | Emmer: 60% of House Republicans demand leadership role, 40% follow Johnson | Tom Emmer | Jan 20, 2025 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Emmer: 60% of House Republicans demand leadership role, 40% follow Johnson | Tom Emmer | Jan 20, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Swalwell: My district is 40% foreign-born and the eighth wealthiest in US | Eric Swalwell | Jan 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.3M | “1.3 million” | Khanna: 1.3 million people signed a petition against banning TikTok | Ro Khanna | Jan 20, 2025 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Khanna: 60% of TikTok investors are already U.S. investors | Ro Khanna | Jan 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2T | “a one trillion” | Khanna: China announces $1T surplus and outproduces U.S. in drones and steel | Ro Khanna | Jan 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: 80% or more of Americans want the border secure | Jason Calacanis | Jan 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.4M | “1.4 million” | Khanna: U.S. grants around 1.4 million green cards and visas annually | Ro Khanna | Jan 20, 2025 | Supported |
| $12T | “12 trillion dollars” | Ro Khanna: Silicon Valley congressional district holds $12 trillion in economic value | Ro Khanna | Jan 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: Texas home prices fall while NY and CA rise 10-20% | Jason Calacanis | Jan 19, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 22B | “twenty-two billion” | Chamath: California is falling apart despite its $322 billion state budget | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 19, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Cruz: Over 1,000 people per day have moved to Texas since 2014 | Senator Ted Cruz | Jan 19, 2025 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Cruz: Verdict podcast reaches about one million unique listeners per week | Senator Ted Cruz | Jan 19, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Friedberg: Up to 50% of employed Americans work for government or contractors | David Friedberg | Jan 19, 2025 | — |
| 35B | “thirty five billion” | Jason Calacanis: LA wildfire damage is estimated at $135B to $150B | Jason Calacanis | Jan 18, 2025 | Supported |
| $150B | “a hundred fifty billion dollars” | Jason Calacanis: LA wildfire damage is estimated at $135B to $150B | Jason Calacanis | Jan 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 times” | Jason Calacanis: LA wildfire damage is estimated at $135B to $150B | Jason Calacanis | Jan 18, 2025 | Supported |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Chamath Palihapitiya: $750B across 1.26 million California homes faces wildfire risk | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.3M | “1.26 million” | Chamath Palihapitiya: $750B across 1.26 million California homes faces wildfire risk | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Jason Calacanis: NYC congestion pricing reduced Manhattan entry wait times by 50% | Jason Calacanis | Jan 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 46% | “46%” | Jason Calacanis: NYC congestion pricing reduced Manhattan entry wait times by 50% | Jason Calacanis | Jan 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 63% | “63%” | Jason Calacanis: NYC congestion pricing reduced Manhattan entry wait times by 50% | Jason Calacanis | Jan 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 35% | “35%” | Jason Calacanis: NYC congestion pricing reduced Manhattan entry wait times by 50% | Jason Calacanis | Jan 18, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | David Friedberg: Chinese bond yields have dropped below two percent amid deflation | David Friedberg | Jan 18, 2025 | Supported |
| 5M | “five million” | Jason Calacanis: Google Gemini Deep Research outperforms multi-million-dollar consulting firm reports | Jason Calacanis | Jan 18, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Mark Pincus considered funding a $1.5M documentary recreating military UAP encounters | Mark Pincus | Jan 18, 2025 | — |
| $1.5M | “a half million dollars” | Calacanis: NBC spent $500k on an unreleased tech pilot with Chamath and Bannister | Jason Calacanis | Jan 11, 2025 | — |
| 6B | “six billion” | Chamath: California annual timber harvest fell from 6B to 1.5B board feet | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 11, 2025 | Supported |
| 1.5B | “1.5 billion” | Chamath: California annual timber harvest fell from 6B to 1.5B board feet | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 11, 2025 | Supported |
| $21B | “twenty one billion dollars” | Chamath: California poorly spent $21 billion on homelessness programs | Chamath Palihapitiya | Jan 11, 2025 | Open |
| $20M | “twenty million dollars” | Friedberg: California FAIR Plan faces $6B exposure in Pacific Palisades | David Friedberg | Jan 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $5B | “five billion dollars” | Friedberg: California FAIR Plan faces $6B exposure in Pacific Palisades | David Friedberg | Jan 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 6B | “six billion” | Friedberg: California FAIR Plan faces $6B exposure in Pacific Palisades | David Friedberg | Jan 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $150M | “a hundred fifty million dollars” | Calacanis: Zuckerberg spent $150M on Meta's Oversight Board to dodge hard decisions | Jason Calacanis | Jan 11, 2025 | Partly supported |
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