George: AI diffusion beyond coding will be slow because tasks lack verifiability
“Coding hit, but that's kind of a head fake, right? Like coding, coding is perfectly documented, right? So it has like perfect data. It's verifiable and it's simulatable, right? And so like most tasks in business do not share those three attributes. And so, you…”
O'Driscoll predicts AI captures 10-15% of legal spend versus 30-50% in coding
“Your type A lawyers will use it 24 seven, but my guess is 10, 15% of total spend goes to AI, whereas in law and in coding, you can argue for 3040, 50%, right?”
O'Driscoll: Coding is inherently more verifiable than legal work
“Coding is inherently more verifiable. Some parts of it are mathematically verifiable. Some parts you can just run on the machine and confirm.”
Seshan: Coding AI allows output verification; knowledge work requires process auditing
“Coding is so output oriented that when you ask it to do a coding task, you can verify whether it did the task correctly or well via tests. You can try it out and see if it works. Like there is a way to validate it based on the output. But knowledge work is dif…”
Casado: Coding is the most competitive startup market ever seen
“Founding teams work on exactly what is needed by the business, and I think they did a very good job, and I think it allowed them to navigate the most competitive market we've probably ever seen. Has there been a more competitive market than coding?”
O'Driscoll: Coding is the highest-ROI and fastest-adopting market in AI
“Coding is the fastest adopting market. It's the highest ROI market. It's the mother load, right?”
Gil: AI coding is a much bigger market than anyone thought
“Coding, I think is like a much, much bigger market than anyone thought.”
Trojanowski: Verifiable rewards cannot solve software engineering because coding is subjective
“At the end of the day, coding is subjective. It's an art and you're not going to solve an art through verifiable rewards.”
Krishnan: Coding and math training improves overall AI reasoning capabilities
“Coding in general has nice spillover effects in terms of improving reasoning capabilities of models as a whole. Whereas you know, let us say the model companies prioritized something like the models getting better at medicine. I'm not too sure if that would he…”
Lin Qiao: Collaborative AI tools define the current market shift
“I think last year is the year of coding, and this year is the year of co-work.”
Jain: Majority of current enterprise AI spend is focused on coding
“I think the majority of the AI spend right now is on coding.”
Arts graduates will become more valuable as LLMs commoditize coding
“I think, interestingly, my bet is also on a lot of good arts graduates being a lot more valuable now. You know, now you're coding and LLM, you know, coding is going to be more sort of commoditized.”
AI coding improvements boost model performance across unrelated non-coding tasks
“When the models improve in coding, they have out of domain performance. They also improve in other tasks that have nothing to do with coding for reasons we don't fully understand.”
Weinberg: Coding is the only vertical with good AI benchmarks
“Very good set of data that doesn't a legal task from end to end, and we're missing this in most articles other than coding. Basically, coding is the only one that has like a good saturated benchmark.”
Replit CEO Amjad Masad says he no longer writes code himself
“I like don't code anymore.”
Evans: Anthropic succeeded in AI coding by focusing strategy with less capital
“And then Anthropic, with having less capital raised, said, no, we're going to focus on coding, and they got coding working. Whether that was, like, a deliberate strategy or, kind of, they stumbled into it is, you know, for other people to say, but, like, clear…”
Evans: Coding is the only AI use case with clear product-market fit
“The place that's got product market fit right now is coding. Nothing else has equivalent product market fit right now.”
Dubois: AI's coding discontinuity will permeate other verticals within two years
“Now the feeling of discontinuity will happen. It did happen three months ago with coding or four months ago with coding, and I think that will happen now in every other domains. Like most people are not feeling the same way Like the, like kind of the capabilit…”
Anthropic Uses AI Coding Adoption to Forecast Broader Economic AI Impact
“And, you know, it was a little hard to predict that, but now we can use coding as an analog for a lot of what's happening elsewhere in the economy and elsewhere in our business. And so we kind of look at pattern recognition in our own business to try to predic…”
Schoening: AI improves exponentially at code, but shows little writing progress
“My take, it's very clear, at least empirically that models are getting better at coding at some exponential rate, right? And I don't think that's changing. Now I'm not that impressed with the progress in any other domain. It tends to be like, I don't think the…”
Midha: Coding AI benchmarks are super-saturated, yielding diminishing gains
“In, in certain domains that are well explored, like coding, for example, yes, there's an increasing amount of compute required to get an incremental gain in some eval that's super saturated.”
Midha: AI has reached superhuman capabilities in domain-specific tasks
“Within coding, within material science, within each of these domain distributions, we are seeing capabilities that are superhuman.”
Levie: Automating video editing with AI is harder than coding due to evals
“Editing a video is like, you know, going to be actually in many cases, a harder task than coding. Because the, because again, the code right now is like, it has this great property of in the eval process, in the training process rather, you can instantly evalu…”
Yang: Coding Will Eat All Knowledge Work
“I feel like coding will eat all knowledge work.”
Andreessen: AI will sweep through coding and every other domain
“And so now we know that it's going to sweep through coding and then we know, you know, we know that if it's going to work in coding, it's going to work in everything else, right? It's just that, cause that's like the hardest, in many ways, that's the hardest e…”
Willison: Anthropic and OpenAI focused 2025 training efforts on coding
“Both Anthropic and OpenAI spent the whole of 2025 focusing all of their training efforts on coding.”
Xu: AI agents handle coding well but struggle with cross-functional tasks
“Right now, I think where the agents are, they're still good at what I call, you know, functional tasks for example, coding but outside of coding and looking at cross-functional areas, they're not quite there yet for a lot of reasons”
Xu: AI coding enables non-engineers to prototype, test, and ship independently
“Within something like coding, the things that you could do today where anyone actually, frankly, it doesn't have to be anyone of any function. Anyone can come up with an idea, run the prototype, run the experimentation and the analysis, and then actually ship …”
Coding is becoming less relevant for tech founders
“Not to mention that coding is less and less a thing”
Clements: AI coding leads other verticals due to quick and durable value
“The reason that I think coding has become like the vertical in AI is because it shines on both dimensions. Like you can start using cursor in an afternoon and by that evening, like you're 10 times more productive. The time to value is very short. And then the …”
O'Laughlin: If AI automated coding, finance work will be automated too
“I think coding is a little harder, if I'm being honest with you, and you're telling me the hard one got automated. Why can't the easy one get automated? So I started to ask myself, how much can we do? And the answer is, it feels like a skill issue.”
Amodei: AI will automate coding first, then end-to-end software engineering
“I think coding is going away first, or coding is being, you know, done by the AI models first, and then the broader task of software engineering will take longer, but I think that is, you know, that doing that end to end, I think that is going to happen as wel…”
Cherny predicts AI will generally solve coding for everyone
“So continuing to trace the exponential, I think what will happen is coding will be generally solved for everyone. And I think today coding is practically solved, you know, for me, and I think it'll be the case for everyone you know, regardless of domain.”
Lemkin: Anthropic is a generational company whose only weakness is consumer
“Anthropic is, I mean, it's a generational, generational company. It changed coding. It changed everything. But the only place Anthropic is weak is consumer.”
George: Coding tools have seen the largest uptake and leaps in AI
“The biggest uptake has been in coding so far, and that's where we've seen the biggest leaps.”
Hand-writing code will become an artisan novelty like calligraphy
“I use the analogy here of like coding is going to be like calligraphy. You writing code is going to be the equivalent of like you write, you fine printing like on, on a canvas and people are like, oh my God, you wrote that code. That's so amazing. It's going t…”
Altman: OpenAI prioritizes coding and science AI over writing models
“What is possible now for coding for science. That's the thing I'm most excited about for accelerating all kinds of research AI and otherwise for really accelerating the economy. I think that's like the right thing for us to most prioritize in terms of new capa…”
Goyal: AI Coding Has the Most Product Market Fit After ChatGPT
“The first is it is the use case that has the most product market fit in AI, I think, other than ChatGPT.”
Tunguz: AI coding progress is no longer on a steep improvement path
“Coding is no longer on this extremely steep improvement path.”
Andrew Ng: Everyone across all job roles should learn to code
“I think everyone should learn to code.”
Sam Lessin claims enterprise AI adoption is entirely driven by software coding
“It's coding. It's all code.”
Nadella: GitHub replicated over a decade of activity in just one year
“What GitHub did in the first, I don't know, 15 years of its existence or 10 years of its existence, it was basically done in the last year, just because coding is no longer a tool. It's more a substitute for wages somewhere.”
AI will make coding as fundamental and commoditized as basic arithmetic
“I personally think that coding is going to be like doing arithmetic a long time ago. And it's just like, it won't be as interesting or valuable. Humans won't be doing that much of it”
Masad: Coding AI outpaces all other domains via real-time verification
“Which is why coding is moving faster than any other domain, is because we can generate these problems and verify them on the fly.”
Bakouch: Multi-token prediction is particularly effective for coding models
“Multi-token prediction, which is very good for example, for coding.”
Alessio: Open-source token share could reach 15-20% excluding coding
“I think once you take coding out, I think, yeah, it can be like 15, 20%, but I think with coding, it's still gonna be very low because like these max plans are like,
So subsidized and so many tokens are being generated”
Siddharth: Solving multimodality, reasoning, tool use, and coding yields ASI
“Turing's the world's leading research accelerator, working with all of these frontier labs to advance them along I would say the four pillars of superintelligence which is multimodality, reasoning, tool use, and coding. If you solve these four things, you will…”
Zhang: Customer service and coding have the most enterprise GenAI traction
“And those two things I think are one of the big reasons why it's probably the use case with the most traction at the enterprise. And coding is another one.”
Douglas: Coding is uniquely tractable for AI because execution is verifiable
“Coding is a uniquely tractable problem in some respects for the techniques that we have in terms, the data exists in many ways. You can containerize and run things in parallel. You can run unit tests, and so you can verify.”
Ross: Coding will become a required skill for non-technical roles like marketing
“And coding is gonna become the same thing. For you to be in marketing, you're gonna have to be able to code. For you to be in customer service, you're gonna have to be code be able to code.”
Zhang: AI labs will target coding before customer service
“I think before they tackle our space, there will probably be other spaces they have to tackle first. Yeah. Coding's probably one of them.”
Godement: Job skill sets will reconfigure toward far more people coding
“I expect that we'll see, like, way more, a sort of a reconfiguration of, like, people's, like, you know, job and skill set where way more people code. Like, you know, I expect that product managers are going to code, like, more and more, for instance.”
Prince: AI support agents and lawyers lag coding due to lack of debuggers
“On the other hand, you know, I am, I, I'm still quite skeptical that the AI customer support agent that, that is a much harder problem or the AI lawyer that is a much harder problem because it's just harder to tell whether something actually worked or didn't. …”
Coding, Customer Support, Legal, and Healthcare Lead Enterprise AI Product-Market Fit
“And so I'd say to date, the categories that feel like they've worked best are coding, customer support, legal, and healthcare.”
Kantrowitz: Dario Amodei says Anthropic deliberately focused on improving coding capabilities
“For instance, Dario told me on Wednesday that Anthropic chose to focus its energy on making coding better.”
Misha Laskin: Engineers spend 70% of their time searching information, not coding
“If you actually hover over a shoulder of an engineer at any large organization, or even a startup with a really sizable code base, and you look at what they do, you'll find that a minority of their time is actually spent coding. Like, 70% of the time they're D…”
Shipper: Nobody at media startup Every is manually coding anymore
“Same thing for people inside of every, like, no one is manually coding anymore.”
Laskin: Enterprise AI coding deployment is within dozens of months, not decades
“I think coding is this era as well. This one I think will take longer than people thought as well, because again, enterprise is organizational problems. There's much different than The benchmarks that we have today, but I think it will be one of the faster one…”
Ng: Advising people not to learn to code is terrible career advice
“Over the last year, a bunch of people have advised others not to learn to code on the ground so AI will automate it. I think we'll look back on this as some of the worst career advice ever given, because as better tools make software engineering easier, more p…”
Ng: Employees across every job role should learn how to code
“I have a controversial opinion, which is, ah, I think it's time for everyone of every job role to learn to code, and in fact, on my team, you know, my CFO, my head of talent, my recruiters, my front desk person, all of them know how to code, and I actually see…”