Benedict Evans
Independent Technology Analyst · 54 appearances on the record.
computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →
analystauthorinvestorhost@benedictevans ↗LinkedIn ↗ben-evans.com ↗
Benedict Evans is an independent analyst known for his annual macro presentations and tech industry newsletter. He previously served as a partner at Andreessen Horowitz and co-hosts Another Podcast.
110 supported 38 partly supported 19 contradicted 16 not yet assessed 110 not checkable as stated how the 345 claims stand · each chip opens the sources
97 predictions · 248 assertions · 75 opinions · 184 insights · 1 disclosure · 6 what ifs · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 345 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 219 are resolved, 16 are not yet assessed, and 110 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.
The record, in short
What the tape says about how Benedict argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.
Their most notable supported claim
Expressed certainty vs assessment result
weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet
Argument clarity: do they answer the question? how? →
redirected or did not address 7 of 31 assessed questions (23%). Watch them ▸
This is a score against a rubric. It is not a rank. Every host question → answer exchange is scored with names hidden on directness, coherence, precision and compression, 1–5 each, on meaning alone: disfluencies are ignored, and only raw unedited episodes count. This is the score that measures thought. Every scored exchange, scores shown → · The rubric and its checks →
How they sound: speaking style how? →
286 words/min while actually speaking · 11.8 um and uh per 1k words · 12.4 false starts per 1k · 28.9% of pauses land inside a clause
Um and uh per 1,000 words, year by year. Hover a point for the year's tape.
Measured by listening to the audio itself: 161,947 words across 41 episodes of raw-level tape, transcribed verbatim with every um and uh kept, each one attributed only where the alignment onto our timed stream is unambiguous. These are measurements of speaking style. We do not rank them: across this corpus, fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2), and smooth talking does not signal clear thinking. How it's measured →
Everything Benedict Evans said on the a16z Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →
The other half of the tape: Benedict Evans's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 13 times in 12 episodes on the a16z Podcast. 2 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →
Who brings them up most Sonal Chokshi 5Steven Sinofsky 2Chris Dixon 2Steve McDermott 1Russ Roberts 1Michael Copeland 1Erik Torenberg 1
Statements about Benedict Evans, by other people (2)
Every mention by year
2025 2 mentions in 2 episodes 1 per episode
2019 10 mentions in 9 episodes 1 per episode
- a16z Podcast | Capitalizing on an Autonomous Vehicle Future
- a16z Podcast | Building Crypto, from Vision to Reality
- a16z Podcast | When Is VR's iPhone Moment?
- a16z Podcast | Adjusting to Trade... and Innovation
- a16z Podcast | Software Programs the World
- a16z Podcast | 'In the Eye of a Tornado': Views on Innovation from China
- a16z Podcast | Making the Most of the Data That Matters
- a16z Podcast | On Recent IPOs and Comparing Private vs. Public Valuations
- 1 more episode that year, every mention in 2019 →
Appearances (54)
Played on the show (3)
Episodes where a recording of Benedict Evans was played rather than Benedict taking part, or where the tape carries an address with nobody putting questions to them. Listed because the words are on the record, kept out of every score on this page because they were not said on this show. We read this off the tape: who was spoken to, who was asked something, who answered whom.
| Episode | Date | On tape | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016 | Jul 15, 2017 | 29m | aired address |
| Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015 | Jul 15, 2017 | 23m | aired address |
| Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014 | Jul 15, 2017 | 12m | aired address |