The Ledger, every show

“I mean, I think, look, I've got a probability distribution around the timings, but I would say there's a very good chance of it being within the next five years.”

“I think one of the underappreciated reasons that, that they are taking SpaceX public is to merge it with Tesla ultimately, right? Like Elon Musk has been collapsing his empire. And just as a practical matter, it's pretty hard for a private company, even a big …”

“Sorry. Let me be clear. 99.999%.”

“I think Trump is and has been the most consistent anti-war president of modern history.”

“And I think that we have definitively answered that question of it's, it is going to go to AGI. Like we see line of sight and that it is at this point, we have line of sight to these much better models that are coming this year.”

“I think it's extremely clear that we are going to have AGI within the next couple years in a way that is still going to be jagged, but that the floor of task will just be almost for any intellectual task of how you use your computer. The AI will be able to do …”

“There's been this correlation between the number of folks at a company and the output from the company for, you know, decades and decades. I think that basically broke the first week of December, and what we were seeing is that one or two engineers, or a desig…”

“We did a reduction in force that was, you know, slightly greater than 40%. And that wasn't even you know, to the conversation we were just having, the tools were flowing through really meaningfully on the development side. And so the cuts were way larger on th…”

“I mean, we're like, we're not writing code by hand anymore. That's over. That's done.”

“There are players who do stem cell rejuvenation. They are curing dementia and Alzheimer through exosome therapy or stem cell rejuvenation.”

“I think AI is the exact, I think it's already that way. I think it's going to be exactly the same way. It might even be greater than that. It might be 99.9999% of the value of AI is going to accrue to the users, not to the companies that make the AI.”

“And now they all have the silver bullet excuse, right? Ah, it's AI. Right, and I know this for a fact, because number one, I talk to them, but number two, I know this for a fact, because AI until, like, literally until, like, December, right, was not actually …”

“The most straightforward example is the deal we didn't do, we should have done, is the Andrewle Series A right, which was like, which was just, like, sort of obvious that it was gonna be special, and, you know, Palmer, we had worked with Palmer at Oculus, and …”

“Because Amazon very clearly stated that if we took that offer, they would do even more to harm the business.”

“They said, well, yeah, we're gonna take the price of diapers to zero, and we're gonna, you know, and they made some analogies to some other, used explicit language, and it was pretty scary stuff. I'll just leave it at that.”

“We're at about nine percent recent college graduate unemployment. I think that number will actually go to 30%, and the economic disruption that will have not only on those young people that don't get jobs, but their parents who help finance their college educa…”

“Hegsef is going to declare, is trying to declare Anthropik a supply chain risk. That would mean that not only Anthropic couldn't do business with DOD, but any company, and virtually every major company in America does some level of business with DOD, they coul…”

“All of the nonsense about, I don't know, polyamory that are coming around. That's all Nonsense. And again, I mean, look, no judgment, different strokes, but look, I'm a behavioral scientist, and the truth of the matter is that we are built for pair-bond mating”

“What is social media? I view it literally not so much different than the neighborhood you know, pot or crack dealer. It's there to get kids hooked and addicted and put a lifetime of interdependency.”

“I think you cannot be a responsible parent today, know what Google does, and willingly sign up your child into that ecosystem.”

“BPC-one-five-seven is the biggest scam I've ever seen. It does absolutely nothing. There's no redeemable value to this.”

“This is exactly where you'd expect the bubble to break, and you would expect, other things being even, that it will be let down by NVIDIA, followed closely by the other giants.”

“I think he, I think he's being very conservative. I believe Dario and Anthropica is going to do way better than that.”

“I think there's a high degree of confidence that most of the roads lead back to Nvidia reaching 10 trillion of cumulative, cumulative bookings over the next five to seven years.”

“Well, that, that plays into the, to the anti-Semitism and the tropes, and it's like pulling all the strings, and they're behind.”

“They were in a just war, you know, and now remember where it started, and remember what Hamas continued to do.”

“The leaders of Meta's AI division Have instead discussed temporarily licensing Gemini to power the company's AI product.”

“This technology disrupts humanities trained, largely democratic voters and makes their economic power less, and increases the power, economic power of vocationally trained, working class, often male voters,”

“Well, they came up now because as I started to look at the contracts that had been written during the last administration for the use of AI. I had a whole, holy cow moment because there were things not well beyond what you've been hearing in the press in the l…”

“And then second, after the Maduro raid, one of the primary vendor for this had raised the question, senior exec about whether their software was used during the Maduro raid, which is one of the most successful op military, military operations of our lifetime. …”

“So that set off a series of events of, whoa, are we single-threaded on a vendor who's concerned about how we're using their software after the most successful military raid and the terms of service do not comport with the future world? We've got to get other p…”

“I've cut my own agency's headcount by 53%. That's about three hundred million a year just in salary and expense. We've cut three billion dollars of contract, needless contracts out of their”

“That nobody believes me in tech, but there's gonna be a movement in this country that gets very strong very quickly to nationalize these things.”

“You can have dispossessed urban poor forever, and nothing happens, but if you piss off the twenty-something-year-old middle class, the overeducated elites, they tend to cause trouble.”

“The only person that's even struggling slightly to cover their nut is Oracle, right? Because they had the weakest balance sheet and the least compelling use case, which is why at some point they're going to throw 20 or 30,000 people over the side to make the P…”

“The wealth tax is a derivative of this because everyone knows the wealth tax isn't going to help the poor. It's just going to fuck the rich and that's enough to get it done.”

“The arguments that were made that that Trump has actually repeated that Iran was about to attack us, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was about to get a nuclear weapon, I see no evidence for that. That Iran was building an ICBM that was going to attack th…”

“Harvey and Lagora were GPT wrappers when they started, and I think they're basically still GPT wrappers today. I think they know that that's a problem, by the way, that that doesn't provide a very significant moat, and they're trying to become more like system…”

“I've stepped in to lead this transition with the help of many of my compatriots from various sectors.”

“As you saw last month they massacred over 43,000 Iranians who were just peacefully protesting.”

“Less than 24 hours after the supply chain designation, The U.S. Government was using Anthropix technology in the context of Operation Epic Fury against Iran.”

“Your models are getting stolen by the Chinese. They're going to unguard rail them and use them against us.”

“After the Maduro raid, one of their execs called Palantir, who we buy themselves through and asked them was our software used in that raid, which is by the way, classified information.”

“He was trying to protect anthropic to his credit. He was like, don't do, don't call him a supply chain risk. That's bad for the industry. Let me, maybe I can negotiate terms that they'll find acceptable.”

“It was really the, you worry, I worried about them shutting off our system at a moment of need or them messing with our system at a moment of need. Those were, we were scared.”

“On Friday afternoon, Anthropic learned that the Pentagon still wanted to use the company's AI to analyze bulk data collected from Americans. This could include information such as questions you ask your favorite chatbot, your Google search history, your GPS tr…”

“I think the odds that, that, you know, The US with two, you know, proprietary models can stay ahead of China with 10 open source ones is very low.”

“What happens if we get super powerful AI and China doesn't? What are they going to do? The optimal thing would be to just bomb TSMC out of existence, because suddenly that becomes optimal, even with all the costs that that does, and then what?”