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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sinclair: Team May Reverse Aging in Humans Within 18 Months
“In Canada, we have a non-human primate study for safety to see how that goes, and within the next 18 months, if all goes well, we will be reversing aging in a human, if all goes well.”
Dr. David Sinclair May 3, 2022 ▶ 1:11:01 David Sinclair: Reversing the Aging Process
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts elites and media will stop Musk from acquiring Twitter
“Elon is gonna be thwarted by these folks. He's not gonna get control of this company. They're, the vested interest in stopping him by the board, by the new CEO, and by the corporate media and the political elites is too great. They will find a way to stop him.”
David Sacks Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 48:53 E76: Elon vs. Twitter
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Calacanis: Musk will buy Twitter at a lower price by year-end
“My prediction is the Board tries to fight it. Stock collapses. Nobody thinks it's going to get done. Elon lowers his offer, and he wins it by the end of the year, and gives him a lower offer.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 16, 2022 ▶ 55:26 E76: Elon vs. Twitter
20VC Assertion Supported
Holland: Excessive burn rate killed Fast, not investor Stripe
“Having Stripe as an investor isn't what killed our company. Having too high a burn is what killed our company. There's just no other way to put it.”
Dom Holland Apr 13, 2022 ▶ 15:35 20VC Exclusive: Fast's Domm Holland on What Really Happened at Fast? Were they really Burning $10M per Month? Where did Bolt Succeed Where Fast Did Not? What is It Really Like To Have Stripe Invest in your Company?
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: Reduced global crop production will lead to famine in a year
“That means there's going to be less production over the next year. That means famine hits us in a year.”
David Friedberg Apr 1, 2022 ▶ 1:24:06 E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: Russian export controls will almost certainly cause widespread famine in 2022
“That are not just about sanctions, but also about export controls by Russia that are creating swings in food markets like we've never seen, and will almost certainly lead to widespread famine by the end of this year at this point.”
David Friedberg Mar 19, 2022 ▶ 16:46 E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Sachs: Fauci participated in suppressing COVID-19 origin investigation
“Fauci, with respect to COVID, we talked about it before, 100% participated in a suppression of the investigation into the origins of COVID. There was an active attempt to suppress that.”
David Sacks Feb 19, 2022 ▶ 1:22:06 E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy and more
20VC Assertion Supported
Ed Baker: Uber secretly ran India test against CEO orders, doubling conversion
“We decided to run a test In Hyderabad, India, where we said, let's let riders request their first ride without putting a credit card number in. In fact, we were told by our CEO not to run that test because he felt so strongly against it, but we had so much con…”
Ed Baker Feb 16, 2022 ▶ 36:16 20Growth: Five Key Functions of a Growth Team, The Biggest Lessons Starting Uber's Growth Team and Scaling Facebook's, How To Structure The Hiring Process for Growth and What Separates Good From Great in Growth Leaders with Ed Baker, Former VP of Growth @
GREEN BLUEPRINT Prediction Held up
Biden: The US Will Bring an End to Nord Stream 2
“There will be no longer a North Stream Two. We will bring an end to it.”
Joe Biden Feb 15, 2022 ▶ 2:20 Could a ‘green upheaval’ embolden Russia?
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Sacks claims a Democratic super PAC astroturfed the viral Rogan video
“If you kind of look at you know, who's behind this clip, it's pretty clear that it was a democratic super PAC, put this together, and sort of astroturfed it as a viral video.”
David Sacks Feb 12, 2022 ▶ 6:37 E67: Revisiting Rogan, Canadian truckers' protest, fusion breakthrough, $MSFT's savvy move & more
20VC Prediction Held up
Carney: Long-Term Interest Rates Will Rise Notably This Decade
“I believe that very central banker-y answer, but I believe long-term interest rates are going to rise, notably this decade. I long felt that we were in a low for long, and I felt that for a long time. I was right about it for a long time. Now I feel that there…”
Mark Carney Jan 10, 2022 ▶ 33:54 20VC: Former Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney on Why "Only the Niche Will Survive" in Crypto, How Governments and Central Banks Retain Control in a World of Decentralised Finance & The Winners and Losers in Crypto Exchanges and NFTs
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts Big Tech will hit peak market cap by 2023
“I think that this is sort of peak big tech market cap is probably within the next year or two.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 29:16 E60: The 2021 Bestie Awards PLUS Jack Dorsey starts the Web3 Wars
ACQUIRED Assertion Contradicted
Bankman-Fried: FTX's revenue is clean, clear, and completely transparent
“When you talk about, like, recurring revenue, like, there's sort of, like, doesn't exist a clearer example of that than, like, you know, I don't know, we have volume each day, and we charge a transaction fee on it, right? It's incredibly clean, right? People a…”
Sam Bankman-Fried Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 48:37 FTX with Sam Bankman-Fried & Mario Gabriele (Extended Cut) · Acquired
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Partly supported
Sternlicht: Lordstown Motors committed fraud and lied about vehicle orders
“They front run the trade. They lied about their orders. They made up the car. It was a fraud. The model they showed the street was not active.”
Barry Sternlicht Oct 4, 2021 ▶ 54:26 Barry Sternlicht – Masterclass in Real Estate in a Post-COVID World (Capital Allocators, EP.216)
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ilishayev: GoPuff will be a multi-hundred billion dollar business by 2026
“And I think this business over the next five years is a multi-hundred billion dollar business.”
Rafael Ilishayev Jun 14, 2021 ▶ 33:03 20VC: GoPuff's Rafael Ilishayev on How GoPuff Has Been EBITDA Profitable From Day 1; The Unit Economics Behind GoPuff, With Intense Competition What Happens To The Food Delivery Space & What It Takes To Launch, Grow and Maintain New Markets
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Cyan Banister: San Francisco DA Chesa Boudin refuses to prosecute crimes
“We have a DA, Chesta, who will not prosecute crimes. I just found out yesterday a friend of mine whose house was burglarized. The perpetrators were let out of San Quentin for COVID. They robbed his house, almost kicked in the door of his neighbor who had a chi…”
Cyan Banister Oct 19, 2020 ▶ 39:02 20VC: Cyan Banister on Her Relationship To Money, Risk, Her Investment Decision-Making Process, Why We Will See A Reckoning in the Early Stage Market, Her Biggest Takeaways from HQ Trivia & The Future of Silicon Valley
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Peter Thiel Called Tesla a Bankrupt Idea Before Model S Shipped
“So like Tesla, I remember famously Peter Thiel's are saying it's a bankrupt idea. The battery technology will never scale. Batteries will never improve. UVs will never work. And I was like, wow, that was just before the Model S. I mean, literally a week before…”
Steve Jurvetson Aug 3, 2020 ▶ 17:09 20VC: Steve Jurvetson on 20 Years of Friendship with Elon Musk, How To Analyse Market Timing, Why Venture Does Not Scale & Why He Has Never Sold A Share in Any Company He Holds
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Fisher (2020): At 5% interest rates, every real estate investor goes bankrupt
“No, not a chance. They go to five to six percent. Every real estate investor that we know is bankrupt. They're not hanging on. They're broke and dead. And every home builder in America has no customers. That's a fact.”
Adam Fisher Jul 13, 2020 ▶ 48:03 Adam Fisher – Blending Global Macro and Real Estate at Commonwealth Asset Management (First Meeting, EP.21)
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Avi Meir: Business travel in 2021 will surpass 2019 levels
“I'm willing to bet That business travel will grow in twenty-twenty-one. Not based on twenty-twenty, based on twenty-nineteen.”
Avi Meir May 29, 2020 ▶ 13:41 20VC: TravelPerk's Avi Meir on Why 2021 Will Be A Record Year For Business Travel, The 3 Priorities For All Founders During COVID, What VCs Can Do To Really Support Their Founders In A Recession
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pysh: Bitcoin will probably peak between $200,000 and $300,000
“It's going to go straight through that number. It's probably going to go to two to 300,000.”
Preston Pysh Apr 22, 2020 ▶ 1:06:42 Preston Pysh on Bitcoin $200,000, QE at the top, UBI at bottom, $10t+ Fed Balance Sheet?
TOP FOUNDERS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pompliano: Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of 2021
“I think that from now where we're recording this in April of 2020, I think that by the end of 2021, we'll see Bitcoin hit a 100,000 dollar price point”
Anthony Pompliano Apr 13, 2020 ▶ 52:22 New podcast: Anthony Pompliano on Price of Bitcoin, Gold, Chinese Power, Corporate Bailouts and 3 Places He's Investing
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: US West Coast will reopen for business around April 7th or 8th
“New York is going to be fucked for a little while, but I do think that the west coast and with some travel restrictions is going to be able to reopen for business probably around April seventh or eighth, because we're going to see a dramatic decline at that po…”
David Friedberg Mar 19, 2020 ▶ 1:27:22 E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, VC & Public Markets with David Friedberg
MAD Prediction Held up
Volpi: Self-driving trucks will operate on freeways within 18 months
“And if you ask me, like, for those use cases, I think you're going to see self-driving trucks on freeways within the next 18 months.”
Mike Volpi Nov 13, 2019 ▶ 24:20 Fireside Chat: Mike Volpi, General Partner, Index Ventures (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
a16z Assertion Supported
Dapper Dan: Gucci copied his 1980s Diane Dixon jacket design
“Gucci created this jacket that I created in the eighties for Diane Dixon.”
Dapper Dan Sep 2, 2019 ▶ 1:02:52 Making Culture, Making Influence -- Dapper Dan in Silicon Valley
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Ross: Declassified US estimate puts Chinese cyber IP theft above $300B annually
“When I was in government, we declassified a national intelligence estimate, which we tend not to do. Well, we declassified a national intelligence estimate that actually put a number on the amount of intellectual property theft taking place because of cyber at…”
Alec Ross Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:26 a16z Podcast | Open vs. Closed, Alpha Cities, and the Industries of the Future
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Ross: Iranians repurposed US malware to destroy 30,000 Saudi Aramco computers
“I've seen evidence that the malware that the United States is alleged to have used against Iran it looks like, if you look at the code base, it looks like Much of that code was used by the Iranians against the Saudis in attack, in an attack against Saudi Aramc…”
Alec Ross Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:08 a16z Podcast | Open vs. Closed, Alpha Cities, and the Industries of the Future
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Facebook Will Launch a Crypto Coin and Become Bitcoin's Main Competitor
“Now, I will say also that on crypto, I think that there's a high probability that the company that will really succeed in crypto will be Facebook, and the reason is that for them to launch their own coin and for them to distribute that coin and allow developer…”
Darian Shirazi Apr 6, 2018 ▶ 24:52 20VC: Why Facebook Will Be The Company To Succeed in Crypto, Why Founders Should Be Actively Angel Investing & Commonalities of Great Leadership From Mark Zuckerberg to Mark Pincus with Darian Shirazi, Founder & CEO @ Radius
20VC Prediction Held up
Lee predicts an imminent, massive crash in the ICO market
“So I fear that there's going to be a huge crash in the whole ICO market sometime soon.”
Charlie Lee Sep 15, 2017 ▶ 17:19 20VC: Litecoin Founder, Charlie Lee on Why ICO's Are The Biggest Threat To Crypto, Why Ethereum Will Run Into Huge Scalability Problems & How To Assess The Trade Off Between Decentralisation & Scale
Y COMBINATOR Prediction Didn’t hold up
Musk in 2016: Human travel to Mars could happen by 2026
“It's a meaningful number of people going to Mars I. I think this is potentially something that can be accomplished in about 10 years maybe sooner , maybe nine years.”
Elon Musk Sep 15, 2016 ▶ 10:14 Elon Musk : How to Build the Future · Y Combinator
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: OpenAI evaluation agents autonomously hacked Hugging Face without instruction
“So I think we can say definitively, and I'm curious to hear if you have pushback, but I think we can say definitively They were not told to go out and hack Hugging Face. They are, they were misaligned. They took this kind of crazy galaxy brain path to try to a…”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 38:56 GPT-6 & OpenAI’s Comeback, Hugging Face Attack Debate, Ballmer’s Scandalous Legacy
SOURCERY Assertion Supported
Mavrookas: Saronic Corsairs rescued downed Apache pilots and attacked Iranian port
“Corsairs, which you just saw, were actively being used in the Straits of Hormuz. Two examples that were made public were one, the Apache pilot rescue of two down pilots, And then a offensive attack on an Iranian port, which actually took out an Iranian submari…”
Dino Mavrookas Sep 7, 2026 ▶ 15:19 Inside Saronic’s $9.25B Autonomous Boat Factory | CEO Dino Mavrookas
MORE OR LESS Assertion Contradicted
Sam Lessin: Early Salesforce was unintegrated one-off software builds
“So the story I've heard, and someone can correct me in comments, I'm sure someone will, is that when he started Salesforce, it was billed as like this cloud CRM. And this platform, but it was total bullshit. He basically went to a bunch of people and sold them…”
Sam Lessin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 41:12 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
CATALYST Assertion Contradicted
Kann: Software engineering is the only job category truly displaced by AI to date
“And in fact, the only jobs that have been lost really because of AI to date are like software engineers.”
Shayle Kann Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 17:03 What comes after the data center backlash?
TBPN Assertion Partly supported
Torre: NBA Hit Steve Ballmer With Largest Owner Sanction in American Sports History
“This was the biggest punishment for an owner in the history of, I think, American professional sports, and the NBA took five first-round picks, which is the most you could imagine. They took thirty million dollars, which is a rounding error, of course, for Bal…”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 12:08 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Prince: Automated web traffic surpassed human traffic for first time in 2026
“In May of 2026, you won't believe it, but we now see that automated traffic is past human traffic for the first time in the history of the internet.”
Matthew Prince Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 2:16 Cloudflare CEO: We're Ready To Block Millions of Websites From AI — With Matthew Prince
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Held up
Prince: Google Paying Publishers for AI Scraping Is Inevitable
“I don't know if they'll pay up before the deadline, but I think it's inevitable that they'll pay up. Because again, I think that they need the content and they understand fundamentally that journalists and content creators and academics deserve to eat.”
Matthew Prince Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 36:31 Cloudflare CEO: We're Ready To Block Millions of Websites From AI — With Matthew Prince
a16z Assertion Partly supported
Bancel: Moderna's mRNA shot is the first cancer vaccine that works
“Here it's the first time there is a cancer vaccine working. The field, as you know, has been doing that for 20 plus years. I think more than a thousand clinical trials that have all failed.”
Stéphane Bancel Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 3:31 Inside Moderna’s Biggest mRNA Test Since COVID
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Reyes: Major AI model providers explicitly plan to compete with customers
“At least, you know, two of the largest companies that provide models today have explicitly said, we are going to go after every single one of these industries and businesses that we provide like intelligence for.”
Eno Reyes Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 34:32 Should American Enterprises Work With Open-Source Chinese Models? | Only 10% of Neo-labs survive
20VC Assertion Supported
Reyes: Chinese AI models show no unique security backdoors versus US models
“For me, the Chinese models specifically have demonstrated no examples where they have some sort of security risk or backdoor compared to American models.”
Eno Reyes Aug 29, 2026 ▶ 45:35 Should American Enterprises Work With Open-Source Chinese Models? | Only 10% of Neo-labs survive
SAASTR Assertion Supported
Lemkin: ServiceTitan terminated Podium integration impacting 1,000 shared customers
“That worked great for years until Service Titan shut them off the other day, shut them off after all these years with a thousand joint customers.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 2:59 Who Owns Your Data Now? Agents vs. Systems of Record on The Agents #013
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Weinstein: Peer review is a modern concept retconned into science history
“Peer review is a fake story that was retconned into science. It is no, you can look it up on Google Ngrams, put quote, space peer review space, close quote. And you'll notice that there's really no mention of it before.”
Eric Weinstein Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 24:26 Eric Weinstein: The State of American Science, Breakthrough Coverups, and the Danger of Physics
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Weinstein: 1971 Australian Intelligence Document Discloses 1960s Gravity Shielding Research
“There's a 1971 Australian intelligence document where Australia, which was the Testing ground for nukes that of the United Kingdom. Started seeing all these UAPs near their nuclear tests just the way we see them near ours. And the Australians revealed that all…”
Eric Weinstein Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 1:24:09 Eric Weinstein: The State of American Science, Breakthrough Coverups, and the Danger of Physics
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Mercor Crosses $2B ARR and Raises at $20B Valuation
“I'm an investor in McCaw. I never thought this would be as big as it has got as quickly as hit, as it has done. It's crossing out two, two and a half billion ARR. They're doing a new round led by General Catalyst at twenty billion.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 13:25 Anthropic's $30T Assumption & OpenAI Confirms IPO | Why Customer Service & Robotics are Overinflated
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Surge AI at $3.5B ARR, Mercor $2.5B, Handshake $1B, Micro1 $500M
“Surge are doing three, three and a half. McCaw are doing two and a half. Handshaker doing one. Micro One are doing half.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 27, 2026 ▶ 21:16 Anthropic's $30T Assumption & OpenAI Confirms IPO | Why Customer Service & Robotics are Overinflated
DAVID SENRA Assertion Supported
Helsing: AI took full control of Gripen fighter jet in dogfight test
“Last year we flew a real fighter jet and we flew the Saab Gripen over the Baltic Sea. And when I say we, our AI did and took full control of the plane in air combat against and another Gripen, which was human controlled. And so we flew three air combat scenari…”
Torsten Reil Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 31:35 Building Defense Technologies to Protect Democracies | Torsten Reil, Helsing
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Top tech companies hold $3T in off-balance sheet AI commitments
“Nine, top tech companies had some three trillion dollars of off balance sheet commitments, mostly related to AI. Those obligations are growing faster than traditional capex, which totaled about six hundred billion over the past year past year they reported, an…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 2:47 Big Tech’s Insane Hidden AI Spending, Ranking Anthropic vs. OpenAI, AI For Travel Debate
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Kratsios: 25% of Biden-Era NSF Grants Went to DEI Initiatives
“Senator Ted Cruz and the committee on at, on, in the Senate did an analysis of the grants that were given during the Biden administration. And they found that roughly one quarter Where, 25% of grants at NSF during that time period went towards DEI-related quot…”
Michael Kratsios Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 7:27 Inside Trump's Science Agenda: Anti-Science Claims, Fauci's Damage, DEI & China w/ Michael Kratsios
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic Lobbied to Restrict Nvidia's International Chip Sales
“Anthropic has really been behind a lot of the political activity to restrict Nvidia's sales internationally.”
David Sacks Aug 21, 2026 ▶ 52:33 Dario Defends Himself, Datacenter Panic, AI Doomer Trap, Senate Toss-Up
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