Small Modular Reactors

topic on 13 shows · 41 statements across 31 episodes

BG2 Pod Cheeky Pint American Optimist No Priors WTF is with Nikhil Kamath Invest Like the Best Sourcery Catalyst the Green Blueprint the a16z Podcast Big Technology All-In TBPN

38 statements about Small Modular Reactors, every show

NO PRIORS Insight
Taylor: Manufactured SMRs Require Development Driven by Hardware Iteration
“What was missing is that people did not realize that you're going to have to pursue that model through hardware iteration. And that's where really where Valor is unique is that Yes, we believe in SMRs. We believe in reactors that are manufactured. But we also …”
Isaiah Taylor Aug 15, 2026 ▶ 6:46 How Nuclear Will Unlock Energy Abundance with Valar Atomics Founder Isaiah Taylor
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Chamath: Solar will dominate power generation before nuclear SMRs reach production
“By the time, like any of these SMRs actually get near production, the TCO of solar will be like, 10 or 12 dollars per megawatt hour, and it will be 80% of all the power generation.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 26:37 Chip Stocks Crash, $20B Fund Margin Called, Frontier Labs: SLOW DOWN AI, Mamdani's Grocery Stores
Smith: Many Small Modular Nuclear Reactors Are Still Science Experiments
“Many of the SMRs are still science experiments.”
Matt Smith Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 31:44 Why Natural Gas Will Be AI’s Next Great Shortage · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2036
Nolan: SMRs will find their niche powering data centers behind the meter
“And so if gigawatt scale is for the grid and megawatt scale is for remote communities or, you know, government installations, then the middle scale, I think is going to find its niche behind the meter with data centers over the next five to 10 years.”
Scott Nolan Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 49:11 From SpaceX to Founders Fund to Solving America's Nuclear Fuel Problem · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
The small modular reactor industry has too many companies and faces fallout
“I worry that there's going to be a falling out in the industry. There's probably too many SMR companies and it would be better if the industry can kind of coalesce around three or four different technologies and focus the resources there.”
John Arnold Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 46:17 The World's Greatest Energy Trader on Markets, China, and AI · Invest Like The Best
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Lockmiller: Crusoe aims to energize an SMR-powered AI data center in 2027
“We're actually hoping to energize the first AI, AI factory powered by an SMR in twenty-twenty-seven.”
Chase Lochmiller Jan 25, 2026 ▶ 2:09:20 The Future of Everything: What CEOs of Circle, CrowdStrike & More See Coming in 2026
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Marginal cost of electricity will hit zero by 2032-2035
“By the time that they deliver working SMRs at scale, the problem is that the marginal cost of electricity will effectively be zero, and it'll have gone to zero because of a combination of solar and storage, as well as coal and oil.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 10, 2026 ▶ 1:16:01 All-In's 2026 Predictions
CHEEKY PINT Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
AI data centers will inevitably scale on solar and batteries, not nuclear
“It seems pretty clear to me, I think two years ago, I've got a blog post on this saying that, like, we're going to have to go to solar and batteries for AI data centers at scale and back then everyone was still talking about, like, oh, we're going to build SMR…”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 16:27 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
CATALYST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lubershain: The nuclear industry cannot sustain a Cambrian explosion of reactor designs
“There just can't be a Cambrian explosion of new reactors. The, Industrial logic of the nuclear industry just doesn't lend itself to that. I think best case scenario, it's bad for the industry if you end up with, you know, four or five competing reactor designs…”
Andy Lubershane Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 23:12 Five big questions about the future of energy
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Rathi: Russia and China alone have functioning civilian small modular reactors
“But the reality is the only countries that have functioning civilian small modular reactors are Russia and China.”
Akshat Rathi Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 37:19 Calibrating hype with Akshat Rathi
ALL-IN Prediction Held up
Wright: US will have new small modular reactors by July 2026
“We will have new next generation small modular reactors critical next year. Our goal is by July fourth, and I think we will beat that.”
Chris Wright Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 27:23 The Hidden Truth About the US Energy Grid: Subsidies, Demand & Rising Prices - Chris Wright
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wright: Small modular reactors will take probably 10 years for market viability
“Ah, probably 10 years. 10 years. Because it's just a learning curve. With the small modular reactors, you gotta build up the supply chain, you gotta build up and build them in volume. The cost can come down dramatically.”
Chris Wright Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 29:23 Winning the AI Race Part 4: Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, Chris Wright, and Doug Burgum
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Palihapitiya: SMR nuclear deployment in the US is at least a decade away
“We all talk about SMRs, small modular reactors. The reality is that if you get everything permitted and you believe the technology can be de-risked, you're still in a 20, 35 plus timeframe. You're a decade away.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 31, 2025 ▶ 1:15:54 AI Doom vs Boom, EA Cult Returns, BBB Upside, US Steel and Golden Votes
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Friedberg: TVA filed first-ever application for small modular reactor
“I saw yesterday the Tennessee Valley Authority filed the first ever application for a small modular reactor.”
David Friedberg May 24, 2025 ▶ 1:23:19 Bond crisis looming? GOP abandons DOGE, Google disrupts Search with AI, OpenAI buys Jony Ive's IO
CATALYST Insight
Multi-unit SMR sites reduce factory and field cost curves faster
“And when you have multiples at a site and multiples in a deployment, you can get down those cost curves both in the factory and in the field more readily than you could with a large reactor.”
Chris Colbert May 9, 2025 ▶ 15:12 The U.S. nuclear groundswell
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Small modular reactors for tech companies fit on 100 acres or less
“The smaller plant sizes, the small modular reactors you're looking at for Google, can probably fit about a hundred acres or so or less.”
Chris Colbert May 9, 2025 ▶ 28:53 The U.S. nuclear groundswell
TBPN Assertion Supported
Langtry: Texas and Utah are suing the NRC over SMR regulation
“Texas and Utah that are suing the NRC to try and get regulatory control over small modular reactors.”
Robin Langtry Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 9:34 Building the World’s Smallest Fusion Reactor | Robin Langtry on TBPN
CATALYST Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Waters: SMRs will not be a viable power source until the mid-2030s
“The challenge there is that between permitting and technology development that needs to happen, you're probably talking about, you know, mid 20 thirties before you see that become a real play.”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 5:30 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Hammond predicts AG Pam Bondi will settle NRC nuclear licensing lawsuit
“There's, I think there's a good chance that this, that Pam Bondi and the attorney general settle that case, in which case states could then stand up their own licensing boards.”
Samuel Hammond Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 20:29 Why Industrialization WON'T Create New JOBS | Samuel Hammond on TBPN April 8th
CATALYST Disclosure
Terra Praxis uses AI to identify coal sites for nuclear repowering
“We have a partnership with a, with an NGO called Terra Praxis. And with Terra Praxis, we are identifying coal power sites for repowering to nuclear and SMR, so small modular reactors.”
Laurent Bueneau Mar 11, 2025 ▶ 14:05 How AI is solving real utility challenges [partner content]
SOURCERY Insight
McCormick: As AI and hard tech commoditize, brand becomes the differentiator
“I think as everything becomes like easier to make from AI to SMRs, like brand ends up playing a big role.”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 58:32 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Garman: Small modular nuclear reactors will be major energy sources starting 2030
“We do think that you know, over the next probably starting somewhere in, in 20, 30 and beyond these small modular reactors, which is what X-energy builds, are gonna be a huge component of this.”
Matt Garman Dec 5, 2024 ▶ 33:08 AWS CEO Matt Garman on Amazon's Big AI Chips Bet, Working With OpenAI, and Nuclear Energy
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US communities will block small modular nuclear reactors
“I just don't think your typical community wants a nuclear power plant in their backyard, and I don't think it matters that much if it's a small modular one either.”
David Sacks Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 51:54 Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Small modular reactors (SMRs) do not work yet in practice
“These SMRs, they don't work. Oh, that's, just to be clear, SMRs don't work yet. We have theoretical ways in which we can profile and model that they work. But we don't have a functional one that people can look at and inspect.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 1:02:22 Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: SMRs are currently operating in China, Russia, and India
“There are SMRs operating in China, Russia, and India today. And there's about 65 being built at this moment, right?”
David Friedberg Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 1:03:01 Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
BG2 Assertion Supported
Gerstner: The US Navy operates roughly 100 floating small modular reactors
“We basically have a hundred floating SMRs in our naval fleet.”
Brad Gerstner Sep 9, 2024 ▶ 1:02:34 Ep15: Inside Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
BG2 Insight
Gurley: Open-sourcing SMR designs eliminates single-source risk for utilities
“The reason to make it IP free, Is to get everyone working on the same platform, to remove single source dependency risk, and to get the utilities confidence that this thing's gonna be successful, and gonna go forward, and to get everyone behind it. So do the L…”
Bill Gurley Sep 9, 2024 ▶ 1:14:28 Ep15: Inside Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
GREEN BLUEPRINT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Beebe: Geothermal can power AI data centers in 3-4 years vs 10 for SMRs
“Building de novo facilities to power either clusters or giga sites for massive data centers, I think is going to be much, much harder, and they're going to try with small modular reactors, that's a ten-year kind of process, but doing it with geothermal, I thin…”
Andrew Beebe Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 20:34 AI-fueled geothermal and ‘the edge of the possible’
WTF Prediction Held up
Gogri: Gen-IV Small Modular Reactors Should Come Online by 2030
“Ok, so the point is that my hope is around this generation four reactors, which, again, there is a hope element to that, but they should be getting online by the end of this decade, and they are more smaller than the big power plant.”
Mirik Gogri Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 2:02:10 Ep# 15 | WTF is Climate Change? Nikhil ft. Sunita, Bhumi, Navroz and Mirik · Nikhil Kamath
Wesoff: SMRs are engineering solutions misapplied to financial and PR problems
“Small reactors, SMRs, are a nuclear engineering solution to a financial problem. We need a financial solution to this financial problem. Small modular reactors are a nuclear engineering, engineering solution to a PR problem. We need a PR solution to that, not …”
Eric Wesoff Dec 12, 2023 ▶ 35:08 Making sense of advanced nuclear’s stumbles
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Kann: Cost overruns have hit basically every recent US nuclear project
“On the expensive side, you can look at the cost overruns that have hit basically every recent reactor development in the United States and in some other countries, whether traditional reactor types or so-called small modular reactors.”
Shayle Kann Nov 16, 2023 ▶ 5:03 The cost of nuclear
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Lovering: Studies show smaller energy technologies have faster learning rates
“So one is Wilson et al. 20 20 and Swartz et al. 20 20, but they both look at the size of energy technologies and their learning rates, and they find that across all sorts of energy technologies, batteries, generators, the smaller they are, the faster they lear…”
Jessica Lovering Nov 16, 2023 ▶ 26:58 The cost of nuclear
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Roberts: DOE prioritizes standardized nuclear construction practices over modular hardware
“If you talk to the people at the DOE, the loans office, they'll tell you what needs to be replicated and done the same way over and over again is not necessarily the hardware, the chunks of hardware, it's construction practices. It's the construction sub parts…”
David Roberts Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 32:39 The Volts crossover episode
CATALYST Opinion
Roberts: The commercial nuclear industry is historically corrupt and incompetent
“What I don't want is the sort of generalized hype around SMRs to translate into just yet another round of a large and historically Corrupt and incompetent industry getting another giant round of subsidies dumped on its head for ultimately nothing, which is wha…”
David Roberts Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 36:03 The Volts crossover episode
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Gebbia: Small modular reactors can reuse existing nuclear waste as fuel
“Small modular reactors which will address some of the issues of the costs involved in building nuclear plants, the timelines associated with building nuclear plants. Small modular actors can actually reuse existing nuclear waste as their energy source.”
Joe Gebbia Apr 12, 2023 ▶ 37:41 Ep 53: Joe Gebbia Changed the World with Airbnb. Here's What He's Building Next. · Joe Lonsdale
CATALYST Opinion
Kugelmass: Most modern small modular reactors are neither small nor truly modular
“Most of them that are thought of as the SMRs in this generation are neither small, some of them are bigger than the original reactors, and they're not modular. Like, they are using traditional construction techniques that maybe have, like, a little bitty bit o…”
Brett Kugelmass Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 6:34 Strong opinions on SMRs
CATALYST Assertion Supported
Kugelmass: Small modular reactor designs have crept up to 700 megawatts
“The industry started with small being like 200 or 300 megawatts, which is only slightly smaller than the original fleet of reactors that we built out, which was 506 hundred megawatts. And now those very models have climbed up to 405 107 hundred megawatts, and …”
Brett Kugelmass Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 7:31 Strong opinions on SMRs
a16z Assertion Supported
Volz: Small modular nuclear reactors require no new scientific breakthroughs
“One of the main reasons I'm so excited about SMRs is that we actually aren't waiting on any new scientific breakthroughs, and these things are getting slated to be built in the near term.”
Michelle Volz Jan 27, 2023 ▶ 33:19 2023 Big Ideas in Technology (Part 2)

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