Lie: AMD, Trainium, and TPU are all trying to build a better Nvidia Rubin
“AMD, Tranium, in many ways TPU, like all of these in my mind are all trying to build a better Reuben, right? And there's a huge amount of value in that.”
Movva: AMD chips are great, but developers cannot program them well
“AMD, I think, great chips overall. The challenge is that people don't understand how to program them very well.”
Movva: Meta and OpenAI purchases have consumed AMD's chip supply
“I think publicly, Meta and OpenAI have bought a ton of AMD chips, and so, we're increasingly seeing that all the AMD supply is also being allocated.”
Movva: Nvidia creates buyer competition to neutralize defection to AMD
“Like, he wants to create a diverse community of NeoClouds and inference providers who are all jockeying to create demand for NVIDIA, such that if any one of them Decides to, I don't know, vertically integrate or go with AMD or any other option. He's got three …”
Mo: Major chipmakers use vLLM as an internal benchmark
“And additionally, VLM also work closely with all the hardware vendors. So that means across like NVIDIA, AMD, Google, and Amazon, Intel, and a lot more, their newest chip will make sure VLM can run on them. And then a lot of cases they use VLM as a benchmark t…”
Kim: AMD CEO Lisa Su Raised Data Center AI Forecast to $220B
“Lisa Su raised her CPU, a genetic CPU forecast. Just three months ago, it was a hundred twenty billion for 20 to 30. Three months later, they raised it to two hundred twenty billion.”
Papermaster: Agentic workflows drive CPU-to-GPU ratios to one-to-one
“Now with these agentic workflows, you actually need both. In fact, the ratio of CPU to GPU is becoming like one to one.”
Papermaster: AMD uses thousands of AI sub-agents for chip design
“We have thousands of sub-agents just doing incredibly complex chip design, speeding how fast we can get the next generation to market.”
AI agent execution runs on CPUs, benefiting Intel and AMD
“Agent loops, agent harnesses are all running on CPUs. The tokens are produced by the frontier models on GPUs, but whatever work, like, let's say like Claude generates a coding script that decides to download 500 files from different websites and then You know,…”
Jain: Exxon generates $50B cash flow vs AMD's $9B at comparable valuations
“Exxon is almost similar market cap as AMD. Depending on the oil prices, this year they generate probably fifty billion of clean free cash flow. AMD will be lucky if they generate nine.”
Feldman: Intel and AMD captured zero market share in mobile chip compute
“Share changed when cell phone compute emerged, and Intel and AMD who had fabs and the best architects got zero share, and it all moved to ARM.”
Friar: OpenAI uses Cerebras, pipeline AMD chips, and custom Broadcom silicon
“But we also now have chips in the pipeline from AMD. Cerebrus is already online. It's been an incredible low latency chip. Great for devs, for example, that want real time coding. And there's our own chip that we're working on with Broadcom.”
Feldman: Cerebras is the only pure-play public AI company
“We would be the first and only, for a period of time, AI pure play. We are the only company that, that you can, a hundred percent of the revenue, this exact market. There's no gaming, there's no graphics, there's no PC, that, this is it.”
Baker: AWS Trainium is doing best among chips trying to beat GPUs
“And you have TPU, Tranium, and AMD, Which are all you know, essentially trying to be a better GPU, and today I think probably Tranium is doing the best.”
Baker: Alternative Foundries Would Improve Rapidly if NVIDIA or AMD Used Them
“The reality is like if a company like Nvidia or AMD were to ever really, really use one of these other foundries, that foundry would get better really quickly.”
Kim: Hyperscalers are locking in three-to-five-year CPU supply contracts
“We have Dell, AMD Intel CFO talked about, they're talking about three to five year locked, locked in supply contracts from hyperscalers.”
Ambrose: People.ai customers include OpenAI, NVIDIA, and AMD
“We have customers across the whole spectrum a lot, actually, in the AI space, so, you know, OpenAI, NVIDIA AMD, some others, all the way down to and Iron Mountain.”
Coogan: Meta signs multi-year AMD Instinct GPU deal for six gigawatts
“Meta has shaken hands with
AMD.
They're forming a pact today.
We're announcing a multi-year agreement with AMD advanced micro devices to integrate their latest instinct GPUs into our global infrastructure with a pot approximately six gigawatts.”
Patel: All major non-Nvidia AI chips will fully support vLLM by mid-2026
“All of them will have a very good UX for download model, run model on VLM by The middle of the year, I think, right? Certainly AMD is already there by the end of this quarter.”
Patel: SemiAnalysis runs InferenceMax benchmark on $60M of donated GPUs
“It's called inferencemax. It's open source. All the code is and the results are, but we run across, I think, sixty million dollars of GPUs, which are donated to us by companies like Nvidia, AMD, OpenAI, Microsoft, Amazon, Crusoe, CoreWeave, Together AI.”
Dylan Patel: AMD will remain in single-digit percentage AI market share
“I don't think they'll Go beyond, like, I think they'll stay in single digits market share, single digit percentage market share.”
Patel: TSMC is actively manufacturing chips in Arizona for Nvidia, Apple, and AMD
“TSMC is literally making chips for NVIDIA and Apple and AMD and others in Arizona today, right?”
Chamath: OpenAI is diversifying inference hardware across AMD, Nvidia, and Cerebras
“What I can tell you is that OpenAI is aggressively trying to diversify so that they have multiple paths Of inference available. They have a huge deal with AMD. They have a huge deal with Nvidia. They now have a huge deal with Cerebris.”
Tan: Still a long-term investor in Nvidia despite increasing competition
“You know, I think I'm still a long-term buy and hold, honestly, but for the moment, people are like, oh, well, Gemini's so good, and all the, you know, nobody seems to be NVIDIA only now, and everyone's buying AMD, and everyone's, you know, and TPUs are workin…”
Ai2 received an initial grant of two million GPU hours from AMD
“We got an initial grant from AMD at the time. There was about two million GPU hours.”
Andrew Ng: US chip export controls have backfired and accelerated Chinese innovation
“I think the export control on chips has largely backfired. The way that the US and I think that the way the US first put restrictions on Huawei and then later on, you know, exported NVIDIA and AMD and other semiconductors that really incentivized China. So bef…”
Tareq Amin: Humain has partnered with AMD, Groq, Nvidia, and Qualcomm
“So if you see our partnership that we have done with AMD, with a startup called Grog NVIDIA, Qualcomm. It shows you clearly our commitment to this relationship and partnership, and it's really deep.”
Zyphra moves its entire model training cluster to AMD hardware
“We recently moved all of our training cluster over to AMD. So we're really going all in on AMD ecosystem.”
AMD MI300X outperforms Nvidia H100 on FlashAttention-2 and memory-bound workloads
“We found that it's great for flash attention to specifically, we were able to be H-one hundred. We also found that like the less time you spend in like dense compute, like the less time you spend in tensor cores specifically, or less time you spend in lower bi…”
AMD MI300X GEMM performance increased from 400 to 650 TFLOPS via software
“So when MI 300 X first dropped, if you run like an MLP gem or something, you would get like 400 T flops. Now that number is, you know, more like six, 606 107 650 or so just in like the gem back ends themselves.”
AMD has completely caught up with Nvidia on AI software
“So they caught up on hardware. Now they've caught up on software. Not a lot of people have sort of discovered that they've caught up on software and we're kind of capitalizing on that.”
AMD's Composable Kernel library offers functionality similar to Nvidia's CUTLASS
“And then on the AMD side, they have this composable kernel library that does something very similar.”
AMD funded community DeepSeek kernel development through the GPU Mode Discord
“AMD's actually done this. Like there's some deep seek, like through GPU modes, discord, there have been some like deep seek kernels that they say you have, you know, guaranteed access to compute for, write them.”
Baker: Google's TPU makes it Nvidia's biggest AI chip competitor
“NVIDIA's biggest competitor, it's not AMD, it's not Broadcom you know, it's certainly not Marvell. It's not Intel. It's Google. And more specifically, it is Google, because Google owns the TPU chip.”
OpenAI holds AMD stock warrants tied to a $600 share price
“There's like another financial sweetener in the deal where OpenAI has warrants in AMD if the stock price hits 600.”
Calacanis claims OpenAI committed to 6 gigawatts of AMD GPUs
“OpenAI committed to purchasing six gigawatts worth of AMD's next-gen GPUs.”
Jason Calacanis: AMD granted OpenAI warrants for 160M shares
“AMD granted OpenAI warrants And that's interesting for up to a hundred and sixty million shares or 10% of the companies.”
Calacanis: OpenAI will effectively receive AMD GPUs for free
“And with that massive increase in their stock price, Brad, I think this means that OpenAI is going to get a lot of GPUs essentially for free.”
Gerstner: Nvidia captured nearly 100% of incremental AI data center revenues
“In twenty-twenty-two, two and a half years ago, NVIDIA and AMD had basically the same revenue, twenty-five billion dollars, right? This year, NVIDIA will do 10 X that at roughly, you know, 210, two hundred and thirty billion dollars, and AMD will do thirty-thr…”
Gerstner: AMD could capture $150B incremental revenue from OpenAI deal
“If it works, she's going to get a hundred and fifty billion of incremental revenue just from open AI, right? For building out five gigawatts.”
O'Driscoll: Sam Altman took 10% of AMD for chip purchasing privileges
“Sam Altman understands power. He has more power than AMD, so he took 10% of their company for the privilege of selling stuff to him.”
Kantrowitz: OpenAI committed to purchasing 6 GW of AMD chips starting next year
“Under the terms of the deal, OpenAI committed to purchasing six gigawatts worth of AMD chips starting next year.”
Kantrowitz: OpenAI deal includes warrants for 10% of AMD at one cent per share
“Part of this, OpenAI will receive warrants for up to a hundred sixty million AMD shares worth roughly 10% of the chip company at one cent per share awarded in phases if OpenAI hits certain milestones for deployment.”
Siegler: Equity concessions have become table stakes in AI chip deals
“So it's like, it all feels like the same sort of general playbook, just being executed in different ways where it's like now all of a sudden ownership is sort of table stakes to these deals, right? Even when it's a company that's a, that's technically still a …”
Kantrowitz: AI market exuberance is a red flag amid slow enterprise adoption
“Like this exuberance in the stock market is based off of infrastructure spend and not revenue. It's all based off of revenue projections. And those rep revenue projections are extremely aggressive, especially when you consider the fact that enterprises are mov…”
Siegler: Minor AI slowdown could trigger systemic debt collapse
“If a slowdown happens in, in several of, on several of these fronts on any number of, sorry, I should say on any one of these, like several fronts that are going right now, it can start like, it seems like it would start a cascading effect that would potential…”
Appenzeller: Intel-Nvidia partnership means AMD is 'fucked'
“I think AMD is fucked, right? I mean, they're, you're just, If your two arch nemesis suddenly team up, that's the worst possible news you can have, right? They were already struggling, right? Their cards are good, their software stack is not, right? They were …”
Trump taxes Nvidia and AMD China chip sales at 15 percent
“Trump struck a deal with Nvidia and AMD for the federal government to take 15% of their chip sales in China in return for allowing the exports.”
Agrawal: Cloud Computing Generates $400B in Apps but Only $50B in Semis
“In the cloud super cycle, you know, you have about. Four hundred billion dollars of revenue that is being earned by the applications. Let's call it the layer one. You've got about two hundred billion spent on infrastructure. This is AWS and GCP and Azure, et c…”
Deeter: Amazon, Google, and AMD chipsets are challenging Nvidia's market dominance
“I do think that we're also getting many more hardware approaches and solutions out there. So that it's not as wonderful as NVIDIA is. It's not just an NVIDIA world anymore. And the chip sets from Amazon and Google and AMD and others are becoming quite capable.”
Sohmers: AMD's PyTorch fork lagged official releases by 6-9 months
“And AMD had their own separate you know, non-mainline PyTorch distribution for years. That was always six to nine months behind any new PyTorch releases.”
Patel: NVIDIA maintains 75% gross margins compared to AMD's 50%
“I make a 75% gross margin as NVIDIA AMD sells their GPUs for 50% gross margin”
Patel: AMD cannot catch NVIDIA due to poor software, networking, and co-design
“Why is AMD not catching up despite being awesome at hardware engineering? Well, yeah, they're bad at networking, but also they suck at software and they can't do hardware software co-design.”
Patel: AMD, Trainium, or TPUs will beat chip startups as NVIDIA alternatives
“I probably think that like AMD GPUs or Amazon's Tranium will be probably more likely to be a best second choice. For people or Google TPU, of course, but I think Google is just more interested in it for internal workloads. I just think that those will be much …”
Lisa Su: AMD's MI355 chip has 185B transistors and takes nine months
“It's our MI-tri-fifty-five chip. One hundred and eighty-five billion transistors. Takes about nine months to build.”
Lisa Su: AMD produced its first 4nm chips at TSMC Arizona
“We've been very early in Arizona with TSMC, and we did get our first chips out they're actually four nanometer”
Su: AMD's Arizona fab chip yields match its Taiwan yields
“We've been super impressed with the progress, and, you know, if we look at the main thing that we look at is, you know, yields and just how many chips do we get out on a given wafer, and I would say it's equivalent between what we get in Taiwan and what we get…”
Lisa Su: AMD decisions take five-plus years to play out
“The decisions we're making will take, you know, five plus years to play out.”
Baker: Exporting Nvidia H20 chips deters China from creating rival AI accelerators
“It's a smart decision for America to sell this chip that gives America an advantage in AI and keeps China from developing kind of their own domestic alternatives, which could eventually kind of challenge, you know, Nvidia, AMD, you know, other kind of American…”
Arora: Private Enterprise Domains Hold 10x More Data Than the Public Web
“I think there's 10 times more information in private domains, which is not available in the public domain. All the drug discovery data, which is sitting in every drug company that has made any drug in the past, it's all proprietary data, right? All the intelle…”