| 20T | “20 trillion” | 30,000 mid-market private equity portfolio companies worth $20T need liquidity | Tony James | May 5, 2026 | — |
| 13T | “13 trillion” | Rampell: US labor market is $13 trillion annually | Alex Rampell | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 10T | “10 trillion” | Evans: Global annual photos taken likely reaches 10 to 100 trillion | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 5T | “five trillion” | George: $4.8T AI CapEx requires $1T annual AI revenue by 2030 | David George | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 5T | “Five trillion” | Krishna: Housing represents 20% of US GDP and a $5 trillion market | Varun Krishna | Nov 12, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 4.8T | “4.8 trillion” | George: $4.8T AI CapEx requires $1T annual AI revenue by 2030 | David George | Feb 9, 2026 | — |
| 4T | “four trillion” | Casado: Cloud and SaaS represent only 6% of global IT spending | Martín Casado | Jul 15, 2017 | Partly supported |
| 3.2T | “3.2 trillion” | Butte: Healthcare inefficiency is driven by systemic resistance, not friction | Atul Butte | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 2.2T | “a 1.2 trillion” | Evans: Global telecoms is a $1.2T industry, 10x online advertising | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Entertainment is a $2T industry built on imaginary friends | Noam Shazeer | Sep 25, 2023 | — |
| 2T | “two trillion” | Strange: Only 3% of global laundered money is ever caught | Angela Strange | Oct 14, 2021 | Partly supported |
| 2T | “Two trillion” | Ballinger: Wearables will generate two trillion data points in 2017 | Brandon Ballinger | Jan 2, 2019 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1.5T | “a half trillion” | George: Aggregate unicorn market cap reached $3.5 trillion, growing 7x in a decade | David George | Jan 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 1.5T | “a half trillion” | Solomon: Goldman Sachs balance sheet must reach $3.5T when JPMorgan hits $6T | David Solomon | Feb 2, 2026 | — |
| 1.2T | “1.2 trillion” | Andreessen: Journalist advised Zuckerberg to accept $1B Yahoo acquisition offer | Marc Andreessen | Jun 19, 2024 | Contradicted |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Magic Johnson: African American spending power reaches $1.4 trillion | Earvin "Magic" Johnson | Feb 11, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Baker: Cursor's token flywheel will become tough for competitors to catch | Gavin Baker | Oct 30, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Hsu: Physical synthesis and testing will remain AI drug discovery's bottleneck | Patrick Hsu | Sep 15, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Srinivasan: Regulators lack intuition for financial scales beyond personal bank accounts | Balaji Srinivasan | Aug 8, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Patel: UBI is the only viable redistribution model if AGI eliminates wages | Dwarkesh Patel | Aug 4, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Wu: Usage-based pricing converts software billing into a data infrastructure problem | Scott Wu | Jul 18, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Pande: Multiple startups are vying to become trillion-dollar consumer health giants | Vijay Pande | May 30, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Andreessen: Bitcoin is a trillion-dollar outcome created by one person | Marc Andreessen | May 2, 2024 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Jordan: Tech's biggest winners initially look like non-obvious niche ideas | Jeff Jordan | Feb 26, 2019 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Akella: The Ford F-150 truck has one trillion possible build combinations | Prasad Akella | Jan 2, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Evans: Global annual photos taken likely reaches 10 to 100 trillion | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Evans: Tech industry will spend $1T to $2T on AI CapEx | Benedict Evans | Jun 8, 2026 | Open |
| 1T | “a trillion” | LaFontaine: Live Shopping in Asia Is a $1 Trillion Market | Grant LaFontaine | Aug 19, 2026 | Supported |
| 900B | “nine hundred billion” | Evans: Global annual photos taken likely reaches 10 to 100 trillion | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 800B | “eight hundred billion” | US out-of-pocket health spending projected to reach $800B by 2026 | Jay Rughani | Dec 2, 2021 | Open |
| 800B | “eight hundred billion” | Evans: 800 billion photos were shared on social networks in 2014 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Supported |
| 800B | “eight hundred billion” | Evans: 800B photos shared in 2014 vs 80B taken in 1999 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | George: Aggregate unicorn market cap reached $3.5 trillion, growing 7x in a decade | David George | Jan 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | Tan: BPO market will grow from $300B today to $500B by 2030 | Kimberly Tan | Apr 3, 2025 | Held up |
| 500B | “five hundred billion” | US out-of-pocket health spending projected to reach $800B by 2026 | Jay Rughani | Dec 2, 2021 | Open |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Tan: BPO market will grow from $300B today to $500B by 2030 | Kimberly Tan | Apr 3, 2025 | Held up |
| 300B | “a two hundred billion” | Rampell: Salesforce risks losing revenue or 10x-ing depending on AI transition | Alex Rampell | Jan 14, 2025 | — |
| 300B | “a two hundred billion” | Simpson: Physical collectibles market is valued at $200 billion | Arianna Simpson | Aug 29, 2019 | Supported |
| 300B | “three hundred billion” | Verdian: 2021-2022 software LBOs valued at 25-32x EBITDA are now worth half | Aram Verdian | Sep 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Immerman: Google approaches $200B annual search revenue with double-digit growth | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | David George: Anthropic and OpenAI combined run rate could hit $200B | David George | May 29, 2026 | — |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Rowan: Credit makes up 80% of Apollo's assets, private equity only 10% | Marc Rowan | May 27, 2026 | Supported |
| 200B | “two hundred billion” | Verdian: 2021-2022 software LBOs valued at 25-32x EBITDA are now worth half | Aram Verdian | Sep 10, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 150B | “a hundred fifty billion” | Yoo: US medical claims processing is a $150 billion industry | Julie Yoo | Jan 27, 2023 | Supported |
| 123B | “one hundred twenty three billion” | Nate Chang: Biotech M&A deals totaled $123 billion in 2018 | Nate Chang | Feb 28, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 120B | “a hundred twenty billion” | Gedmark: Space communications is a $120 billion annual market | John Gedmark | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Acharya: A single individual will eventually build a $100 billion revenue company | Anish Acharya | Oct 22, 2025 | Open |
| 100B | “one hundred billion” | Levie: AI market will follow SaaS pattern with $100B new disruptors | Aaron Levie | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Casado: AV unit economics remain on par with Uber despite $100B invested | Martin Casado | Sep 4, 2025 | — |
| 100B | “hundred billion” | Casado: a16z portfolio includes four $100 billion companies | Martin Casado | Sep 4, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 100B | “hundred billion” | Mather: In 100 billion years, most galaxies will recede beyond detection | John Mather | Oct 30, 2023 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Balaji: Compounding capital faces steep diminishing returns at scale | Balaji Srinivasan | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Isaacman: US has committed $100B in taxpayer dollars to Moon return | Jared Isaacman | May 6, 2026 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Sankar: Europe created zero €100B companies from scratch in 50 years | Shyam Sankar | Mar 20, 2026 | Contradicted |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Jeff Woo: Managing $100 billion takes no more headcount than managing $100 | Jeff Woo | Jun 22, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Every One Percent Market Share in AI Accelerators Is Worth $100 Billion | Gavin Baker | Aug 31, 2026 | — |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Kha predicts top venture outcomes will reach $100B with OpenAI and Anthropic | Jen Kha | Sep 10, 2026 | Open |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Verdian: AI reached $100B revenue in 4 years vs 15 for SaaS | Aram Verdian | Sep 10, 2026 | Supported |
| 94B | “ninety four billion” | Nate Chang: Biotech M&A reached $94 billion by early 2019 | Nate Chang | Feb 28, 2019 | Supported |
| 93B | “ninety-three billion” | Chou: $93B of the $150B gaming market comes from in-game purchases | Kevin Chou | Mar 9, 2020 | Supported |
| 83B | “eighty-three billion” | eBay generated $83 billion in gross merchandise sales and $3 billion FCF | Jeff Jordan | Jul 15, 2017 | Supported |
| 80B | “eighty billion” | Dixon: Video game industry grew from $20B to $180B since internet started | Chris Dixon | Feb 28, 2024 | Supported |
| 80B | “eighty billion” | Evans: Consumers took 80 billion film photos globally in 1999 | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 80B | “eighty billion” | Evans: 800B photos shared in 2014 vs 80B taken in 1999 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Supported |
| 80B | “eighty billion” | George: eBay's E-Commerce Market Share Fell From 15% to Under 1% | David George | Aug 19, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 71B | “a seventy billion” | Rampell: Salvage vehicle auction platform Copart has a $70B market cap | Alex Rampell | Oct 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 71B | “a seventy billion” | Ehrsam: Bitcoin created the world's largest supercomputer network by 4 orders of magnitude | Fred Ehrsam | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Chokshi: Novartis produces 70 billion doses of medicine annually | Sonal Chokshi | Jan 17, 2019 | Supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Liu: Ethereum Foundation employs 5 to 10 people despite $70B market cap | Lily Liu | Jul 15, 2018 | — |
| 68B | “a sixty seven billion” | Rivers: Public markets would never permit Dell's $67B acquisition of EMC | J.R. Rivers | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 65B | “sixty five billion” | George: ChatGPT reached 365 billion searches five times faster than Google | David George | Jan 26, 2026 | Supported |
| 60B | “sixty billion” | Burbidge: UK financial sector contributes up to £160B annually to GDP | Eileen Burbage | Jan 2, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 51B | “a fifty billion” | Nguyen: Startups must reserve aggressive compensation for key roles to compete | Tan Nguyen | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 51B | “a fifty billion” | Evans: Modern tech market ceilings expanded 100x over prior generations | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Rabois: Opendoor's Base Case Valuation Is $20B to $50B | Keith Rabois | Oct 16, 2025 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Acharya: Sovereign AI cluster announcements reach $100B-$250B globally | Anish Acharya | May 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Kevin Chou: Gaming reached $150B in 2019, outgrew film and music combined | Kevin Chou | Mar 9, 2020 | Supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Hennessy: Global RISC processor chip volume exceeds 50 billion units | John Hennessy | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Evans: US online ad and e-commerce revenue grew to $350B | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 50B | “Fifty billion” | California produced $50 billion in agricultural output last year | Chandra Krintz | Jul 15, 2017 | Partly supported |
| 46B | “forty six billion” | Mensch: Mixtral has 46B total parameters but executes 12B per token | Arthur Mensch | Dec 28, 2023 | Supported |
| 41B | “a forty billion” | Chan: China's online education market to hit 300M users by 2020 | Connie Chan | Feb 2, 2019 | Partly held up |
| 41B | “forty one billion” | Dorado: Drone collision risk with commercial jets is once per 41B hours | Eli Dorado | Jan 2, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 40B | “forty billion” | Ancestry holds 40 billion historical records, 75% exclusive to its platform | Deb Liu | Apr 12, 2023 | — |
| 40B | “forty billion” | Casado: Cloud and SaaS represent only 6% of global IT spending | Martín Casado | Jul 15, 2017 | Partly supported |
| 40B | “forty billion” | George: Top decile venture outcomes have increased from $10B to $40B | David George | Sep 10, 2026 | — |
| 37B | “thirty seven billion” | Only 1% of the $37B NIH budget funds basic aging research | Kristen Fortney | Dec 23, 2018 | Supported |
| 35B | “thirty five billion” | A $50 Billion NVIDIA Data Center Requires Only $15 Billion in Equity | Gavin Baker | Aug 31, 2026 | — |
| 31B | “a thirty billion” | Chan: China's pet market reached $30 billion in 2017 | Connie Chan | Mar 7, 2018 | Partly supported |
| 30B | “thirty billion” | Wang: Big Tech CEOs face existential risk if they miss AI leadership | Alexandr Wang | Sep 24, 2024 | — |
| 30B | “a twenty-nine billion” | Tony James: DLJ had $29B AUM when sold to Credit Suisse | Tony James | May 5, 2026 | Supported |
| 28B | “twenty eight billion” | Diamandis: In 1996, Kodak had a $28B market cap and 140,000 employees | Peter Diamandis | May 25, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 27B | “a twenty six billion” | Casado: Business email compromise is an estimated $26 billion annual industry | Martin Casado | Feb 20, 2020 | Contradicted |
| 27B | “a twenty six billion” | Dixon: Bitcoin Cash's $26B market cap exceeds the entire 2016 crypto market | Chris Dixon | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 25B | “a twenty four billion” | Rivers: Public markets would never permit Dell's $67B acquisition of EMC | J.R. Rivers | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Patel: NVIDIA Lost $20B+ China Revenue from H20 Ban | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Schuler: Aside from tech giants, major corporations lack an AI strategy | Cameron Schuler | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Tanium is targeting a $20 billion total addressable market | Orion Hindawi | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Evans: Apps building solely inside Facebook Messenger cannot reach $10B valuation | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Evans: WhatsApp handles 50% more volume than global SMS with 40 engineers | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Blackstone turned a $119M acquisition into a $120B secondary business | Tony James | May 5, 2026 | Partly supported |
| 16B | “a fifteen billion” | A $50 Billion NVIDIA Data Center Requires Only $15 Billion in Equity | Gavin Baker | Aug 31, 2026 | — |
| 15B | “fifteen billion” | Ancestry plans to digitize 15 billion new records in 2023 using AI | Deb Liu | Apr 12, 2023 | Held up |
| 12B | “twelve billion” | Immerman: Microsoft Bing generates $12B revenue with mid-single-digit market share | Alex Immerman | Dec 9, 2024 | Supported |
| 12B | “12 billion” | Mensch: Mixtral has 46B total parameters but executes 12B per token | Arthur Mensch | Dec 28, 2023 | Supported |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Duffy: The Startup Label Was A Liability In Enterprise Healthcare Sales | Sean Duffy | Jan 4, 2024 | — |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Pratt Mogai: Big Data 1.0 is a $10B market dominated by incumbents | Prat Moghe | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 11B | “a ten billion” | Evans: Apps building solely inside Facebook Messenger cannot reach $10B valuation | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Andreessen: California high-speed rail spent $10B with zero ground broken | Marc Andreessen | Jun 19, 2024 | Partly supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Cherry: Startups cannot compete on cash with multi-billion dollar public companies | Brandon Cherry | Sep 21, 2023 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Armstrong: Coinbase custodies $10B+ of cryptocurrency | Brian Armstrong | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | ESPN digital hit 10 billion monthly minutes, 1.5 billion from fantasy | Ryan Spoon | Jan 2, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Evans: Apple generates double Android's developer revenue on half the devices | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Balaji: Compounding capital faces steep diminishing returns at scale | Balaji Srinivasan | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 10B | “a nine billion” | Xie: Mitsubishi UFJ wrote a physical $9B check to Morgan Stanley in 2008 | Linda Xie | Dec 15, 2018 | Supported |
| 10B | “a nine billion” | Mitsubishi UFJ hand-delivered a physical $9B check to Morgan Stanley in 2008 | Linda Xie | May 5, 2018 | Supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Liu: Consumer platforms will integrate crypto into loyalty programs within a year | Lily Liu | Jul 15, 2018 | Partly held up |
| 10B | “ten billion” | George: Top decile venture outcomes have increased from $10B to $40B | David George | Sep 10, 2026 | — |
| 9.7B | “9.7 billion” | Friedrich: Animal agriculture cannot feed 9.7 billion people by 2050 | Bruce Friedrich | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 9B | “nine billion” | Horowitz: There are nine billion critics for every creative person today | Ben Horowitz | Oct 1, 2023 | — |
| 9B | “an eight billion” | Paulus: ZhongAn raised $1B at an $8B valuation backed by Alibaba | Mike Paulus | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 9B | “nine billion” | eBay generated $83 billion in gross merchandise sales and $3 billion FCF | Jeff Jordan | Jul 15, 2017 | Supported |
| 8.6B | “8.6 billion” | Dixon: Global NFT sales reached $8.6 billion in 2023 despite market downturn | Chris Dixon | Feb 28, 2024 | Supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Magic Johnson: Dodgers bought for $2.2B are now worth $8B | Earvin "Magic" Johnson | Feb 11, 2026 | Supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Hoffman: 'Seven deadly sins' consumer framework still applies to AI | Reid Hoffman | Oct 20, 2025 | — |
| 8B | “a seven billion” | Angelopoulos: LMArena router model outperforms all constituent models on Chatbot Arena | Anastasios Angelopoulos | May 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Dixon: Global smartphone users will grow to eight billion | Chris Dixon | Dec 19, 2019 | Open |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Strange: UK Checking Accounts Generate £8B in Hidden Annual Costs | Angela Strange | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Yahya: Traditional financial trust models cannot scale to eight billion people | Ali Yahya | Dec 16, 2018 | — |
| 7.6B | “7.6 billion” | De la Garza: Venture capital invested $7.6B in cybersecurity in 2017 | Joel de la Garza | Mar 1, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Sinofsky: Distribution is no longer a moat because smartphones are ubiquitous | Steven Sinofsky | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Sinofsky: Endpoint devices will eventually surpass centralized data center compute capacity | Steven Sinofsky | Feb 6, 2025 | — |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Activision offered up to $7B to buy Blizzard standalone from Vivendi | Bobby Kotick | Feb 26, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Andreessen: Global smartphone adoption will soon reach 6 to 7 billion people | Marc Andreessen | Jan 2, 2019 | Held up |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Netflix's investment in original programming reached over $7 billion | Sonal Chokshi | Jan 2, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Andreessen: Startups must build scale to overcome busy, entrenched customers | Marc Andreessen | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 7B | “Seven billion” | Evans: Styluses lack mass consumer appeal because most people cannot draw | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Andreessen: 5 to 7 billion people will own smartphones by 2020 | Marc Andreessen | Jan 2, 2019 | Didn’t hold up |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Evans: Over four billion adults globally will own smartphones by 2020 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Partly held up |
| 6B | “Six billion” | Magic Johnson: Washington Commanders valuation will rise with new stadium | Earvin "Magic" Johnson | Feb 11, 2026 | Open |
| 6B | “six billion” | Evans: Fewer than 1 billion consumer PCs vs 5-6 billion smartphones exist | Benedict Evans | Dec 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 6B | “six billion” | Activision offered up to $7B to buy Blizzard standalone from Vivendi | Bobby Kotick | Feb 26, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 6B | “a five billion” | Horowitz: Jeff Bezos will never build a $5 billion corporate campus | Ben Horowitz | Jan 2, 2019 | Held up |
| 6B | “six billion” | Benedict Evans: Global active smartphones will reach 5 to 6 billion | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Partly held up |
| 6B | “six billion” | McMaster: Expanding mobile market will enable a third or fourth OS | Kurt McMaster | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 6B | “a five billion” | Chan: China's $5B Livestreaming Market Rivals Its Film Box Office | Connie Chan | Jul 16, 2017 | Supported |
| 5.3B | “5.3 billion” | Casado: VC Cybersecurity Funding Reached $5.3 Billion in 2018 | Martin Casado | Feb 20, 2020 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Andreessen: AI is the fastest-adopted technology in human history | Marc Andreessen | Nov 3, 2025 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Baker: AI browser startups will regret competing against Google Chrome | Gavin Baker | Oct 30, 2025 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Roblox has five billion hours of opted-in 3D human interaction data. | David Baszucki | Sep 25, 2023 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Ancestry plans to digitize 15 billion new records in 2023 using AI | Deb Liu | Apr 12, 2023 | Held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Parsons: Stable Diffusion used 12M fine-tuning images for aesthetic quality | Guy Parsons | Mar 9, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Sinofsky: Apple explicitly targets premium phone buyers, not the 5B global smartphone market | Steven Sinofsky | Apr 1, 2019 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Activision offered up to $7B to buy Blizzard standalone from Vivendi | Bobby Kotick | Feb 26, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 5B | “a four billion” | Rigetti: $10M in quantum chip infrastructure rivals $4B classical supercomputers | Chad Rigetti | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Hastings: Netflix spent $5 billion on content and $1 billion on tech in 2017 | Reed Hastings | Jan 2, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: Global iOS and Android devices will reach five billion | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Beshara: Only $5B of $1.2T US peer-to-peer payments happen digitally | James Beshara | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Ludwin: $7B of value is transmitting on the Bitcoin network | Adam Ludwin | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: 4 to 4.5 billion adults globally will be online | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans predicts global hardware will settle at 4 to 5 billion smartphones | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Partly held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: Mobile shift expands computing market from 1.5B PCs to 5B smartphones | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Dixon: Smartphone users will hit 5 billion as hardware drops to $3 | Chris Dixon | Dec 21, 2018 | Held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: Mobile market reached 3 billion smartphones and 5 billion total phones | Benedict Evans | Dec 5, 2017 | Supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Rampell: Credit Karma Valued at $5B with 55M Monthly Active Users | Alex Rampell | Oct 26, 2017 | Partly supported |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans predicts global smartphone ownership will double to 5 billion | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: Over four billion adults globally will own smartphones by 2020 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Partly held up |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: 5 billion square feet of LCD screens are sold annually | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Contradicted |
| 5B | “five billion” | Evans: Over four billion adults will own smartphones by 2020 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | — |
| 4.8B | “a 3.8 billion” | James Rogers: Breakthrough technology will come from nature, not isolated invention | James Rogers | Dec 24, 2018 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Ganguli: Evolutionary robustness proves low-dimensional structure controls biological function | Surya Ganguli | Oct 3, 2024 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Midha: Developers built 20,000 Discord activities generating 4B daily minutes | Anjani Mitra | Jun 23, 2024 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Gedmark: The global population without internet access has increased to four billion | John Gedmark | Oct 6, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 4B | “four billion” | Dixon: Global smartphone users will grow to eight billion | Chris Dixon | Dec 19, 2019 | Open |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: 800M to 900M of Earth's 4B smartphones are iPhones | Benedict Evans | Apr 1, 2019 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Activision offered up to $7B to buy Blizzard standalone from Vivendi | Bobby Kotick | Feb 26, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 4B | “four billion” | Harari: Humanity is on the verge of creating inorganic life forms | Yuval Noah Harari | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: Mobile scale dwarfs PCs with 4 billion units replaced biennially | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: Global smartphone adoption will reach 4 billion devices | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Held up |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans predicts active iOS and Android devices will reach four billion globally | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Held up |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: Over four billion adults globally will own smartphones by 2020 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Partly held up |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: 4 billion people buy phones every two years, dwarfing PC sales | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Supported |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: Over four billion adults will own smartphones by 2020 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | — |
| 4B | “four billion” | Evans: Global LCD screen sales will reach 4B square feet in 2014 | Benedict Evans | Jul 15, 2017 | Didn’t hold up |
| 4B | “four billion” | Tan: Turning down early Palantir offer was a $2B to $4B mistake | Garry Tan | Aug 11, 2026 | — |
| 3.7B | “3.7 billion” | New Horizons achieved a million-to-one signal-to-noise ratio at Pluto | Ivan Linscott | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 3.5B | “3.5 billion” | Eviation has surpassed $3.5 billion in electric aircraft pre-orders | Gregory Davis | Jun 12, 2023 | Partly supported |
| 3.5B | “a 2.5 billion” | Hobson: The Ariel Fund grew from $500,000 in seed capital to $2.5B | Mellody Hobson | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 3.3B | “3.3 billion” | Levine: iPhone 7 chip contains 3.3 billion transistors | Peter Levine | Jul 15, 2017 | Supported |
| 3.1B | “3.1 billion” | Riccitiello: Unity-built software reaches over 3 billion monthly downloads | John Riccitiello | Mar 16, 2020 | — |
| 3B | “three billion” | Global Payments generated $3 billion in annual software sales by 2023 | Jeff Sloan | Apr 30, 2024 | — |
| 3B | “three billion” | Gedmark: The global population without internet access has increased to four billion | John Gedmark | Oct 6, 2023 | Contradicted |
| 3B | “three billion” | Strange: Roughly 3 billion people worldwide are excluded from banking | Angela Strange | Oct 14, 2021 | Contradicted |
| 3B | “three billion” | John Riccitiello: Global video game players easily exceed three billion | John Riccitiello | Mar 16, 2020 | Open |
| 3B | “three billion” | Andreessen: Global smartphone adoption will soon reach 6 to 7 billion people | Marc Andreessen | Jan 2, 2019 | Held up |
| 3B | “three billion” | Dixon: We are entering a Cambrian explosion of 10+ computers per person | Chris Dixon | Jan 2, 2019 | — |
| 3B | “three billion” | Evans: Global iOS and Android devices will reach five billion | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Held up |
| 3B | “three billion” | Evans: iOS and Android ship 1.5B units annually with 3B active devices | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 3B | “three billion” | Burbidge: Barclays spends $5 billion annually on technology | Eileen Burbage | Jan 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 3B | “three billion” | Evans: Android's next billion users will not raise average app spending | Benedict Evans | Jan 2, 2019 | Partly held up |
a16zLEDGER All shows Try the podcast clipper →