Gregory Davis

President, Raisbeck Engineering · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

Gregory Davis is the President of Raisbeck Engineering and the former President and CEO of Eviation Aircraft. An aerospace engineer and licensed commercial pilot, he previously held leadership roles at Viking Air Limited and Marshall Aerospace.

10statements → 8claims → 4claims resolved → 25%fully supported → 3.9/5average certainty → 2/5average debate potential →

1 supported 2 partly supported 1 contradicted 2 not yet assessed 2 not checkable as stated how the 8 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

4 predictions · 4 assertions · 1 insight · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 8 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 4 are resolved, 2 are not yet assessed, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Gregory argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported

Aviation contributes roughly three percent of global carbon emissions

“What I mean is that right now aviation contributes about three percent of all world CO two emissions.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 3:38 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Their most notable contradicted claim

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Aviation could account for 50% of global CO2 emissions by 2050

“But our own industry projections are that by 20 50, that's going to be anywhere up to 50% of all CO two emissions everywhere.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 3:45 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1

none yet certainty 2

0% certainty 3

67% certainty 4

none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: speaking style how? →

267 words/min while actually speaking · 25.1 um and uh per 1k words · 31.6 false starts per 1k · 35.4% of pauses land inside a clause

No argument clarity score for Gregory Davis: only 2 usable question→answer exchanges on raw tape (a fair score needs 8+). We do not score a sample that small. Roundtable and news formats yield far fewer direct exchanges than interviews.

Measured by listening to the audio itself: 3,347 words across 1 episode of raw-level tape, transcribed verbatim with every um and uh kept, each one attributed only where the alignment onto our timed stream is unambiguous. These are measurements of speaking style. We do not rank them: across this corpus, fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2), and smooth talking does not signal clear thinking. How it's measured →

What they said10 Episodes1

Everything Gregory Davis said on the a16z Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Aviation could account for 50% of global CO2 emissions by 2050

“But our own industry projections are that by 20 50, that's going to be anywhere up to 50% of all CO two emissions everywhere.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 3:45 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2038

Consumers will regularly fly on electric airplanes within 15 years

“And to the point of mass adoption, a hundred percent, I firmly believe in the next 10 to 15 years, we will all be flying regularly on electric airplanes.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 50:32 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Disclosure

Eviation aircraft battery packs require replacement every 3,000 flight hours

“We design our batteries to be replaced every 3000 cycles, which given our utilization is about every 3000 hours. So that could be. Two years, three years, four years, depending on how you're going to use the airplane.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 17:01 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Assertion Partly supported

Eviation has surpassed $3.5 billion in electric aircraft pre-orders

“You know, we aviation recently passed by the 3.5 billion dollar pre-order mark, right? For the aircraft, you know, More than 400 airplanes on, on, on LOI that we have with our customers now.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 55:20 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Electric cargo planes can fly later due to low noise levels

“Cargo applications will be able to use it later in the evening, which isn't directly related to batteries, it's actually related to The fact that the aircraft so much quieter that it's not going to be subject to noise restrictions.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 23:29 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2026

Electric aircraft gain one hour of flight time per 30-minute charge

“That turnaround time typically takes about half an hour. You can charge your batteries for one hour of flying time, 30 minutes.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 23:57 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Insight

Airport operators lack dedicated electrical infrastructure consultants

“And right now I know that people come to me to ask, you know, where should I put my charging station at my airport? How much capacity should it have? And so the fact that people are coming to me as the aircraft manufacturer means that there's probably no place…”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 32:26 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Electric regional flights will be cheaper than jet fuel flights

“These flights will be much more cost effective than the flights we have today because they eliminate aviation fuel and replace it with a much cheaper electrically derived energy from the grid.”

Gregory Davis Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 1:02:18 The Electrification of Everything: From Sky to Sea