why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Aviation could account for 50% of global CO2 emissions by 2050
“But our own industry projections are that by 20 50, that's going to be anywhere up to 50% of all CO two emissions everywhere.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2038
Consumers will regularly fly on electric airplanes within 15 years
“And to the point of mass adoption, a hundred percent, I firmly believe in the next 10 to 15 years, we will all be flying regularly on electric airplanes.”
Disclosure
Eviation aircraft battery packs require replacement every 3,000 flight hours
“We design our batteries to be replaced every 3000 cycles, which given our utilization is about every 3000 hours. So that could be. Two years, three years, four years, depending on how you're going to use the airplane.”
Assertion Partly supported
Eviation has surpassed $3.5 billion in electric aircraft pre-orders
“You know, we aviation recently passed by the 3.5 billion dollar pre-order mark, right? For the aircraft, you know, More than 400 airplanes on, on, on LOI that we have with our customers now.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Electric cargo planes can fly later due to low noise levels
“Cargo applications will be able to use it later in the evening, which isn't directly related to batteries, it's actually related to The fact that the aircraft so much quieter that it's not going to be subject to noise restrictions.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2026
Electric aircraft gain one hour of flight time per 30-minute charge
“That turnaround time typically takes about half an hour. You can charge your batteries for one hour of flying time, 30 minutes.”
Insight
Airport operators lack dedicated electrical infrastructure consultants
“And right now I know that people come to me to ask, you know, where should I put my charging station at my airport? How much capacity should it have? And so the fact that people are coming to me as the aircraft manufacturer means that there's probably no place…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Electric regional flights will be cheaper than jet fuel flights
“These flights will be much more cost effective than the flights we have today because they eliminate aviation fuel and replace it with a much cheaper electrically derived energy from the grid.”
Assertion Partly supported
Thirty percent of all global flights are under 250 miles
“Half of all flights in the world are under 500 miles. And a full 30% are 250 miles or less.”
Assertion Supported
Aviation contributes roughly three percent of global carbon emissions
“What I mean is that right now aviation contributes about three percent of all world CO two emissions.”