Prediction Not checkable as stated
James Rogers: Future household wealth will be defined by 3D printer capability
“And I think it's, I mean, I think in the future you're going to have a fancy three D printer in your home and how wealthy you are is going to be what type of three D printer you have. If you're really wealthy, you can print the latest and greatest iPhone. If y…”
Assertion Supported
Rogers: Apeel's invisible plant-based peel extends produce shelf life without refrigeration
“We've developed a way to use food to preserve other food. And so we use natural plant materials to create an invisible peel that we apply to the outside of fresh produce. And by constructing this peel in the appropriate way from these food materials, we're abl…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rogers: A new food supply chain will unlock trillions in value
“I think we're going to see the evolution and development and deployment of an entirely new food supply chain, which unlocks trillions of dollars in value. Improves the quality of the produce that we're growing, reduces or eliminates this whole idea of seasonal…”
Assertion Partly supported
Rogers: Apeel extends fresh produce shelf life by three to five times
“And by doing that, we can extend the useful shelf life of fresh produce by a factor of three to five times.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rogers: Material science will yield produce lasting twice as long without pesticides
“So we view the future as really an opportunity to use this knowledge of material science and knowledge of how to reconstruct nature's molecules into clever structures that will ultimately allow us to deliver produce that lasts twice as long for the consumer an…”
Assertion Supported
James Rogers: Produce spoilage rates in US reach 33% to 50%
“If you look at spoilage rates in the United States and, you know, the numbers are kind of all over the place, but they're between a third and a half.”
Assertion Supported
James Rogers: Harvest losses reach up to 90% in developing countries
“Now, so you start talking about trying to be able to reduce losses, which can be, you know, 80, 90% of a harvest in the developing world.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2047
Rogers: Global food demand will increase 50% in 30 years
“We're going to need 50% more food in the next 30 years to feed the world's growing population.”
Assertion Supported
Rogers: US food spoilage rates sit at around 40 percent
“If you look at, you know, food spoilage rates in the United States, they're around 40%, so we're throwing away almost half of what we're growing”
Assertion Partly supported
Rogers: Early-harvested tomatoes lose 80% of their potential nutrient density
“And the reason for that is that the tomatoes harvested at a stage three, at a color index of three, which means it's green. And you really want to consume it at a color index of five or six when it, when it's that deep red. And the reason for that is that the …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
James Rogers: Apeel's protective produce coating is completely imperceptible to taste
“Yeah, you actually, you can't taste it. It actually tastes much closer to the fruit when it was actually picked originally.”
Assertion Supported
James Rogers: Air freighting avocados to China costs more than the fruit
“In the case of avocados, you know, the price of shipping a box of avocados to China is more expensive than the box of avocados itself, because of perishability, you have to air freight them in.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
James Rogers: Extra week of mango shelf life increases farmer income
“What we found in talking to smallholder farmers is that if you can extend the shelf life of a mango by an extra week, they can earn an extra three to five shillings per mango.”
Assertion Supported
James Rogers: 80% of fresh water usage goes to agricultural irrigation
“You know, the numbers are around 80% of fresh water going into irrigation, you know, all of the pesticide usage that ends up, you know, running into the water streams that ends, that's, you know, putting pesticides on fruit that we're not even eating, all the …”
Insight
James Rogers: Doubling produce shelf life effectively doubles transportation speed
“You know, one of the ways I look at our product as well as infrastructure in a packet, you've got really poor roads and now you're able to get that produce a certain distance before it goes bad. Well, if you double the shelf life of that produce, it's effectiv…”
Insight
James Rogers: Synthetic pesticides inevitably harm beneficial organisms alongside targeted pests
“The problem is, is that those processes that we generally interfere with are really valuable processes. That's why they've stuck around for so long, and so they're used by many, many, many different types of life forms, and so it's incredibly challenging to po…”
Disclosure
James Rogers: Apeel Sciences powers hardware testing using Raspberry Pis and Arduinos
“For us, our entire office runs on Raspberry Pis and Arduino units that control controllers to measure different stuff.”
Insight
James Rogers: Plant breeders prioritize crop transportability over taste and nutrition
“When you look at what plant breeders do basically is when they're breeding a new crop, they're looking down the list and the number one thing on their list is transportability and taste and attrition is like level 12 or 13 on the list.”
Assertion Partly supported
James Rogers: Apeel extended finger lime shelf life from 5 to 25 days
“And the challenge with them is, you know, they brought them in the US, they grow a bunch of them, but the shelf life of these things is like five days, maybe. A supply chain that, that only lasts five days doesn't get you into very many stores. It's just not r…”
Insight
James Rogers: Breakthrough technology will come from nature, not isolated invention
“And the way that we are going to be able to build new things, we believe, is not by Trying to come up with entirely new solutions on our own, but by rather figuring out how to ask nature the questions, which it has already spent, it's already got a 3.8 billion…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2048
Rogers: Earth will add 2 billion people without gaining fresh land or water
“We're gonna add a couple billion more people to this planet in the next 30 years, and along with that, we're not gonna get, ah, another rocket load of more arable land and more fresh water.”
Assertion Supported
James Rogers: Apeel extracts specific molecular isomers for lightweight produce coatings
“We actually know down to the isomer what these materials are when we create these blends. We then extract those really particular subsets of materials. I turn them into powders. So they're lightweight, they're low cost to distribute. And then we ship them to w…”
Assertion Supported
James Rogers: Apeel uses natural plant building blocks instead of synthetic materials
“The trick about what we're doing is that it's not some sort of synthetic material that nature's never seen before. We're just using the exact same building blocks that nature uses every single day, and we're simply repurposing them for a different application.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
James Rogers: Driscoll's data shows berry shoppers spend double at grocery stores
“If the joke at, you know, at the retail level is that the berry consumer spends twice the number of dollars in the grocery store as a non-berry consumer. And so it, according to Driscoll's, that's true.”
