“We've reached a hundred billion in revenue in AI. It took SaaS 15 years to get to the same point. AI did that in four years.”
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More from Aram Verdian
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Verdian: Only 20 of 3,000 US VC firms consistently returned 3x net
“Like, we've looked at the data of 3000 venture capital firms in the U.S. Only 20 have achieved consistent three X net returns over the last two decades.”
Aram VerdianSep 10, 2026▶ 11:23Why Investors Are Rethinking Everything for the AI Era
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Verdian: No prior tech wave addressed $30T in GDP simultaneously
“There hasn't been a technology paradigm that hits on 30 trillion in GDP at the same time.”
Aram VerdianSep 10, 2026▶ 4:30Why Investors Are Rethinking Everything for the AI Era
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Verdian: AI TAM can be 10x larger than traditional SaaS
“So the TAM of AI can be 10 X plus bigger than traditional SaaS or healthcare IT.”
Aram VerdianSep 10, 2026▶ 6:15Why Investors Are Rethinking Everything for the AI Era
Insight
Verdian: Late-stage funds require 5% to 10% position sizing in top company
“Venture-like returns are possible in late stage, but your best company should be five, 10% plus of your fund. That way you can actually return the fund on a single company. Fund returning math in late stage didn't exist before. It now does.”
Aram VerdianSep 10, 2026▶ 12:14Why Investors Are Rethinking Everything for the AI Era
AssertionPartly supported
Verdian: Average 10-year VC return trails public markets at 1-2x net
“If you look at Cambridge data, the average venture return over the last 10 years is one to two x net. You will do better in private equity. You'll definitely do better in the public markets. You don't need to lock up your money for 10 years.”
Aram VerdianSep 10, 2026▶ 12:42Why Investors Are Rethinking Everything for the AI Era
AssertionPartly supported
Verdian: Cursor recently raised at a $400M valuation on $3M ARR
“Tell me if I'm wrong, three million ARR, four hundred million dollar round, or somewhere maybe around there.”
Aram VerdianSep 10, 2026▶ 22:48Why Investors Are Rethinking Everything for the AI Era
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