why aren't all 3,128 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Ford spends more per car on healthcare than on steel, Lannart says
“And the reality is Ford spends more money per car on health insurance than it does steel.”
Assertion Partly supported
Stripe requires separate country integrations while BlueSnap uses one, claims Dangelmaier
“Well, Stripe is, is it's similar to what Stripe does because Stripe does that in a single country. What we've done is we've been able to globalize it through many countries through one integration. So with Stripe, you have to go do it say seven times against s…”
Assertion Supported
DiscoverOrg's aggregate net revenue retention across all tiers approaches 100%
“It's close to a hundred.”
Prediction Held up
Mehta: Gainsight will reach $100M in ARR by 2020
“We'll be there in that timeframe.”
Assertion Contradicted
Olark Created the First Floating Website Chat Box Widget
“And then over time because we are the first people who put this little floating chat box on the internet that created some virality. So like, you know, someone adds this to the site they see it's Olark and then they want it for their own site. Nowadays, that s…”
Assertion Partly supported
Schneider: Domo Raised $600M and Went Public at a Loss
“Domo is a competitor in our space that raised, I think, six hundred million dollars went public. And it's trading at last I checked less than that. And they certainly went public for a net loss for their investors.”
Assertion Supported
Glidden: Introhive has 100,000 seats deployed at PwC
“We're not one of those companies that has, you know, five seats at PwC, you know, we've got a 100,000 seats at PwC.”
Assertion Partly supported
Intercom and Drift Lack Deep Out-of-the-Box Backend Integrations
“Neither intercom nor drift provides the service. I mean, it's too hard to integrate your services.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Saarenvirta: Daisy Intelligence can reach $1B valuation with 50 enterprise customers
“We envision if we get to about 50 to 60 customers, we think we'll be in the, you know, close to a billion dollar valuation, and we're already at, kind of, 17 today, so it doesn't seem like a stretch that over the next three years we could, we can get to that, …”
Assertion Supported
Airbnb's gross booking volume is approaching $100 million per day
“It's probably close to it's getting, it's approaching a hundred million dollars a day. I would say going through Airbnb.”
Assertion Supported
Keil claims Micro Focus's legacy HP software business is declining rapidly
“HP merged with its software business with Microfocus a year ago. And it's again, public record that that business has been declining very rapidly.”
Assertion Supported
Almond: $18T in US commercial payments are still done in paper checks
“There's 18 trillion dollars in commercial payments in the US alone still done in paper checks”
Assertion Supported
Prince: Cloudflare does not run on AWS, Azure, or Google Cloud
“So we're not running on top of AWS or on top of Azure or Google. We actually had to build the network out ourselves.”
Assertion Partly supported
Latka: Infusionsoft cut monthly churn from 8% to 2% with onboarding fee
“When Clayt added a 2500 dollar service fee at the beginning of the sales process, his customers became more invested. He also started attracting more serious customers while weeding out those who never intended to pay for the service. He could also afford to p…”
Assertion Partly supported
Agarwal: Vista has the highest IRR of any North American PE firm
“Vista has now had the highest IRR of any private equity firm in North America.”
Assertion Supported
Agarwal: Vista Equity Partners has never lost money on an acquisition
“They've never lost money. And any acquisition in their history, which no company can say.”
Assertion Contradicted
Eruimy: Shopify locks users in by owning their merchant data
“Because Shopify, you, you're in a closed environment. So your data are owned by Shopify. And if you want to shift to something else, you have to rebuild your store from scratch.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
CEO John Oechsle Predicts SwiftPage Will Reach $100M ARR By Mid-2021
“No, I'd say give me about two, two and a half years.”
Assertion Supported
Lee: ProsperWorks is the only CRM recommended by Google
“And, you know, to the point of the Google relationship, we are the only CRM that's actually recommended by Google.”
Assertion Supported
Gordy: Blackbaud locks nonprofit customers into one- to four-year contracts
“Then they might be under a one, two, three, four year contract due to some of our competitors like BlackBaud that have really held people in for long-term contracts and really kind of got their nails in.”
Assertion Supported
Remote Workers Are Less Likely to Desire Long-Term Tenure, Research Shows
“The research that we did with Virgin pulse revealed the opposite, revealed that if you work remote, you're much less likely to want a longterm career, your company without the social interactions that you get in a physical office space. And if you aren't using…”
Assertion Supported
Budman: Backblaze stores about half as much data as Dropbox
“And at this point we are storing about half as much data as Dropbox.”
Prediction Partly held up
Eugene Levin expects SEMrush to pass $80 million ARR in 2018
“I need to check the model, but yeah.”
Assertion Supported
Kidron: China deal pays Oramed $50M and 10% royalties, implying $1B valuation
“They're paying us fifty million dollars and 10% royalties, and they've been investing hundreds of millions of dollars into the facility of the building in China, and China is five percent of the global market of diabetes, so the value that they gave us, this f…”
Assertion Contradicted
Mattress companies typically traded at 3x to 4x revenue in 2018
“It's valued on the basis of maybe three or four times revenue.”
Prediction Held up
Têtu: Coveo will pass $100M ARR very imminently
“We'll cross this and much more very imminently.”
Assertion Contradicted
Fessler: Total Market for IP Protection Is Under $50M
“I would be surprised if the size of the total market today For intellectual property protection is more than 25 or fifty million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Furutan: Contest Factory owns patents for online contests and voting
“And in fact we, as you mentioned, we own the patents on online contests and voting.”
Assertion Partly supported
Gannett: Everyone with an IQ over 104 has equal creative potential
“The science tells us is that everyone with an IQ over a 104 has the same creative potential. That's over 40% of the entire world.”
Assertion Supported
Brian Miles: Zirtual imploded due to poor financial management
“Zurchal imploded two years ago and was sold to this organization that now owns it in Columbus, Ohio, because they didn't manage their money very well.”
Assertion Contradicted
Ghosh: Rwango is the only Wi-Fi proximity marketing company globally
“And we are the only guys in the world who do wifi based proximity marketing.”
Assertion Partly supported
Lemp: Revcontent did $184 million in gross revenue in 2016
“So according to Inc, I mean, I can't share our current numbers, but according to Inc, we did a hundred and eighty four million last year.”
Assertion Supported
Google maintains search ranking neutrality between new and legacy domain extensions.
“Google will say that, that new TLD and legacy TLDs they are in different. I'm sorry, top level domain. I hate it when I do that. So whether, so, so Google will say that there is no, a different, you know, bias one way or the other.”
Assertion Partly supported
Latka: Y Combinator-backed Segment generates over $20M in monthly recurring revenue
“YC backed over twenty million in MRR. Twenty million monthly.”
Assertion Supported
Johns Hopkins researchers replaced heart attack scar tissue using banked stem cells
“At Johns Hopkins, they took these bone marrow derived mesenchymal stem cells, that same ones we store for you. And they grew them and introduced them into the damaged area of a person's heart after they had a heart attack. And they were able to grow healthy ti…”
Assertion Supported
Osetek: Roughly 90% of New US Digital Ad Dollars Go to Google and Facebook
“So a lot of studies, at least in the U S have shown that something like 90% of the new digital dollar dollars going into digital have been going to Facebook and Google.”
Prediction Held up
Nancy Ham targets $100M ARR for WebPT by 2020
“Oh, twenty-twenty is our target. Now that is our BHAG, our big, hairy, audacious goal, but that's what we're shooting for.”
Prediction Partly held up
Gutenberg lets anyone build New York Times-style rich layouts for free
“What New York Times spent probably tens of thousands of dollars to do a few years ago will be able to enable anyone with WordPress and Gutenberg to do just kind of out of the box.”
Assertion Supported
Smith: Qualtrics is and has always been cash-flow positive
“Makeup that we have at Qualtrics where we're cashflow positive.
We've always been, it was really nice to be able to say, Hey here's an opportunity to have some liquidity and, you know, kind of get acclimated a little bit to what life is going to be like for a…”
Assertion Supported
App builder competitor BuildFire started as a Bizness Apps partner
“Build fire for one used to be a partner of ours.”
Assertion Supported
Foster: Zapier has grown profitably on customer revenue since 2012 $1M seed
“We did do a small round when we were first getting started, so we went through Y Combinator and then raised I mean, what today is a modest seed round, about a million dollars in September, twenty-twelve. But since then, we've grown profitably and on customer r…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lamson predicts JazzHR will hit 25,000 paid customers by 2020
“We have a lofty goal of getting to 25,000 paid customers by the end of twenty-twenty. We're at 3000 now.”
Assertion Contradicted
Mediaocean claims to be the only adtech firm covering all media types
“We're the only ad tech company that is across all those media types.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sridhar: Kinvey coined and created the 'backend as a service' category
“We coined the phrase and created this category, and now it's a thing.”
Assertion Partly supported
Thomas: SCB and SBI Remit use Ripple to cut remittance costs by 90%
“So they are licensing our technology, and then another company called SBI Remit in Japan is also licensing our technology. So they've come together and they've created a partnership where people in Japan, there's about 45,000 Thai people that are living in Jap…”
Assertion Partly supported
Dash was the first cryptocurrency to introduce instant transactions
“One is, we're the first cryptocurrency to introduce instant transactions.”
Assertion Supported
BitCart disabled Bitcoin payments after Dash drove 90% of business
“We have funded BitCart who, an integration into BitCart. They're a service that allows you to buy Amazon gift cards for 15% discount. And after integrating Dash, they actually disabled Bitcoin because Bitcoin transactions were taking a long time. They were cau…”
Assertion Contradicted
Engman: Climeon is over 50% more efficient than its nearest competitor
“So we are more than 50% more efficient than the number two.”