why aren't all 2,044 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Pompliano: 99% of early Italian COVID-19 deaths had pre-existing conditions
“99% at one point of all of the deaths in Italy had either some other health concern or a pre-existing condition.”
Prediction Held up
Nathan Latka: The $349B PPP stimulus funds will run out quickly
“So the trick with this that, you know, Connor, that I'm trying to share with people is I think the money will run out. Right. If you take three hundred fifty billion. Right. At a max of ten million per company, that's only 34,000 companies. Right. Even even if…”
Prediction Held up
Brex Will Hit $1 Billion in Monthly Transaction Volume by 2022
“Definitely less than two years.”
Assertion Supported
Malone: California legislation effectively outlawed core-and-freelancer corporate models
“Well, California just outlawed that. So California is actually moving back in time against that.”
Assertion Supported
Szneiberg: Investing.com surpassed Bloomberg in web traffic with 100M monthly sessions
“We just surpassed Bloomberg in traffic recently with a hundred million sessions a month on the site alone.”
Assertion Supported
Zafar's 1998 startup invented the fingerprint sensor tech now powering iPhones
“We invented the fingerprint sensor chip. In 1998, we had it built into the laptop in 19 early. So today that technology and my team work for Apple is in all iPhones.”
Assertion Supported
Ford spends more per car on healthcare than on steel, Lannart says
“And the reality is Ford spends more money per car on health insurance than it does steel.”
Assertion Supported
DiscoverOrg's aggregate net revenue retention across all tiers approaches 100%
“It's close to a hundred.”
Prediction Held up
Mehta: Gainsight will reach $100M in ARR by 2020
“We'll be there in that timeframe.”
Assertion Supported
Glidden: Introhive has 100,000 seats deployed at PwC
“We're not one of those companies that has, you know, five seats at PwC, you know, we've got a 100,000 seats at PwC.”
Assertion Supported
Airbnb's gross booking volume is approaching $100 million per day
“It's probably close to it's getting, it's approaching a hundred million dollars a day. I would say going through Airbnb.”
Assertion Supported
Keil claims Micro Focus's legacy HP software business is declining rapidly
“HP merged with its software business with Microfocus a year ago. And it's again, public record that that business has been declining very rapidly.”
Assertion Supported
Almond: $18T in US commercial payments are still done in paper checks
“There's 18 trillion dollars in commercial payments in the US alone still done in paper checks”
Assertion Supported
Prince: Cloudflare does not run on AWS, Azure, or Google Cloud
“So we're not running on top of AWS or on top of Azure or Google. We actually had to build the network out ourselves.”
Assertion Supported
Agarwal: Vista Equity Partners has never lost money on an acquisition
“They've never lost money. And any acquisition in their history, which no company can say.”
Assertion Supported
Lee: ProsperWorks is the only CRM recommended by Google
“And, you know, to the point of the Google relationship, we are the only CRM that's actually recommended by Google.”
Assertion Supported
Gordy: Blackbaud locks nonprofit customers into one- to four-year contracts
“Then they might be under a one, two, three, four year contract due to some of our competitors like BlackBaud that have really held people in for long-term contracts and really kind of got their nails in.”
Assertion Supported
Remote Workers Are Less Likely to Desire Long-Term Tenure, Research Shows
“The research that we did with Virgin pulse revealed the opposite, revealed that if you work remote, you're much less likely to want a longterm career, your company without the social interactions that you get in a physical office space. And if you aren't using…”
Assertion Supported
Budman: Backblaze stores about half as much data as Dropbox
“And at this point we are storing about half as much data as Dropbox.”
Assertion Supported
Kidron: China deal pays Oramed $50M and 10% royalties, implying $1B valuation
“They're paying us fifty million dollars and 10% royalties, and they've been investing hundreds of millions of dollars into the facility of the building in China, and China is five percent of the global market of diabetes, so the value that they gave us, this f…”
Prediction Held up
Têtu: Coveo will pass $100M ARR very imminently
“We'll cross this and much more very imminently.”
Assertion Supported
Furutan: Contest Factory owns patents for online contests and voting
“And in fact we, as you mentioned, we own the patents on online contests and voting.”
Assertion Supported
Brian Miles: Zirtual imploded due to poor financial management
“Zurchal imploded two years ago and was sold to this organization that now owns it in Columbus, Ohio, because they didn't manage their money very well.”
Assertion Supported
Google maintains search ranking neutrality between new and legacy domain extensions.
“Google will say that, that new TLD and legacy TLDs they are in different. I'm sorry, top level domain. I hate it when I do that. So whether, so, so Google will say that there is no, a different, you know, bias one way or the other.”
Assertion Supported
Johns Hopkins researchers replaced heart attack scar tissue using banked stem cells
“At Johns Hopkins, they took these bone marrow derived mesenchymal stem cells, that same ones we store for you. And they grew them and introduced them into the damaged area of a person's heart after they had a heart attack. And they were able to grow healthy ti…”
Assertion Supported
Osetek: Roughly 90% of New US Digital Ad Dollars Go to Google and Facebook
“So a lot of studies, at least in the U S have shown that something like 90% of the new digital dollar dollars going into digital have been going to Facebook and Google.”
Prediction Held up
Nancy Ham targets $100M ARR for WebPT by 2020
“Oh, twenty-twenty is our target. Now that is our BHAG, our big, hairy, audacious goal, but that's what we're shooting for.”
Assertion Supported
Smith: Qualtrics is and has always been cash-flow positive
“Makeup that we have at Qualtrics where we're cashflow positive.
We've always been, it was really nice to be able to say, Hey here's an opportunity to have some liquidity and, you know, kind of get acclimated a little bit to what life is going to be like for a…”
Assertion Supported
App builder competitor BuildFire started as a Bizness Apps partner
“Build fire for one used to be a partner of ours.”
Assertion Supported
Foster: Zapier has grown profitably on customer revenue since 2012 $1M seed
“We did do a small round when we were first getting started, so we went through Y Combinator and then raised I mean, what today is a modest seed round, about a million dollars in September, twenty-twelve. But since then, we've grown profitably and on customer r…”
Assertion Supported
BitCart disabled Bitcoin payments after Dash drove 90% of business
“We have funded BitCart who, an integration into BitCart. They're a service that allows you to buy Amazon gift cards for 15% discount. And after integrating Dash, they actually disabled Bitcoin because Bitcoin transactions were taking a long time. They were cau…”
Assertion Supported
McCormick: Anyone can buy their way onto a bestseller list
“Of course it is. You've got a lot of people out there who actually do it. So yeah, it's, as we've always said, you can buy anything. So yes.”
Assertion Supported
Herzog: Bancor raised $153M in three hours during record-setting ICO
“And we raised in three hours, something that was at the time, a hundred fifty three million dollars, which was at the time the large, largest fundraising ever, but that record was quickly broke by following ICOs.”
Prediction Held up
KnowBe4 expects to generate $50 million in revenue in 2017
“We're gonna do fifty million in this year, 2017.”
Prediction Held up
Jay Jumper: Vanguard will maintain its AUM lead over Wealthfront and Betterment
“Vanguard keeps its lead. Vanguard's done a great job of having a an investment. What most, most people don't spend a lot of time and attention on the cost associated with and having a low cost solution like Vanguard has been a very good, done a very good job o…”
Assertion Supported
Corthout: HubSpot's free CRM lacks deep mailbox integration and automation
“They don't scrape email signatures. The connection with the mailbox is, is, is much, much less there. We have some more automation.”
Assertion Supported
Stein: Warren Buffett does not practice his own passive investing advice
“He's, he doesn't do what he preaches, right? He's an active investor himself.”
Assertion Supported
Ellis: Dropbox was the fastest SaaS business to hit $1B ARR
“They're the fastest company, fastest SaaS business to ever get to the one billion dollar revenue run rate”
Prediction Held up
Mark Zuckerberg Might Run for President in 2024
“No, but he might run in twenty-twenty-four.”
Assertion Supported
Girard: Fruit Street raised $6M from 180 physician investors
“The company started in May of 2014 and, you know, we've raised about six million dollars of funding from a 180 physicians that have invested in the company as well.”
Assertion Supported
Rachleff: Daily Tax-Loss Harvesting Adds 1.5% to 2% to Returns
“And if you do tax loss harvesting just at year end, according to our research, that can add about .6% to your annual after tax return. But by looking for these losses daily, it can add, as I said, one and a half to two percent.”
Assertion Supported
Putnam: Ad-tech middlemen capture 60 cents of every online advertising dollar
“So, what you have to understand is about 60 cents out of every dollar that's spent on online advertising is eaten up somewhere in the middle.”
Assertion Supported
Latka: Success Magazine gets 2M unique visitors compared to Forbes' 30M
“This is why I'm going to throw a five million dollar acquisition out for success magazine when frankly, it's like the worst performing magazine, two million uniques when Forbes gets thirty million.”
Assertion Supported
Apple refuses to sell repair parts to independent shops
“Apple does not actually sell repair parts.”
Assertion Supported
Rob Walch: Adjusted average podcast episode gets roughly 2,000 downloads since 2012
“Take out the top half percent, and I take anything three or fewer out, the average is right about 2000. It stays 2000 plus or minus a couple hundred. And it stayed that way since 2012. It hasn't changed.”
Assertion Supported
Elon Musk Funded Struggling Tesla on Condition He Could Run It
“Elon was an investor with us, and on board, and then when the company was in a dire straits, Elon said that he put money in if he could run it.”
Assertion Supported
Colgan: 2011 Supreme Court Ruling Shut Down Cell Contract Class Actions
“In 2011, the Supreme Court of the United States basically issued a ruling that said the Federal Arbitration Act preempts state law, and so it all but shut down the efficacy of class action lawsuits in the case of things like cell phone contracts.”
Assertion Supported
Turner: Swipeby Clones Business Owners' Voices to Autonomously Answer Phone Calls
“Yeah, we can clone the voice of the business owner, answer whether one person calls or a million people calls”