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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Shapiro: All net U.S. taxes are paid by the top income quintile
“All net taxes in this country are paid by the top quintile, all of them, because below the top quintile, you're getting as much back from the government or more than you are paying into the system.”
Ben Shapiro May 17, 2025 ▶ 57:06 Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Trump reduced illegal US border crossings to zero
“I'm just saying getting the illegal crossings to zero and he's done that.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 3, 2025 ▶ 13:47 Trump's First 100 Days, Tariffs Impact Trade, AI Agents, Amazon Backs Down
TBPN Assertion Contradicted
Asparouhov: Nvidia exported $20B in chips to Singapore resold to China
“The, you know, articles that came out yesterday talking about you know, NVIDIA basically getting, you know, sort of slapped on the wrist because they were like, we're exporting. I forget what the number was, but like, twenty billion dollars per year of chips t…”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 2:55 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Contradicted
Parrish: El Salvador replaced public teachers with Synthesis AI tutoring software
“Oh, so they developed this Synthesis, this AI company developed this tutor, which actually teaches kids, and it's so good that El Salvador, the country, just recently adopted and replaced their teachers.”
Shane Parrish Apr 15, 2025 ▶ 1:16:42 Bret Taylor: A Vision for AI’s Next Frontier
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Contradicted
Poilievre: Mark Carney Claimed in 2021 There Would Be No Inflation
“Like, you know, Mr. Carney, for example, told us in 20, 21, don't worry about inflation. There won't be any inflation. We should print even more money. Well, he was totally wrong. Like, utterly wrong.”
Pierre Poilievre Apr 13, 2025 ▶ 19:06 Pierre Poilievre: What I Want to Build (and Break) To Fix Canada
MORE OR LESS Assertion Contradicted
Coles says Musk plans to leave Washington role in 2-3 months
“Well, what he said was that he was planning to leave in two to In two to three months, his work would be done.”
Joanna Coles Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 16:43 Why Elon Musk May Be Pulling Back from Washington (with Joanna Coles) | More or Less #94 · More or Less Podcast
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Gracias: Social Security Administration issued numbers based on minimal ID
“You get a Social Security number before we got here by walking in office. Answering, you know, with a medical record and a school ID that had your name and your date, the date of birth on it.”
Antonio Gracias Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 29:26 DOGE updates + Liberation Day Tariff Reactions with Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Friedberg: China's 3nm semiconductor technology will reach full production in 2026
“China, one thing that's not talked about, which I'll add in, seems to have developed three nanometer semiconductor manufacturing technology, which is going to go into production in Q three of 20, 25, and will end up being in full production in 20, 26.”
David Friedberg Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 1:06:43 DOGE updates + Liberation Day Tariff Reactions with Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Contradicted
Cotton: TikTok algorithms suppress content on Hong Kong, Tibet, and Tiananmen Square
“And of course, why you can't see anything on TikTok related to say Hong Kong or Tibet or to Tiananmen Square or the Falun Gong. This is a tool of Chinese communist propaganda.”
Tom Cotton Apr 3, 2025 ▶ 27:27 Billionaire vs. U.S. Senator: Should TikTok Be Banned? · Joe Lonsdale
TBPN Assertion Contradicted
Power: The US no longer manufactures CNC machines domestically
“And we no longer make CNC machines in the US.”
Chris Power Apr 1, 2025 ▶ 9:58 Chris Power (Hadrian) on Building Autonomous Factories
BIGDEAL Assertion Contradicted
Dr. Moore: Five obese online friends exponentially increases your obesity risk
“They showed in one study that if you have even five friends on the internet, just internet, Proximity, not in real person who are struggling with obesity, your chances of becoming obese are exponentially higher.”
Dr. Tyna Moore Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 28:23 Ozempic Expert: They’re Lying To You About Getting Fat | Dr. Tyna Moore
BIGDEAL Assertion Contradicted
Dr. Moore: IVF hormonal treatments damage metabolic health and reduce fertility
“That's the problem, is that hormonal load that these women go through is just wreaking havoc on their metabolic health, so they're becoming less and less and less It's fertile through the process of IVF.”
Dr. Tyna Moore Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 40:35 Ozempic Expert: They’re Lying To You About Getting Fat | Dr. Tyna Moore
TBPN Assertion Contradicted
Wilmore and Williams Confirmed They Were Denied Earlier ISS Return
“Butch and Sunni, like, basically confirmed these facts. Like, they basically made it clear, hey, we could have been brought back earlier, and we were, like, denied the opportunity to be brought back earlier.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 4:48 Delian Asparouhov on Stranded Astronauts, NASA in Crisis, and Corporate Espionage.
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Feldman: US export controls led US VCs to fund Chinese EDA startups
“You, ah, sought to limit Chinese access to EDA tools to delay the growth of a Chinese chip market. And so U.S. Venture capitalists backed tons of Chinese companies in Shenzhen to build EDA tools, right?”
Andrew Feldman Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 57:49 Andrew Feldman, Cerebras Co-Founder and CEO: The AI Chip Wars & The Plan to Break Nvidia's Dominance · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
NEON SHOW Assertion Contradicted
Bajaj: India has never built SaaS companies reaching million-dollar ACVs
“They don't want to operate in this five, 10, 20,050 thousand ACV. They have aspirations to do hundreds of thousands or millions in ACV. India has never done that.”
Avnish Bajaj Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 1:02:08 10 Unicorns, 5 IPOs, 26 Acquisitions – India’s OG VC, Avnish Bajaj On Why Only Founders Matter
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Lutnick: Federal government inflates pre-election GDP with spending spikes
“And I'm going to break it out for the last 20 years. And what you're going to see is, Every time the quarter just before an election, all the government spending happens right then and there. It's all of a sudden you have this jump in GDP. Right. Total lie. To…”
Howard Lutnick Mar 20, 2025 ▶ 47:46 Howard Lutnick | All-In DC
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Lutnick: $200 billion in PPP funds went to Chinese fraud gangs
“So it was proven that two hundred billion of the 1.2 trillion was going to Chinese Fraud gangs.”
Howard Lutnick Mar 20, 2025 ▶ 50:02 Howard Lutnick | All-In DC
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Lutnick: No country practices free trade and US is the least protective
“There is no country in this world that is free trade. Zero. And we are the lowest and the dumbest, because everybody else is higher and more protective.”
Howard Lutnick Mar 20, 2025 ▶ 1:02:05 Howard Lutnick | All-In DC
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Lutnick: Tariffs drove $2 trillion of committed domestic production to US
“Two trillion dollars of committed domestic production coming back because of his tariffs.”
Howard Lutnick Mar 20, 2025 ▶ 1:05:32 Howard Lutnick | All-In DC
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bessent: Government services will not be cut by DOGE efficiency efforts
“Everyone's hearing cuts, and they think their government services are going to get cut. Super important. They're not.”
Scott Bessent Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 44:56 The Shocking Truth About DC Spending & Corruption - Scott Bessent
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath Palihapitiya: Renewables now generate 95% of all US energy
“Right now, 95% of all of the energy we generate in America is from renewables.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 15, 2025 ▶ 26:18 Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
ALL-IN Assertion Contradicted
Chamath: Paying people to vote is legal under current election rules
“Using dollar incentives to incentivize people, that's allowed today. You can pay people to vote today.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 50:26 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Steve Cohen: US economic growth will slow to 1.5% in H2
“We think growth is going to slow to one and a half percent from two and a half percent in the second half, and so I'm actually pretty negative for the first time in a while, and it may only last a year or so, but it's definitely, I think the best gains have be…”
Steven A. Cohen Mar 1, 2025 ▶ 31:29 Epstein Files Flop, State of the Market, Autonomous Robots, Trump's Gold Card, Friedberg on Jeopardy
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Ian Webster: Anthropic Claude censorship matches DeepSeek on Chinese political topics
“Sure. Yeah. So, I mean, the level of censorship here is like Anthropic Claude is actually on par with DeepSeq.”
Ian Webster Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 11:10 How to use DeepSeek safely
BIGDEAL Assertion Contradicted
Brooks: Anonymous internet posters are overwhelmingly likely Dark Triad personalities
“Do you like to post anonymously on the internet? Because the answer is yes, you're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a dark triad. You're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a pathological personality, somebody who really likes to stir up trouble and h…”
Arthur Brooks Feb 26, 2025 ▶ 24:04 Harvard Professor: There Is a FORMULA to Happiness | Arthur Brooks
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Morin: GPUs cannot deliver latent space AI reasoning at scale
“Fundamentally, GPUs cannot deliver, deliver this, plain and simple at scale.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 31:24 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Ramaswamy: Databricks Buys Revenue and Has Double Snowflake's Sales Headcount
“It's very clear that they're buying a bunch of business. That they don't have to worry about things like you know free cash flow. They have doubled the number of sales people that we have.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 29:31 Sridhar Ramaswamy, CEO @Snowflake: Deepseek is Not a Threat to OpenAI & OpenAI Beats Anthropic|E1258 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath Palihapitiya predicts DOGE spending cuts could exceed $2 trillion
“I suspect to be honest, it could be more than two trillion dollars when it's all said and done.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 31, 2025 ▶ 1:20:54 DeepSeek Panic, US vs China, OpenAI $40B?, and Doge Delivers with Travis Kalanick and David Sacks
NO PRIORS Assertion Contradicted
Caruso: Palisades hydrant failure was caused by empty reservoir, not broken pipes
“The hydrants are empty. We're not getting water. It had nothing to do with broken pipes. It had everything to do with the reservoirs not being filled. Everything up there is gravity flow. So those reservoirs draining are coming into the hydrants, and there's p…”
Rick Caruso Jan 30, 2025 ▶ 9:19 No Priors Ep. 99 | With Rick Caruso
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Contradicted
Bookman: 1% of Oracle public sector clients sue and over half dissatisfied
“Some of the stats, Oracle, apparently, one percent of its public sector customers end up in lawsuits. And more than half end up, quote, fully dissatisfied.”
Zach Bookman Jan 23, 2025 ▶ 17:31 $2B Gov Tech CEO's Warning for DOGE · Joe Lonsdale
BG2 Assertion Contradicted
Gerstner: Mistral and other model companies pivoted away from frontier spend
“Mistral, a lot of the other model companies have fully pivoted, like they've already raised their hand, white flag, we don't have the revenues that can support the spend to keep up, right?”
Brad Gerstner Jan 11, 2025 ▶ 30:01 Market Predictions, Rates & Inflation, DOGE, CES, AI Compute | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
TBPN Assertion Contradicted
Jordy Hays: Mayor Bass Stayed in Ghana After Wildfire Briefing
“She was briefed on the fires on Monday, decided to stay in Ghana. ... She was fully briefed.”
Jordi Hays Jan 9, 2025 ▶ 9:17 Can This Man Save Los Angeles? (Rick Caruso)
TBPN Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: Developers cannot train AI models on AMD due to software bugs
“Like you literally cannot train a model on their chips because it's so buggy and their software is so bad.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 27:01 How to WIN in 2025? (INSANE Predictions List)
BIG TECHNOLOGY Prediction Didn’t hold up
Newton predicts Grammarly will be dead by the end of 2025
“Oh, can I give you a prediction? Grammarly dead by end of 2025.”
Casey Newton Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 11:28 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts the Alternative for Germany party will win in 2025
“In Germany, AFD looks like they will win.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 13:41 2025 Predictions: Tech, Business, Media, Politics!
ALL-IN Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts a reasonable chance of a major US banking crisis
“I think that you're going to see a banking crisis in one of the major mainline banks.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 1:00:45 2025 Predictions: Tech, Business, Media, Politics!
STARTUPS FOR THE REST OF US Prediction Didn’t hold up
Walling: Google will see its biggest revenue drop ever due to AI
“So my sixth prediction is that Google will see its biggest ever drop in revenue Due to the transition from 10 blue links being the prominent way people search into AI ads, and I think Google's gonna have a bit of time that they're gonna need to figure it out”
Rob Walling Dec 31, 2024 ▶ 8:11 Episode 746 | 9 Startup Predictions for 2025
BIGDEAL Assertion Contradicted
Kennedy: Hundreds remain missing in North Carolina and Tennessee disaster zone unreported
“The number of missing is, is still in the hundreds and again, not being reported.”
Tim Kennedy Dec 27, 2024 ▶ 1:33 Green Beret Sniper: Behind Discipline and Pain Is Everything You've Ever Wanted | Tim Kennedy
NO PRIORS Assertion Contradicted
Wang: AI gets no positive transfer across modalities like video to text
“My understanding there's no positive transfer from learning in one modality to other modalities. So like training off of a bunch of video doesn't really help you that much with your text problems and vice versa.”
Alexandr Wang Dec 26, 2024 ▶ 25:42 No Priors Ep. 95 | Best of 2024
MORE OR LESS Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dave Morin: Most programming will be done in English by late 2025
“I think a year from now you know, most programming will be done in English. And I think that's the, there's almost no question.”
Dave Morin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 11:25 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
FOUNDERS Assertion Contradicted
High IQ is the CEO trait most correlated with organizational success
“The CEO trait most closely correlated with organizational success is a high IQ.”
David Senra Dec 19, 2024 ▶ 1:23:39 Breakfast with Brad Jacobs + How To Make A Few Billion Dollars
20VC Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hoffman predicts Bitcoin will approach $200,000 by the end of 2025
“I would say end of 25, so I'm approaching 200,000.”
Reid Hoffman Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 59:11 Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn & Paypal Founder: Trump Administration, Elon Musk and DOGE | E1239 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MORE OR LESS Assertion Contradicted
Lessin claims Spotify fired its Wrapped team and used AI instead
“Well, and believe it or not, at least I saw on social media, they had fired the entire team. So this was, they were able to produce with no people using AI.”
Sam Lessin Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 21:46 #77: Sora Reveal, Google's AI Agents and Digital Trade Under Trump · More or Less Podcast
BIGDEAL Assertion Contradicted
Saladino: Consumed animal organs biologically target and support corresponding human organs
“What you see is there's a lot of evidence that Oregon's Do support the corresponding organ in humans, which really breaks the mind of a traditionally trained doctor like myself. So when you give we can take an embryo, for instance, and you put a little bit of …”
Paul Saladino Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:07:37 Everything I Learned In Med School Was WRONG | Paul Saladino
BG2 Assertion Contradicted
Gurley: Anthropic and Eric Schmidt Pushed to Restrict Open-Source AI
“Anthropic and their investors like Eric Schmidt have been some of the people that have been encouraging, you know, more and more AI oversight and AI regulation and trying to make it such that open source AI would not be legal.”
Bill Gurley Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 28:49 BG2 Thanksgiving Roundtable: DOGE, EV Tax Credit, Tariffs, Conspiracy Theories, Invest America · Bg2 Pod
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Contradicted
Benioff: Prompt engineering was invented at Salesforce
“Even prompt engineering was invented at Salesforce, which we're very proud of.”
Marc Benioff Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 37:18 Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff Has Thoughts on AI Agents, Automation, and The Future of Your Job
BG2 Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gerstner: Tesla Robotaxi will likely launch in select cities by Q2 2025
“I think next year really is the year of achievement of a safety standard that allows RoboTaxi to go into action, probably in Q two. They'll pick a couple of cities.”
Brad Gerstner Nov 21, 2024 ▶ 25:33 Ep20. AI Scaling Laws, DOGE, FSD 13, Trump Markets | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Major tech and pharma CEOs couldn't get Biden administration meetings
“It's like every major, you talk to any major tech CEO of the biggest companies in the world of the, you know the biggest pharma companies in the world, none of them could get meetings with this administration.”
Ben Horowitz Nov 12, 2024 ▶ 54:09 Trump is About to Change Everything For Tech Startups
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