The Ledger, every show

“So this is predicated on an assumption that is just false, which is the existence of a hard takeoff. Right? So the fact that the minute you turn on a super intelligent AI system is going to take over the world. And it's going to escape your control and it's go…”

“Vaccines are the one medical product that does not have to go through placebo-controlled trials where you test an exposed versus unexposed population prior to licensure”

“The reality is we have more compute available to us than Microsoft or Google.”

“Zero percent.”

“In five years from now, nobody is using, going to use Conquer and Emacs. Nobody, by the way, nobody is going to use Salesforce.”

“We've prevented Russia from taking over Ukraine. We've prevented, we've basically shifted Europe onto American natural gas. We've destroyed Nord Stream. I think we're close to achieving our major objectives.”

“Their technology is not particularly innovative from the scientific point of view. It's very well engineered. So they put together, you know, large scale scaled up system with trained with very well curated data. I mean, they know what they're doing. But in te…”

“Almost every conspiracy theory that people had about Twitter turned out to be true. So far, they've all turned out to be true, and if not, more true than people thought.”

“And you could have avoided like a million dead. That million dead is on the FDA's head, like, because challenge trials could have been done, you know?”

“We believe today that truly disruptive technologically enabled innovation is priced in the global markets, public and private, at somewhere in the seven to eight trillion dollar range. So it's less than 10% of the global equity cap, public and private. We beli…”

“I was taken out with Travis because benchmark capital lost their nerve.”

“I got to this point where I was convinced that you know, David was not really interested in making Zenefits successful. And, you know, almost every decision he made at the company was wrong. You know, he the decisions he made from a product perspective, from a…”

“The prediction that I made Is basically that there will be a death tied to a large language model in the next year.”

“Like, I personally do believe that Lambda is sentient, but I think what everyone should stop and take notice of is even if I'm wrong about this particular system, We're not far off.”

“Natasha also has spoken to the lawyer that Lambda retained.”

“My view remains that it's an unforgivable assault on the country. And it was led by the former president who was inspired by him. And ultimately my view, which I think is coming out in this January six commission is that he kind of liked it and kind of liked w…”

“That conversation was the moment when I began to think that Lambda was sentient, and everything I did in the following months was me scientifically attempting to falsify that belief and utterly failing to, no matter what I threw at it passed.”

“No. Bitcoin is nonsense. It does not, there are so many ways to, you can choose to have a productive asset or a nonproductive asset. And then there are many assets that are naturally good hedges against inflation. The obvious of which is like Walmart and Amazo…”

“I think that American democracy is likely to fail catastrophically at some point in the next decade or two decades. It's very hard to predict the future, but I think we are, the way we're headed is a very, very bad direction.”

“They're too big to bail. So it's not too big to fail. They're too big to bail. They're so big. They're bigger, the Swiss government does not have the underwriting power to underwrite it, and I could see them failing and bringing down Switzerland with them, and…”

“Last year, as I was thinking through what are safe havens for cash, I was thinking of putting a lot of my cash in Swiss francs in Switzerland. And I did an analysis, and I realized, and I actually came to the conclusion that it's the opposite. I think Switzerl…”

“They're too big to bail. So it's not too big to fail. They're too big to bail. They're so big, the Swiss government does not have the underwriting power to underwrite it. And I could see them failing and bringing down Switzerland with them.”

“And I've been in the room with Zuckerberg. I've watched him fucking lie to the president of the United States about what they know internally versus, like, the claims he spouts out loud.”

“Nobody cares about what's happening to the weakers. Okay. You bring it up because you really care. The rest of us don't care. I'm just telling you a very hard, I'm telling you a very hard, ugly truth. Okay. Of all the things that I care about. Yes, it is below…”

“In fact, you know, in the book I write about how I thought it was a mistake for Twitter to take down some of this stuff about Hunter Biden or Facebook to do that. And I think that story was total hogwash. I think Joe Biden was unfairly attacked because of his …”

“In five years, no one, 90% of people will not play a game unless they are being properly valued for that time.”

“Zero and zero.”

“I've been in the room with Zuckerberg. I've watched him fucking lie to the President of the United States about what they know internally versus, like, the claims he spouts out loud.”

“Our military needs to have a plan to sabotage those chip factories, because we can't let them fall under the control of the CCP.”

“It's pretty clear that this was something that leaked out of that lab.”

“Yeah, it's even, even worse that we got a higher offer that we didn't take.”

“They said, well, yeah, we're gonna take the price of diapers to zero, and we're gonna, you know, and they made some analogies to some other, used explicit language, and it was pretty scary stuff.”

“Crypto is not just, you know, the next wall street. It's also the next Silicon Valley because decentralized social networks and so on are built there, but even less, obviously it's the next Yale law and Columbia school of journalism and Kennedy school of gover…”

“Bitcoin is an exploding asset class. It's really a, it's the greatest treasury reserve asset of our lifetimes, and it's the solution to every company's treasury problem.”

“The idea that somehow the most wrong thing was this allegation of collusion that we're somehow colluding with hedge funds that we have no business relationship with to somehow restrict buying of these stocks. Yeah, I think that was just wrong.”

“This wasn't, you know, a value judgment or some kind of moral stance and we weren't pressured into doing it by anything other than our regulatory deposit requirements.”

“This company was insolvent. They did not have the capital requirements to post the margin that was being asked of them by their partners.”

“Yes.”

“And McDonough says to me, Jake, the SIC is not a fan of investing in minority owned firms.”

“The startup ecosystem is actually, and I mean it half facetiously, a giant Ponzi scheme.”

“The Eurozone is going to collapse. Okay. Japan is finished.”

“In fact, I would suggest that most board members, just because they went to business school and joined a venture firm, are not qualified to advise an entrepreneur. They're not qualified to challenge an entrepreneur. They're not even qualified to help them judg…”

“And in my experience and several other people I know, we found an inverse relationship between the LPs who are very public about funding diverse managers and those who do so”

“I think, 90% of investors add no value. In my assessment, 70% of investors add negative value to a company.”

“And once you have an external entity, An algorithm that knows me better than I know myself. This is the real turning point. This is the point when individualism as we've known, it doesn't make any sense when democracy in the free market become completely obsol…”

“It takes five years to train a radiologist, and in five years, deep learning will get better results than a trained radiologist, so we should stop training them right now.”

“My guess is, however, that I think I don't actually believe that we're at the dawn of a new age. I actually believe that we're at the that that most of this 10 years back, 15 years, 15 years from now, it will look a lot like Pets.com.”

“What we did for this particular party, who spent way less on, feet on the street than the other party, we were monitoring every polling booth, every polling location in a certain number of states, And we were telling the ground team who showed up to vote and w…”