Gil: Heavy Regulation Would Stall Tech Momentum Like Biotech and Energy
“And the reason tech has been so successful so quickly and has had so much human impact is because it's been lightly regulated. And I think it's better to keep it that way than not, and we'll lose optimism, we'll lose momentum, we'll lose progress, and that's w…”
Wang: Academia is the primary source of innovation in biotech
“I still deeply believe that academic is the main source of innovation for the whole field, and particularly when it comes to biotech.”
Ivanka Trump reveals investments in AI, biotech, robotics, and space
“So whether it's incubating companies from for-profit to non-for-profit businesses investing in companies and founders that are really right at the edge of transformation, whether that be AI. Biotech, neurotech, robotics, ah, even space.”
Von Munch: Milestone-gated financing requires clear terminal value but unpriced intermediate steps
“I think the, there are two things that kind of have to be true for a structure like this to make sense. I think one of them is that you have to have Very high conviction in how the market will value this big end thing. Or not end thing, but like this big inter…”
Amodei: AI will drive a biotech renaissance curing many diseases
“I, I'm positive on, like, I think biotech is about to have a renaissance. Like, ultimately we'll be driven by AI. You know, I'm not going to name a particular company, but like you know, nor will I say whether I think it's better to bet on the big pharma compa…”
Al Olama: AI and Biotech Risks Demand Neutral Diplomatic Mediators
“Today, we can't afford to let the technologies that we're working on, whether it's biotech, whether it's AI whether it's technology that can cross borders today because of digital infrastructure that connects us, or the open borders that we have around the wor…”
Andreessen: AI Will Transform Both Healthcare Delivery and Drug Discovery
“Biotech, you know, biotech also bio and healthcare, I think are obviously going to be transformed by AI, both on the healthcare side and on the actual drug discovery side.”
Hershberg: Re-bundling biotech tools into integrated platforms is the primary opportunity
“I think that in biotech, we're in this sort of moment where there's a lot of opportunity in re-bundling. The types of platforms that I see that I'm super excited about Are this composite of incredible synthetic biology and genomics tools plus modeling you know…”
Wickramasekara: Recent years in biotech equal a dot-com level bust
“We're probably like the last couple of years are probably like the equivalent of like the dot com bust happening for biotech.”
Wickramasekara: Biology AI has powerful models but lacks a ChatGPT-like interface
“I think we're like, we've got GPT, but there's no chat. Like, that, that's kind of how I think about it. Like, I think the chat, and I mean chat metaphorically, like, that was the interface that made things really take off in, in software. And I don't think it…”
Ricks: Over half of approved drugs originate in biotech, but few finish
“While it's true that the origin of, I think it's a little more than half of medicines approved in the last 10 years have come from biotech, hardly any of those traveled all the way through biotech.”
Ricks: Lilly conducts early clinical trials faster and cheaper than any biotech
“There is no doubt in my mind. We are faster, more robust, probably cheaper than actually every biotech out there trying to do their own early phase clinical trials.”
Kothari: Biotech will be the top sector for AI-driven discoveries
“Literally one sector will discover the most things where AI will be useful, it's biotech.”
Barth: Dislocated biotech sector presents massive multi-asset investment opportunities
“One of the places where we see public, private, and credit incredibly dislocated, unloved, and where we think there's huge opportunity is biotech. It has been such a bubble through the pandemic where biotech and vaccines were going to solve everything, and now…”
Armstrong: High software margins mask mistakes unlike capital-intensive biotech
“In software, our margins are high, and it kind of covers up mistakes that we make, and we actually had revenue relatively early in our journey, whereas, in, like, in biotech, you have to invest in it for 10 years to try to get your first dollar revenue sometim…”
Filippenko: SaaS companies will probably not need venture capital in near future
“So like, it looks like in the nearest future, we probably will not need like VC firms for companies which operates as a SaaS or something similar where you do not need to investigate in in, like in hardware or in biotech or something like that.”
Akhund: I don't invest in biotech because founder claims are hard to evaluate
“I don't personally do bio because, you know, I speak to someone and they're like, we've cured cancer. And I speak to the next person and they're like, we've cured cancer. I'm like, I don't know.”
Lonsdale: Regulate virus-building biotech machines, not general AI
“I do a lot in biotech as well, and we have all these new machines that are able to like construct and build
Like, you know, chains of things and build viruses and stuff like they did in China.
Like maybe we should be regulating those.
Like I'm like, so against…”
Winarski: In five years, AI will yield vertical monopolies and novel cancer therapies
“Five years from now, we will, first of all, see major industries that have formed in each of these market verticals that are dominating those verticals. And we'll also have seen some incredible new science come out. Biotech with cancer treatments and discovery…”
Nadel: Forefront avoids biotech because it is capital-intensive and slow to revenue
“We don't invest in any biotech because it's very research and development heavy. So there's a lot of capital expense there, and it takes a long time before you start to see some revenue. So not exactly the most capital efficient type of company.”
Levie: US leads world in AI, biotech, transportation, and space
“Like we are leading in AI. We're leading in biotech. We're leading in transportation in, in most categories. We have the chance to lead in, in energy in most areas. We're leading in space. So you kind of look at all of these areas where we're clearly in front …”
Bank: Generalist public investors are at a clear disadvantage in biotech
“So biotech's another example where there's clearly in that marketplace an advantage to specialization. There aren't many like that in public markets where the generalists are clearly at a disadvantage to the specialists.”
Coogan: Sebastian Mallaby is very bullish on biotech as the next VC bubble
“I was asking him like, what do you think the next like big, like, you know, VC tech bubble will be, and he was very bullish on biotech. He wants to like write, write the next book on like the flagship pioneering model.”
Lonsdale: FTC Chair Lina Khan's aggressive enforcement is preventing biotech cures
“In my experience, there's been things in biotech that are being really, like, hurt and set back, and things are not being cured because she's being so aggressive and blocking things.”
Regulators do not understand frontier technologies better than the developers
“And so whenever you, whenever you're engaging with a regulator, no matter if it's aviation or if it's biotech or some other thing, if you're really, really on the frontier, it means that, that the regulator doesn't necessarily understand the technology any bet…”
Gil: Biotech Is Brutal; Regrets Spending Years on a Biology PhD
“I got a PhD in biology, and I think biotech is a really tough place to work, right? As is academic biology. So, you know, arguably I got that wrong, and if I could get those, you know, four or five years back, I would kind of thing.”
Amherst CIO Johnson views public biotech as an interesting investment opportunity
“I think biotech is a really interesting place to be investing in the public markets right now.”
Guo: Specialized AI domains like robotics will be solved soon
“I am inclined to believe that, you know, a lot of these domains are going to be solved, and it's just a question of, like, picking the product path through.”
Guo: Financial AI Offers a More Linear Commercial Path Than Biotech AI
“The ability to operate on financial or accounting data with these models seems like a very A very useful commercial capability and actually perhaps much more tenable and like a sort of linear path to commercial value than some of the things that we're describi…”
Marshall: Slow deal volume will strain firm management in venture and biotech
“I think we're going to start seeing this in venture and bio right now, and maybe real estate where deal volume is slow. What are they doing all day? How do you manage that as the managing partner? You're going to start seeing that.”
Thacker: Rice avoids biotech investing without internal scientific expertise
“It's one of the reasons we don't do much in biotech because we have not managed to hire that onto our team, and the more time I spend on it, the more convinced I am that without that knowledge, I just don't believe that we can be successful choosing managers i…”
Kuruvilla: Much of biotech makes minor drug tweaks to charge $300k
“Okay, so a lot of biotech, unfortunately, is based on taking something that's already out there and tweaking it very, very slightly, changing a few atoms here and there in order to get a patent worth 20 years of life, and then going to market there with an inc…”
Miranda: Focused biotech and China equity funds carry excessive non-beta risk
“We learned that there's a lot of risk other than equity beta in these portfolios, ok? China, there's geopolitical risk, and Biotech, there's basic regulatory risk, small company size risk, unprofitable or profit tomorrow company risk, and all of those are risk…”
Dunn: Holden avoids biotech and pharma investments due to lack of expertise
“So we don't have any investments in biotech or pharma or anything like that simply because we don't have a knowledge or understanding where we are confident we can make that investment for our clients.”
Calacanis: US will win in chips, material science, batteries, biotech
“We're probably gonna win chips, and we're gonna probably win material science and batteries, and we're obviously gonna win biotech.”
Gil: No major drug-developing biotech founded since late 1980s hit $30B-$50B
“The last time a biotech company hit, I don't know what it is, 3040, fifty billion dollars in market cap, something like that. The last year such a thing was founded was in the late eighties. So it's been at this point, what is that? 35, 40 years without a new …”
Wong: Long-term biotech investing struggles within non-specialized firms
“I mean, honestly, I think biotech, especially the way we, that I've always done it, which is longer term oriented, is difficult to fit in any larger firm that's not focused only on healthcare.”
Wong: RTW applies value investing frameworks to binary biotech development
“We're fundamentally value oriented and we are looking for asymmetric risk reward. The trick is that you have to overlay that we live in a probabilistic business or one that's binary.”
Wong: Extreme outliers in biotech management quality are exceedingly rare
“I put things in three basic buckets. Low percentage of the time management that is so stellar. That you think they can take a very marginal product, right? They can sell ice to an Eskimo, and there's drugs like that. And they can find a way to get it across th…”
Friedberg: Half of public biotech companies trade below cash
“And that's why half of biotechs that are public are trading below cash.”
Shkreli: Biotech investing teaches operations far better than tech investing
“In biotech, you can actually like learn to pick up most of the operating stuff from being an investor. Whereas I think in tech, like, you know, being an investor in a software company certainly doesn't make you a programmer.”
Steve Pagliuca's Venture Strategy Focuses on Biotech, AI, and Space Tech
“I'll always be affiliated in some way with Bain Capital, helping Bain Capital. I'm going to continue to build the sports group, which I love, and then continue to invest in these areas like biotech and artificial intelligence and space on a venture basis.”
Makena redirected rebalancing capital into biotech instead of emerging markets
“When I think of how do all of those compete with each other, it's not going to be emerging markets that gets my, say, redeployment, rebalancing dollars. We just actually put more money to work in biotech.”
Gimenez: More biotechs will commercialize drugs independently instead of selling
“I would say my sort of falsifiable prediction would be that we're going to start seeing more and more biotechs make drugs that they try to commercialize themselves as opposed to selling to pharma to do the commercialization.”
Lenehan: Biotech and Software Were Probably Way Oversold in Early 2022
“The market went from being heavy risk on to heavy risk off in those particular sectors, and probably was way overbought, and now it's probably way oversold.”
Oak HC/FT refuses to invest directly in FDA-risk biotech
“In terms of directly investing into biotech and life sciences companies that take FDA risk, we won't do that.”
Lipman: Biotech investment remains predominantly concentrated in pharma
“The majority of kind of applications and investment in biotech broadly is still related to pharma.”
Ari Lipman: Low-value commodities present severe market entry hurdles for biotech
“If you're making something that's super low value it's pretty hard to break into a new market.”
Chamath: He and Friedberg are currently witnessing an active biotech fraud
“There's a fraud in biotech going on right now that David and I saw up front.”
David Friedberg predicts a massive biotech gold rush into cellular reprogramming
“My biggest anticipated trend for 2022 is gonna be a gold rush in biotech into what I think will become the cover story on magazines throughout the year that humans have discovered the fountain of youth.”
Hillenmeyer: Female investor representation in biotech is strong and growing
“I actually see a lot of women investors on the biotech side. I think less on the tech side, but I think the numbers are great and growing.”
Casdin: Biotechs no longer need big pharma to commercialize drugs
“Investors like me are saying, don't sell yourself. Don't partner. You don't need them. I'll give you the money. Go at it alone. Build out commercial. Become your own standalone company, and many, many more are going that path, and I think that they don't need …”
Casdin: Biotech companies go public faster than tech due to capital needs
“There is a IPO, time to public market, that has been far shorter than what the tech industry has experienced, Because unlike the tech industry, these companies' product development cycles are seven to 10 years, and they need capital, and so the public markets …”
Deven Parekh predicts life sciences will see Moore's Law-style compounding growth
“And you can think about a category that I think is going to have the same type of growth over the next 10 to 20 years and has had the same type, if not more, Moore's law effects. It's life sciences, biotech, pharma.”
Perold: Biotech represents one-seventh of US public companies but only $600B market cap
“At its highest level, you have today some 600 public companies in this country, about out of 4000 total public companies, so it's about a seventh of all public companies in this country are in biotech per se. They small caps, so the total caps about six hundre…”
Chamath: CAR-T and CRISPR are setting up a biotech renaissance
“We are seeing now improvements in delivery mechanisms like Carti, in implementation mechanisms like CRISPR, and all of these things set us up, I think, for a renaissance in biotech”
Biotech investing requires significantly deeper technical expertise than software venture capital
“Unlike investing in enterprise software or consumer investing, the depth of knowledge needed to invest in the area is extremely, extremely deep and usually involves a PhD in some one of the areas that you're gonna invest in, in bioengineering or biotech.”
Venture firms can spend $1 million solely on diligence for biotech deals
“It's not unheard of to spend a million dollars on a deal and a large deal just on diligence.”
Rice: China coordinates government, industry, and academia to advance AI
“The Chinese, as you all know, are using all elements of their capacity, government, The private sector, academia, in complete unison to advance their capacities, whether in biotech, or AI, or you name it.”
Nate Chang: Most biotech acquisitions target late-stage or commercial companies
“I think most acquisitions that you see in, in biotech are late stage to marketed
stage companies, so they are, I think pharma companies are still very conservative in terms of making big bets on early stage platforms for acquisition.”