Moon

other on 36 shows · 41 statements across 27 episodes · said 695 times in 255 episodes since 2016

TBPN 173 the a16z Podcast 93 All-In 87 How I Built This 71 Sourcery 57 American Optimist 47 Innovators & Investors 16 the Knowledge Project 16 20VC 16 My First Million 14 the Y Combinator Startup Podcast 11 the Startup Ideas Podcast 9 A Product Market Fit Show 9 Top Founders 8 Latent Space 7 the Neon Show 7 Capital Allocators 7 Founder's Journal 5 BigDeal 5 the MAD Podcast 5 the Pitch 4 We Live to Build 4 Big Technology 4 Invest Like the Best 3 the Green Blueprint 3 Acquired 2 In Depth 2 Founders 2 Catalyst 2 Another Podcast 1 Startups For the Rest of Us 1 Cheeky Pint 1 David Senra 1 No Priors 1 the Official SaaStr Podcast 1 More or Less

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TBPN 173the a16z Podcast 93All-In 87How I Built This 71Sourcery 57American Optimist 4720VC 16the Knowledge Project 1627 more shows

2026 255 mentions in 57 episodes 4 per episode
2025 161 mentions in 76 episodes 2 per episode
2024 84 mentions in 39 episodes 2 per episode
2023 108 mentions in 30 episodes 4 per episode
2022 24 mentions in 12 episodes 2 per episode
2021 11 mentions in 7 episodes 2 per episode
2020 8 mentions in 6 episodes 1 per episode
2019 21 mentions in 16 episodes 1 per episode
2018 11 mentions in 6 episodes 2 per episode
2017 8 mentions in 3 episodes 3 per episode
2016 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode

every mention on every show, scene by scene, with the transcript →

41 statements about Moon, every show

SOURCERY Disclosure
Beck: Rocket Lab avoids leading lunar missions due to US political whiplash
“Where we play in the moon stuff is, we provide a lot of components and systems to other folks doing the moon stuff, and that's mainly because there's a bit of whiplash there, like, America's going to the moon, no, no, no, now we're going to Mars, now we're goi…”
Sir Peter Beck Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 22:31 RKLB Factory Tour: Satellites, Spacecraft & Mission Control
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Kratsios: US will return to Moon and deploy space reactor by 2028
“We're going to have American boots back on the moon in 28. We said we're going to have a nuclear reactor in space by 28. We're going to have the first elements of a moon base by twenty-thirty. These are like big, bold bets that take a decade to accomplish, and…”
Michael Kratsios Aug 24, 2026 ▶ 23:32 Inside Trump's Science Agenda: Anti-Science Claims, Fauci's Damage, DEI & China w/ Michael Kratsios
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: SpaceX Could Become the British East India Company of Space
“If SpaceX puts a city on, on the moon and then Mars, and enables, you know, becomes the British East City Company, the solar system, I think this will, those, there's a lot of hard engineering that needs to happen to go into all that. This will probably be the…”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 28:59 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Supported
Nolan: NASA aims to achieve nuclear-driven space propulsion by 2028
“I think they're aiming for space ion nuclear-driven space propulsion by twenty-twenty-eight. And then they're talking about reactors on, on the moon's surface to, you know, create heat and power things.”
Scott Nolan Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 36:41 SpaceX’s Secret, Nuclear's Rebirth, and the AI Power Crisis · Joe Lonsdale
SOURCERY Opinion
Mueller argues the Moon is more important than Mars near-term
“I think the moon is more important than Mars in the near term, and I think the same thing I was talking about earlier, using the resources of space to offload the crush of resource on Earth.”
Tom Mueller Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 42:51 Tom Mueller: SpaceX's #1 Employee Built the Merlin Engine. Now He's Building Impulse Space · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Lessin: Musk and SpaceX have pivoted focus to the Moon
“He has. Yes, they pivoted to the moon.”
Jessica Lessin Apr 17, 2026 ▶ 24:32 Allbirds Pivoted to AI Data Centers | SpaceX $1.5T IPO, Anthropic $800B, $175M Seed Rounds
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Shipping goods from the Moon will cost less than terrestrial freight
“It will cost less to move goods, manufactured goods, processed ore precious metals from the Moon to a specific point on Earth. It will cost less to do that than to ship it using any other terrestrial conventional method, whether that's a boat, an airplane, or …”
David Friedberg Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 8:30 SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Moon represents a $15T to $30T annual economic opportunity
“I actually think there's probably a 15 to 30 trillion dollar a year Economic opportunity on the moon.”
David Friedberg Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 36:27 Anthropic's Generational Run, OpenAI Panics, AI Moats, Meta Loses Major Lawsuits
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2046
Coogan: An operational lunar mass driver is 15 to 20 years away
“I put the over under at like, 15 to 20 years, which is about as aggressive as I could get.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 13:33 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Coogan: Routine SpaceX Starship lunar cargo flights are 3-5 years away
“Starship needs to be refueling in orbit, landing on the moon with and without crews, because you're probably going to need some humans up there, some robots and we need to start routine cargo flights to the moon. So this is straight up like three to five years…”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 14:10 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
TBPN Assertion Supported
Coogan: Lunar escape velocity makes mass launches far more energy efficient
“You gotta be going 5000 miles an hour to escape the moon's gravity well, You have to be going 25,000 miles per hour to escape Earths. So, from an efficiency, an energy efficiency standpoint, it's much better to leave from the Moon than to leave from Earth.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 13:11 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2041
Coogan predicts building a lunar mass driver will take 15-20 years
“I put the over under at like 15 to 20 years, which is about as aggressive as I could get.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 19:30 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Coogan predicts routine Starship lunar cargo flights are 3-5 years away
“Starship needs to be refueling in orbit, landing on the moon with and without crews, because you're probably going to need some humans up there, some robots and we need to start routine cargo flights to the moon. So this is straight up, like, three to five yea…”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 20:10 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2056
Cosgrove predicts an operational lunar mass driver within 30 years
“I changed, I'm going 30.”
Tyler Cosgrove Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 30:20 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Isaacman: NASA will return to Moon before Trump's term ends in 2028
“We're going to return to the moon before end of President Trump's term. We're going to build a moon base so we can stay.”
Jared Isaacman Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 15:31 Why this Billionaire Just Took Over NASA · Joe Lonsdale
Isaacman: NASA's immediate lunar priority is harvesting water ice
“The immediate priority is we want the ice. That's how we can do in situ research.”
Jared Isaacman Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 19:10 Why this Billionaire Just Took Over NASA · Joe Lonsdale
TBPN Disclosure
Bezos: Blue Origin will move heaven and earth to reach the Moon first
“If asked, we will step up, and we will move heaven and earth to get to the moon first.”
Jeff Bezos Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 21:54 The AI lab market map, Robinhood brings startups to retail, GLPs & hedge funds | Diet TBPN
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Maguire: SpaceX IPO wealth will not degrade employee culture or motivation
“I don't, I think that in most companies, it's kind of destroyed the culture. I don't think that's going to be the case at SpaceX because SpaceX is such a mission-oriented company, and as I was saying before, the next five years and then five years after that h…”
Shaun Maguire Jan 28, 2026 ▶ 36:20 Elon Musk & The SpaceX IPO: Largest Wealth Event in History? | Shaun Maguire, Sequoia · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Insight
Luckey: Moon Is Ideal for Phased Arrays and Electronic Warfare
“The Moon would be a great place for large phased array, like phased arrays, large antenna fields that can do a variety of electronic warfare schemes, radar tracking schemes”
Palmer Luckey Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 12:10 Palmer Luckey on UFOs, Anduril, Invisibility Tech, & Moon Wars · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: Lunar Warfare Will Be Swift and Catastrophic for Everyone
“Warfare on the moon is probably going to be decisive, and swift, and catastrophic for everybody involved, until we get much, much, much better at building Building space technology.”
Palmer Luckey Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 13:42 Palmer Luckey on UFOs, Anduril, Invisibility Tech, & Moon Wars · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
GREEN BLUEPRINT Assertion Supported
Boston Metal's core electrolysis process was originally designed for the moon
“They wanted to run this process in the moon.”
Tadeu Carneiro Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 5:36 Boston Metal’s path to carbon-free steel
CHEEKY PINT Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Handmer predicts China will beat the United States to the Moon
“Relax the outer space treaty in 2017 with the outer space, so the Artemis Accords, so we can go and kind of make a land grab on the moon, and then it turns out China's going to get there first.”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 1:14:22 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dan Wang: China will reach moon by 2030 while US may fail
“I think there's a pretty strong sense now that China will get to the moon by the end of the 20 twenties, and America might not be able to get back to the moon.”
Dan Wang Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 13:30 China vs America: The Battle for Global Dominance Explained | Dan Wang interview · Invest Like The Best
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Hays predicts China will beat NASA to the Moon this decade
“So it's now probable that China will quote unquote beat NASA back to the moon this decade and win at least the initial heat of this new space race.”
Jordi Hays Aug 23, 2025 ▶ 31:44 Weekly Recap: Mark Cuban, Kanye’s Wild Mansion Makeover, China Heads to the Moon, Money in Clipping
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Isaacman: US spent over $100B over 35 years planning Moon return
“For 35 years, we said, we're going back and we spent over a hundred billion of taxpayer dollars saying we were going to do it.”
Jared Isaacman Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 39:56 Jared Isaacman: What went wrong at NASA | The All-In Interview
TBPN Assertion Supported
Asparouhov: Only a handful of lunar craters are known to contain ice
“And there's only a handful of clater craters on the moon today that are clearly known to have lunar ice.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 20:54 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: US can put boots on the Moon during Trump presidency
“Like, I actually think with a concerted concentrated effort, I think we can get boots on the moon again before, you know, Trump is out of office.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 22:51 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: 98% chance private citizens reach the Moon in 40 years
“If you extend that to 40 years, I would put like P moon at like 98%.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 24:55 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gedmark: First nation to reach lunar south pole ice will own it
“And whoever gets there first and really decides we're going to actually We're not just going to plant a flag. We're going to apply. We're going to put down a fence base and we're going to say this is our lunar property. Like whoever does at first they there's,…”
John Gedmark Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 28:24 Why the Moon Matters More Than Ever | John Gedmark on TBPN
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Woody Hoburg demonstrates Earth-Moon scale using a basketball and tennis ball
“It's a convenient quirk of the scale of the objects in our solar system that if you make the earth a basketball, this is the earth, then the moon is a tennis ball. So in this scale, it's 24 feet.”
Woody Hoburg Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 11:14 Inside the All-In Summit: Behind the Scenes of the World's Greatest Conference 🚀
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: Humans Raised on the Moon Probably Cannot Survive on Earth
“If you like grow up on the moon, you probably just like can't come to earth because literally just your entire body system will just collapse because it has just not been built around a full one G.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 4:57 Inside Varda’s Space Factory | Delian Asparouhov, Founders Fund & Varda · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Partly supported
Altemus: US declared Moon strategic interest in 2018 to counter China
“Where it turned, Guy, was in 2018 the National Security Council and the National Space Council declared that the moon was now of strategic interest. China was coming on strong, and the U.S. Needed to set the norms and behaviors of how we live in space. And wor…”
Steve Altemus Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 7:27 Shooting for the moon with Steve Altemus of Intuitive Machines
Altemus: Lunar mining can become a commercial alternative to terrestrial strip-mining
“At the rate that we consume rare earth minerals and materials, we now have pristine areas that would have to be strip mined to find the last bastion of materials that we're looking for. We don't want to do that. We don't want to destroy our earth. So if there'…”
Steve Altemus Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 15:11 Shooting for the moon with Steve Altemus of Intuitive Machines
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Supported
Altemus: Only India and China have successfully landed on the Moon recently
“The very recent history, it's only been India and China. India being the latest and the, and you saw the recent Russian mission to the moon failed on the way.”
Steve Altemus Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 15:53 Shooting for the moon with Steve Altemus of Intuitive Machines
Altemus: Intuitive Machines charges roughly $1M per kilogram for lunar payloads
“We can charge roughly a million dollars a kilogram to take those payloads to the moon, whether that's a government payload or commercial payload. So if you can do that, that's roughly a hundred million dollars plus of revenue that you can generate with each mi…”
Steve Altemus Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 21:44 Shooting for the moon with Steve Altemus of Intuitive Machines
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Supported
Altemus: Artemis Accords permit commercial companies to own lunar samples
“So if you land on the moon, you can bring back samples and own those samples per the Artemis Accords. It's not where they belong to the sovereign governments. They can belong to commercial companies.”
Steve Altemus Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 24:05 Shooting for the moon with Steve Altemus of Intuitive Machines
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Supported
Altemus: Lunar landings establish heritage site coordination, not land ownership
“You land, you own what they call a heritage site. And that means other countries or other companies that want to fly near you, if you're declared as a heritage site, need to coordinate with you before they land and damage any of the equipment that you have the…”
Steve Altemus Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 24:50 Shooting for the moon with Steve Altemus of Intuitive Machines
HOW I BUILT THIS Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Altemus: Humans will not return to the Moon until 2030
“And so I think it's twenty-thirty before we see boots on the moon.”
Steve Altemus Dec 21, 2023 ▶ 33:08 Shooting for the moon with Steve Altemus of Intuitive Machines
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gedmark: Future lunar bases will require a dedicated GPS system for navigation
“The moon will need its own GPS system. You're on the lunar surface. You want to know where you are. Same thing as on the earth. You want to be able to just pull up, you know Google maps, navigate back to your lunar base, right? And then have that have that pos…”
John Gedmark Oct 6, 2023 ▶ 34:54 The Evolution of the Satellite Economy
FOUNDER'S JOURNAL Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2033
Ankur Jain: Commercial Moon mining and transport will occur in 5-10 years
“Now what we're doing with Moon Express is saying, how do you create the last mile solution to get, you know, whether it's satellites positioned or whether it's, you know, going to the moon and actually mining the moon for, you know, helium three or platinum an…”
Ankur Jain Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 8:58 How This Founder Wants to Reward You for Paying Rent
ALL-IN Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Musk: Starlink revenue will enable a permanent moon base
“The revenue generated from Starlink is what can enable the of a permanently crewed base on the moon, which will be the next, you know, next step from Apollo”
Elon Musk May 16, 2022 ▶ 43:51 Elon Musk: Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories & more

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