Moon

also referred to as: the moon

13 statements across 7 episodes · 8 bullish · 0 bearish · 7 people on the record · first statement Apr 26, 2025 by John Gedmark · said 173 times in 47 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by John Coogan (103), Tyler Cosgrove (8), Delian Asparouhov (5), Jordi Hays (3), Gwynne Shotwell (3), Gavin Baker (2), Turner Novak (1), Shane Arnott (1)

tap a year for its mentions
00751315025202420252026episodesmentions
01325202420252026episodes it came up in
00413825202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 104 mentions in 15 episodes 7 per episode
2025 49 mentions in 24 episodes 2 per episode
2024 20 mentions in 8 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Moon, oldest first

Apr 26, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gedmark: First nation to reach lunar south pole ice will own it
“And whoever gets there first and really decides we're going to actually We're not just going to plant a flag. We're going to apply. We're going to put down a fence base and we're going to say this is our lunar property. Like whoever does at first they there's,…”
John Gedmark Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 28:24 Why the Moon Matters More Than Ever | John Gedmark on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: US can put boots on the Moon during Trump presidency
“Like, I actually think with a concerted concentrated effort, I think we can get boots on the moon again before, you know, Trump is out of office.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 22:51 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: 98% chance private citizens reach the Moon in 40 years
“If you extend that to 40 years, I would put like P moon at like 98%.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 24:55 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
Apr 28, 2025
Assertion Supported
Asparouhov: Only a handful of lunar craters are known to contain ice
“And there's only a handful of clater craters on the moon today that are clearly known to have lunar ice.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 20:54 The Risk of Losing the Moon to China | Delian Asparouhov on TBPN
Aug 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Hays predicts China will beat NASA to the Moon this decade
“So it's now probable that China will quote unquote beat NASA back to the moon this decade and win at least the initial heat of this new space race.”
Jordi Hays Aug 23, 2025 ▶ 31:44 Weekly Recap: Mark Cuban, Kanye’s Wild Mansion Makeover, China Heads to the Moon, Money in Clipping
Feb 19, 2026 bullish
Disclosure
Bezos: Blue Origin will move heaven and earth to reach the Moon first
“If asked, we will step up, and we will move heaven and earth to get to the moon first.”
Jeff Bezos Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 21:54 The AI lab market map, Robinhood brings startups to retail, GLPs & hedge funds | Diet TBPN
Mar 23, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2041
Coogan predicts building a lunar mass driver will take 15-20 years
“I put the over under at like 15 to 20 years, which is about as aggressive as I could get.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 19:30 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
Mar 23, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Coogan predicts routine Starship lunar cargo flights are 3-5 years away
“Starship needs to be refueling in orbit, landing on the moon with and without crews, because you're probably going to need some humans up there, some robots and we need to start routine cargo flights to the moon. So this is straight up, like, three to five yea…”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 20:10 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
Mar 23, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Lunar escape velocity makes mass launches far more energy efficient
“You gotta be going 5000 miles an hour to escape the moon's gravity well, You have to be going 25,000 miles per hour to escape Earths. So, from an efficiency, an energy efficiency standpoint, it's much better to leave from the Moon than to leave from Earth.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 13:11 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
Mar 23, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2056
Cosgrove predicts an operational lunar mass driver within 30 years
“I changed, I'm going 30.”
Tyler Cosgrove Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 30:20 Elon's Moon Mass Driver: Here's How He'll Do It
Mar 23, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Coogan: Routine SpaceX Starship lunar cargo flights are 3-5 years away
“Starship needs to be refueling in orbit, landing on the moon with and without crews, because you're probably going to need some humans up there, some robots and we need to start routine cargo flights to the moon. So this is straight up like three to five years…”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 14:10 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
Mar 23, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2046
Coogan: An operational lunar mass driver is 15 to 20 years away
“I put the over under at like, 15 to 20 years, which is about as aggressive as I could get.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 13:33 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
Jun 15, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: SpaceX Could Become the British East India Company of Space
“If SpaceX puts a city on, on the moon and then Mars, and enables, you know, becomes the British East City Company, the solar system, I think this will, those, there's a lot of hard engineering that needs to happen to go into all that. This will probably be the…”
Gavin Baker Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 28:59 Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 500 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.