Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Arnott: A water-based conflict with China in the Asia-Pacific is coming
“So the Asia Pacific fight with China, clearly that's a water-based conflict that's coming.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arnott: Anduril can build thousands of Copperhead systems yearly vs legacy 100-200
“We can also build them at thousands per year, whereas kind of right now, you may be lucky to get a 102 hundred torpedoes out of a supply chain as it exists today.”
Insight
Arnott: Submarine Hardware Is Easy, Communication and Approval Chains Are Hard
“I think everyone can build, you know, a sub, a submarine, autonomous submarine. That's not difficult. Having it survive, communicate, act, still be on a stream from a human, particularly when you're taking kinetic action. To make sure all the approvals are don…”
Assertion Supported
Arnott: Over 90% of internet traffic runs on unprotected subsea cables
“80%, oh sorry, 90% plus of internet traffic. So this particular podcast would be running across subsea cables. Many nations have their gas lights under the waves. These are broadly unprotected, unwatched right now.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Arnott: Anduril's square underwater vehicles fly faster and more stably
“The guys did the numbers and interestingly for what we're doing, it's actually faster. So given we've got the software magic to fly these things, It actually flies more stable and quicker for the application that we want.”
Opinion
Arnott: Subsurface Is the Hardest Operational Domain for Autonomy
“So underwater is the worst domain. So comms suck. There's no GPS, all the things that you rely on for an autonomous system. So we've, it is the masterclass for autonomy. So not space, not air, not surface, not land. It is subsurface. It's the most difficult ro…”
Disclosure
Arnott: Anduril launches Seabed Sentry and Copperhead maritime defense systems
“Two brand new products, seabed century,
Copyhead going public today.”
Disclosure
Arnott: Anduril targets Seabed Sentry at energy infrastructure and defense
“No, we definitely see it as dual use, like anyone who's got energy infrastructure.”
Assertion Supported
Arnott: Anduril's Seabed Sentry is completely wireless and fully electric
“One of the key things I will, ah, lay out is this is a cableless system. So it's completely wireless. So all the systems, as you guys probably know, a Cold War era, you need big cable laying ships to put these, ah, systems on the sea floor, ah, almost impossib…”
Assertion Supported
Arnott: Anduril's Dive-XL can carry dozens of Copperheads and Seabed Sentries
“Within the dive XL, which is our big
Underwater submarine or autonomous submarine, I should say, we can put dozens of copperheads in.
We can put a dozen seabed sentries.”
Disclosure
Arnott: Anduril engineers scuba dive to troubleshoot maritime prototypes
“Part of the dev process is things go wrong, so I'm a scuba diver so when things go wrong, I'll stick the tanks on and jump in as will the team, so, I mean, it's the iterative process”
