The Ledger

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why aren't all 2,923 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Microsoft screws channel partners by cutting renewal commissions to 5%
“Microsoft screws their channel program partners. What do they do? They give them a nice 30% commission on the first year, and a nice five percent commission on the second year when the customer renews.”
Dror Liwer May 28, 2024 ▶ 22:45 Coro Announces $100m Live on the Show, Their Partnership Playbook
Assertion Contradicted
Martin: Bootstrapped SaaS Grows 6.7% Faster Than VC-Backed Past $10M ARR
“Another statistic that I saw was SaaS median growth rate over ten million ARR is 24%, so growth goes down obviously a little bit as you're scaling the organization. However, if you split out venture-backed companies, Bootstrapped actually grows 6.7% faster Tha…”
Liam Martin May 16, 2024 ▶ 1:47 13 Lessons I Learned Bootstrapping to $20m in Revenues
Assertion Supported
Lunawat: Large PE Funds Do Not Dominate U.S. Residential Market
“Even then, if you look at like the total volume of residential sales across the U S that's still a fraction of the total market. So to say that, you know, larger state private equity funds are kind of dominating the U S home residential market, I think would b…”
Kunal Lunawat Aug 3, 2021 ▶ 6:49 $500k Consulting to $45m Prop Tech VC Fund
Assertion Contradicted
Lynn: Majority of created art has outperformed the S&P 500
“At least for the majority of art created, it's outperformed the S&P.”
Scott Lynn Jun 17, 2020 ▶ 2:59 Masterworks: SaaS Wealth Going Into Picasso Paintings, 20x Returns?
Assertion Supported
Santens: One week of Fed liquidity could fund a $2,000 monthly UBI
“We could actually be paying for a 2000 dollar a month fully universal basic income for the amount of money that the, in, in, in the Fed is doing in one week.”
Scott Santens May 20, 2020 ▶ 24:53 Scott Santens on UBI vs Stimulus Checks
Assertion Contradicted
Jonathan Herzog claims SEO disinformation generated 100,000 false headlines post-launch
“Immediately thereafter, a targeted Systematic disinformation campaign was launched, where if you Google my name, Jonathan Herzog, on a computer and hit the news tab, you will see 100,000 of false headlines improperly indexed through SEO manipulation to myself,…”
Jonathan Herzog May 18, 2020 ▶ 25:27 Jonathan Herzog: His Plan To Get 30k Votes to Beat Jerry Nadler for NY Congressional Seat, YangGang Strategy and Freedom Dividend
Assertion Supported
Gertler: ShareRoot IPO'd at $10.5M USD valuation on $700 MRR
“We went public in the early days of January of 2016, so two and a half years ago. What was our MRR at the time? MRR was at about 700 dollars when we went public. Market cap at the time was thirteen million Australian. Let's just, for simplicity purposes, call …”
Noah Abelson Gertler Mar 27, 2019 ▶ 15:12 1341 Reverse merger on australia stock exhange
Assertion Contradicted
Michael Litt claims Box artificially lowers CAC by filing hosting under COGS
“Historically, actually, and this may be an interesting backtrack is, is Box, right? When they host someone's files for free, right? In my opinion, that's a customer acquisition cost because you're paying for that content, but you know, they file that away as a…”
Michael Litt Sep 11, 2016 ▶ 13:59 EP 414: $70M Raised, $30k ACV, SaaS Success VidYard
Assertion Contradicted
Rampton: Pixloo patent covered 360-degree photos and was widely infringed
“Yeah, so there was a technology, primarily we owned a patent. Or, I mean, that was probably our biggest asset was we owned a patent where if you take a camera and spin it 360 degrees. We own that patent. So pretty much. Yeah. Any photographer in the world has …”
John Rampton Jun 6, 2016 ▶ 12:08 My Goal is To Put Them Out of Business (Paypal, Venmo). Will He Win? EP 262: John Rampton
Assertion Supported
Public liquid asset returns often match or beat venture capital
“There's all kinds of academic studies that the returns are that are very comparable to the private equity venture in many cases, even better.”
John Bowen Jun 5, 2016 ▶ 13:18 EP 316: He's The Secret Financial Consultant to Silicon Valleys Wealthiest
Assertion Supported
McKeefery and his wife retained 100% equity in Reviews.io until sale
“100%, yeah. I had this, you know, I, there was a few people in the company who would help me along the way, and they got really big earn outs, but it was only really from me saying, hey, I want to make sure you get a big earn out out of this rather than it bei…”
Callum McKeefery Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 2:40 Bootstrapped to $82M: How Callum Mckeefery Built Reviews.io from His Kitchen Table
Assertion Partly supported
Singh: Median Public Software Stock Down 21% Since 2018
“The median software company that's public is down 21% over the last six years, from 2018 to now.”
Savneet Singh Jan 14, 2025 ▶ 1:40 NYSE: PAR CEO Savneet Singh Shares How He Great from $200m/yr to $400m/yr
Assertion Contradicted
Novoselsky: 65% of B2B Searches Start on Social, Not Google
“Here's the stat that's really alarming, is 65% of the B to B search starts on social, not on Google.”
Irina Novoselsky Oct 10, 2024 ▶ 7:30 Hootsuite Approaching $400m in Revenue by Throwing out the SaaS Playbook with CEO Irina Novoselsky
Assertion Supported
Founders can multiply $10M QSBS exemptions using multiple irrevocable trusts
“And so for federal taxes, if you want to save more money on federal taxes, what you do is you create a revocable trust and you gift your shares to your children or to your spouse or to your relative, your brother. And each of those trusts that you create gets …”
Alessandro Chesseri Aug 22, 2024 ▶ 11:19 The Revocable Living Trust Cheat Code for SaaS Founders (Save millions on taxeS)
Assertion Supported
SMB SaaS spending growth surpassed enterprise growth in late 2023
“The interesting thing happened Q-three last year. So, around Web Summit last year, we gave a State of the Union on, on SaaS. And we said, it's interesting. The small buyers come back. The small buyers started outperforming the big buyers for the first time in …”
Brad van Leeuwen May 23, 2024 ▶ 10:23 How to 3x your revenue with 3 simple pricing changes
Assertion Partly supported
Donovan: Rule of 40 had zero correlation with SaaS multiples before Q2 2022
“So if you just use rule of 40 where you composite, you smoosh growth and efficiency together, until Q two of last year, there was actually no correlation. So, like, I would have called total BS on using rule of 40 by itself before Q two of last year. It just w…”
Jeremey Donovan May 4, 2023 ▶ 6:36 How We Help ScaleUps Measure Efficient Growth
Assertion Partly supported
Martin: Remote workers are on average 13% more productive than on-premise peers
“On average, remote workers are 13% more productive than their on premise counterparts.”
Liam Martin May 2, 2023 ▶ 6:46 How we bootstrapped to $20m ARR using asynchronous work
Assertion Supported
Carpel: Founders can use Founderpath debt to buy personal real estate
“Unlock the wealth, take the money, and put that into other things. Again, the S&P 500 a commercial building, buy a house for your mom, buy a house for yourself all permissible and all doable with this product.”
Ben Carpel Nov 15, 2022 ▶ 9:37 Founder Net worth Map: How to use your SaaS to cash out, diversify without losing control
Assertion Partly supported
EstateSpace secured $1M in SBA COVID relief despite mass layoffs
“COVID, it gave us almost a million dollars in free money, so We had a lot of people pre-COVID. We let them all go, but the way that they looked, the SBA looked at that was that, okay, they counted us for the 2018, 2019 time when we had a lot of employees, so w…”
Jonathan Fishbeck Oct 30, 2022 ▶ 11:29 How we bootstrapped to $1m in ARR using services, now high multiple SaaS
Assertion Supported
A top expense app's 'smart scanning' was secretly powered by offshore humans
“Or there's another company, a very popular expense company that allows employees to expense receipts. And they would have a feature called a smart scanning feature where you could take a picture of the receipt and then it would extract. But that wasn't a smart…”
Cody McLain Oct 17, 2022 ▶ 27:00 How I bootstrapped to $20m in 5 years (and 3 growth channels I used to hit first 100 customers)
Assertion Supported
BNPL Network Take Rates Fall Far Below 3% to 5%
“No, it's certainly not three to five percent, right? ... It's much less, right? If you look on the payment space, right? When a merchant is typically paying in the U S somewhere between 1.6 to A critical transaction, right? This cost would include the issuing …”
Medad Sharon May 23, 2022 ▶ 20:02 He's Processing $100m+ in GMV Run Rate Connecting Lenders like Affirm with Consumer Brands like Lenovo
Assertion Contradicted
Total India and SE Asia MarTech market is only $150M to $200M
“So the challenge for us is that the Indian market is actually quite small, even though the customer base is very large companies don't pay a lot of money yet. So the email market plus the martech business put together would probably be just about 150 odd milli…”
Rajesh Jain Apr 23, 2022 ▶ 9:33 $12m profits, Bootstrapped, $95m ARR out of India
Assertion Supported
Crashlytics intentionally broke developer builds to force viral team adoption
“And when a developer, sorry, when a developer started using it, they actually put it in their app and we broke their build in the nicest way possible so that every other engineer on their team would find out about Crashlytics and then start using it.”
Jeff Seibert Feb 10, 2022 ▶ 13:09 Digits Wants to Replace Quickbooks, $30m Raised, 4 years of Building Distribution, Launch is Next
Assertion Contradicted
Miles: Salad is the world's fourth largest supercomputer
“We're now the world's fourth largest supercomputer.”
Bob Miles Nov 26, 2021 ▶ 3:23 Gamers contribute GPU To this SaaS Marketplace Raising $15m at $70m Valuation with $5m in Revenue
Assertion Supported
Miles: Salad's compute costs one-fifth of AWS spot instances
“The cost of our compute is around one fifth, again, per teraflop per hour of an AWS spot instance.”
Bob Miles Nov 26, 2021 ▶ 5:18 Gamers contribute GPU To this SaaS Marketplace Raising $15m at $70m Valuation with $5m in Revenue
Assertion Contradicted
O'Shull: Derive is the only fleet software writing to vehicle ECUs
“And that's really the secret sauce in the enterprise fleet management space. Nobody's doing that. Everybody's reading from the ECU to do telematics and all that kind of stuff. Nobody is really writing back to it.”
John O'Shull Sep 5, 2021 ▶ 13:14 He Exited his CRM, Now Car Software Hits $40m Run Rate
Assertion Supported
Competitor think-cell generates over $100 million in annual revenue
“Sure let's say I had some other data points which reconfirmed my initial assumption, so I'm pretty confident that they're making over a hundred million a year, actually way over that.”
Tony Urban Jun 12, 2021 ▶ 13:18 DeckRobot Breaks $1m Revenue Helping You Create Slide Decks Faster
Assertion Supported
Berry: ConvertKit is far ahead of Mailchimp's eight-year growth curve
“When I look at the curve that I'm on with ConvertKit, and if, and the curve that MailChimp did, if we were to overlay those two, ConvertKit is far ahead. Like if we put the start date of the two of them, ConvertKit is far ahead on that curve than MailChimp was…”
Nathan Berry Apr 7, 2021 ▶ 22:20 ConvertKit's Shocking Growth to $25m Revenue, Power of Creator Economy
Assertion Contradicted
McKelvey: Apple kicked VeriFone out of Apple Stores after Square attack
“He ended up upsetting Apple, and Apple kicked them out of the Apple store.”
Jim McKelvey Apr 5, 2021 ▶ 30:22 Billionaire Co-Founder of Square Joins Latka
Assertion Supported
Crowley: A single commercial EV can earn $7,000 annually supporting grids
“And then the final one, which is the real secret sauce, is a vehicle can, you can get paid about 7000 bucks a year For the vehicle supporting the grid, just one vehicle.”
Norman Crowley Mar 29, 2021 ▶ 22:17 Manufacturing Plant Software Breaks $100m Revenue, Just $38m Raised
Assertion Partly supported
Jackson: One-Third of Uber Drivers Live at or Below Poverty Line
“Meanwhile, a third of all Uber drivers live at or below the poverty line.”
Adam Jackson Aug 24, 2020 ▶ 29:05 BrainTrust is Fiverr Owned by The Talent via Crypto Token
Assertion Supported
Roy: A 10% rise in gender equity drives 1-2% revenue growth
“We actually did research across 4000 companies in 29 countries, and what we found was that for every 10% increase in gender equity in companies, there's a one to two percent increase in revenue.”
Katika Roy Jul 1, 2020 ▶ 2:17 PipelineEquity Looking to Raise $4m with $1m in Revenues Helping Bring Gender Equality to Workplaces
Assertion Supported
Basic income trials show recipients invest in education and family care
“And there is literally no evidence to support that. All the evidence from all the basic income trials that have ever been run are that people like, wow, I can take better care of myself. I can invest in education. I can take better care of my family. Of my fri…”
Albert Wenger Jun 17, 2020 ▶ 47:29 Albert Wenger on Work After Capital
Assertion Supported
Latka: ClearBank Revenue Financing Carries an Effective APR of 24%
“So a deal from ClearBank is going to look something like one X your monthly revenues on a two month Term with an interest rate of two percent per month, right? I mean, and that's on the bottom side. That's a 24% APR essentially. That's expensive.”
Nathan Latka Jun 11, 2020 ▶ 14:49 Festival Version of ClassPass Targeting $500k Seed, 1000's of Consumers, 100's of Events
Assertion Supported
Santens: A $1,000 monthly UBI for US citizens costs $3 trillion gross
“So if you do that, and then if you're going to do a thousand dollars per month per person, and you're going to go to citizens in the United States, then it's a little over three trillion dollars. That's the gross cost.”
Scott Santens May 20, 2020 ▶ 43:55 Scott Santens on UBI vs Stimulus Checks
Assertion Supported
Sole Investor Graham Wood Currently Owns 100% of Shorthand
“No, he owns, so, so at the moment, he owns actually the whole company.”
Ricky Robinson May 3, 2019 ▶ 16:39 1378 250 Content Producers Pay Him $6k/yr For Storytelling Drag and Drop Platform
Assertion Supported
Salesforce churns 3% to 9% of annual revenue, estimates John Lee
“Salesforce is churning anywhere from three to nine percent of the revenue a year on a twelve billion dollar business.”
John Lee Nov 25, 2018 ▶ 17:50 1219 Will Prosperworks and it's 10,000 Paying Customers Win CRM Wars?
Assertion Supported
Osetek: Intermediaries Take 50% to 70% of Programmatic Ad Dollars
“So, you know, across the, what I call across the Luma scape, when you go from the brand all the way to the other end of the spectrum, the publisher, there's DSPs, SSPs, there's like six intermediaries involved, and they're all taking a cut where a couple of di…”
Alan Osetek Mar 24, 2018 ▶ 4:51 973 How Digilent is Competing in Changing Programmatic Ad Landscape, $40m in Volume over TTM
Assertion Supported
Lee: Litecoin launched with zero pre-mine or founder token allocation
“Well, I created Litecoin, but I didn't, like, pre-mine coins. I didn't create coins for myself, right? I had to mine the Litecoins or buy the Litecoins off exchange just like anyone else.”
Charlie Lee Mar 2, 2018 ▶ 14:18 951 How He Created LiteCoin, the Silver to Bitcoin Gold
Assertion Supported
Kwon: Tendermint Secures Distributed Ledgers Without Energy-Intensive Mining
“Tendermint, Tendermint is a replacement. It's an alternative to proof of work. It's a way to have a secure distributed ledger without having to Burn energy to try to win a lottery ticket.”
Jay Kwon Oct 23, 2017 ▶ 8:05 821: Crypto: $17m Raised to Speed Up Mining Blocks Using New "Validators"
Assertion Supported
Austin: Branch lured Pinterest, Airbnb, and Etsy from Yozio, forcing its shutdown
“There was a company in our space when we first started that actually had Pinterest, Airbnb, and Etsy using them. When we had just launched literally brand new, super buggy product within a year and a half, all those companies were using us and that company had…”
Alex Austin Sep 27, 2017 ▶ 20:35 795: SaaS: With $117m Raised, Google Tried to Kill Him But He's Winning App Deeplinking Wars
Assertion Supported
Di Iorio: Ether was never meant to be a coin or currency
“It was never meant as a coin or as a currency. It was meant as a fuel or product to incentivize people to contribute resources into the network.”
Anthony Di Iorio Aug 21, 2017 ▶ 8:59 758: The Ex-Stock Exchange Brain Behind Ethereum Blockchain
Assertion Supported
Kineshanko: Blockchain activity can be traced to identify specific users
“Well, you can actually track activity on the blockchain quite nicely because it's all open source. So it's a bit tricky to figure out who's doing what, because people can have, you know, you or I could create wallets, numerous wallets and do stuff with those.…”
Tom Kineshanko Aug 18, 2017 ▶ 6:06 755: Want to Invest in BitCoin But Don't Understand It? Listen to This.
Assertion Supported
Le Moal: Some Indian startups burn $200M per year
“We are talking, you know, a couple of hundred millions a year.”
Laurent Le Moal May 22, 2017 ▶ 8:29 667: PayU Passes $180M Revenue, New Risk Assesment Product To Grow Financial Services Arm with Ex PayPal CEO Laurent Le Moal
Assertion Supported
Epstein: Sentient runs the first fully AI-traded hedge fund
“One of Senian's products through a subsidiary called Senian Investment Management is a hedge fund that is, we think the first Fully AI-traded hedge fund.”
John Epstein May 21, 2017 ▶ 12:37 666: Sentient $100M+ Raised, A/B Testing With Artificial Intelligence with Exited Founder and SVP Jon Epstein
Assertion Supported
Chen: Kaiser's 52% virtual visit metric includes web portal logins
“Turned out that It's a little bit not quite true, right? Most people say, say, do you mean like, 52% of Kaiser Permanente visitors are not on telemedicine? No. What they mean is, every time you're going to, ah, let's say, a webpage, a patient portal, request s…”
Dr. Milton Chen Mar 27, 2017 ▶ 19:48 EP 611: VSee Helping 1000 Customers Use Video To Transact Information with CEO Milton Chen
Assertion Supported
Sykes: John McAfee's penny stock tanked 50% under an SEC investigation
“His penny stock has also gone from 30 cents to four dollars a share, and it just tanked 50% in the past two days now that he's under SEC investigation.”
Timothy Sykes Oct 12, 2016 ▶ 22:25 EP 445: $20M in 2015 Infoproduct Revenue With "Degenerate" Customers with Timothy Sykes
Assertion Contradicted
Eisenberg: Nexar covered more road mileage in 9 months than Google Street View
“We've already covered in, you know, like nine months more mileage than Google Street View has in all its existence.”
Michael Eisenberg Jun 16, 2016 ▶ 11:06 He Invested in WeWork and Now Runs $150MM Israel Focused Fund, EP 291: Michael Eisenberg
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