The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 487 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Alfonso de la Nuez Predicts UserZoom Will Reach $1B Valuation Soon
“No, I don't, I think we'll get there pretty soon. I'm very confident, and it's very exciting, of course, but no, we're not there yet.”
Alfonso de la Nuez May 3, 2021 ▶ 16:30 Profitable UserZoom Hits $80m Run Rate, 1k Customers, $500m+ Valuation
Assertion Contradicted
No competitor offers online equipment insurance policies in seven minutes
“There's essentially no place you can go sign up and have a policy in about seven, eight minutes, right? You don't have to speak to anybody. You just sign up basic information and you actually get the policy.”
Matt Sweetwood Apr 24, 2021 ▶ 7:06 Camera Insurance as Beachhead to SaaS Play? 100 Customers Already.
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dragunov: Batch Products will become a billion-dollar brand in five years
“We're growing a billion dollar company brand in the next five years.”
Ivo Dragunov Mar 30, 2021 ▶ 12:08 Real Estate SaaS Did $2.2m Last Month, 140% Growth, Mostly Affiliate Sales
Assertion Contradicted
Filipchuk: Party.Space does not compete with Hopin
“So we don't compete with Hopin because Hopin is not providing corporate events.”
Yurii Filipchuk Jan 9, 2021 ▶ 12:36 Party.Space Makes $200k From One Customer, Hopin Challenger Next?
Assertion Contradicted
Chowdhury: A FeedSauce co-founder is Apple's head of marketing
“And one of our co-founders is the head of marketing at Apple as well.”
Omar Chowdhury Nov 14, 2020 ▶ 13:51 FeedSauce Helps Brands Get Top Notch Product Shots, Influencer Style
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Zickerman claims upcoming ISP deal will reach 300,000 businesses next year
“We're about to launch, I can't really talk about the deal, but a major hardware deal that's slated to have us in about 300,000 businesses next year, tier one ISP style.”
Kevin Zickerman Nov 12, 2020 ▶ 18:51 MyWifiNetworks Turned Down $5.4m All Cash Offer Last Month, Despite Loosing 30% Due to COVID
Assertion Contradicted
RiteKit invented auto-hashtagging technology, says founder Saul Fleischman
“Auto-hashtagging, we invented that.”
Saul Fleischman Sep 14, 2020 ▶ 2:50 RiteKit 431k Email List, Conversions Tough?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Keynejad: Veed can reach $10M ARR efficiently within two years
“I see a very comfortable, like I kind of see a decent path for the next couple of years to get to the ten million ARR and I think there's a very good possibility we're going to get there and we're going to get there relatively efficiently.”
Sabba Keynejad Sep 2, 2020 ▶ 13:22 Veed Hits $1.3m Revenue, 5,500 Customers Helping Podcasters Create Videos with Subtitles
Assertion Contradicted
Santens: European companies absorb about half of VAT increases on average
“We also see in Europe, too, that around, on average, about half of that is passed on, and about half is absorbed”
Scott Santens May 20, 2020 ▶ 13:45 Scott Santens on UBI vs Stimulus Checks
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Santens: Post-pandemic job recovery will be worse than the 2008 recession
“So we're gonna, I expect us to see something even worse than we saw the last time this happened when, you know, it took 10 years to create all these jobs that we just lost in a matter of time.”
Scott Santens May 20, 2020 ▶ 59:06 Scott Santens on UBI vs Stimulus Checks
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Additional stimulus payments will pass before the 2020 election
“I don't think Trump can turn that off between now and the election. I don't think that turns off. I think you see additional stimulus is passed. They're not calling it a UBI. It's in response to the virus, but we cannot turn these things off.”
Nathan Latka May 20, 2020 ▶ 1:10:35 Scott Santens on UBI vs Stimulus Checks
Assertion Contradicted
Pysh: Bitcoin hashing power shifted significantly from China to North America
“So like, I would tell you in the 2017 timeframe, you had an enormous amount of the hashing power coming out of China. Today, I would argue you have a, you've had a massive shift of hashing power come into the North America region.”
Preston Pysh Apr 22, 2020 ▶ 1:03:13 Preston Pysh on Bitcoin $200,000, QE at the top, UBI at bottom, $10t+ Fed Balance Sheet?
Assertion Contradicted
Pompliano: China's demographic trajectory mirrors the US 50 years ago
“Demographically China is basically doing what the U.S. Did, you know, 50 years ago, right? They've got a much younger population and kind of the way that they're growing.”
Anthony Pompliano Apr 13, 2020 ▶ 39:52 New podcast: Anthony Pompliano on Price of Bitcoin, Gold, Chinese Power, Corporate Bailouts and 3 Places He's Investing
Assertion Contradicted
Olark Created the First Floating Website Chat Box Widget
“And then over time because we are the first people who put this little floating chat box on the internet that created some virality. So like, you know, someone adds this to the site they see it's Olark and then they want it for their own site. Nowadays, that s…”
Ben Congleton Jul 31, 2019 ▶ 7:43 1467 Olark Founded 2007, $14.4M+ in ARR, So Why Did New Live Chat Players Get All The Love?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Saarenvirta: Daisy Intelligence can reach $1B valuation with 50 enterprise customers
“We envision if we get to about 50 to 60 customers, we think we'll be in the, you know, close to a billion dollar valuation, and we're already at, kind of, 17 today, so it doesn't seem like a stretch that over the next three years we could, we can get to that, …”
Gary Saarenvirta Jul 16, 2019 ▶ 11:39 1452 Retail SaaS Solution Pases $4M ARR, Goal to Reduce Poverty Levels
Assertion Contradicted
Eruimy: Shopify locks users in by owning their merchant data
“Because Shopify, you, you're in a closed environment. So your data are owned by Shopify. And if you want to shift to something else, you have to rebuild your store from scratch.”
Alexandre Eruimy Jan 18, 2019 ▶ 3:45 1273 270,000 ECommerce Shops Use This Tool (Not Shopify)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
CEO John Oechsle Predicts SwiftPage Will Reach $100M ARR By Mid-2021
“No, I'd say give me about two, two and a half years.”
John Oechsle Dec 4, 2018 ▶ 16:58 1228 SwiftPage ACT CEO "We're 1-2 Years Away from $100M in ARR"
Assertion Contradicted
Mattress companies typically traded at 3x to 4x revenue in 2018
“It's valued on the basis of maybe three or four times revenue.”
David Farley Oct 3, 2018 ▶ 14:11 1166 He Invented Mattress in a Box 20 years ago But Casper Out-Marketed Him
Assertion Contradicted
Fessler: Total Market for IP Protection Is Under $50M
“I would be surprised if the size of the total market today For intellectual property protection is more than 25 or fifty million dollars.”
Aaron Fessler Aug 11, 2018 ▶ 5:52 1113 His Vegas Raceway Grossed $10m in Y1, Here's How
Assertion Contradicted
Ghosh: Rwango is the only Wi-Fi proximity marketing company globally
“And we are the only guys in the world who do wifi based proximity marketing.”
Debapriyo Ghosh May 22, 2018 ▶ 13:26 1032 How Indian RetailTech CEO Is Attacking Market with Tags
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lamson predicts JazzHR will hit 25,000 paid customers by 2020
“We have a lofty goal of getting to 25,000 paid customers by the end of twenty-twenty. We're at 3000 now.”
Pete Lamson Dec 13, 2017 ▶ 15:15 The "GiftCard Trick" to $6m in ARR
Assertion Contradicted
Mediaocean claims to be the only adtech firm covering all media types
“We're the only ad tech company that is across all those media types.”
Bill Wise Dec 4, 2017 ▶ 5:32 863 AdTech: $720m Valuation, The 50+ Year Unicorn Processing $160 Billion in Spend
Assertion Contradicted
Engman: Climeon is over 50% more efficient than its nearest competitor
“So we are more than 50% more efficient than the number two.”
Christopher Engman Oct 9, 2017 ▶ 9:06 807: He Exited His Company Than Invests $1m Into Energy Company For Operations Roll
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bogart: Blockchain Capital Fund 4 will almost certainly be oversubscribed at $250M
“It's almost certainly going to be an oversubscribed, two hundred and fifty million dollar fund.”
Spencer Bogart Oct 4, 2017 ▶ 10:38 802: Crypto VC: After $10m Raised in ICO for Fund 3, Now Demand High for $250m Fund 4
Assertion Contradicted
Grant Cardone publicly predicted Jeremy Haynes's agency would fail within four months
“Grant actually followed that up with going on Cardone Zone and then saying that I'd publicly fail in four months.”
Jeremy Haynes Sep 4, 2017 ▶ 19:46 772: How Grant Cardone, Others Spend $25k To Get 100m Person Social Media Blasts
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Herold: The financial markets are at their absolute peak in August 2017
“I think we're at the very, very peak of a market right now.”
Cameron Herold Aug 28, 2017 ▶ 11:50 765: How This Coach Can Charge $80k+ per Year for One Gig
Assertion Contradicted
Schreiber: No one had ever bought or sold freight online before Freightos
“And take into account that before Freighthouse, no one had ever sold freight online, and nobody had ever bought freight online.”
Zvi Schreiber Jul 27, 2017 ▶ 17:27 733: With $50M Raised, He's Leading Cargo Container Software Space
Assertion Contradicted
Korber: BreezoMeter is the only provider publishing accuracy reports
“We are the only company in the world, probably the only authority in the world that publish its accuracy. On a very clear, you can download accuracy reports in our website.”
Ran Korber Jul 12, 2017 ▶ 17:33 718: Air Pollution is Deadly, How Isralei Entrepreneur Is Cashing In
Assertion Contradicted
Dream Funded was first SF platform approved for non-accredited investors
“We're fortunate that we're the first platform in Silicon Valley in San Francisco to receive the approval to allow they call it non-accredited investors to invest.”
Manny Fernandez Jul 1, 2017 ▶ 9:35 707: Government Gives Him Power to Let Non-Accredited Investors Invest
Assertion Contradicted
Ozen: Vistar Media is the only programmatic out-of-home ad player
“Because we're the only player that does programmatic out of home.”
Jeremy Ozen Jun 11, 2017 ▶ 18:00 687: Monaco Bored Him, Now Places Ads on DIgital Billboards with VistarMedia CEO Jeremy Ozen
Assertion Contradicted
Jumper: SIGNiX is North America's only cloud digital signature provider
“So, we're the only cloud-based digital signature company in the U.S. Or North America. Everybody else is a e-signature solution.”
Jay Jumper Jun 9, 2017 ▶ 1:33 685: He Loved A Product, So Acquired Whole Business with Doc Signing Signix CEO Jay Jumper
Assertion Contradicted
Organifi Clinical Trials Showed Weight Loss and Improved Cholesterol
“We've done clinical trials on it. So we've actually seen weight loss. We've seen improved depression backscore people improving their mood. We've seen good cholesterol levels increase, bad cholesterol decrease in our clinicals.”
Drew Canole Feb 23, 2017 ▶ 2:39 EP 579: Organifi Hits $25M 2016 Sales, 150k Customers, Indian Sourced Ashwagandha is Million Dollar Ingredient with CEO Drew Canole
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka predicts he will take The Top Inbox public by 30
“I'm 27 now, and I have identified what I will build and take public. It's called thetopinbox.com. No questions asked. ... I bought the whole business. I will take it public.”
Nathan Latka Dec 10, 2016 ▶ 12:32 EP 504: MailPlaneApp 10,000+ Customers With BetterGmail with CEO Lars Steiger
Assertion Contradicted
Rachleff: Wealthfront Was First To Bring Virality To Investing
“It's the first time a virality has been applied to the investment world.”
Andy Rachleff Dec 4, 2016 ▶ 11:29 EP 498: $130M Raised Wealthfront Crosses 100,000 Investors, $4.4B in AUM with CEO Andy Rachleff
Assertion Contradicted
Camus: Competitor Gogobot struggled despite raising $60M, souring VCs on travel
“And one of them had raised close to sixty million dollars. Which one? Gogobot. Yep. They put ads and a lot of people in a really tough place because even with that amount of money they had raised they were not doing great as a business.”
Ariel Camus Oct 22, 2016 ▶ 3:25 EP 455: Exited in 2013, Now Moving From "Job" To Startup CEO Again. How? with Ariel Camus
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build, send later into a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Oct 4, 2016 ▶ 1:18 EP 437: SaaS $10m Raised, $8m+ 2015 Revenue, The Algorithmic Mckinsey with CB Insights CEO Anand Sanwal
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 25, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 428: Super Creative Dad of 4 Buys Time By Minimizing Expenses, Launches Drone Info Company with Egbert Oostburg
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build send later and do a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 24, 2016 ▶ 1:17 EP 427: $1m+ Agency to Launch SaaS Product SegMetrics.com with CEO Keith Perhac
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I Will Take Send Later Public by Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 23, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 426: 1500 Customers and Profitable, $5.5M Raised with Pablo Fuentes of Proven.com
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka aims to take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 17, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 420: $70k 2015, $100k 2016 Infoproduct for Writers with Jordan Hayles
Assertion Contradicted
Collin: 100% of acquired email startups get shut down
“But also a hundred percent of those companies who have been acquired shut down.”
Mathilde Collin Sep 10, 2016 ▶ 17:36 EP 413: SaaS, $242k MRR, $13 Million Raised to Re-Invent Business Email with Mathilde Collin of FrontApp
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka plans to take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build Send Later into a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 8, 2016 ▶ 1:17 EP 411: She Made $1.1M 2015 Performance Arts Center, Now Coaching with Stacy Tuschl
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Will Take Send Later Public by Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 7, 2016 ▶ 1:15 EP 410: From Worker to Owner Does $5m in 2015 Franchise Model with Josh Herron of 1800GotJunk
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka predicts he will take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 5, 2016 ▶ 1:15 EP 408: $100M Funds, $30k/mo Real Estate Cashflow, Conference Sales with Cole Hatter of Thrive
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Havenwood predicted in 2016 that the Austin real estate bubble would pop
“You know that the market here to me is about to pop. I come from real estate investing. So to me, I'm like, there's no way I would invest right now in Austin.”
Heather Ann Havenwood Jun 19, 2016 ▶ 13:14 EP 330: She Cranks $1 EPC 3x Per Day with 25,000 List in Dating Niche
Assertion Contradicted
Yo Shirt was Kleiner Perkins' first seed-stage investment
“We were the first seed stage investment that they ever made. And we were, you know, very happy to have them in the deal.”
Ben Williamson Jun 10, 2016 ▶ 3:16 This App is Redefining On Demand Apparel Commerce with 3m Downlaods and $3m+ In Sales, EP 273: Ben Williamson
Prediction Didn’t hold up
CELLINK projects $4 million in total revenue for 2016
“Total 20 16 revenue, we're going to come up to approximately four four million dollars.”
Erik Gatenholm Apr 18, 2016 ▶ 15:55 He 3D Prints Body Parts And Will Do $4m in 2016 with Erik Gatenholm of CellInk EP 241
Assertion Contradicted
Bickley: Every Shark Tank deal is renegotiated after filming
“We also knew that every deal was renegotiated after the fact by the entrepreneur and the sharks.”
Erin Bickley Apr 12, 2016 ▶ 4:10 2 Moms, 6 Kids Get Deal on Shark Tank, Take us Behind the Scenes EP 231
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