| 10M | “ten million” | Cubitt: Hands-on VC work with struggling startups can preserve half the fund | Code Cubitt | Oct 27, 2020 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Cubitt: Hands-on VC work with struggling startups can preserve half the fund | Code Cubitt | Oct 27, 2020 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Cubitt: Timing and market matter more than the CEO for startup success | Code Cubitt | Oct 27, 2020 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Chamath: Running a $10B+ company is entirely about capital allocation | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 13, 2020 | — |
| 10M | “ten million” | Chamath: Running a $10B+ company is entirely about capital allocation | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 13, 2020 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Chamath: Running a $10B+ company is entirely about capital allocation | Chamath Palihapitiya | Oct 13, 2020 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Parrish: Intelligence agency awarded Holland tens of millions after vowing not to | Shane Parrish | Sep 29, 2020 | — |
| 98% | “98%” | Hudson: Human minds run on idle nonsense 98% of the time | Russ Hudson | Sep 1, 2020 | — |
| 2× | “two X” | Ohno: A smarter, predictable racing strategy could have doubled my career results | Apolo Ohno | Aug 18, 2020 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Ohno: Usain Bolt joked before races to prime a hyper-reactive physical state | Apolo Ohno | Aug 18, 2020 | — |
| 97% | “97%” | Konnikova: Professional poker tournament fields are 97% male | Maria Konnikova | Aug 4, 2020 | Supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Konnikova: Professional poker tournament fields are 97% male | Maria Konnikova | Aug 4, 2020 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Medium's 2.5MB payload to display text articles is 1,000x too big | Derek Sivers | Jul 21, 2020 | — |
| 4M | “four million” | CD Baby scaled to $20M and 85 employees in four years | Derek Sivers | Jul 21, 2020 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 1M | “one million” | CD Baby scaled to $20M and 85 employees in four years | Derek Sivers | Jul 21, 2020 | Not publicly verifiable |
| 20M | “twenty million” | CD Baby scaled to $20M and 85 employees in four years | Derek Sivers | Jul 21, 2020 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Business value is idea quality multiplied by execution quality | Derek Sivers | Jul 21, 2020 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Business value is idea quality multiplied by execution quality | Derek Sivers | Jul 21, 2020 | — |
| $20M | “twenty million dollars” | Business value is idea quality multiplied by execution quality | Derek Sivers | Jul 21, 2020 | — |
| $100M | “a hundred million dollars” | Sivers would immediately give away $100M because wealth distracts from learning | Derek Sivers | Jul 21, 2020 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Fry: Pre-2018 UK epidemiological models relied on a tiny 2006 survey | Hannah Fry | Jul 7, 2020 | Supported |
| 37% | “37%” | Fry: The optimal dating strategy involves exploring for the first 37% | Hannah Fry | Jul 7, 2020 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Fogg: 20% of Tiny Habits participants take on hard behaviors in five days | BJ Fogg | Jun 23, 2020 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | McLean: Enron investors ignored business fundamentals to chase 20% earnings growth | Bethany McLean | Jun 9, 2020 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | McLean: Enron's top 200 employees extracted $1 billion in options before bankruptcy | Bethany McLean | Jun 9, 2020 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | McLean: Local newsrooms lost nearly 50% of employees over the past decade | Bethany McLean | Jun 9, 2020 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Pandemic conditions consume roughly 30% of a person's baseline energy | Jennifer Garvey-Berger | May 26, 2020 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Wuhan divorce and marriage rates both jumped 30% post-lockdown | Jennifer Garvey-Berger | May 26, 2020 | Contradicted |
| 90% | “90%” | 90% of Garvey-Berger's consulting firm lost all income during the crisis | Jennifer Garvey-Berger | May 26, 2020 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Ackman: 85% of Pershing Square's capital is permanent public capital | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | Supported |
| $100B | “a hundred billion dollars” | Ackman: SoftBank's Mega-Funds Did a Massive Disservice to Startups and Markets | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 2B | “two billion” | Pershing Square Bought $2.05 Billion in Equities While Unwinding COVID Hedge | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Pershing Square Bought $2.05 Billion in Equities While Unwinding COVID Hedge | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Pershing Square Bought $2.05 Billion in Equities While Unwinding COVID Hedge | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Pershing Square Bought $2.05 Billion in Equities While Unwinding COVID Hedge | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Ackman: Dedicated black swan funds surged 1,000% in market crash | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | Supported |
| 70B | “seventy billion” | Ackman: Pershing Square held $71B notional CDS hedge committing $500M annually | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 71B | “seventy-one billion” | Ackman: Pershing Square held $71B notional CDS hedge committing $500M annually | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| $500M | “five hundred million dollars” | Ackman: Pershing Square held $71B notional CDS hedge committing $500M annually | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 1.5B | “a half billion” | Ackman: Pershing Square held $71B notional CDS hedge committing $500M annually | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 27M | “twenty seven million” | Bill Ackman Turned $27 Million in CDS Premiums Into $2.6 Billion | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 71B | “a seventy billion” | Bill Ackman Turned $27 Million in CDS Premiums Into $2.6 Billion | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| $2.6B | “2.6 billion dollars” | Bill Ackman Turned $27 Million in CDS Premiums Into $2.6 Billion | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Ackman: Pershing Square will eventually hold 100% of capital in public vehicle | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | Open |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Ackman: Pershing Square will eventually hold 100% of capital in public vehicle | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | Open |
| $20M | “twenty million dollars” | Ackman: Herbalife settled with SEC for $20M over China disclosures | Bill Ackman | Apr 28, 2020 | Supported |
| 5,000× | “5000 X” | Calacanis: Uber Seed Round Paid Off 4,000x to 5,000x | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | Supported |
| 300× | “300 X” | Calacanis: Probable He Hits Another 300x to 1,000x Return | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 500× | “500 X” | Calacanis: Probable He Hits Another 300x to 1,000x Return | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 1,000× | “1000 X” | Calacanis: Probable He Hits Another 300x to 1,000x Return | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Calacanis: Seed Startups Are Experiments Until Hitting $500K Revenue | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Calacanis: 70% to 80% of Angel Investments Go to Zero | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | Partly supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Calacanis: Waiting for Real Customer Traction Cuts Angel Risk by 90% | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 14× | “14 times” | Calacanis: Launch hosted 13 to 14 Founder University cohorts, half for women and transgender people | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| $1.3M | “a quarter million dollars” | Calacanis: Launch invested early in Ruby Love doing $250k monthly revenue on $50k raised | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Calacanis: Launch invested early in Ruby Love doing $250k monthly revenue on $50k raised | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 25M | “twenty-five million” | Calacanis: Launch invested $25M with a 12-person team last year | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Calacanis: No-code tools will enable 20% of people to build products | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Calacanis: No-code tools will enable 20% of people to build products | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | A startup could reach $100M in revenue using entirely no-code tools | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 6% | “six percent” | Calacanis: LAUNCH invests $100k for 6% and seeks another 10% follow-on | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Calacanis: LAUNCH invests $100k for 6% and seeks another 10% follow-on | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 200× | “200 X” | Calacanis: Accredited investor rules harm poor people by blocking high-upside bets | Jason Calacanis | Apr 14, 2020 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Maxwell: 80% of people never advance beyond positional leadership | John Maxwell | Mar 31, 2020 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Wojcicki: Extreme Wealth Makes Forming Genuine Friendships Unusually Difficult | Esther Wojcicki | Mar 17, 2020 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Esther Wojcicki: YouTube receives one billion education hits daily | Esther Wojcicki | Mar 17, 2020 | Supported |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | The CDC was bottlenecked to running only 12 coronavirus tests per day | Balaji Srinivasan | Mar 13, 2020 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Maples: A $250K seed check in Airbnb would be worth $1B | Mike Maples Jr. | Mar 3, 2020 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Maples: 10 out of 10,000 startups create 95% of annual venture value | Mike Maples Jr. | Mar 3, 2020 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Maples: Consumer Mobile Apps Must Prioritize Distribution Over Early Monetization | Mike Maples Jr. | Mar 3, 2020 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Maples: 100% confirming experiments waste time compared to negative data | Mike Maples Jr. | Mar 3, 2020 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Frank Stephenson: Full autonomy requires 100% intelligent vehicle adoption | Frank Stephenson | Feb 18, 2020 | — |
| 4× | “four times” | Strogatz: In taxicab geometry, pi equals four | Steven Strogatz | Jan 7, 2020 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Strogatz: Math revealed HIV produces a billion virus particles daily | Steven Strogatz | Jan 7, 2020 | Supported |
| 31% | “31%” | Pasricha: McKinsey finds 31% of the day is spent task-switching | Neil Pasricha | Dec 24, 2019 | Contradicted |
| 10× | “10 X” | Pasricha: Disconnected 'untouchable days' boosted writing output 10x to 5,000 words | Neil Pasricha | Dec 24, 2019 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Perel: Parents credited Holocaust survival primarily to sheer luck | Esther Perel | Dec 10, 2019 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Scott Adams: 20% of People Experience Extraordinary Hypnotic Phenomena | Scott Adams | Nov 26, 2019 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Scott Adams: 20% of People Experience Extraordinary Hypnotic Phenomena | Scott Adams | Nov 26, 2019 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Scott Adams: Humans Make Decisions Irrationally and Rationalize Them Afterward | Scott Adams | Nov 26, 2019 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Schwarzman: Blackstone raised $950M for Fund I with no investing record | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | — |
| $50M | “fifty million dollars” | Schwarzman: Blackstone raised $950M for Fund I with no investing record | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | — |
| 17× | “17 times” | Schwarzman: Blackstone received 17 rejections for every yes on Fund I | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Schwarzman: 90% of Bad Investments Stem from Misjudged Known Risks | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | — |
| $70B | “seventy billion dollars” | Schwarzman: Blackstone flipped $70B in real estate in one month | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Schwarzman: Blackstone made 3.2x return on Equity Office Properties deal | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | — |
| 3.2× | “3.2 times” | Schwarzman: Blackstone made 3.2x return on Equity Office Properties deal | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | — |
| $12B | “twelve billion dollars” | Schwarzman: Hilton buyout made $12B, the largest profit in PE history | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | Supported |
| 85% | “85%” | Schwarzman: Financial stocks fell 85% in 2008 crisis while Blackstone fell 90% | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Schwarzman: Financial stocks fell 85% in 2008 crisis while Blackstone fell 90% | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Schwarzman: Real estate supply is 100% visible and takes three years to build | Stephen Schwarzman | Nov 12, 2019 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Kahneman: Insurance underwriters varied by 50% on identical cases, defying 10% expectations | Daniel Kahneman | Oct 15, 2019 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Kahneman: Insurance underwriters varied by 50% on identical cases, defying 10% expectations | Daniel Kahneman | Oct 15, 2019 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Collins: Investing in proven, scaling flywheels beats trying to predict nascent ones | Jim Collins | Oct 1, 2019 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Collins: Investing in proven, scaling flywheels beats trying to predict nascent ones | Jim Collins | Oct 1, 2019 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Nagoski: One extra hour of sleep increases the chances of sex by 10% | Emily Nagoski | Sep 17, 2019 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Nagoski: Stress increases sexual interest for only 10 to 20 percent of people | Emily Nagoski | Sep 17, 2019 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Empathic Discipline Intervention Cut Student Suspension Rates by 50% | Greg Walton | Aug 20, 2019 | Supported |
| 3× | “three times” | A 21-Minute Writing Intervention Halted the Downward Trend in Marital Satisfaction | Greg Walton | Aug 20, 2019 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Howey predicts self-driving robotaxis will reduce car ownership to 10% | Hugh Howey | Aug 6, 2019 | Open |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Howey earned $1M independently before publishers offered a seven-figure advance for 'Wool' | Hugh Howey | Aug 6, 2019 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Howey: Amazon halves self-publishing royalties outside the $2.99 to $9.99 range | Hugh Howey | Aug 6, 2019 | Supported |
| 35% | “35%” | Howey: Amazon halves self-publishing royalties outside the $2.99 to $9.99 range | Hugh Howey | Aug 6, 2019 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Johnson: 70% of North American therapists see couples without specialized training | Dr. Sue Johnson | Jul 23, 2019 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Haidt: US teen suicide is up 25% for boys, 70% for girls | Jonathan Haidt | Jul 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Haidt: US teen suicide is up 25% for boys, 70% for girls | Jonathan Haidt | Jul 2, 2019 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Haidt: Learning from experience is 10 to 100 times more effective than instruction | Jonathan Haidt | Jul 2, 2019 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Dethmer: Employees only keep 40% to 60% of their workplace agreements | Jim Dethmer | Jun 18, 2019 | — |
| 7M | “Seven million” | Legendary received a $7M newspaper advertising bill for one Hangover movie | Thomas Tull | May 28, 2019 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Google Tracks 80% of the Top Million Websites; Facebook Tracks 25% | Gabriel Weinberg | May 14, 2019 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Google Tracks 80% of the Top Million Websites; Facebook Tracks 25% | Gabriel Weinberg | May 14, 2019 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Maintaining a Full Web Crawl Index Costs Hundreds of Millions Annually | Gabriel Weinberg | May 14, 2019 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Gross: Increasing problem-solvers 10x offers more leverage than direct solutions | Daniel Gross | Apr 16, 2019 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Scott Page: Making sense of complex systems requires ensembles of diverse models | Scott Page | Apr 2, 2019 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Scott Page: Making sense of complex systems requires ensembles of diverse models | Scott Page | Apr 2, 2019 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Scott Page: Making sense of complex systems requires ensembles of diverse models | Scott Page | Apr 2, 2019 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Fried: Jeff Bezos bought secondary shares in Basecamp in 2006 | Jason Fried | Mar 19, 2019 | — |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Marks: Oaktree invested $10 billion across final 15 weeks of 2008 | Howard Marks | Mar 5, 2019 | — |
| 10B | “ten billion” | Marks: Oaktree invested $10 billion across final 15 weeks of 2008 | Howard Marks | Mar 5, 2019 | — |
| 17% | “17%” | Marks: Oaktree achieved 16-17% distressed debt returns over 30 years without leverage | Howard Marks | Mar 5, 2019 | Supported |
| 24M | “twenty-four million” | Marks: US lost 24M jobs to productivity gains versus 3M to China | Howard Marks | Mar 5, 2019 | Supported |
| 3M | “three million” | Marks: US lost 24M jobs to productivity gains versus 3M to China | Howard Marks | Mar 5, 2019 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Howard Marks: Investors shouldn't self-flagellate over mistakes if process was sound | Howard Marks | Mar 5, 2019 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Markham: Two hours in nature boosts immune T-cells by 50 percent | Dr. Laura Markham | Feb 19, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 3× | “three times” | Headlee: Barney Frank Hung Up on Her Multiple Times | Celeste Headlee | Feb 5, 2019 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Wolfe: Psychology drives 90% of Lux Capital's successes and 99% of problems | Josh Wolfe | Jan 22, 2019 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Wolfe: Psychology drives 90% of Lux Capital's successes and 99% of problems | Josh Wolfe | Jan 22, 2019 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Wolfe: Lux Capital's future investments will sit at the edge of today's | Josh Wolfe | Jan 22, 2019 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Wolfe: GM acquired Cruise for $1 billion within a year of funding | Josh Wolfe | Jan 22, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 11× | “11 X” | Wolfe: GM acquired Cruise for $1 billion within a year of funding | Josh Wolfe | Jan 22, 2019 | Partly supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Robinson: Slovic Study Proves Extra Information Increases Overconfidence Without Improving Accuracy | Adam Robinson | Dec 26, 2018 | Supported |
| 31% | “31%” | Robinson: Slovic Study Proves Extra Information Increases Overconfidence Without Improving Accuracy | Adam Robinson | Dec 26, 2018 | Supported |
| 19% | “19%” | Robinson: Slovic Study Proves Extra Information Increases Overconfidence Without Improving Accuracy | Adam Robinson | Dec 26, 2018 | Supported |
| 19× | “19 times” | Robinson: Bond traders are right over equity traders 99% of the time | Adam Robinson | Dec 11, 2018 | — |
| 99× | “99 times” | Robinson: Bond traders are right over equity traders 99% of the time | Adam Robinson | Dec 11, 2018 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Robinson: Equity traders beat currency traders on FX direction 75% of time | Adam Robinson | Dec 11, 2018 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Robinson: 80% of NYC Grade-School Test Score Variance Comes From Socioeconomics | Adam Robinson | Dec 11, 2018 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Gawande: Surgical Checklists Reduced Mortality by 50% in Eight Cities | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 300M | “three hundred million” | Gawande: Surgical Checklists Reduced Mortality by 50% in Eight Cities | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Gawande: Surgical Checklists Reduced Mortality by 50% in Eight Cities | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 2M | “two million” | Gawande: Healthcare infections from unwashed hands kill 100,000 people annually | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Gawande: About 30% of All Healthcare Spending Is Waste | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 42% | “42%” | Gawande: Up to 42% of Medicare Patients Receive Non-Beneficial Procedures Annually | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Gawande: 25% of Medicare spending occurs in the final year of life | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Gawande: Only 25% of seriously ill patients discuss quality-of-life goals | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Gawande: Palliative Care Conversations Extended Lung Cancer Patients' Lives by 25% | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Gawande: Palliative Care Conversations Extended Lung Cancer Patients' Lives by 25% | Dr. Atul Gawande | Oct 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 99.9% | “99.9%” | Lütke: Most corporate processes force people to act against common sense | Tobi Lütke | Sep 18, 2018 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Lütke: Most corporate processes force people to act against common sense | Tobi Lütke | Sep 18, 2018 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Lütke: Autonomy cannot be bestowed; employees must earn 80-90% trust first | Tobi Lütke | Sep 18, 2018 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Lütke: Venture Funding Simply Amplifies Whatever Habits a Startup Already Had | Tobi Lütke | Sep 18, 2018 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Lütke: 30-40% of Schedule Goes to Direct Reports, Rebalanced Quarterly | Tobi Lütke | Sep 18, 2018 | — |
| 51% | “51%” | Search engines with higher market share inevitably win via data advantages | Ben Thompson | Sep 5, 2018 | — |
| 41% | “41%” | Search engines with higher market share inevitably win via data advantages | Ben Thompson | Sep 5, 2018 | — |
| 76B | “a seventy-five billion” | Mega-round growth investing resembles traditional equity markets, not venture capital | Ben Thompson | Sep 5, 2018 | — |
| 33% | “33%” | Duke: Memorializing probability estimates prevents resulting when bad outcomes hit | Annie Duke | Jul 25, 2018 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | MacAskill: Some recent graduates donate roughly $1M annually through high-earning careers | William MacAskill | Jul 11, 2018 | — |
| $35B | “thirty-five billion dollars” | MacAskill: Harvard and Stanford should spend their endowments rather than fundraising | William MacAskill | Jul 11, 2018 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | MacAskill: Birth country and parental wealth dictate 80% of personal income | William MacAskill | Jul 11, 2018 | Supported |
| 15% | “15%” | MacAskill: The poorest people in the US or Canada are in the top 10-15% globally | William MacAskill | Jul 11, 2018 | Contradicted |
| 700M | “seven hundred million” | MacAskill: Typical rich-country earners make ~100x the poorest 700M people globally | William MacAskill | Jul 11, 2018 | Supported |
| 100× | “hundred times” | MacAskill: Typical rich-country earners make ~100x the poorest 700M people globally | William MacAskill | Jul 11, 2018 | Supported |
| 2M | “two million” | Robert Greene's "48 Laws of Power" is approaching two million copies sold. | Robert Greene | Jun 27, 2018 | Supported |
| 4× | “four times” | Greene was fired from a television research job for outshining his superiors. | Robert Greene | Jun 27, 2018 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Greene: Zen meditation creates spectator-like distance, reducing your immediate emotional reactivity. | Robert Greene | Jun 27, 2018 | — |
| 0.7% | “0.7%” | Shaper scale users lost weight while standard scale users gained it | Dan Ariely | May 25, 2018 | Partly supported |
| 0.3% | “0.3%” | Shaper scale users lost weight while standard scale users gained it | Dan Ariely | May 25, 2018 | Partly supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Collison: Only ~2% of global consumer spending was online when Stripe began | Patrick Collison | May 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Collison: Stripe invests roughly 70-80% on core optimization and 20% on speculative bets | Patrick Collison | May 2, 2018 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Collison: Stripe invests roughly 70-80% on core optimization and 20% on speculative bets | Patrick Collison | May 2, 2018 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Collison: Koch Industries scaled from $20M to $100B without a single breakthrough driver | Patrick Collison | May 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Collison: Koch Industries scaled from $20M to $100B without a single breakthrough driver | Patrick Collison | May 2, 2018 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Collison: Life is too short to read un-enjoyable books | Patrick Collison | May 2, 2018 | — |
| 60% | “60%” | Collison: 60% of Atlas Companies Say They Wouldn't Exist Otherwise | Patrick Collison | May 2, 2018 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Half of Emotional Expressions Are Universal; 25% Are Culturally Specific | Dacher Keltner | Feb 21, 2018 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Half of Emotional Expressions Are Universal; 25% Are Culturally Specific | Dacher Keltner | Feb 21, 2018 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Half of Scientists Were Creationists When Darwin Published Evolution Theory | Dacher Keltner | Feb 21, 2018 | Contradicted |
| 6× | “six times” | Research Shows Average Young Siblings Squabble Six Times an Hour | Dacher Keltner | Feb 21, 2018 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Mauboussin: Kahneman Noise Study Found 40% to 60% Decision Variance | Michael Mauboussin | Jan 23, 2018 | Supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Mauboussin: Kahneman Noise Study Found 40% to 60% Decision Variance | Michael Mauboussin | Jan 23, 2018 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Voss: Major Telecom Found 50% of Signed Deals Were Never Implemented | Chris Voss | Jan 3, 2018 | — |
| 9× | “nine times” | Voss: Fear impedes deals 3x to 9x more than benefits create them | Chris Voss | Jan 3, 2018 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Voss: 70% of purchasing decisions aim to avoid loss rather than gain | Chris Voss | Jan 3, 2018 | — |
| 33% | “33%” | Voss: Labels Raise Negotiation Effectiveness by at Least 30 to 33% | Chris Voss | Jan 3, 2018 | — |
| 700% | “700%” | US Diabetes Prevalence Has Surged 700% Since the Late 1950s | Gary Taubes | Nov 30, 2017 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Obesity and Diabetes Cost the US Healthcare System $1 Billion Daily | Gary Taubes | Nov 30, 2017 | Supported |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Grant: Corning Fellows must author $100M patents and support others' patents | Adam Grant | Sep 21, 2017 | — |
| 7× | “seven times” | Grant: Second and third movers are seven times less likely to fail | Adam Grant | Sep 21, 2017 | Partly supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Latimore: Alcohol caused or exacerbated 95% of his personal problems | Ed Latimore | Aug 9, 2017 | — |
| 3% | “three percent” | Garneau: Via Rail owns only 3% of its track, yielding to freight | Marc Garneau | Jul 2, 2017 | Supported |
| $80B | “eighty billion dollars” | Garneau: CN and CP transport $280 billion in goods annually | Marc Garneau | Jul 2, 2017 | Supported |
| 23% | “23%” | Garneau: Cars and trucks cause 80% of Canada's transportation emissions | Marc Garneau | Jul 2, 2017 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Garneau: Cars and trucks cause 80% of Canada's transportation emissions | Marc Garneau | Jul 2, 2017 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Sutherland: Business can profit from behavioral quirks that fail academic rigor | Rory Sutherland | May 30, 2017 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Sutherland: Business can profit from behavioral quirks that fail academic rigor | Rory Sutherland | May 30, 2017 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Sutherland: Metropolitan ad agencies fail if they misunderstand 50% of citizens | Rory Sutherland | May 30, 2017 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Naval Ravikant attributes all his material success to daily reading habits. | Naval Ravikant | Apr 11, 2017 | — |
| 700% | “700%” | Naval Ravikant: Jealousy is irrational unless you want 100% of someone's life. | Naval Ravikant | Apr 11, 2017 | — |
| 80% | “80%” | Naval Ravikant: In leveraged markets, 80% decision accuracy pays exponentially more. | Naval Ravikant | Apr 11, 2017 | — |
| 70% | “70%” | Naval Ravikant: In leveraged markets, 80% decision accuracy pays exponentially more. | Naval Ravikant | Apr 11, 2017 | — |
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