IPO Market

topic on 13 shows · 41 statements across 37 episodes

More or Less BG2 Pod Innovators & Investors the Neon Show the Official SaaStr Podcast Sourcery Capital Allocators the Green Blueprint How I Built This the a16z Podcast All-In TBPN 20VC

41 statements about IPO Market, every show

20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Frankel: IPO market will probably remain open through end of the year
“An IPO market that will probably be open for the remainder of this year. And then these IPO markets always close.”
David Frankel Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 49:40 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
INNOVATORS & INVESTORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marquez: Slow IPO Market Will Drive a Wave of Tech Acquisitions
“Do we see a lot more acquisitions? I could see that happening given that, you know, the IPO market is only just starting to thaw. And you have a lot of investor backed companies where I imagine either intentionally or unintentionally, you know, there's a press…”
Kristian Marquez Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 36:56 Bridging the IT Channel: Building Community, Scaling Marketplaces, and Harnessing AI for Growth
HOW I BUILT THIS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Errett: The IPO window is non-existent for consumer companies
“If you look at the IPO window, it's non-existent for consumer companies.”
Amy Errett Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:11:39 Madison Reed: Amy Errett
20VC Insight
IPO Markets Are Never Closed, It Is Purely About Price
“And I am not a believer ever that the IPO markets are closed. It's purely a function of price, right?”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 58:39 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Tech companies with $200M to $500M ARR are preparing IPOs
“I think it's much more true for the whole flotilla of companies in that 200 to four or 500 range who have been trying to figure out where to go and can now see some kind of exit. For those folks, everyone is dusting off their plans.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 19, 2025 ▶ 47:29 Chime IPO: Are IPOs Hotter Than Ever? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Rory O'Driscoll: Tech IPO window has reopened and normal service resumed
“No, honestly, I think the most salient fact is that they're happening, that the window is open, that normal IPOs, I mean, I think normal IPOs are taking place, yet normal service has been resumed.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 1:16:44 Is DPI The Only Thing That Matters? with Sam Lessin, Jason Lemkin & Rory O’Driscoll · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Coatue is wrong about $500M ARR requirement for tech IPOs
“The comments about you have to be five hundred million, which is, I think, a KOTU comment, the comment that the window was going to shut a month ago. Both of them are wrong.”
Rory O'Driscoll May 29, 2025 ▶ 15:18 OpenAI’s $6BN Jony Ive Deal & YC Is Both Chanel and Walmart, and Has Officially Won! · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
BG2 Insight
Gurley: Companies ready to IPO should not wait for ideal market conditions
“Anyone that tells you when you're ready to go public that you have to wait on the markets to be in a particular place. I would tell them to shut the fuck up and like take your company out. Like you can't control that thing. That's an external factor.”
Bill Gurley Apr 4, 2025 ▶ 54:38 Liberation Day, Tariffs, US v China Open Source, OpenAI, $CRWV, TikTok | BG2 · Bg2 Pod
20VC Assertion Supported
Mitchell Green: The IPO market is fine and recent performance is strong
“The problem with the IPO market is actually totally fine. If you look at IPO performance of companies, they've actually done pretty well versus opening day prices.”
Mitchell Green Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 18:20 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
GREEN BLUEPRINT Assertion Partly supported
Shugar: Nextracker IPO'd after a 5-to-6-month market freeze
“When we went to go public, the market had been pretty much closed for five or six months. I don't think there was a single IPO, or certainly not a big one.”
Dan Shugar Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 25:30 Nextracker's blueprint for 100 gigawatts of solar trackers
20VC Prediction Held up
The Tech IPO Market Will Not Reopen Until Early 2026
“I tend to think next year. Like, I think there's enough uncertainty in the market right now, particularly in the macro and the political situation that there's a lot of people that are nervous. So my best guess would be like the beginning of next year.”
Jake Saper Mar 10, 2025 ▶ 1:20:01 Jake Saper, GP @ Emergence Capital: "We Sold Salesforce Early and Lost Out on Billions" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ritter: 2025 tech IPO window unlikely to be as good as hoped
“I I'm not sure that the IPO markets are going to be as good as I had hoped coming into twenty-twenty-five.”
Gordon Ritter Jan 30, 2025 ▶ 9:31 How Emergence Capital Bet Early on Zoom, Salesforce, Veeva—& Now Together.ai · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: The tech IPO market will roar back in 2025
“Brian Halligan says, get ready for the IPO market to roar in twenty-twenty-five. I think it's legit.”
John Coogan Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 1:07:02 Fact-Checking The Information (ep10)
20VC Prediction Held up
Wang: Tech IPO market will reopen in late 2024 or 2025
“I do expect the IPO markets to open, say back half of this year into next year.”
Jeff Wang Oct 9, 2024 ▶ 23:38 Jeff Wang: Sequoia Capital's $9BN Global Equities Fund on The Future for NVIDIA, Google & Meta|E1212 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Khan: IPO market is open, but private company valuation expectations are unrealistic
“I don't think IPO market is closed. I think the issue is companies don't want to go public because their expectations are too high.”
Imran Khan Aug 26, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Imran Khan: Why the IPO Market is Not Closed & Lessons From Taking Snap & Alibaba Public | E1194 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
NEON SHOW Opinion
Siddhartha: No global IPO market is as robust as India's
“Globally, there's no robust IPO market as robust as India.”
Siddhartha (Siddharth) Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 22:21 $10 Trillion Goal, Reverse Brain Drain & IPO Market I Nansi & Siddhartha On India’s Bright Future
Sam Lessin: The tech IPO market is currently irrelevant to tech's narrative
“More on the IPO market less is like, it just feels so irrelevant right now, right? To the overall narrative of what's going on.”
Sam Lessin Jun 28, 2024 ▶ 8:26 #53: What We Got Wrong—and Right—in a Year of More or Less · More or Less Podcast
20VC Insight
Ryan: Companies cannot easily go public merely by taking price cuts
“That is wrong. If your company's growing at 60% and profitable, yes, you can always go public. But at the margin, it is not easy to take companies public. There's not a lot of appetite.”
Kevin Ryan Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 55:07 Kevin Ryan: Are the Best CEOs the Best Fundraisers & Why Ownership Should Not Be a Focus in VC|E1138 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Harry Stebbings: IPO Markets Will Not Reopen in 2024
“I don't think IPO markets will open for the twenty-twenty-four, bluntly.”
Harry Stebbings Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 26:23 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Ehrenberg: IPO Market Will See Green Shoots in 2025, Full Return 2026
“I think we'll see some green shoots in 25, but probably 26 is when it's really going to come back.”
Roger Ehrenberg Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 1:15:22 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Biscardi: Reopening IPOs will trigger a huge wave of venture interest
“If the IPO market starts to open and the M&A market gets going, I think you're going to see a huge wave of interest in venture, and especially in those funds that I think were very smart and didn't go crazy when things were at a peak and are now taking advanta…”
Ron Biscardi Feb 8, 2024 ▶ 20:10 Ron Biscardi – Inside iConnections Global Alts (EP.367)
20VC Insight
Ball: IPO markets are always open at market-clearing prices
“The IPO markets are always open, right? You can always go public. It's just a question of, do you want to accept the market clearing price at that point in time?”
Jamin Ball Jan 10, 2024 ▶ 51:42 Ed Sim & Jamin Ball: Did Figma Kill M&A Markets & 3 Requirements to IPO in 2024 | E1101 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Quinn: The IPO market is looking miserable
“The IPO market is looking miserable. That window is not exactly wide open to say the least.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 37:21 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Deven Parekh: Late-stage growth market activity does not dictate the IPO window
“So I don't really see a relationship between a slowdown in the late stage market and the IPO market. I think they're kind of right now disconnecting.”
Deven Parekh Oct 11, 2023 ▶ 33:18 Roundtable #4 with Jason Lemkin, Woody Marshall, Deven Parekh, Harry Stebbings | E1071 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Deven Parekh: Underpriced IPOs build institutional confidence for future public offerings
“Because sure, that creates more sizzle and institutional investors, mutual funds, and others who are buyers are sitting on a portfolio that's up, which gives them more confidence to buy the next issue.”
Deven Parekh Oct 11, 2023 ▶ 44:57 Roundtable #4 with Jason Lemkin, Woody Marshall, Deven Parekh, Harry Stebbings | E1071 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath predicts a Starlink IPO is the only way to catalyze markets
“I think the only company that can really catalyze things would be if people were ready to do Starlink.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 49:02 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
20VC Prediction Partly held up
Lemkin: Tech companies will absorb $400M per IPO when markets recover
“When the engine revolves, we will absorb four hundred million again per IPO.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 58:35 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner predicts up to seven tech IPOs in late 2023
“I think we're going to see five, six, seven IPOs, good size IPOs in Q four. We'll probably see closer to 10 in Q one, and then it will start opening up in the back half of next year”
Brad Gerstner Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 58:10 E141: State of Series A's, VC dry powder, IPO window opens + more with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
40 years of data show IPO markets rarely close over two years
“When I look back over 40 years of data, the market generally doesn't close for more than a year, and when it does close for more than a year, maybe it closes for two or so years.”
Michael Carmen Aug 10, 2023 ▶ 37:18 Michael Carmen – Late-Stage Private Investing at Wellington (EP.332)
High-growth companies compounding at 50% benefit from delaying their IPO
“So my view is that as long as our companies are compounding at 3040, 50%, if it takes a year or two years or even three years, those companies are going to be two, three times larger, and unless valuations have just gone through the floor, we're probably going…”
Michael Carmen Aug 10, 2023 ▶ 38:41 Michael Carmen – Late-Stage Private Investing at Wellington (EP.332)
SAASTR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: An unprecedented wave of SaaS IPOs will occur once markets reopen
“When things do open, when, if multiples do reflate a little bit, we will see this spring of public SaaS companies like we've never seen, right? There's a whole new wave.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 16, 2023 ▶ 39:08 Why The Era of Efficient Growth is Now: The State of the Market with SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin
20VC Prediction Held up
Liaw: 2022 public listings and SPAC activity will decline from 2021
“I think there will still obviously be new listings and direct listings and probably not as many SPACs. That's a different topic. I do think you'll still have some activity, but not like last year.”
Eric Liaw Apr 8, 2022 ▶ 11:30 20VC: What Happens To Growth Rounds in this New Environment? Where is the Funding Crunch? How Does This Impact M&A and Going Public? How do Crossover Funds Respond? What Does it Mean For Early Stage and more with Eric Liaw, General Partner @ IVP
ALL-IN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: High-burn startups forced into near-term IPOs face severe punishment
“The problem is if you're high burn and you were counting on yet another successive round, or you're at a point in your life cycle where you need to go public in the next two years, if you go public, you will get taken to the woodshed.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 19, 2022 ▶ 44:53 E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy and more
20VC Prediction Held up
Ehrenberg: 2022 and 2023 startup IPOs will be pushed back
“So I think you're going to see a lot more companies that were on the 22 and 23 calendar pushed back a public listing.”
Roger Ehrenberg Jan 31, 2022 ▶ 29:05 20VC: How Startup Valuations, Fund Deployment Cycles, M&A and IPO Markets Will All Change in This New Market, Where Will The Biggest Crunch Be, When Is The Right Time To Be Aggressive vs Conservative with Roger Ehrenberg, Founding Partner @ IA Ventures
Fishner-Wolfson: Record IPOs do not reduce private tech liquidity demand
“I'm not sure that the fact that there's all these IPOs really changes people's need for liquidity or is dramatically changing the duration that companies are staying private for... So the IPO market isn't fundamentally changing the need or desire for liquidity…”
Justin Fishner-Wolfson Dec 23, 2021 ▶ 35:29 Justin Fishner- Wolfson - 137 Ventures (Manager Meetings, EP.25)
20VC Opinion
Gurley: The boom in SPACs is enabled by flaws in traditional IPOs
“I believe a large part of why it's Possible is because of the problems with the IPO market.”
Bill Gurley Jan 4, 2021 ▶ 33:08 20VC: Bill Gurley and Howard Marks: What Happened In 2020? What Can We Expect Looking Forward to 2021?
SAASTR Prediction Not checkable as stated
Deeter: Tech M&A will be extremely active and outpace IPOs in 2020
“I think the M&A market is going to be extremely active later this year and open much more aggressively than the IPO market will.”
Byron Deeter Mar 27, 2020 ▶ 1:05:09 The Current State of Venture Capital and Cloud | SaaStr Software Community
a16z Insight
Jordan: Elite companies can execute an IPO in any market environment
“The best companies often open windows that were then previously closed. So the best companies can go out whenever they want. The good companies typically want to wait for, till the investors are feeling good. The mediocre and bad companies want to get out When…”
Jeff Jordan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:33 a16z Podcast | The Curious Case of the OpenTable IPO
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jordan: Late-window IPOs consistently underperform in public markets
“And what happens when the window opens, the early people to go out typically perform very well as public company stocks. And then as more time goes by and you get towards the end of a window, the companies that then are going out kind of rushing, I got to get …”
Jeff Jordan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:53 a16z Podcast | The Curious Case of the OpenTable IPO
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Strong institutional demand will keep the tech IPO market open long-term
“There's certainly demand, and we hear from the bankers and from institutional investors that there's tremendous pent-up demand right now, so I see no reason that the market's not going to stay open for quite a while and that the demand is going to be there.”
Jason Pressman Jul 19, 2017 ▶ 8:08 20VC: Why It Is BS That You Never Regret Paying A High Price To Get Into A Good Company, Why There Are Only 2 Price Points That Work in SaaS and Why eSports Will Be Bigger Than Traditional Sports in 5 Years Time with Jason Pressman @ Shasta Ventures
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Clarkson: Q1 2017 Tech IPOs Raised Nearly $28B Across Three Listings
“We had 14 total during the year, 9.6 billion raised this in Q one, right? Cause Q two isn't done yet. Q one, we had three IPOs, but it shows you what an IPO can do because of the size of some of the IPOs you had almost twenty eight billion raised.”
Beezer Clarkson May 1, 2017 ▶ 16:40 20VC: Explosion of First Time Funds, Only 1 Mega Fund Raised: What The Heck Happened in Q1 Venture Markets with Beezer Clarkson, Managing Director @ Sapphire Ventures

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