Nate Silver: Democrats are slight favorites to win in 2028
“I think Democrats are slight favorites to win in 2028.”
Nate Silver: Democrats have an 85% to 90% chance to take the House
“Prediction markets say Democrats are around, I think, 80 or 85% to take the House and 40 or 45% to take the Senate. Those both seem pretty reasonable to me. I think, if anything, it's a little bit low on the House. I think it might be more like 85 or 90.”
Nate Silver: Conditional on winning Senate, Democrats almost certainly win House
“They're almost perfectly correlated. So if the odds of Democrats winning the Senate, but not the House are like one percent, if you go to Kalshi or Polymarket, whatever else, they have to be like around one percent. So conditional on Democrats winning the Sena…”
Sacks: Polling shows 80% of Democrats disapprove of Israel
“If you look at polling, 80% of Democrats now say they disapprove of Israel.”
Fetterman: I am the only Democrat who supports holding Iran accountable
“The president decided to hold Iran accountable. And now, I'm the only Democrat that actually agrees with that.”
Marc Benioff states he is neither a Democrat nor a Republican
“I'm not a Democrat or Republican. I am an American.”
Fetterman claims he was the only Democrat supporting Netanyahu's military actions
“I was the only Democrat that's absolutely Netanyahu just done the right thing to break the that access there Hezbollah and Hamas, you know, attacking also Houthis as well.”
Fetterman says Biden's border policy was a serious failure for Democrats
“We were punished in 24. The border was a serious, serious failure as Democrats, so it's like holding us accountable, and now that's part of our responsibility to learn from that situation.”
Calacanis: Democrats will sweep midterms if Iran conflict continues six months
“If this continues for another six months, it's basically going to result in the Democrats doing a clean sweep in the midterms.”
Friedberg: Democratic wins in 2028 will trigger federal pension bailouts
“If you end up with a Democrat controlled house and a Democrat president, In 20, 28, you'll very likely see a federalization of that obligation, meaning that the federal government will step in to bail out or support those state and local governments”
Clegg: Partisan disagreement on state preemption stalled tech regulation, not lobbying
“I often found that the reasons why there was no consensus across, across the aisle on issues had less to do with who's gone on their fishing retreat or their golf weekend, but more to do with deep differences between Republicans, Democrats on state preemption,…”
Sacks predicts Democrats will abolish Senate filibuster upon regaining trifecta
“The next time the Democrats have the trifecta, they will absolutely get rid of the filibuster.”
Calacanis: Democrats will shellack Republicans in midterms if tactics continue
“The Democrats are going to shellack the Republicans in the midterms if this continues.”
Khanna says Biden administration allowed too many people without proper border security
“We need a secure border. The border let, we let in too many people under the Biden administration without having the proper security. I think the Democrats need to acknowledge that, own up to that, and say that we need to make sure that there are there is a se…”
Mark Cuban clarifies he is not a Democrat, but an independent dissenter
“I'm not even a Democrat. I was just a dissenter.”
Mark Cuban says Trump mastered algorithms while Democrats lack effective salespeople
“What Trump has done well is learn how to flood the zone so that no matter what that algorithm finds for you, he's gonna find a way to you. Whether it's a positive or negative and then you look at Kamala and Brat Summer and, you know, fell off a coconut tree. S…”
Schmitt: Biden's censorship enterprise is the greatest First Amendment affront
“And a censorship enterprise that they created that was so vast. It's the biggest affront to the first event we've ever seen.”
Cuban: Trump executes policies Democrats were not smart enough to do
“I am giving Donald Trump all his flowers because he is doing things in a way that the Democrats aren't smart enough to figure out to have done themselves.”
Cuban: Trump is executing Bernie Sanders-style economic policies better than Democrats
“He's turned into Bernie Sanders. He literally has, you know, only he's a better salesperson. This is fantastic. I give him credit though. I'm not knocking him, right? I am giving Donald Trump all his flowers because he is doing things in a way that the Democra…”
Calacanis: 80% to 95% of social media employees are Democrats
“If you just look at the percentage of people who are Democrats at those companies, it's like 80, 90, 95%.”
Sacks: Democrats opposing D.C. police takeover are falling into Trump's trap
“And I think that just politically speaking, that if Democrats keep opposing this, I think they're falling into a trap that Trump has laid for them.”
Balaji Srinivasan: Democrats destroyed democracy in California and created a one-party state
“In California, elections are held, but the party always wins, exactly like China. Okay, Democrats destroyed democracy in California.”
Balaji Srinivasan: Future democracy will replace two-party systems with a thousand-city model
“That's a future democracy, not a two-party system with the illusion of choice, but a thousand city system with the reality of choice. 97% for Elon, right? This is essentially a precursor to what's coming next, where you vote with your feet, your wallet, and yo…”
Sacks: Democratic Party approval rating sits at an all-time low of net -49
“Democrats, their party, all-time low, it is, let's get the exact number, -49. 21% approve of Democrats, 70% disapprove.”
Rollins: Conservatives lose years in government lacking bureaucratic know-how
“The Democrats are really good. The left is really good at government. We, our side, is really good at raising families and building business, and so this happens every time that we're put into government. We have a team of people that have the best intentions,…”
Sacks: US would be heading to World War III under Democrats
“I have no doubt that if the Democrats were still in office, we would be in an escalatory spiral right now with the destination being World War III.”
Means: Democrats reflexively defend $10B SNAP soda subsidy against Trump
“You've had Democrats passionately arguing that we need to continue to have a ten billion dollar subsidy from the federal government to soda companies on snap just reflexively because, you know, the Trump administration happens to be talking about this.”
Means: Both parties will compete over who is more MAHA in 2028
“If those voters can help Republicans, which is my hope in the midterms, I think you have 2028 where both sides are basically arguing who's more maha, which I think is a positive thing.”
Asparouhov: Silicon Valley political donations were 85% Democratic by dollars
“If you look at, like, you know, donations, Silicon Valley, qua Silicon Valley was still, like, 85%, you know, Democrat, you know, by, on a dollar's basis.”
Josephs: Autopilot is bipartisan and targets more Republicans than Democrats
“We are very bipartisan. We call out more Republicans probably than Democrats, but we just have the Pelosi tracker name.”
Chamath: Has given significantly more money to Democrats than Donald Trump
“Just to be very clear, I give, I have given way more to the Democrats than I've given to Donald Trump.”
Klein: Democrats tend to subsidize demand while choking supply
“My book Abundance with Derek Thompson is about the tendency Democrats have to subsidize things where they are choking off the supply of the thing they want people to have more of.”
Logan Bartlett argues the Democratic Party is anti-growth and anti-capitalism
“If you look Democrats have been very anti-growth and anti-capitalism in a meaningful way. And I think it was just kind of embarrassing in some ways to be extolling the virtues or pushing back too much over the course of the last couple months, because it was s…”
Ben Smith: House Democrats will convene corruption committees targeting Big Tech CEOs
“If the Democrats take the House, we're talking in 20 months, there will be a corruption committee convened, which will have Mark Zuckerberg, Tim Cook, Sundar Pichai, and whoever talking in great detail, but every penny that was directed, and, you know, and I t…”
Andrew Schulz: Republicans message far better than Democrats due to clearer slogans
“I think this is what Republicans are doing way better than Democrats right now is like Democrats don't have build the wall. They don't have slogans. They don't have things that immediately tap into like core emotional feeling”
Sacks: FIT21 passed House last Congress but was blocked by Senate Democrats
“There is a bill that passed the last Congress in the house, but Biden basically, he didn't veto it, but he basically he and the Democrats, he stopped it in the Senate. The Democrats did. It was called fit. 21.”
Shah: Republicans will pass Trump tax cuts bill and flip five Democrats
“Like, if you think that the Republicans on the Hill are not going to pass a bill that actually extends the Trump tax cuts, like, you're nuts. And if you think that it's not going to be super easy to peel off five Democrats to vote for it, Just by giving them, …”
Chamath: The previous two historical equivalents of DOGE were led by Democrats
“The second, which is interesting is these last two versions of Doge were driven and led by Democrats.”
Dalio: US is financially better off under Trump than Biden
“Yes, I do believe we are in the financial context, because in terms of profitability and the likelihood of cutting, I think the Republicans are probably more likely to make these moves than the Democrats, but you also have to take into consideration the impact…”
Pincus: Political campaigns will require authentic, long-form candidate media presence
“We're, we have a new way of doing politics after this election, that there's only authentic, like, only long form, and you, you're gonna have, you're, even the Democrats aren't gonna be able to field a candidate that isn't the full color”
Emmer: Democratic Party replaced Biden with Harris via back-room coup
“How the Democrats are able to remove Joe Biden, literally in a coup, a back room coup, and install Kamala Harris in a matter of hours or days and avoid any convention like real democracy taking place where people are debating their candidates and where they're…”
Khanna: Democrats must spend equal time understanding Trump voters as criticizing Trump
“The Democrats need to spend as much time understanding why many Americans voted for Donald Trump as we do criticizing Donald Trump”
Cruz: All Democrats and half of Republicans vote for major spending bills
“On any big spending bill, you unfortunately have a bipartisan coalition in favor of spending. You have essentially all the Democrats and about half the Republicans.”
Scheyder: Republicans view critical minerals as national security, Democrats as climate
“I think Republicans and Democrats look at the critical minerals issue with the same end goal in mind, but they sort of take two different paths to get there. Republicans tend to look at this issue from a national security lens. Democrats tend to try to look at…”
Sacks: Establishment Republicans, not Democrats, are main threat to reform agenda
“If the reform agenda fails, to be frank, it probably is not going to be the Democrats. It's probably going to be these holdouts in the Republican party.”
Chamath: Trump is the only politician who called without asking for money
“The Democrats only come to me to ask me for money. The only politician that has ever called me just to have a conversation, just to say thank you and be kind, the only one has been Donald Trump.”
Chamath: Democrats will lose California or New York within eight years
“I completely agree with you, and I'll go even further, which is, I think that the Democrats will lose one of California or New York in the next eight years.”
Kamala Harris Campaign Broke Precedent by Actively Amplifying Donald Trump Clips
“One other thing that they did, which is pretty novel, is that they have gotten into the, like, clipping and amplifying little bits of every crazy little thing that Trump says. I mean, there was this school of thought among Democrats. It was pretty prevailing, …”
Sacks: Over 90% of tech employee donations go to Democrats
“If you look at employee donations to party by tech companies, it's all 90 something percent goes to Democrats.”
Lonsdale: 80% of Republicans sympathize with Israel, versus 35% of Democrats
“In the latest Gallup polling, I don't know if you saw, 35% of Democrats sympathize with Israel, 43% sympathize with the Palestinians. Meanwhile, 80% of Republicans sympathize with Israel.”
Galloway: Mobile phone voting will not happen because higher turnout favors Democrats
“Voting on phones. But it's not gonna happen because it would be detrimental. It would benefit Democrats. Because when the number of people voting goes up, it's good for Democratic candidates, and the number of people going, voting goes down, it's good for Repu…”
Portnoy: Democrats bypassing 2024 primary is worse than anything Trump did
“I think that what the Democrats have done is far worse than really anything Trump has done, like, in terms of not allowing a primary.”
Mearsheimer: Republicans and Democrats are foreign policy 'Tweedledee and Tweedledum'
“No, I like to refer to the Republicans and the Democrats as Tweedledee and Tweedledum. There's hardly any difference.”
Megyn Kelly reveals she voted Democrat four times and Republican four times
“I'm a registered independent. I voted in eight presidential elections. I voted Democrat four times and Republican four.”
Vance: Low GDP growth drives political dysfunction in the US
“When the economy is growing four, five, six percent a year, then Democrats can kind of get what they want, Republicans can kind of get what they want, and it all makes sense. If the economy is growing between zero and one percent a year, then I think it makes …”
Andreessen: Democratic presidential candidates in the 1990s were pro-tech and pro-startup
“The Democrats in those days you know, presidential, the presidential level were pro-business, they were pro-tech, they were pro-startup they were pro-America winning in, in, in tech markets they were pro-entrepreneurship,”
Horowitz: Anti-tech stance is specific to Biden, not the Democratic Party
“It's not like a kind of fundamental thing of the Democrats. It's kind of specific to this administration, yeah.”
Raskin: Democrats overestimate Republican anti-Muslim sentiment by 70 points
“If you ask Democrats what percentage of Republicans think all Muslims are bad, Democrats will estimate it's like 85%, but if you actually ask Republicans, it's less than 15%,”
Calacanis: First 2024 debate was an unmitigated disaster for Biden
“It was an unmitigated disaster for the Democrats and President Biden.”
Democrats will replace Joe Biden as nominee within 60 days
“I believe that's what's going to happen in the next 30 to 60 days, so I'm predicting.”