Democrats

also referred to as: democrat

74 statements across 61 episodes · 9 bullish · 41 bearish · 24 people on the record · first statement Oct 3, 2020 by David Sacks · across every show →

Everything said about Democrats, oldest first

Oct 3, 2020 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Biden will sign whatever legislation Congress passes if Democrats win
“Those left elements will drag his sort of center to further to the left and will end up with sort of a compromise. And I think at the end of the day, if the Democrats win Congress, he'll sign whatever they pass.”
David Sacks Oct 3, 2020 ▶ 34:52 E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
Oct 16, 2020 positive
Opinion
Sacks supports establishing 18-year term limits for Supreme Court justices
“And there's been a recent proposal by Democrats that I would support, which basically says, listen, we should have an 18 year term for Supreme Court justice. That's long enough. And each president should get two nominees, like one in the first year and then on…”
David Sacks Oct 16, 2020 ▶ 59:09 E10: Twitter & Facebook botch censorship (again), the publisher vs. distributor debate & more
Nov 4, 2020 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Political polarization will drive tax migration to Republican states
“It seems like we're setting up for Democrats versus companies and people moving to Republican states to have low taxes and to be left alone.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 2:16:12 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 4, 2020 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gerstner: Democrats will not win control of the US Senate
“They're not going to get the Senate either.”
Brad Gerstner Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:39:40 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Nov 11, 2020 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg: Market could drop 30-40% if Democrats win Georgia runoffs
“If the Democrats look like they're getting much more money into the state and they're actually gonna, you know, get people to the polls and to the voting booths and actually get into this runoff on January fifth and actually flip get both of those seats to be …”
David Friedberg Nov 11, 2020 ▶ 33:32 E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Nov 11, 2020
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: 45% of college-educated Republicans fear career risk over political views
“So in exit polling, 45% of Republicans with college degrees express fear that their careers could be at risk if their views became known. Compared to only 23% of Democrats saying that.”
David Sacks Nov 11, 2020 ▶ 45:41 E12: Biden wins, Pfizer vaccine, markets rip, Trump's next act, COVID endgame scenarios & more
Jan 8, 2021 positive
Opinion
Calacanis: Impeaching Trump is right to prevent a 2024 presidential run
“If you are impeached successfully, you can't run again. So I think that this is a way to put the nail in the coffin of Trump even having the ability to run in twenty-twenty-four, which I think is why the Democrats are on the right side of history on this one.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 8, 2021 ▶ 44:44 E16: Reflecting on the riots at the US Capitol, plus: Georgia runoffs, vaccine distribution & more
May 1, 2021 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Americans overwhelmingly believe Republicans better represent hardworking people
“If you ask then Americans who better represents the interests of hardworking people among Republicans and Democrats, the overwhelming answer is now Republicans”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 1, 2021 ▶ 32:55 E31: Post-vaccination virtue signaling, pandemic lessons, immigration, Caitlyn Jenner for CA & more
Jun 13, 2021 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
David Sacks: US foreign policy aligns on China, but domestic policy lags
“You're seeing both Democrats and Republicans really get on the same page now about the threat that China represents, but our domestic policy is not realigned around that.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2021 ▶ 1:31:17 E35: Biogen's controversial Alzheimer's drug approval, the billionaire space race, Bitcoin & more
Jul 16, 2021 neutral
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: 80% of Democrats have received a vaccine versus 49% of Republicans
“80% of Democrats have received one shot compared to 49% of Republicans.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 16, 2021 ▶ 22:44 E40: A Bestie gets COVID, Delta breakthrough, Billionaire Space Race & more
Oct 30, 2021 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Billionaire tax targets Democratic tech founders over Republican private fortunes
“The Democrats are writing a bill that will disproportionately tax democratic successful billionaires. And it'll leave intact the Kochs, who is literally the boogeyman to the progressive left who wants to write this bill.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 30, 2021 ▶ 23:04 E53: Wealth tax, inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, paternity leave & more
Dec 17, 2021 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democrats will perform poorly in 2022 elections if high inflation continues
“People are seeing the inflation at the gas tank when they go to buy food. And you know, if that continues, I think they're going to do very poorly next year.”
David Sacks Dec 17, 2021 ▶ 38:32 E59: Twitter's content warning algo, equity audits, politicians trading stocks, Fed's next move
Dec 29, 2021 bearish
Prediction Held up
David Sacks predicts a Republican wave forces Nancy Pelosi to retire
“My pick for biggest political loser next year is Nancy Pelosi. I, there's a red wave coming. The Democrats for sure are going to lose the house that is baked into the cake. And I predict she will announce for retirement shortly after that.”
David Sacks Dec 29, 2021 ▶ 12:21 E61: 2022 Predictions! Business, politics, science, tech, crypto, & more
Jan 15, 2022 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts a Democratic midterm landslide defeat if focused on Jan 6
“And if you and the Democrats keep talking about this and focus on it, on MSNBC, to the exclusion of the issues that really matter I'll see you in November because you're gonna get slaughtered in this midterm election. It's gonna be a landslide.”
David Sacks Jan 15, 2022 ▶ 2:05 E63: Insurrection indictments, human rights in the US and abroad, groundbreaking MS study and more
Feb 5, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts COVID emergency stance will harm Democrats in 2022 midterms
“This does not bode well for the, on top of everything else that's happening in the country, this does not bode well for the Democrats in November.”
David Sacks Feb 5, 2022 ▶ 1:28:45 E66: $FB's big drop, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup & supply chain issues with Ryan Petersen
Feb 5, 2022
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Polls show 65% of Democrats favor government online content restrictions
“Democrats or lean Democrats versus Republicans who lean Republicans, it's 65 28 in favor of government taking steps to restrict info online. And it's 76, 37 Democrats versus Republicans on tech companies.”
David Sacks Feb 5, 2022 ▶ 1:18:14 E66: $FB's big drop, Rogan/Spotify mess, Xi/Putin meetup & supply chain issues with Ryan Petersen
Feb 12, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Alienating Joe Rogan is political foolishness for the Democratic Party
“He's a really stupid person for the Democrats, for Democratic politicians like Biden to alienate because he's a hero to young people, he's a hero to the working class, and his views are fundamentally, I'd say, more progressive.”
David Sacks Feb 12, 2022 ▶ 24:54 E67: Revisiting Rogan, Canadian truckers' protest, fusion breakthrough, $MSFT's savvy move & more
Apr 1, 2022 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Sacks: Democrats will get shellacked in November 2022 midterms
“That is why the Democrats are going to get shellacked in November.”
David Sacks Apr 1, 2022 ▶ 44:09 E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
May 16, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Musk says he will vote Republican after historically voting for Democrats
“I have voted, voted overwhelmingly for Democrats historically overwhelmingly, like I, I'm not sure. I might never have voted for Republican, just to be clear. Now, now this election, I will.”
Elon Musk May 16, 2022 ▶ 9:02 Elon Musk: Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories & more
May 27, 2022 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Democrats will fail on gun control due to moral virtue signaling
“I think that the Democrats will not make any progress because they try to make this, unfortunately a moral virtue signaling issue.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 27, 2022 ▶ 1:13:54 E83: Market slide continues, and how to address Uvalde
May 28, 2022 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: Democrats are incompetent for failing to court Rogan and Musk
“The Democrats are so incompetent to not court the two most influential people in America today, Joe Rogan and Elon Musk.”
Jason Calacanis May 28, 2022 ▶ 32:51 #AIS: Glenn Greenwald & Matt Taibbi discuss the new political divide, moderated by David Sacks
May 28, 2022 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Greenwald: Polling shows over 90% of MSNBC and NYT consumers are Democrats
“You just look at polling data, that 95% of the people who watch MSNBC and 93% of the people who read the New York Times and trust it identify as Democrats.”
Glenn Greenwald May 28, 2022 ▶ 15:05 #AIS: Glenn Greenwald & Matt Taibbi discuss the new political divide, moderated by David Sacks
May 28, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Taibbi: Democrats represent 41 of the 50 wealthiest US congressional districts
“41 of the richest 50 congressional districts in America had Democrats in those seats, and all of the top 10 richest districts were won by Democrats.”
Matt Taibbi May 28, 2022 ▶ 26:42 #AIS: Glenn Greenwald & Matt Taibbi discuss the new political divide, moderated by David Sacks
May 30, 2022
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nate Silver: Democrats probably keep Senate if generic ballot GOP lead is 2 points
“If you have a generic ballot that favors Republicans by like two points, the Democrats can probably keep the Senate.”
Nate Silver May 30, 2022 ▶ 33:27 #AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think
Jun 2, 2022 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democrats now represent professional elites while Republicans become populist working-class
“Historically the Democrats were the party of the working class. They are now much more the party of the professional class. And they buy into the belief set of sort of the college educated, the, you know, the, those sort of, you call it the woke sensibility. A…”
David Sacks Jun 2, 2022 ▶ 26:05 #AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education
Jun 24, 2022 negative
Opinion
Sacks: Republicans only emphasize spending discipline under Democratic presidents
“For sure, and Republicans only seem to find their principles on spending when there's a Democrat in the White House.”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 16:19 E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast
Jul 22, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Democrats spent $44M boosting MAGA candidates in primaries
“So, recently, there's an article about the Democrats have spent 44 Million dollars this election cycle basically running ads in favor of the crazy MAGA candidate in primaries.”
David Sacks Jul 22, 2022 ▶ 20:11 E88: First principle politics, China chaos & outlook, state of private/public markets & more
Aug 5, 2022 bearish
Prediction Held up
Sacks predicts Democrats will lose control of the House in November
“The Democrats are going to lose the house in November once she Passes the gavel to a new Republican Speaker of the House.”
David Sacks Aug 5, 2022 ▶ 40:31 E90: Twitter subpoenas, market overview, Pelosi's Taiwan visit & more
Jun 2, 2023 neutral
Disclosure
Palihapitiya donated millions to Democrats despite being politically independent
“I'm not registered Democrat or Republican, but I've donated millions of dollars to the Democrats in the last couple of cycles.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 6:33 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Jun 2, 2023 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Ignoring RFK Jr.'s momentum will damage the Democratic Party
“It'll do real damage to the Democrats if Bobby Kennedy gets a ton of steam and they ignore him.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 2, 2023 ▶ 15:53 E131: 2024 Fantasy President picks, debt ceiling agreement, Dollar dominance & more
Jun 10, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Most US Democrats oppose an open border policy
“I think even most people in the country who identify as Democrats would be against having an open border.”
David Sacks Jun 10, 2023 ▶ 5:09 E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
Nov 17, 2023
Assertion Supported
Phillips: Minnesota's 3rd District had not elected a Democrat since 1958
“The district had not been won by a Democrat since the 1958 election.”
Dean Phillips Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 12:06 In conversation with Dean Phillips
Dec 29, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Sacks: Abortion rights are the Democrats' only winning political issue
“I'd go so far as to say it's the Democrats' only winning issue, and they are putting it on the ballot everywhere they can.”
David Sacks Dec 29, 2023 ▶ 7:55 E159: The Bestie Awards! Recapping the best and worst of 2023
Apr 5, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Republican administration will not significantly reopen big tech M&A
“I think the Democrats and the Republicans are really well aligned here. They don't like deals, and I don't think you're going to see a big sea change. They hate big tech for different reasons, but they equally want to slow them down.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 45:15 E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
Apr 26, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Strong possibility Biden's unrealized gains tax passes if Democrats win trifecta
“So if the Democrats have the trifecta, if Biden wins reelection and holds onto the Senate and house, but without Manchin and Sinema, I think you have to price in the strong possibility that this passes.”
David Sacks Apr 26, 2024 ▶ 1:30:18 Meta's scorched earth approach to AI, Tesla's future, TikTok bill, FTC bans noncompetes, wealth tax
May 31, 2024 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Democrats will not replace Joe Biden following Trump's conviction
“If you want to make a switcheroo and get a different candidate than Joe Biden, that's not going to happen now because Democrats in the media think that this is their salvation.”
David Sacks May 31, 2024 ▶ 1:36:33 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
May 31, 2024 bearish
Prediction Held up
Democrats will replace Joe Biden as nominee within 60 days
“I believe that's what's going to happen in the next 30 to 60 days, so I'm predicting.”
Jason Calacanis May 31, 2024 ▶ 14:37 Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Jun 29, 2024 negative
Opinion
Calacanis: First 2024 debate was an unmitigated disaster for Biden
“It was an unmitigated disaster for the Democrats and President Biden.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 29, 2024 ▶ 2:04 Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
Sep 10, 2024 negative
Insight
Vance: Low GDP growth drives political dysfunction in the US
“When the economy is growing four, five, six percent a year, then Democrats can kind of get what they want, Republicans can kind of get what they want, and it all makes sense. If the economy is growing between zero and one percent a year, then I think it makes …”
JD Vance Sep 10, 2024 ▶ 4:24 JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
Sep 12, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Megyn Kelly reveals she voted Democrat four times and Republican four times
“I'm a registered independent. I voted in eight presidential elections. I voted Democrat four times and Republican four.”
Megyn Kelly Sep 12, 2024 ▶ 15:22 Megyn Kelly | All-In Summit 2024
Sep 16, 2024 negative
Opinion
Mearsheimer: Republicans and Democrats are foreign policy 'Tweedledee and Tweedledum'
“No, I like to refer to the Republicans and the Democrats as Tweedledee and Tweedledum. There's hardly any difference.”
John Mearsheimer Sep 16, 2024 ▶ 2:54 Deep State, Hegemony & U.S. Foreign Policy: John Mearsheimer vs. Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit
Sep 17, 2024 negative
Opinion
Portnoy: Democrats bypassing 2024 primary is worse than anything Trump did
“I think that what the Democrats have done is far worse than really anything Trump has done, like, in terms of not allowing a primary.”
Dave Portnoy Sep 17, 2024 ▶ 27:14 Dave Portnoy: How He Bought Back Barstool for $1 | The All-In Interview
Nov 1, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Over 90% of tech employee donations go to Democrats
“If you look at employee donations to party by tech companies, it's all 90 something percent goes to Democrats.”
David Sacks Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 1:07:39 Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!
Nov 8, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Chamath: Trump is the only politician who called without asking for money
“The Democrats only come to me to ask me for money. The only politician that has ever called me just to have a conversation, just to say thank you and be kind, the only one has been Donald Trump.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 19:20 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 8, 2024 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2032
Chamath: Democrats will lose California or New York within eight years
“I completely agree with you, and I'll go even further, which is, I think that the Democrats will lose one of California or New York in the next eight years.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 27:14 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Nov 23, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Establishment Republicans, not Democrats, are main threat to reform agenda
“If the reform agenda fails, to be frank, it probably is not going to be the Democrats. It's probably going to be these holdouts in the Republican party.”
David Sacks Nov 23, 2024 ▶ 41:19 DOGE unveils a roadmap, Unlocking GDP Growth, WW3 escalation, Fat cell memory
Jan 19, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cruz: All Democrats and half of Republicans vote for major spending bills
“On any big spending bill, you unfortunately have a bipartisan coalition in favor of spending. You have essentially all the Democrats and about half the Republicans.”
Senator Ted Cruz Jan 19, 2025 ▶ 32:17 Ted Cruz: Trump's First Week, Texas vs. California, Immigration, DOGE, Greenland
Jan 20, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Khanna: Democrats must spend equal time understanding Trump voters as criticizing Trump
“The Democrats need to spend as much time understanding why many Americans voted for Donald Trump as we do criticizing Donald Trump”
Ro Khanna Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 1:10:01 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 negative
Opinion
Emmer: Democratic Party replaced Biden with Harris via back-room coup
“How the Democrats are able to remove Joe Biden, literally in a coup, a back room coup, and install Kamala Harris in a matter of hours or days and avoid any convention like real democracy taking place where people are debating their candidates and where they're…”
Tom Emmer Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 2:58 Inauguration Interviews: Trump's Talent, Dem Rebrand & more w/ Whip Emmer, Reps Swalwell & Khanna
Jan 20, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pincus: Political campaigns will require authentic, long-form candidate media presence
“We're, we have a new way of doing politics after this election, that there's only authentic, like, only long form, and you, you're gonna have, you're, even the Democrats aren't gonna be able to field a candidate that isn't the full color”
Mark Pincus Jan 20, 2025 ▶ 25:55 All-In Inauguration Day Livestream with the Besties from Washington, DC!
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Dalio: US is financially better off under Trump than Biden
“Yes, I do believe we are in the financial context, because in terms of profitability and the likelihood of cutting, I think the Republicans are probably more likely to make these moves than the Democrats, but you also have to take into consideration the impact…”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 55:35 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
Feb 7, 2025
Assertion Supported
Chamath: The previous two historical equivalents of DOGE were led by Democrats
“The second, which is interesting is these last two versions of Doge were driven and led by Democrats.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 12:18 DOGE vs USAID, Crypto Framework, Google's $75B AI Spend, US Sovereign Wealth Fund, GLP-1s
Mar 8, 2025
Assertion Supported
Sacks: FIT21 passed House last Congress but was blocked by Senate Democrats
“There is a bill that passed the last Congress in the house, but Biden basically, he didn't veto it, but he basically he and the Democrats, he stopped it in the Senate. The Democrats did. It was called fit. 21.”
David Sacks Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:58:10 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Mar 15, 2025 negative
Opinion
Andrew Schulz: Republicans message far better than Democrats due to clearer slogans
“I think this is what Republicans are doing way better than Democrats right now is like Democrats don't have build the wall. They don't have slogans. They don't have things that immediately tap into like core emotional feeling”
Andrew Schulz Mar 15, 2025 ▶ 30:47 Fixing the American Dream with Andrew Schulz
Apr 11, 2025
Disclosure
Chamath: Has given significantly more money to Democrats than Donald Trump
“Just to be very clear, I give, I have given way more to the Democrats than I've given to Donald Trump.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 1:17:32 The Great Tariff Debate with David Sacks, Larry Summers, and Ezra Klein
Apr 11, 2025 negative
Insight
Klein: Democrats tend to subsidize demand while choking supply
“My book Abundance with Derek Thompson is about the tendency Democrats have to subsidize things where they are choking off the supply of the thing they want people to have more of.”
Ezra Klein Apr 11, 2025 ▶ 1:20:21 The Great Tariff Debate with David Sacks, Larry Summers, and Ezra Klein
May 3, 2025 negative
What-if
Sacks: US would be heading to World War III under Democrats
“I have no doubt that if the Democrats were still in office, we would be in an escalatory spiral right now with the destination being World War III.”
David Sacks May 3, 2025 ▶ 27:27 Trump's First 100 Days, Tariffs Impact Trade, AI Agents, Amazon Backs Down
May 4, 2025
Insight
Rollins: Conservatives lose years in government lacking bureaucratic know-how
“The Democrats are really good. The left is really good at government. We, our side, is really good at raising families and building business, and so this happens every time that we're put into government. We have a team of people that have the best intentions,…”
Brooke Rollins May 4, 2025 ▶ 15:12 Brooke Rollins, Secretary of Agriculture | All-In DC
Jun 13, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Democratic Party approval rating sits at an all-time low of net -49
“Democrats, their party, all-time low, it is, let's get the exact number, -49. 21% approve of Democrats, 70% disapprove.”
David Sacks Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 42:16 Tucker Carlson: ICE Raids, LA Riots, Strong Economic Data, Politicized Fed, War with Iran?
Aug 15, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Democrats opposing D.C. police takeover are falling into Trump's trap
“And I think that just politically speaking, that if Democrats keep opposing this, I think they're falling into a trap that Trump has laid for them.”
David Sacks Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 1:03:33 AI Psychosis, America's Broken Social Fabric, Trump Takes Over DC Police, Is VC Broken?
Aug 21, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: 80% to 95% of social media employees are Democrats
“If you just look at the percentage of people who are Democrats at those companies, it's like 80, 90, 95%.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 8:52 Senator Eric Schmitt: Exposing the Biggest Censorship Scandal in US History
Oct 2, 2025 negative
Opinion
Khanna says Biden administration allowed too many people without proper border security
“We need a secure border. The border let, we let in too many people under the Biden administration without having the proper security. I think the Democrats need to acknowledge that, own up to that, and say that we need to make sure that there are there is a se…”
Ro Khanna Oct 2, 2025 ▶ 6:28 Ro Khanna Calls Out Both Parties: Immigration, Tech & Free Speech
Oct 10, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Democrats will shellack Republicans in midterms if tactics continue
“The Democrats are going to shellack the Republicans in the midterms if this continues.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 28:57 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Nov 7, 2025 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Sacks predicts Democrats will abolish Senate filibuster upon regaining trifecta
“The next time the Democrats have the trifecta, they will absolutely get rid of the filibuster.”
David Sacks Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 59:48 Does OpenAI Need a Bailout? Mamdani Wins, Socialism Rising, Filibuster Nuclear Option
Feb 13, 2026 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Friedberg: Democratic wins in 2028 will trigger federal pension bailouts
“If you end up with a Democrat controlled house and a Democrat president, In 20, 28, you'll very likely see a federalization of that obligation, meaning that the federal government will step in to bail out or support those state and local governments”
David Friedberg Feb 13, 2026 ▶ 36:00 Debt Spiral or NEW Golden Age? Super Bowl Insider Trading, Booming Token Budgets, Ferrari's New EV
Mar 13, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Calacanis: Democrats will sweep midterms if Iran conflict continues six months
“If this continues for another six months, it's basically going to result in the Democrats doing a clean sweep in the midterms.”
Jason Calacanis Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 16:57 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
Mar 18, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Fetterman claims he was the only Democrat supporting Netanyahu's military actions
“I was the only Democrat that's absolutely Netanyahu just done the right thing to break the that access there Hezbollah and Hamas, you know, attacking also Houthis as well.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 5:05 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
Mar 18, 2026 negative
Opinion
Fetterman says Biden's border policy was a serious failure for Democrats
“We were punished in 24. The border was a serious, serious failure as Democrats, so it's like holding us accountable, and now that's part of our responsibility to learn from that situation.”
John Fetterman Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 32:14 John Fetterman: 'I'm the Only Democrat in Congress Saying This'
May 15, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Marc Benioff states he is neither a Democrat nor a Republican
“I'm not a Democrat or Republican. I am an American.”
Marc Benioff May 15, 2026 ▶ 0:52 Trump-Xi Summit, Benioff: "Not My First SaaSpocalypse," OpenAI vs Apple, Multi-Sensory AI, El Niño
Jun 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fetterman: I am the only Democrat who supports holding Iran accountable
“The president decided to hold Iran accountable. And now, I'm the only Democrat that actually agrees with that.”
John Fetterman Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 7:47 Senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick: Bipartisanship, Money in DC, Datacenters, Graham Platner
Jun 27, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Polling shows 80% of Democrats disapprove of Israel
“If you look at polling, 80% of Democrats now say they disapprove of Israel.”
David Sacks Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 35:05 Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter
Jun 29, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Nate Silver: Democrats are slight favorites to win in 2028
“I think Democrats are slight favorites to win in 2028.”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 30:11 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
Jun 29, 2026
Insight
Nate Silver: Conditional on winning Senate, Democrats almost certainly win House
“They're almost perfectly correlated. So if the odds of Democrats winning the Senate, but not the House are like one percent, if you go to Kalshi or Polymarket, whatever else, they have to be like around one percent. So conditional on Democrats winning the Sena…”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 54:09 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
Jun 29, 2026
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Nate Silver: Democrats have an 85% to 90% chance to take the House
“Prediction markets say Democrats are around, I think, 80 or 85% to take the House and 40 or 45% to take the Senate. Those both seem pretty reasonable to me. I think, if anything, it's a little bit low on the House. I think it might be more like 85 or 90.”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 50:02 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
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