Reil: Banks grouped defense in the same bucket as porn and gambling
“Back then the defense of a country or of a democratic society was grouped for banks in the same bucket as pornography and gambling and smoking.”
Lakeland: Defense is by far the largest market for satellite imagery
“If you look at the size of the market share in, in, in satellites, you know, defense is probably the, by and large, the largest need for satellite imagery.”
Lubershane: Ultra-dense batteries will commercialize in defense long before EVs
“Lithium-ion batteries we have today are kind of good enough from a range standpoint, so like, it would be cool to have a thousand watt-hour per kilogram battery, but not at four times the price. Like, I just don't, I think that would not get traction in the EV…”
Krause: Novel alloys will reach defense and space systems in 3-5 years
“I would say something on the alloy side, like aerospace, we feel good opportunity three to five year timeline. Yeah, correct. I think it'll be an application, not like manned flight. Like, I don't think it'll be a jet turbine because of the constraints there w…”
Scott: The narrative that only AI, defense, and energy matter is untrue
“What you're seeing in the headlines today is basically, Hey, AI is all that matters.
Maybe defense matters because the world is becoming a slightly more volatile place, and energy matters as a derivative of AI.
So if you're not already super exposed to those i…”
Horowitz: Japan increased defense spending from 0% to 3% of GDP
“They just went from zero percent of GDP to three percent of GDP spent on defense.”
Bry: Skydio's biggest and fastest-growing business is civilian, not defense
“Our biggest, fastest growing businesses are in the civilian sector. They're not in defense.”
Sankar: Vietnam War created an unhealed schism between academia and defense
“I think the first schism was really during Vietnam, where people felt like they were lied to about the war. It drove a fundamental schism between academia and defense. And that we've never really healed from that schism.”
O'Driscoll: There will only be five or six big defense tech winners
“The Pentagon budget for new shit is fairly finite, and I think there'll be five or six big winners in defense. I'm not sure there'll be a hundred.”
Mandia: Good guys will use offensive AI agents to train defensive AI
“There is no question that in the future you'll have AI agents on offense run by the good guys to train the AI on defense run by the good guys.”
Gecko Robotics generates roughly 30% of its business from defense
“We do about 30% of our businesses defense.”
Mensch: Mistral is building custom edge-model platforms with defense robotics partners
“And so our bet in robotics and what we've been doing with multiple companies in defense in particular is to build that platform that allows to train models fit to purpose that can then be deployed on the edge potentially”
Lonsdale: US spending on debt interest now exceeds defense spending
“I think we're spending more on our interest than on our defense now, which is crazy.”
Schimpf: Defense requires high product diversity at low production volumes
“Defense is a very unique world where you're going to build a lot of different products at relatively low volumes.”
Ulevitch: Almost Every Major European Nation Committed to Doubling Defense Spending
“Almost every major country in Europe has made a commitment to double or more their spending their GDP level spend on, on defense.”
Dash: Vertical AI will create $10B ARR companies in 10-15 years
“I'm pretty sure we're going to see five to ten billion dollar ARR companies in healthcare, education, defense, and retail. In the next 10 to 15 years that are not going to be head-on competing with the same companies that are competing code generation.”
Cahn: Defense technology is the next AI-scale investment opportunity
“I would say, and I think this ties into our conversation so far, that AI, that defense is the next AI.”
Cahn: Sequoia Capital was late to investing in defense tech
“So I do think, look, there's no way around it. Skoya was late to defense.”
Cahn: Defense tech is under-hyped and awaiting its ChatGPT moment
“And so, anyways, I think that the Transformer paper moment was the was the Ukraine war, and then I think the Chi-GPT moment hasn't happened yet. And so I think that defense is actually, you know, is under-hyped in some ways, or like underestimated in some ways”
Younis: Applied Intuition expanded to defense 18 months in
“We got into defense in about a year and a half after we started, and we, then we did construction and mining, and then commercial trucking, and So we got into all these adjacent industries to, like, also to diversify the company, right?”
Little: $150B Defense Investment Over Last Three Years Matches Prior Decade
“And what's been fascinating to see is like almost of the private capital is a hundred fifty billion dollars has been invested in defense over the last three years.
That's as much as the previous 10 years.”
Freise: Displaced European auto engineers immediately find jobs in defense and sensors
“When the automotive industry is shrinking because of some of the factors you mentioned, those people immediately find jobs in other industries which are growing. Whether that is censors, whether that is defense.”
Only a couple of massive drone companies will emerge despite growing demand
“I don't think there are going to be a hundred massive drone companies. I think there will be a couple. I do think that drones are going to play a major role in, you know you know, future conflicts and defense.”
Younis: Silicon Valley controversy over defense tech work has vanished
“I think, let's say, 10 years ago, there was more controversy on should you do defense or not. I think that's all basically gone in Silicon Valley”
Yudis: Automotive autonomy software dynamics mirror defense, construction, and mining
“And I think what we learned after we got into the business, we started the company was actually the dynamics that exist in automotive are the same that exist in defense, they exist in construction, mining, they exist in trucking, and so... And then they not on…”
Boland: Europe will spend €2-3 trillion on defense within 8 years
“And there's probably, what, two to three trillion can be spent over the next five to eight years in Europe, in defense, actually, and all layers, not just final product, but like components, and there's lots of layers here, I think.”
Asparouhov: Many VC LPAs previously banned defense alongside porn and gambling
“A significant amount of the investors that now all talk about defense literally had it in their LPA of, you know, the three things that they weren't allowed to invest into was gambling, porn, and defense. And it was like put as one of those top three effective…”
Asparouhov: Some VC LPAs will likely re-add defense to vice clauses
“I think it's pretty likely that, you know, over the next decade, some of those LPAs end up going back to having defense in the vice clause.”
Ross: Cyber defense must be automated to withstand AI attackers
“And now the defense has to be automated, because there's no way to keep up with automated attackers.”
Torsten Reil: Europe can establish tech sovereignty within five to ten years
“I'm not sure whether we'll be able to create those companies kind of in the next two or three years to a point where they provide sufficient sovereignty, but I'm very sure we can do it over the next five to 10 years.”
Sam Lessin: Federal Spending Outside Interest, Defense, and Entitlements Is a Rounding Error
“The government really only spends money on three things. Interest, right? Defense and entitlements. Everything else is kind of a rounding error.”
Hays: ACS founder Steve Simone will be the Travis Kalanick of defense
“I think I think he's the, gonna be look back as the TK of defense. Like, he's like one of one individual”
Susan: Physical industries will produce full-stack giants like Tesla and SpaceX
“My vision is we're going to see a lot of Teslas and SpaceX and NVIDIA is being built across those physical industries like energy, supply chain, defense, et cetera.”
Autonomous vessel swarms will emerge for defense and ocean monitoring
“Anticipate there's going to be a number of companies that are able to provide swarms of vessels, both on the surface and also subsurface that are able to not only protect our shores and our allies, but are able to detect environmental damage issues in our ocea…”
Boyle: Aerospace and defense startups consolidate finite talent into early holding companies
“These companies usually become holding companies pretty quickly and attract all of the talent. There's finite talent around things like aerospace. There's finite talent around things like defense. So you don't see as many competitors. And as I said, they are h…”
Artial focuses on civilian drone safety, avoiding defense applications
“No, no, no. It's for the companies who want to make their drones a stability flight. So they are applying it for different use cases in cities. So it's mostly for the people who want to make a Drone is safer, more drone safer technology and fly accurately with…”
Boyle: Navigating regulatory hurdles unlocks markets dominated by slow incumbents
“And if you can get through the regulatory hurdles or the procurement hurdles and see that market on the other side, you are competing against the slowest moving incumbents because they have had an effective monopoly for decades. That's true of education. That'…”
Palmer Luckey: SpaceX and Palantir Were Defense's Only Recent Unicorns
“And when I looked at national security, it was a very interesting space where the only two unicorns in the last 30 years in defense, Palantir and SpaceX, were both founded by people who had just sold their company for billions of dollars.”