Defense

topic on 17 shows · 38 statements across 35 episodes

Acquired In Depth More or Less Innovators & Investors American Optimist David Senra Latent Space the Neon Show A Product Market Fit Show Sourcery Catalyst Top Founders the a16z Podcast Big Technology All-In TBPN 20VC

38 statements about Defense, every show

DAVID SENRA Assertion Supported
Reil: Banks grouped defense in the same bucket as porn and gambling
“Back then the defense of a country or of a democratic society was grouped for banks in the same bucket as pornography and gambling and smoking.”
Torsten Reil Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 10:22 Building Defense Technologies to Protect Democracies | Torsten Reil, Helsing
INNOVATORS & INVESTORS Assertion Supported
Lakeland: Defense is by far the largest market for satellite imagery
“If you look at the size of the market share in, in, in satellites, you know, defense is probably the, by and large, the largest need for satellite imagery.”
Bill Lakeland Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 7:52 Unlocking Spatial Intelligence with Bill Lakeland of Spexi | The Innovators & Investors Podcast
CATALYST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lubershane: Ultra-dense batteries will commercialize in defense long before EVs
“Lithium-ion batteries we have today are kind of good enough from a range standpoint, so like, it would be cool to have a thousand watt-hour per kilogram battery, but not at four times the price. Like, I just don't, I think that would not get traction in the EV…”
Andy Lubershane Jun 18, 2026 ▶ 33:23 Enter the electric supercycle
LATENT SPACE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krause: Novel alloys will reach defense and space systems in 3-5 years
“I would say something on the alloy side, like aerospace, we feel good opportunity three to five year timeline. Yeah, correct. I think it'll be an application, not like manned flight. Like, I don't think it'll be a jet turbine because of the constraints there w…”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 31:23 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
Scott: The narrative that only AI, defense, and energy matter is untrue
“What you're seeing in the headlines today is basically, Hey, AI is all that matters. Maybe defense matters because the world is becoming a slightly more volatile place, and energy matters as a derivative of AI. So if you're not already super exposed to those i…”
Eric Scott May 22, 2026 ▶ 28:32 AI Investing Strategy for 2026 · Joe Lonsdale
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Japan increased defense spending from 0% to 3% of GDP
“They just went from zero percent of GDP to three percent of GDP spent on defense.”
Ben Horowitz May 8, 2026 ▶ 16:15 Ben Horowitz on American Dynamism and the Future of AI | The a16z Show
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bry: Skydio's biggest and fastest-growing business is civilian, not defense
“Our biggest, fastest growing businesses are in the civilian sector. They're not in defense.”
Adam Bry Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 8:25 Skydio Raises $110M Series F at $4.4B Valuation | CEO Adam Bry · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
ALL-IN Insight
Sankar: Vietnam War created an unhealed schism between academia and defense
“I think the first schism was really during Vietnam, where people felt like they were lied to about the war. It drove a fundamental schism between academia and defense. And that we've never really healed from that schism.”
Shyam Sankar Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 56:09 The State of Modern War: Palantir & Anduril Execs on Drones, AI, and the End of Traditional Warfare
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: There will only be five or six big defense tech winners
“The Pentagon budget for new shit is fairly finite, and I think there'll be five or six big winners in defense. I'm not sure there'll be a hundred.”
Rory O'Driscoll Mar 19, 2026 ▶ 36:17 NVIDIA Predicts $1TRN in Revenue: Everything You Need to Know From GTC & Anduril Lands $20B Contract · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Prediction Held up
Mandia: Good guys will use offensive AI agents to train defensive AI
“There is no question that in the future you'll have AI agents on offense run by the good guys to train the AI on defense run by the good guys.”
Kevin Mandia Feb 4, 2026 ▶ 28:36 AI Expert: Agents Will Take Over Everything · Joe Lonsdale
ALL-IN Disclosure
Gecko Robotics generates roughly 30% of its business from defense
“We do about 30% of our businesses defense.”
Jake Loosararian Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 1:21:44 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
BIG TECHNOLOGY Disclosure
Mensch: Mistral is building custom edge-model platforms with defense robotics partners
“And so our bet in robotics and what we've been doing with multiple companies in defense in particular is to build that platform that allows to train models fit to purpose that can then be deployed on the edge potentially”
Arthur Mensch Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 50:22 Who Wins if AI Models Commoditize? — With Mistral CEO Arthur Mensch
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Supported
Lonsdale: US spending on debt interest now exceeds defense spending
“I think we're spending more on our interest than on our defense now, which is crazy.”
Joe Lonsdale Dec 30, 2025 ▶ 12:44 These Jobs Will Skyrocket in the AI Economy · Joe Lonsdale
SOURCERY Insight
Schimpf: Defense requires high product diversity at low production volumes
“Defense is a very unique world where you're going to build a lot of different products at relatively low volumes.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 7:07 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Ulevitch: Almost Every Major European Nation Committed to Doubling Defense Spending
“Almost every major country in Europe has made a commitment to double or more their spending their GDP level spend on, on defense.”
David Ulevitch Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 39:00 Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen: Why Silicon Valley Turned Against Defense (And How We're Fixing It)
NEON SHOW Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2040
Dash: Vertical AI will create $10B ARR companies in 10-15 years
“I'm pretty sure we're going to see five to ten billion dollar ARR companies in healthcare, education, defense, and retail. In the next 10 to 15 years that are not going to be head-on competing with the same companies that are competing code generation.”
Somesh Dash Nov 18, 2025 ▶ 43:05 What 20 Years of Investing taught Somesh Dash of IVP after backing Perplexity, Figma, Dropbox
20VC Opinion
Cahn: Defense technology is the next AI-scale investment opportunity
“I would say, and I think this ties into our conversation so far, that AI, that defense is the next AI.”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 58:52 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Cahn: Sequoia Capital was late to investing in defense tech
“So I do think, look, there's no way around it. Skoya was late to defense.”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 59:08 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Cahn: Defense tech is under-hyped and awaiting its ChatGPT moment
“And so, anyways, I think that the Transformer paper moment was the was the Ukraine war, and then I think the Chi-GPT moment hasn't happened yet. And so I think that defense is actually, you know, is under-hyped in some ways, or like underestimated in some ways”
David Cahn Oct 27, 2025 ▶ 1:00:30 Sequoia Partner, David Cahn on Who Wins in AI, Defence & The New $0–$100M Playbook · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
IN DEPTH Disclosure
Younis: Applied Intuition expanded to defense 18 months in
“We got into defense in about a year and a half after we started, and we, then we did construction and mining, and then commercial trucking, and So we got into all these adjacent industries to, like, also to diversify the company, right?”
Qasar Younis Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 33:08 Inside the ex-YC partner’s $15B self driving car company | Qasar Younis
SOURCERY Assertion Supported
Little: $150B Defense Investment Over Last Three Years Matches Prior Decade
“And what's been fascinating to see is like almost of the private capital is a hundred fifty billion dollars has been invested in defense over the last three years. That's as much as the previous 10 years.”
Greg Little Jul 22, 2025 ▶ 9:35 How Palantir Is Modernizing the Military With AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Freise: Displaced European auto engineers immediately find jobs in defense and sensors
“When the automotive industry is shrinking because of some of the factors you mentioned, those people immediately find jobs in other industries which are growing. Whether that is censors, whether that is defense.”
Philipp Freise Jun 30, 2025 ▶ 46:45 KKR's Head of European PE, Philipp Freise: Do Andreessen & General Catalyst Scare KKR? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
Only a couple of massive drone companies will emerge despite growing demand
“I don't think there are going to be a hundred massive drone companies. I think there will be a couple. I do think that drones are going to play a major role in, you know you know, future conflicts and defense.”
Eric Crispin May 16, 2025 ▶ 47:02 How Altimeter's $10B AUM Fund Is Investing In Aerospace, Defense, & Hardtech · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Younis: Silicon Valley controversy over defense tech work has vanished
“I think, let's say, 10 years ago, there was more controversy on should you do defense or not. I think that's all basically gone in Silicon Valley”
Qasar Younis May 6, 2025 ▶ 25:13 Modernizing Warfare and Beyond
a16z Insight
Yudis: Automotive autonomy software dynamics mirror defense, construction, and mining
“And I think what we learned after we got into the business, we started the company was actually the dynamics that exist in automotive are the same that exist in defense, they exist in construction, mining, they exist in trucking, and so... And then they not on…”
Qasar Younis Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 3:07 Autonomy is no longer a moonshot—it’s a market
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2033
Boland: Europe will spend €2-3 trillion on defense within 8 years
“And there's probably, what, two to three trillion can be spent over the next five to eight years in Europe, in defense, actually, and all layers, not just final product, but like components, and there's lots of layers here, I think.”
Stan Boland Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 35:39 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
TBPN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: Many VC LPAs previously banned defense alongside porn and gambling
“A significant amount of the investors that now all talk about defense literally had it in their LPA of, you know, the three things that they weren't allowed to invest into was gambling, porn, and defense. And it was like put as one of those top three effective…”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 1, 2025 ▶ 3:40 Delian Asparouhov on Defense Startups, NASA, Continuing Resolution and More
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Asparouhov: Some VC LPAs will likely re-add defense to vice clauses
“I think it's pretty likely that, you know, over the next decade, some of those LPAs end up going back to having defense in the vice clause.”
Delian Asparouhov Apr 1, 2025 ▶ 3:54 Delian Asparouhov on Defense Startups, NASA, Continuing Resolution and More
20VC Insight
Ross: Cyber defense must be automated to withstand AI attackers
“And now the defense has to be automated, because there's no way to keep up with automated attackers.”
Jonathan Ross Jan 29, 2025 ▶ 55:34 Jonathan Ross: DeepSeek Special - How Should OpenAI and the US Government Respond | E1253 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Torsten Reil: Europe can establish tech sovereignty within five to ten years
“I'm not sure whether we'll be able to create those companies kind of in the next two or three years to a point where they provide sufficient sovereignty, but I'm very sure we can do it over the next five to 10 years.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:05:26 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
MORE OR LESS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sam Lessin: Federal Spending Outside Interest, Defense, and Entitlements Is a Rounding Error
“The government really only spends money on three things. Interest, right? Defense and entitlements. Everything else is kind of a rounding error.”
Sam Lessin Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:02:25 #76: In a World with 99.99% Accurate AI… (feat. Aaron Levie) · More or Less Podcast
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: ACS founder Steve Simone will be the Travis Kalanick of defense
“I think I think he's the, gonna be look back as the TK of defense. Like, he's like one of one individual”
Jordi Hays Nov 14, 2024 ▶ 2:20:49 Low T levels at Y-Combinator (ep9)
PRODUCT MARKET FIT Prediction Not checkable as stated
Susan: Physical industries will produce full-stack giants like Tesla and SpaceX
“My vision is we're going to see a lot of Teslas and SpaceX and NVIDIA is being built across those physical industries like energy, supply chain, defense, et cetera.”
Lior Susan Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 9:28 His robotics startup raised $400M, his VC fund over $4B—& he ran both at the same time. Here's ho... · PMF Show
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Autonomous vessel swarms will emerge for defense and ocean monitoring
“Anticipate there's going to be a number of companies that are able to provide swarms of vessels, both on the surface and also subsurface that are able to not only protect our shores and our allies, but are able to detect environmental damage issues in our ocea…”
Grant Gregory Dec 24, 2023 ▶ 21:42 Big Ideas 2024: A New Age of Maritime Exploration with Grant Gregory
ACQUIRED Insight
Boyle: Aerospace and defense startups consolidate finite talent into early holding companies
“These companies usually become holding companies pretty quickly and attract all of the talent. There's finite talent around things like aerospace. There's finite talent around things like defense. So you don't see as many competitors. And as I said, they are h…”
Katherine Boyle Jun 6, 2022 ▶ 12:56 American Dynamism (with Katherine Boyle) · Acquired
TOP FOUNDERS Disclosure
Artial focuses on civilian drone safety, avoiding defense applications
“No, no, no. It's for the companies who want to make their drones a stability flight. So they are applying it for different use cases in cities. So it's mostly for the people who want to make a Drone is safer, more drone safer technology and fly accurately with…”
Igor Fali May 14, 2022 ▶ 2:47 Drone Safety Software Raises at $4m Valuation, Lands first $100k Pilot for 25 Drones
20VC Insight
Boyle: Navigating regulatory hurdles unlocks markets dominated by slow incumbents
“And if you can get through the regulatory hurdles or the procurement hurdles and see that market on the other side, you are competing against the slowest moving incumbents because they have had an effective monopoly for decades. That's true of education. That'…”
Katherine Boyle Oct 1, 2020 ▶ 21:13 20VC: What Is Founder Narrative Fit and How to Detect and Invest In It, How To Avoid Consensus Thinking When Investing, Price Sensititivity; When To Pay Up vs Stay Disciplined & From New York Times To General Catalyst; Why Venture and Journalism are Not S
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Palmer Luckey: SpaceX and Palantir Were Defense's Only Recent Unicorns
“And when I looked at national security, it was a very interesting space where the only two unicorns in the last 30 years in defense, Palantir and SpaceX, were both founded by people who had just sold their company for billions of dollars.”
Palmer Luckey Sep 28, 2020 ▶ 7:48 20VC: Anduril Founder, Palmer Luckey: "I Am Here To Build a $50Bn Company", How Palmer Evaluates His Relationship To Money Pre & Post Oculus' $2.3Bn Exit & Why The US DOD Needs To Be More Like China in It's Approach

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