Brian Schimpf

Co-Founder and CEO, Anduril Industries · 2 appearances on the record.

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founderexecutiveengineer@schimpfbrian ↗anduril.com ↗

In 2017, Schimpf co-founded defense technology contractor Anduril Industries, leading the company as CEO to develop autonomous systems and AI-enabled hardware. Before launching Anduril, he spent nearly a decade at Palantir Technologies, where he served as Director of Engineering.

19statements → 13claims → 6claims resolved → 33%fully supported → 3.68/5average certainty → 2.16/5average debate potential → 25said about them ↓

2 supported 2 partly supported 2 contradicted 2 not yet assessed 5 not checkable as stated how the 13 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

5 predictions · 8 assertions · 2 opinions · 3 insights · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 13 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 6 are resolved, 2 are not yet assessed, and 5 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Brian argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Prediction Held up
Schimpf: Anduril will produce autonomous fighter jets in months
“We're making autonomous fighter jets. You know, like three years ago, we weren't believable to make autonomous fighter jets. Now we're doing it. And we're going to have them be produced in a production facility in like months from now.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 4:17 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
US defense procurement relative to GDP is at an all-time low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 13:49 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
38% certainty 3
75% certainty 4
none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Brian Schimpf on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Brian Schimpf said on Sourcery that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion
Schimpf: Traditional cost-plus defense contracts are a disaster
“Versus the traditional approach where it's like the government took all the risk and you get a fixed profit fee. That's a disaster. Like everything just gets more complex and more expensive. It doesn't work out.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 10:20 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
The US could get 2x more capability per dollar on weapons
“I tend to think we can get a lot more bang for our buck on weapons, on aircraft, you know, probably two X from where we are. By just looking at a different mix of these things.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 14:32 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: US defense budgets cannot shrink without sacrificing necessary military capability
“I don't see a world where, like, the defense budgets could magically shrink, and we still have the military that we need to have, but I do think these things can be done wildly more efficiently than they ever have in the past.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 15:15 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Schimpf: Europe will spend 4x US defense procurement over next five years
“Europe is going to spend something like Four times the amount of procurement that the U S is over the next five years.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 22:01 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: US has sufficient PCB, composites, and CNC capacity for defense
“Is there enough composites capacity or printed circuit board capacity in the U S or CNC shops? The answer is absolutely yes. There is definitely enough capacity”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 24:08 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Insight
Schimpf: Critical defense supply chains require commercially viable factories
“You have to solve this at a commercially viable level, not at a defense specific level. It will always then be too expensive and unproducible. If you just have a defense exquisite magnet factory, like that doesn't work. You need a commercially viable magnet fa…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 24:31 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Schimpf: Europe will outspend US procurement fourfold over next five years
“Europe is going to spend something like four times the amount of procurement that the U.S. Is over the next five years.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 10:41 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Anduril has 7,000 employees and is still doubling revenue past $1B
“So we're eight years ish in we're at about 7000 employees. We have consistently doubled revenue like every year, right? So even like over a billion, we're still doubling revenue.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 2:21 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Held up
Schimpf: Anduril will produce autonomous fighter jets in months
“We're making autonomous fighter jets. You know, like three years ago, we weren't believable to make autonomous fighter jets. Now we're doing it. And we're going to have them be produced in a production facility in like months from now.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 4:17 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
US defense procurement relative to GDP is at an all-time low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 13:49 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Insight
Schimpf: Defense tech products unaligned with military 10-year plans fail
“You can chase kind of nonsensical you know, products that don't have longevity to it, that aren't actually fit for purpose. Maybe you can make some money off of it for like a few years, but if you're not actually aligned to where the government's going to be, …”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 6:11 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Anduril will be involved in nearly every aspect of US/allied defense
“Over the next few years, we are going to become So involved in nearly every aspect of U S and international defense in a way that I think is going to be very positive for us, very positive for the world, but just the sheer scale and breadth that we will be op…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 27:46 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schimpf: Brokers are offering secondary Anduril stock they don't possess
“Everyone is slinging Andurl stock that they don't have.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 30:23 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: Over half of US defense budget covers personnel and facilities
“More than half goes to personnel costs, to facilities, to military construction. So you just have an outrageous percentage going to these fixed costs that you have that are not next generation technology. And then There's an outrageous cost as well then to sus…”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 3:59 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Schimpf: US defense procurement as percentage of GDP is historically low
“The procurement budget as a percentage of GDP, for example, is I think the lowest it's ever been.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 4:31 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Insight
Schimpf: Defense requires high product diversity at low production volumes
“Defense is a very unique world where you're going to build a lot of different products at relatively low volumes.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 7:07 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Disclosure
Schimpf: Anduril split Ghost Shark development 50-50 with Australia
“We went and pitched them on this idea of you could build these extra large autonomous underwater vehicles. They can build them fast, and we did this model of splitting the development fifty-fifty.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 20:37 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
Schimpf: Anduril built first production Ghost Shark within 30 days of contract
“We have our first Production GoShark already came off the production line, then I think 30 days of signing the production contract.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 21:08 Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Schimpf: First production Ghost Shark completed within 30 days of contract
“We have our first production GoShark already rank, came off the production line. Then I think, 30 days of signing the production contract.”
Brian Schimpf Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 9:49 Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

The other half of the tape: Brian Schimpf's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 24 times in 12 episodes on Sourcery. 1 statement on the record names them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Matt Grimm 7Eric Crispin 4David Ulevitch 3Molly O'Shea 2Dino Mavrookas 2Trae Stephens 1Philip Clark 1Kyle Harrison 1

Statements about Brian Schimpf, by other people (1)

Opinion
Grimm: CEO Brian Schimpf drives global defense strategy and final company decisions
“Brian is really our, like, I would call him, like, our strategic genius, so he is the one who is looking at, if Palmer has an idea for a new product, or any of our engineers really have an idea for a new product, he's the one who kind of sees the chessboard th…”
Matt Grimm Dec 17, 2025 ▶ 7:36 Full Anduril R&D Tour: Matt Grimm, Co-Founder & COO · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
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051020252026episodes it came up in
001.352.51020252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 5 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2025 19 mentions in 9 episodes 2 per episode

Appearances (2)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea Dec 16, 2025 23m
Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Steph Dec 15, 2025 8m
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