| 75% | “75%” | Horowitz: Las Vegas police shootings dropped 75% after tech deployment | Ben Horowitz | Dec 17, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $30M | “thirty million dollars” | Langley: Atlanta Police Foundation provides $30M annually to local police | Garrett Langley | Dec 17, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Langley: San Francisco's public safety tech innovations are 100% privately funded | Garrett Langley | Dec 17, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Langley: Flock Safety technology will assist in 1 million arrests this year | Garrett Langley | Dec 17, 2025 | — |
| 98% | “98%” | Horowitz: 98% of crime victims are poor people | Ben Horowitz | Dec 17, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 70% | “70%” | Horowitz: The US recidivism rate exceeds 70 percent | Ben Horowitz | Dec 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Horowitz: The US recidivism rate exceeds 70 percent | Ben Horowitz | Dec 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Evans: Fewer than 1 billion consumer PCs vs 5-6 billion smartphones exist | Benedict Evans | Dec 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 6B | “six billion” | Evans: Fewer than 1 billion consumer PCs vs 5-6 billion smartphones exist | Benedict Evans | Dec 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 900M | “nine hundred million” | Evans: ChatGPT has 800-900 million weekly active users, 5% paying | Benedict Evans | Dec 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 5% | “Five percent” | Evans: ChatGPT has 800-900 million weekly active users, 5% paying | Benedict Evans | Dec 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 900M | “nine hundred million” | Evans: OpenAI's huge user base is fragile without network effects | Benedict Evans | Dec 12, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three times” | Voice messaging is the fastest and most effective way to delegate | Jonathan Swanson | Dec 10, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Most people should operate in 'war mode' 90% of the time | Jonathan Swanson | Dec 10, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Athena scaled to 1,000 people without raising outside capital | Jonathan Swanson | Dec 10, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Rao: US holds roughly 50% of global data center capacity | Naveen Rao | Dec 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 4% | “four percent” | Rao: Data centers consume 4% of the US energy grid | Naveen Rao | Dec 8, 2025 | Supported |
| 9M | “nine million” | Rampell: Back-office utility software incumbents are almost impossible to displace | Alex Rampell | Dec 3, 2025 | — |
| 50× | “50 times” | Haber: Contingency law firms have an unlimited appetite for AI adoption | David Haber | Dec 3, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “100%” | Rampell: Platform incumbents will copy successful startup features within five years | Alex Rampell | Dec 3, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 times” | Rampell: AI software will make human workers ten times more productive | Alex Rampell | Dec 1, 2025 | — |
| $100B | “hundred billion dollars” | Fraden: JPMorgan Chase spends $18B on IT versus $200B on payroll | Russ Fraden | Dec 1, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Fraden: CFOs do not want to use AI to slash headcount | Russ Fraden | Dec 1, 2025 | — |
| $700B | “seven hundred billion dollars” | Fraden: Enterprise AI spending has reached $700 billion and is growing | Russ Fraden | Dec 1, 2025 | Supported |
| 70% | “70%” | Fraden: 70% of enterprise IT leaders believe they are wasting AI budget | Russ Fraden | Dec 1, 2025 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Fraden: 80% of enterprise IT leaders see 18-month window for AI leadership | Russ Fraden | Dec 1, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Sherman Wu: 10% of the global population uses ChatGPT weekly | Sherman Wu | Nov 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 800M | “eight hundred million” | Sherman Wu: ChatGPT has reached 800 million weekly active users | Sherman Wu | Nov 28, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | 1990s tech incubators took 50% equity compared to Y Combinator's 7% | Marc Andreessen | Nov 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | 1990s tech incubators took 50% equity compared to Y Combinator's 7% | Marc Andreessen | Nov 26, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Epoch AI: 20-30% chance AI causes sudden 5% unemployment spike | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Epoch AI: 20-30% chance AI causes sudden 5% unemployment spike | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Epoch AI: 20-30% chance AI causes sudden 5% unemployment spike | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Epoch AI: 90% of code will eventually be written by AI | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 90% | “90%” | Epoch AI: Developer subscription revenue is the top indicator of AI utility | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Epoch AI: AI will automate at least 10% of jobs within a decade | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Epoch AI: AI will automate at least 10% of jobs within a decade | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 30% | “30%” | Epoch AI: Human-level AI means 30% GDP growth or human extinction | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Epoch AI: Human-level AI means 30% GDP growth or human extinction | Epoch AI Researcher | Nov 24, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Yafah Edelman: Robotics training runs use 100x less compute than frontier LLMs | Yafah Edelman | Nov 24, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Tenev: Robinhood allocated 20% to 25% of its IPO to retail investors | Vlad Tenev | Nov 21, 2025 | — |
| 85% | “85%” | Boyle: Low Earth Orbit Faces a Critical Ground Station Shortage | Katherine Boyle | Nov 19, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Boyle: $1,000 Drones Destroying Multi-Million-Dollar Systems Fundamentally Alters War Economics | Katherine Boyle | Nov 19, 2025 | — |
| $2B | “two billion dollars” | Nuzhna: Drug development costs exceed $2 billion per approval | Lada Nuzhna | Nov 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 6× | “six X” | Nuzhna: Investigator-initiated trials in China cut review timelines by 5x | Lada Nuzhna | Nov 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 50% | “50%” | Nuzhna: 50% of FDA drug approvals in 2024 were orphan drugs | Lada Nuzhna | Nov 14, 2025 | Supported |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Hershberg: Illumina grew next-generation sequencing sales from zero to over $10B | Elliot Hershberg | Nov 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 3% | “three percent” | Rampell: Cash salary growth lags the S&P 500's 10% annual compounding rate | Alex Rampell | Nov 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Rampell: Cash salary growth lags the S&P 500's 10% annual compounding rate | Alex Rampell | Nov 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 5T | “Five trillion” | Krishna: Housing represents 20% of US GDP and a $5 trillion market | Varun Krishna | Nov 12, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Krishna: Housing represents 20% of US GDP and a $5 trillion market | Varun Krishna | Nov 12, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Rampell: Rocket Companies generated $10 billion in net income in 2021 | Alex Rampell | Nov 12, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 50M | “fifty million” | Krishna: Redfin is the top US real estate brokerage with 50M MAUs | Varun Krishna | Nov 12, 2025 | Supported |
| 1M | “one million” | Gamma Reached $1M ARR and Profitability Within Three Months of Monetizing | Grant Lee | Nov 11, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Adam D'Angelo: GDP growth will exceed 5% if AI automates work cheaply | Adam D'Angelo | Nov 7, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Chan: CZI funded 25% of CellbyGene, while the community provided 75% | Priscilla Chan | Nov 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Chan: CZI funded 25% of CellbyGene, while the community provided 75% | Priscilla Chan | Nov 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Chan: Virtual cell models provide utility even without perfect accuracy | Priscilla Chan | Nov 6, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Chan: CZI built a 1,000-GPU cluster and plans a 10,000-GPU expansion | Priscilla Chan | Nov 6, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Kuyda: Nearly one billion people use AI tools for simple tasks | Eugenia Kuyda | Nov 5, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Kuyda: Fully original app creators on Wabi will stay under 10% | Eugenia Kuyda | Nov 5, 2025 | — |
| 20M | “twenty million” | Acharya: There are only 20 million software developers globally | Anish Acharya | Nov 5, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Torenberg: 99% of needed software will be built in next 5 years | Erik Torenberg | Nov 5, 2025 | — |
| $11M | “eleven million dollars” | Kuyda: Replika raised only $11M in total funding | Eugenia Kuyda | Nov 5, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Kuyda: Building screenless AI hardware is a major mistake | Eugenia Kuyda | Nov 5, 2025 | — |
| 75% | “75%” | Kuyda: 75% of shipped Alexa devices now feature screens | Eugenia Kuyda | Nov 5, 2025 | Contradicted |
| $10M | “ten million dollars” | Staniszewski: ElevenLabs Voice Marketplace paid $10M to creators | Mati Staniszewski | Nov 4, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Sacks: Over 1,200 AI regulation bills are in U.S. state legislatures | David Sacks | Nov 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 600M | “six hundred million” | Andreessen: AI is the fastest-adopted technology in human history | Marc Andreessen | Nov 3, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Andreessen: AI is the fastest-adopted technology in human history | Marc Andreessen | Nov 3, 2025 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Andreessen: AI is the fastest-adopted technology in human history | Marc Andreessen | Nov 3, 2025 | — |
| 6% | “six percent” | Sacks: Stablecoins account for only 6% of total crypto market cap | David Sacks | Nov 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 94% | “94%” | Sacks: Stablecoins account for only 6% of total crypto market cap | David Sacks | Nov 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Torenberg: AI infrastructure CapEx represents one percent of GDP | Erik Torenberg | Oct 31, 2025 | Supported |
| 97% | “97%” | Baker: Unlike 2000 dark fiber, no dark GPUs exist today | Gavin Baker | Oct 30, 2025 | — |
| 82% | “82%” | George: Low gross margins signal real product engagement for AI startups | David George | Oct 30, 2025 | — |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Baker: Cursor's token flywheel will become tough for competitors to catch | Gavin Baker | Oct 30, 2025 | — |
| 5B | “five billion” | Baker: AI browser startups will regret competing against Google Chrome | Gavin Baker | Oct 30, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Vahdat: AI infrastructure build-out is 100x larger than 1990s internet boom | Amin Vahdat | Oct 29, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Vahdat: AI infrastructure build-out is 100x larger than 1990s internet boom | Amin Vahdat | Oct 29, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Vahdat: Google's seven- and eight-year-old TPUs maintain 100% utilization | Amin Vahdat | Oct 29, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred times” | Vahdat: Google TPUs are 10x to 100x more energy efficient than CPUs | Amin Vahdat | Oct 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 10× | “10 X” | Vahdat: Google is driving 10x to 100x reductions in AI inference costs | Amin Vahdat | Oct 29, 2025 | — |
| 100× | “hundred X” | Vahdat: Google is driving 10x to 100x reductions in AI inference costs | Amin Vahdat | Oct 29, 2025 | — |
| 3× | “three X” | Patel: Cisco targets 2x to 3x productivity boost for 25,000 engineers | Jeetu Patel | Oct 29, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Wang: Visual modality will remain critical for AI agents collaborating with humans | Oliver Wang | Oct 28, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Masad: AI coding models work for any language with 100M+ speakers | Amjad Masad | Oct 23, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Masad: LLMs market million-token context but fail after 200,000 tokens | Amjad Masad | Oct 23, 2025 | — |
| 5% | “five percent” | Masad: AI SWE-bench scores jumped from 5% to 82% in one year | Amjad Masad | Oct 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 82% | “82%” | Masad: AI SWE-bench scores jumped from 5% to 82% in one year | Amjad Masad | Oct 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 100B | “a hundred billion” | Acharya: A single individual will eventually build a $100 billion revenue company | Anish Acharya | Oct 22, 2025 | Open |
| 1% | “one percent” | Acharya: Society currently possesses only 0.1% of all future software | Anish Acharya | Oct 22, 2025 | — |
| 6M | “six million” | Acharya: Apple had 6M iPhones distributed when App Store launched | Anish Acharya | Oct 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Kong's three co-founders survived in San Francisco on $1,000 a month combined | Augusto Marietti | Oct 21, 2025 | — |
| $1K | “a thousand dollars” | Kong's three co-founders survived in San Francisco on $1,000 a month combined | Augusto Marietti | Oct 21, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Mashape raised its Series A with only $50,000 in gross volume | Augusto Marietti | Oct 21, 2025 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Kong took a $2 million insider bridge loan during its 2015 pivot | Augusto Marietti | Oct 21, 2025 | — |
| 1M | “a million” | Kong had under $1M ARR when a16z invested in its Series B | Augusto Marietti | Oct 21, 2025 | — |
| 2M | “two million” | Kong grew ARR from $2 million to $10 million post-Series B | Augusto Marietti | Oct 21, 2025 | — |
| 110% | “110%” | Founders should pick durable 10-year trends because building takes longer than expected | Augusto Marietti | Oct 21, 2025 | — |
| 8B | “eight billion” | Hoffman: 'Seven deadly sins' consumer framework still applies to AI | Reid Hoffman | Oct 20, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “hundred percent” | Hoffman: Predictive AI for drug discovery only needs 1% accuracy | Reid Hoffman | Oct 20, 2025 | — |
| 1% | “one percent” | Hoffman: Predictive AI for drug discovery only needs 1% accuracy | Reid Hoffman | Oct 20, 2025 | — |
| 99% | “99%” | Hoffman: Predictive AI for drug discovery only needs 1% accuracy | Reid Hoffman | Oct 20, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | Hoffman: Google achieved 40% data center energy savings using AI | Reid Hoffman | Oct 20, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Andreessen: Streaming platforms cap filmmaker profits at a 10 percent margin | Marc Andreessen | Oct 17, 2025 | — |
| 1K | “a thousand” | Andreessen: Ideologically driven movies released through 2028 will flop commercially | Marc Andreessen | Oct 17, 2025 | — |
| $20M | “twenty million dollars” | Andreessen: Paul Thomas Anderson's new Leonardo DiCaprio film will lose $120M | Marc Andreessen | Oct 17, 2025 | Partly held up |
| 4% | “four percent” | Keith Rabois predicts 4% US GDP growth will render national debt irrelevant | Keith Rabois | Oct 16, 2025 | Open |
| 50% | “50%” | Keith Rabois claims half of the non-military federal government can be cut | Keith Rabois | Oct 16, 2025 | — |
| 6% | “six percent” | Keith Rabois predicts AI will enable 4% to 6% inflation-free GDP growth | Keith Rabois | Oct 16, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Rabois: Opendoor Can 10x Value By Unwinding Prior Execution Mistakes | Keith Rabois | Oct 16, 2025 | — |
| 50B | “fifty billion” | Rabois: Opendoor's Base Case Valuation Is $20B to $50B | Keith Rabois | Oct 16, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Ghodsi: Reports of $100M AI compensation packages are largely false | Ali Ghodsi | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Ghodsi: Ideal hires combine big-tech scale experience with startup grit | Ali Ghodsi | Oct 15, 2025 | — |
| 50% | “50%” | Labenz: GPT-4.5 achieved 65% accuracy on SimpleQA versus o3's 50% | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Labenz: GPT-4.5 achieved 65% accuracy on SimpleQA versus o3's 50% | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 25% | “25%” | Labenz: FrontierMath AI benchmark scores rose from 2% to 25% in under a year | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 2% | “two percent” | Labenz: FrontierMath AI benchmark scores rose from 2% to 25% in under a year | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 65% | “65%” | Labenz: Intercom's Fin AI agent resolves 65% of support tickets | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 1M | “a million” | Labenz: AI auditor agent won state contract for 1M annual document audits | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | — |
| 40% | “40%” | OpenAI o3 model completes 40% of internal research engineer pull requests | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Labenz: Per-token model costs fell 95% from GPT-4 to GPT-5 | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1% | “one percent” | Torenberg: AI capex spending currently exceeds 1% of GDP | Erik Torenberg | Oct 14, 2025 | Supported |
| 80% | “80%” | Labenz: Existing AI capabilities could automate 50-80% of work in 5-10 years | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | — |
| 8× | “eight X” | Labenz: AI agent task capacity will reach two weeks within two years | Nathan Labenz | Oct 14, 2025 | — |
| 10% | “10%” | Rampell: Opendoor once bought nearly 10% of sub-$600k homes in Charlotte | Alex Rampell | Oct 7, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | Rampell: Aggregating 10% of market supply captures 100% of consumer demand | Alex Rampell | Oct 7, 2025 | — |
| 100% | “100%” | Rampell: Aggregating 10% of market supply captures 100% of consumer demand | Alex Rampell | Oct 7, 2025 | — |
| 71B | “a seventy billion” | Rampell: Salvage vehicle auction platform Copart has a $70B market cap | Alex Rampell | Oct 7, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2M | “two million” | Rampell: Most common annual transaction count for US real estate agents is zero | Alex Rampell | Oct 7, 2025 | Supported |
| 6% | “six percent” | Rampell: America's 6% real estate commission fee is uniquely high globally | Alex Rampell | Oct 7, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 90% | “90%” | Wang: China controls 90% of the global solar supply chain | Dan Wang | Oct 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 27% | “27%” | Wang: China manufacturing is ~27% of GDP vs US 10-11% | Dan Wang | Oct 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 11% | “11%” | Wang: China manufacturing is ~27% of GDP vs US 10-11% | Dan Wang | Oct 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 10M | “ten million” | Sinofsky: China has 18 cities with populations over 10 million | Steven Sinofsky | Oct 6, 2025 | Partly supported |
| $300B | “three hundred billion dollars” | Rampell: Global SaaS market is $300B annually with $2.2T market cap | Alex Rampell | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| $2.2T | “2.2 trillion dollars” | Rampell: Global SaaS market is $300B annually with $2.2T market cap | Alex Rampell | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| 13T | “13 trillion” | Rampell: US labor market is $13 trillion annually | Alex Rampell | Oct 3, 2025 | Supported |
| $2.2T | “2.2 trillion dollars” | Rampell: The $2.2T software industry was built on digitizing filing cabinets | Alex Rampell | Oct 3, 2025 | — |
| $300B | “three hundred billion dollars” | Rampell: The $2.2T software industry was built on digitizing filing cabinets | Alex Rampell | Oct 3, 2025 | — |
| $50B | “fifty billion dollars” | Rampell: US nurse wages exceed total global software market revenue | Alex Rampell | Oct 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1.5M | “a half million” | Rampell: US nurse wages exceed total global software market revenue | Alex Rampell | Oct 3, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2.4M | “2.4 million” | Kupor: Federal government started the year with 2.4 million civilian employees | Scott Kupor | Oct 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.1M | “2.1 million” | Kupor: Federal workforce will shrink by 300,000 employees due to DOGE | Scott Kupor | Oct 2, 2025 | Held up |
| 70% | “70%” | Kupor: 99.7% of federal workers receive performance ratings of three or higher | Scott Kupor | Oct 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 99.7% | “99.7%” | Kupor: 99.7% of federal workers receive performance ratings of three or higher | Scott Kupor | Oct 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 0.3% | “0.3%” | Kupor: 99.7% of federal workers receive performance ratings of three or higher | Scott Kupor | Oct 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Kupor: OPM introduces forced distribution, capping top executive ratings at 30% | Scott Kupor | Oct 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 7% | “seven percent” | Kupor: Only 7% of federal employees are under 30 years old | Scott Kupor | Oct 2, 2025 | Supported |
| 90% | “90%” | Power: China is 20 years ahead of the US in manufacturing autonomy | Chris Power | Sep 29, 2025 | — |
| 95% | “95%” | Power: Electricity accounts for 95% of aluminum manufacturing costs | Chris Power | Sep 29, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 10% | “10%” | Schimpf: US capital market structure is thousands of times better than competitors | Brian Schimpf | Sep 29, 2025 | — |
| 250× | “250 times” | Schimpf: China possesses 250 times the shipbuilding capacity of the US | Brian Schimpf | Sep 29, 2025 | Supported |
| 17% | “17%” | Boyle: 23% of 17-Year-Old American Boys Have ADHD Diagnoses | Katherine Boyle | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 23% | “23%” | Boyle: 23% of 17-Year-Old American Boys Have ADHD Diagnoses | Katherine Boyle | Sep 27, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Levie: AI currently generates 30 percent of Box's codebase | Aaron Levie | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Levie: Small startup founders report 3x to 10x AI productivity gains | Aaron Levie | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 2% | “two percent” | Levie: Domain experts, not generalists, benefit most from AI tools | Aaron Levie | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 10× | “10 X” | Levie: Startups gain enterprise scale because incumbents refuse to retool workflows | Aaron Levie | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 3% | “three percent” | Sinofsky: Apple launched the iPod as a desperate Hail Mary move | Steven Sinofsky | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 7B | “seven billion” | Sinofsky: Distribution is no longer a moat because smartphones are ubiquitous | Steven Sinofsky | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 100B | “one hundred billion” | Levie: AI market will follow SaaS pattern with $100B new disruptors | Aaron Levie | Sep 24, 2025 | — |
| 50M | “Fifty million” | NIH awards $50M to 13 research teams for Autism Data Science Initiative | Dr. Jay Bhattacharya | Sep 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Bhattacharya: Leucovorin restores speech in 20% of autistic kids with folate deficiency | Dr. Jay Bhattacharya | Sep 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 60% | “60%” | Bhattacharya: Leucovorin restores speech in 20% of autistic kids with folate deficiency | Dr. Jay Bhattacharya | Sep 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 2M | “2002 thousand” | Bhattacharya: NIH shifted from funding fresh ideas to older research projects | Dr. Jay Bhattacharya | Sep 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 95% | “95%” | Bhattacharya: Disparity in MMR and COVID child vaccination rates reflects evidence strength | Dr. Jay Bhattacharya | Sep 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 13% | “13%” | Bhattacharya: Disparity in MMR and COVID child vaccination rates reflects evidence strength | Dr. Jay Bhattacharya | Sep 23, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 20% | “20%” | Bhattacharya: Zostavax shingles vaccine reduces Alzheimer's cognitive decline risk by 20-30% | Dr. Jay Bhattacharya | Sep 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 30% | “30%” | Bhattacharya: Zostavax shingles vaccine reduces Alzheimer's cognitive decline risk by 20-30% | Dr. Jay Bhattacharya | Sep 23, 2025 | Supported |
| 3M | “three million” | Patel: Huawei Sourced 2.9 Million TSMC Chips via Shell Entities | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 2.9M | “2.9 million” | Patel: Huawei Sourced 2.9 Million TSMC Chips via Shell Entities | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| $500M | “five hundred million dollars” | Patel: Huawei Sourced 2.9 Million TSMC Chips via Shell Entities | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 20B | “twenty billion” | Patel: NVIDIA Lost $20B+ China Revenue from H20 Ban | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 40% | “40%” | Patel: China stockpiled lithography at 30-40% of equipment imports | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| $60B | “sixty billion dollars” | Patel: Wall Street projects $360B hyperscaler CapEx next year | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| $10B | “ten billion dollars” | Patel: NVIDIA is the only $10B+ semiconductor company founded post-1990 | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Contradicted |
| 75% | “75%” | Patel: Silicon Valley AI startups spend 75% of venture rounds on GPUs | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | — |
| 20% | “20%” | Patel: AWS year-over-year revenue growth will re-accelerate above 20% | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Held up |
| 60% | “60%” | Patel: NVIDIA GB200 yields 3x-4x performance per dollar on DeepSeek | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 7× | “seven X” | Patel: NVIDIA GB200 yields 3x-4x performance per dollar on DeepSeek | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 6× | “six X” | Patel: NVIDIA GB200 yields 3x-4x performance per dollar on DeepSeek | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 4× | “four X” | Patel: NVIDIA GB200 yields 3x-4x performance per dollar on DeepSeek | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 3× | “three X” | Patel: NVIDIA GB200 yields 3x-4x performance per dollar on DeepSeek | Dylan Patel | Sep 22, 2025 | Supported |
| 10% | “10%” | Rampell: Coupon extensions like Honey steal affiliate attribution at checkout | Alex Rampell | Sep 17, 2025 | Supported |
| 1B | “a billion” | Hsu: Arc Institute will soon generate one billion perturbed single cells | Patrick Hsu | Sep 15, 2025 | Open |
| $1T | “a trillion dollars” | Hsu: GLP-1 market value exceeds 40 years of biotech startups combined | Patrick Hsu | Sep 15, 2025 | Partly supported |
| 1T | “a trillion” | Hsu: Physical synthesis and testing will remain AI drug discovery's bottleneck | Patrick Hsu | Sep 15, 2025 | — |
| 1B | “a billion” | Dixon: Raising massive capital creates a defensive moat in AI | Chris Dixon | Sep 10, 2025 | — |
| 100M | “a hundred million” | Acharya: Single-person $100M run-rate companies are coming or already exist | Anish Acharya | Sep 10, 2025 | Open |
| 95% | “95%” | Dixon: Five to ten companies control 95% of web traffic and revenue | Chris Dixon | Sep 10, 2025 | — |
| $120M | “a hundred twenty million dollars” | Cuban says Guardian Bikes grew from $200K to $120M annual revenue | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | Not publicly verifiable |
| $3M | “three million dollars” | Mark Cuban predicts US healthcare spending share of the economy will increase | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | Open |
| $162B | “a 161 billion dollars” | Mark Cuban claims a major health insurer did $161B in intercompany transfers | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | Supported |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Mark Cuban predicts Big Tech will buy anything offering real AI differentiation | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| $1M | “a million dollars” | Mark Cuban says he was the first investor in Synthesia | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| 25% | “25%” | Mark Cuban says he was the first investor in Synthesia | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| $1B | “a billion dollars” | Mark Cuban says Dude Wipes is worth $1 billion without extra capital | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
| 15% | “15%” | Mark Cuban says Dude Wipes is worth $1 billion without extra capital | Mark Cuban | Sep 9, 2025 | — |
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