Prediction certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Epoch AI: AI will automate at least 10% of jobs within a decade

Epoch AI Researcher · The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast · Nov 24, 2025 · at 20:38

An Epoch AI researcher projects overall job displacement numbers caused by AI capabilities on The a16z Podcast.

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“I think I would be surprised if there were not five percent of jobs that exist now which AI has automated away over the course of the next decade. I'd honestly, I'd be surprised if it's not 10% of the jobs that exist now, I think.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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