Epoch AI: Human-level AI means 30% GDP growth or human extinction
Epoch AI Researcher · The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast · Nov 24, 2025 · at 32:13
An Epoch AI researcher provides macroeconomic predictions for a scenario where artificial intelligence can fully automate human remote work within a decade.
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“Assuming in the next 10 years we get AI that is capable of doing any remote job as well as any human. I think, you know, 30% GDP growth seems like a lower bound on something that's reasonable. Assuming you get, this is a big assumption that a lot of people are gonna, that, you know, it's, there's a lot going on in that assumption, but assuming that happens, I think you either are gonna get like 30% GDP growth or, you know, Negative a hundred percent GDP growth because everyone's dead.”
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