GDP growth
4 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 1 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Jan 2, 2019 by Joel Mokyr · across every show →
Everything said about GDP growth, oldest first
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Mokyr: Growth is understated and inflation overstated due to zero-cost digital goods
“We are mis-measuring growth, or to put it slightly different, we're over-measuring inflation, because that, those two things boil down to the same thing, and we've known this for a long time, but it turns out the process is getting worse and worse, simply beca…”
Nov 7, 2025 bullish
Nov 24, 2025 neutral
Epoch AI: Human-level AI means 30% GDP growth or human extinction
“Assuming in the next 10 years we get AI that is capable of doing any remote job as well as any human. I think, you know, 30% GDP growth seems like a lower bound on something that's reasonable. Assuming you get, this is a big assumption that a lot of people are…”