Opinion
Kuyda: AI builders wrongly view voice as the main interface
“There's a huge mind trap that exists among builders in the space where they somehow think that voice is the main interface.”
Opinion
Kuyda: Leading AI builders are technical savants who lack empathy
“Today what I'm seeing with AI, especially it's being built by a very specific type of Person personality. It's oftentimes these savants, these like brilliant geniuses physicists, mathematicians, and they're insane in building algorithms and math and kind of sc…”
Opinion
Kuyda: Building screenless AI hardware is a major mistake
“There's a lot of people trying to build voice only devices. In my case, completely wrong. Like it can be a fantastic extra way to interact with the computer, but every single Alexa right now is, like, 75% of them are being shipped with the screen. Because even…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: AI chatbots are in their MS-DOS era before a Mac OS moment
“The current chatbots are really the Microsoft DOS era for AI interfaces, and that there will be some sort of a Windows Mac OS moment.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Software creation will shift to user-generated mini-apps
“And so I think the same will happen with software. Right now we're Kind of stuck in this world where are these few apps developed by professional developers? And then eventually, of course, we're going to move on to this new world where apps are built by all o…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Future OSs will dynamically generate context-aware, personalized apps
“So if you think about it, the operating system of the future, you open it up and you see your regular popular apps you use all the time. Maybe it's X, maybe it's Instagram, whatever it is. And then you see maybe some cool apps that you discovered your friend, …”
Assertion Partly supported
Kuyda: Top vibe-coded women's dating app leaked sensitive user data
“And we've already seen this with some apps, vibe coded apps reaching the top of the app store. I think the one around women dating that all the super sensitive information got leaked. And that wasn't because they are bad actors. It's just they're not professio…”
Opinion
Kuyda: Driving AI via paragraph text prompts is worse than MS-DOS
“We pass around these text prompts, which is almost like Microsoft DOS commands, but worse, because at least the commands were, it was like sort of like you could learn them. There were a few, whatever, like they were short, they weren't that long. And now are …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Shareable mini-apps will replace raw text prompts in AI creation
“Instead of that, if you could just quickly, you know, click on the link in comments on TikTok and open a mini app Where everything's already set up for you, just add a photo. And you can see examples, you can choose different styles and this and that, and then…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Next-gen AI hardware will be local AI smartphones, not voice gadgets
“I do believe that the AI device is not about a voice driven thing. It's more about building this AI first operating system. Having all the models run locally as well. I think that there's a lot in that, like building truly an AI first smartphone and, you know,…”
Opinion
Kuyda: AI should not be restricted to smartphone apps
“Right now, AI is just an app on your phone. It should not be that way.”
Insight
Kuyda: Deep personalization is AI's breakthrough primitive
“And I feel like for AI, the super special thing is personalization, but really deep personalization.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kuyda: OpenAI temporarily abandoned language models for video game agents
“And very quickly they stopped working on language models, and we were very upset because we really wanted to continue going there, but they didn't want to talk about any language models because no one was really working on them and that may have made us feel v…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Nearly one billion people use AI tools for simple tasks
“Almost a billion people using these AI tools already, but they only, only use them for These kind of simpler use cases.”
Disclosure
Kuyda: Early Wabi users build niche apps unviable on App Stores
“Right now we're already seeing tons of, you know, some of our first users building very specific apps that would never exist in On the App Store. They're just too small. They're too personalized, too niche.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Fully original app creators on Wabi will stay under 10%
“I'd say like fully kind of original creators probably still under 10%”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Apple App Store will never become social due to privacy focus
“If today the app store is very much not social and it probably won't ever be social because of Apple's mandate for privacy and how important that is for them”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: User-generated software will thrive, but standalone web links won't scale
“I do believe that we're all going to be building some sort of software and using software that everyone builds, some UGC software, but I definitely don't believe in links that people will share with each other and with me relying on some random person somewher…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Software will evolve from fixed apps into interactive content
“I do think we'll see just a completely different type of software, not just apps, not just stale fix apps, but more content, community build community starters, conversation starters, and just fun little toys.”
Insight
Kuyda: Software creation is the last frontier for content creators
“If you're really thinking about it as YouTube, that's sort of the last frontier. At this point, creators can make their own professional content. They can make videos, they can make shows, they can write, but they still cannot create software.”
Opinion
Kuyda: Modern video platforms prioritize polished commercial content over friends
“Right now, a lot of the video platforms are very polished and very commercial. You don't even see your friends anymore. You don't see that much weird content. You just see very curated, polished stuff.”
Disclosure
Kuyda bet Replika on dialogue language models in 2015
“When we saw that in August, 2015, we just basically put all of our bet everything we had at the company on building those models. We said, okay, well, this is it. This is right around the corner. We need to really focus on building these language models, getti…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Replika was OpenAI's largest GPT-3 API customer
“We were the biggest customer in terms of API calls, because we were the only chatbot available on the market that actually used Genitive AI.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kuyda: 75% of shipped Alexa devices now feature screens
“Every single Alexa right now is, like, 75% of them are being shipped with the screen.”
