The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 487 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka plans to build and IPO a startup within three years
“I just sold my last company and now I want to basically film and be totally transparent about me building a company from scratch and taking it public within three years.”
Nathan Latka Apr 1, 2016 ▶ 9:12 His Action Marketing Agency did $2.5m Last Year with Fritz Heffinger of OutCold.com EP 217
Assertion Contradicted
YouStake Structures Poker Staking Legalities as Income Share Agreements
“Oh yeah, absolutely. It's what's called a person to person sponsorship or a income share agreement is, is really what the legal term is. There's actually IRS forms that you fill in when you do your taxes for it. So it's all been approved.”
Scott Hansbury Mar 29, 2016 ▶ 8:20 How to Bet On Poker Players and Make Money with Scott Hansbury of YouStake EP 206
Assertion Contradicted
Bladen: Willis Towers Watson cut real estate footprint, saving $500M annually
“So you can be a company like Willis Tau Watson that works with us, right? They've gone from 10.1 to 4.7 million square feet. So now that everybody's not in the office every single day, though, that's obviously a various difference across lots of different comp…”
Dan Bladen Apr 15, 2026 ▶ 1:28 Kadence Reaches $15M ARR Managing Hybrid Work for Revolut & Boeing
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Ninety will auto-generate org charts and seat-level KPIs within a year
“Well, within Plus or minus a year from now, you can give us that information, and we will immediately give you what a likely organizational chart will look like for you. Not only that, we'll give you the KPIs, not just for your company, but for every single se…”
Mark Abbott Nov 19, 2024 ▶ 10:54 They make $30m per year selling software to the EOS community, Ninety CEO
Assertion Contradicted
Moah: Boomerang invented the snooze button used across Gmail and Superhuman
“We invented the snooze button you now see in Gmail, Outlook, Superhuman, even Slack.”
Aye Moah Oct 22, 2024 ▶ 1:03 She invented Gmail Send Later in 2010. Bootstrapping to $10m revenue with Boomerang CEO Aye Moah
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chesseri: Dynasty Will Secure South Dakota Trust License in Nine Months
“We're getting licensed in the next nine months. We're working on the application process right now. We're working with the South Dakota legislators. We're building our board in South Dakota and we'll be licensed in about nine months.”
Alessandro Chesseri Aug 22, 2024 ▶ 22:21 The Revocable Living Trust Cheat Code for SaaS Founders (Save millions on taxeS)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Schwartz: Upcoming 2025 regulations will force unprepared banks to lend to SMBs
“There's going to be some regulation coming out next year where banks are going to be forced to go back and start to lend out to the small businesses, but banks are not equipped to underwrite a small bit.”
Alex Schwartz Mar 21, 2024 ▶ 12:53 Miami Based Fintech did $70m in 2023 Revenue - What about Gross Margin?
Assertion Contradicted
Harris: 62% of Travel Booking Origination Stems from Social Media
“62% of all origination of travel these days is happening through social media influence.”
Adam Harris Dec 5, 2023 ▶ 11:17 $100m in revenue selling software to 27,000 AirBNB hosts?
Assertion Contradicted
Schenker: Sales reps have highest stress after teachers and nurses
“So other than teachers and nurses, sales consistently report the highest stress levels out of all occupational groups, which makes sense for anybody that's done sales, right?”
Matt Schenker Nov 8, 2023 ▶ 2:40 How This Founder Plans to use AI to help Remote Sales Team Managers Run Better Teams
Assertion Contradicted
Chaser is a project management tool that requires only one user
“Chaser is the only project management software that only one user needs to use”
Josh Martel Oct 16, 2023 ▶ 3:05 How Chaser hit $294K revenue and 3 person team in 2023
Assertion Contradicted
Hurt: Only three US retailers had customer reviews in 2005
“And to put that in a historical context, there were only three retailers who had customer reviews at the time in the entire United States.”
Brett Hurt Jun 6, 2023 ▶ 3:57 How Investors Bought 50% of Data.World with 2.1m free users, accounts at 31k paid seats
Assertion Contradicted
Yampolskiy: 65% of data breaches result from third-party negligence
“65% of data breaches today happen due to negligence of third parties, which are not even within your control.”
Alex Yampolskiy May 9, 2023 ▶ 4:22 Customer Empathy: The key to 10Xing your company
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Yampolskiy: SecurityScorecard topped $100M ARR, expects 50%+ growth in 2023
“We exceeded a hundred million run rate last year, and we're gonna probably grow by at least 50% this year.”
Alex Yampolskiy May 9, 2023 ▶ 5:47 Customer Empathy: The key to 10Xing your company
Assertion Contradicted
Martin: Remote workers work on average one extra day per week
“Remote workers work on average a day more per week than their on premise counterparts.”
Liam Martin May 2, 2023 ▶ 6:51 How we bootstrapped to $20m ARR using asynchronous work
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Naluichi: Jellify will close $50M in revenue this year
“We are going to close fifty million this year in revenues.”
Fabio Naluichi Apr 3, 2023 ▶ 3:36 $100m All Cash Exit, Bootstrapped. Now $50m in ARR growing 100% YoY
Assertion Contradicted
Ben Barokas's team at Google developed the real-time bidding protocol
“While I was at Google, after we almost created the problem while there, we developed a protocol that, Called real-time bidding. And the RTB protocol enables marketers to bid on individual users based on their data profile. And that made data available on just …”
Ben Brokus Mar 23, 2023 ▶ 4:38 Sourcepoint Hits 500 Customers for Data Privacy Product, Will "definitely hit $50m in 2024"
Prediction Didn’t hold up
The US is still years away from federal privacy laws, says Barokas
“And still to this day, we don't have national data privacy legislation that has been passed. And we're probably a couple of years away”
Ben Brokus Mar 23, 2023 ▶ 12:51 Sourcepoint Hits 500 Customers for Data Privacy Product, Will "definitely hit $50m in 2024"
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Experiential ETC projects $3.5M to $4.0M in revenue for FY23-24
“23, 24, we are poised to do about 3.5 to four million dollars.”
Karan Bhardwaj Feb 28, 2023 ▶ 5:55 Is $200k on $6m valuation too rich for this tool that helps Retailers heat map and launch promotions in their stores?
Assertion Contradicted
Berman: Average entry-level engineer salary in India is $800 to $1,200
“Average engineer salary here for somebody fresh out of college is, you know, 800 dollars, a thousand dollars, 1200 dollars.”
Alex Berman Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 7:27 How to Clone Existing Company and Hit $10k MRR In Under 6 months
Assertion Contradicted
Stone: Trello App Store randomizes listings in communication category
“What I do know about Trello in particular is there's a randomization component, which to me is really nice because it means that they give everyone the opportunity. So if you click on the communication category, I think you said in two categories, they give yo…”
Adam Stone Feb 17, 2023 ▶ 11:54 $1m Raised, 800 Users, Here's how he's launching pricing
Assertion Contradicted
Kimmel: Enterprise pricing software costs at least $150K to $200K annually
“You cannot get pricing software at less than, call it a 150,200 thousand dollars a year for an annual site license.”
Mike Kimmel Feb 14, 2023 ▶ 8:47 What happens when a PHD professor in analytics launches a SaaS company?
Assertion Contradicted
Karamchandani: 70% of trucking companies fail due to compliance issues
“Seven out of 10 Trucking companies go out of business because of the compliance issues. Either they are not safe to operate, or they have any compliance issues.”
Am Karam Chandani Jan 31, 2023 ▶ 5:42 Trucker Sells his Company for $300k cash, Launches $1m ARR SaaS
Assertion Contradicted
Messer: LinkShare held 96% of global affiliate market at acquisition
“We were the first affiliate marketer. We became the global player. I think when we finally sold the business to Rakuten, it was Probably. 96% of the affiliate market globally and still is today.”
Stephen Messer Jan 12, 2023 ▶ 2:39 He Sold his First Company for $425m, Here's What He Did Next
Assertion Contradicted
Navin: Local banks charge 4% to 5% for EUR/USD hedges
“I mean, if you would try to do that, for example, versus, I mean, with his local bank, you would pay, probably end up paying by four or five percent for the specific million dollars of euro dollar hedge.”
Aaron Navin Dec 29, 2022 ▶ 5:22 FinTech Helps Hotel Bed Owners in US Hedge FX Risk Selling to Travelers in Other Countries
Assertion Contradicted
Dubin: AI cannot generate layered visuals or multi-layer banners
“To be honest, it's not applied to generating layered visuals. As for now, just either, like, plain images or very good quality texts, but not actually, like, banners”
Victoria Dubin Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 2:20 She has guts! Turned down $20m offer with $15k in MRR for her Ad Management SaaS
Assertion Contradicted
Asim: Washington Jurisdictions Ban Extra Fees on Court-Ordered Payments
“Some jurisdictions like in Washington are actually making it against the rules of the court to charge any money beyond. So if the court, if the judge orders you to pay a hundred dollars, the court's not legally allowed to accept anything more than that.”
Ibrahim Asim Nov 10, 2022 ▶ 10:00 How we grew our GovTech SaaS from $50k to $350k ARR in the last 12 months
Assertion Contradicted
Harris: Tech Venture Bets Caused Over 168,000 Layoffs
“So over a 168,000 people have lost their jobs in the last couple of years from this spread bet.”
Bridget Harris Sep 19, 2022 ▶ 4:20 How Bootstrapped YouCanBookMe Hit $5m using team profit sharing as internal motivation
Assertion Contradicted
De la Nuez estimates Hotjar had $10M-$20M revenue at acquisition
“Based on what I knew and the fact that a hot jar was much more focused on SMB, you know, I think they probably were somewhere in the 10 to twenty million is my guess.”
Alfonso de la Nuez Sep 4, 2022 ▶ 8:06 Look Back: UserZoom Eye's 2022 IPO, $100m Run Rate in User Experience Management Space
Assertion Contradicted
Cook: The Slack Fund requires startups to have institutional capital
“We didn't take Slack fund money because they have a requirement where you have to have institutional capital, which we haven't raised any institutional capital, so we can't raise from them.”
Andy Cook Aug 26, 2022 ▶ 8:57 How Tettra hit $1m ARR for its internal knowledge base tool
Assertion Contradicted
Owens: Paddle at least doubled revenue from 2020 to 2021
“It was really high. Like it was because it was a sort of a little bit of a COVID aberration. Because we were, we saw like the tailwinds of all of that. We at least doubled the business like kind of over that kind of period of time.”
Christian Owens Jun 27, 2022 ▶ 42:33 Details of $20m Revenue Profitwell and $55m Revenue Paddle Deal and what led to the $200m Acquisition
Assertion Contradicted
FDA Had Zero Experience With Dental AI Before VideaHealth Applied
“When we went to the FDA, for instance, right, to get this cleared, like they never had any, They had no experience with dentists or dentistry whatsoever. They were familiar with like chest x-rays and mammography, right? You maybe have heard these algorithms fl…”
Florian Hill Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 8:47 How he Raised $20m+ to turn his College Thesis on Dental Data into a SaaS Company
Assertion Contradicted
Nowak: Flexi is first salary-on-demand player in Poland
“We are the first player on Poland. Poland is a huge market having twenty million employees.”
Andre Nowak Jun 13, 2022 ▶ 14:16 He Can Earn 40% IRR with Fintech + SaaS Helping Polish Employees Get Their Paycheck Early
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Liu: Magic Eden on track for $400M–$500M NFT volume this month
“So this month we're about to trade around four, five, four to five hundred million dollars of NFTs. On a marketplace.”
Jack Liu May 30, 2022 ▶ 1:35 They sold $400m in NFT's last month, made $8m, broke $200m valuation during Series A
Assertion Contradicted
Latka: Marketplace micro-SaaS acquisitions typically close at 1x to 1.5x revenue
“I mean, the most of the deals are the ones like what you did right there for like one X or sometimes 1.5 X is usually what happens.”
Nathan Latka May 8, 2022 ▶ 3:23 Hacker Buys a SaaS Project for $7,500, Now Does $120,000 in Revenue
Assertion Contradicted
Keboola marketplace has 1,400 applications built by 400 developers
“We have the biggest marketplace in our space. We have 1400 applications in our marketplace developed by 400 different developers.”
Pavel Dolezal May 5, 2022 ▶ 2:25 Congrats! Bootstrapped founder hits $5m
Assertion Contradicted
Alina Vandenberghe developed the first iPad app demoed by Steve Jobs
“She did the first iPad app that Steve Jobs demoed when he launched the iPad.”
Nicolas Vandenberghe May 4, 2022 ▶ 6:27 $20m Payday and he still controls ChiliPiper with his Wife Alina
Assertion Contradicted
Darbyshire: Archer Technologies generates $700M ARR with 90%+ renewal rates
“At the beginning was that we sold that company in 2009, but that company now does seven hundred million a year in recurring revenue, 90 plus percent renewal rates going public this year.”
Jon Darbyshire May 1, 2022 ▶ 15:11 How he hit $1m with no FTE's (Fiverr contractors only)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Netcore Cloud plans to IPO in India within 12 months
“We're also planning to do an IPO in India in about 12 months time.”
Rajesh Jain Apr 23, 2022 ▶ 12:02 $12m profits, Bootstrapped, $95m ARR out of India
Assertion Contradicted
Netcore Cloud historically operates at 17% to 18% profit margins
“So our profit margins have basically been about 17 to 18%.”
Rajesh Jain Apr 23, 2022 ▶ 12:35 $12m profits, Bootstrapped, $95m ARR out of India
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Sumsub can achieve over a $1 billion valuation in Series B
“I think they can get over a billion dollar valuation.”
Nathan Latka Apr 12, 2022 ▶ 22:49 $1m ARR to $50m in 28 Months. This AML KYC SaaS Is A Secret Unicorn, only $6.5m Raised
Assertion Contradicted
LaCivita: Play is the first native iOS design tool for teams
“So we're the first native iOS design tool for teams to design, prototype, and share directly on their device.”
Dan LaCivita Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 1:21 Can they convert 11k Designer Installs to Revenue, $40m+ Valuation?
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Darbyshire: Archer Technologies will go public in 2022
“They're going to go public this year.”
Jon Darbyshire Mar 6, 2022 ▶ 12:18 Fastest Growing Ever? How He Went From $0 to $1.2m in 4 Weeks
Assertion Contradicted
OzoneTel was the first cloud contact center service in India
“Basically, the cloud contact center market didn't exist in India when we launched in 2011. We were the first cloud contact center service.”
Chaitanya Chakareti Jan 5, 2022 ▶ 4:09 Bootstrapped to $10m in India, Now Raising to Introduce Call Center Software to US
Assertion Contradicted
Medicare and major payers reimburse Clair Labs' remote patient monitoring services
“The way it works, the business model, is that our customers are providers, our healthcare providers, and they are offering it under, I will call, an umbrella of RPM, remote patient monitoring services, which is reimbursed by Medicare and all major healthcare p…”
Adi Berenson Dec 28, 2021 ▶ 3:25 HealthTech Device Prevents COPD Patients from Hospital Visits, $9m Raised, 50 Devices Shipped
Assertion Contradicted
The average COPD patient is hospitalized yearly at a $12,000 cost
“So an average COPD patient, which is diagnosed as such, is having an average incident of hospitalization at least once a year. And this hospitalization is costing 12,000 dollars.”
Adi Berenson Dec 28, 2021 ▶ 8:19 HealthTech Device Prevents COPD Patients from Hospital Visits, $9m Raised, 50 Devices Shipped
Assertion Contradicted
Clair Labs' contact-free device monitors sleeping patients from up to six feet
“Five to six feet. Not 10 feet. Up to six feet. It's enough.”
Adi Berenson Dec 28, 2021 ▶ 13:58 HealthTech Device Prevents COPD Patients from Hospital Visits, $9m Raised, 50 Devices Shipped
Assertion Contradicted
Simons: Half of debt defendants claim they are sued for unowned debt
“According to Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, about 50% of people that are sued for debt say they're being sued for debt they don't owe.”
George Simons Dec 14, 2021 ▶ 18:44 SoloSuit Makes $80k/mo Helping Consumers Fight Bank Debt Collectors
Assertion Contradicted
Miles: Salad is being sued over website accessibility standards
“We're actually getting sued for accessibility on our website. So we've had to bring our website into spec.”
Bob Miles Nov 26, 2021 ▶ 7:47 Gamers contribute GPU To this SaaS Marketplace Raising $15m at $70m Valuation with $5m in Revenue
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