The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 282 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 52 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Butterfield: Slack and Many Companies Will Retain Significant Remote Workforces
“One of the big topics is, do you expect to have a significant portion of your workforce remote when this resumes? And universal, yes. So I definitely expect that for us. I expect that for many companies.”
Hartz: Eventbrite will weather a major economic downturn
“Certainly I don't think Eventbrite is completely impervious to another, you know, big economic meltdown, but I feel pretty confident that, that we'll be able to weather the storm.”
Zimmer predicted autonomous cars would gradually handle a growing percentage of rides
“An autonomous car is not going to drop out of the sky and be able to do a hundred percent of our trips. That's not real. What's real is that over the next couple years, it'll be able to do A few percent of our trips, 10% of our trips, 50% of our trips.”
Vaccarella predicts that Bogg Bag will become a billion-dollar brand
“I believe it'll be a billion dollar brands.”
Eric Ryan: Digital jewelry will become a real category
“Yeah, you know, I think a big idea of digital jewelry is going to become a real thing, because it allows you to enhance the appearance of it.”
Lopez: Video streamers will drive the next wave of podcast growth
“I think we're going to see a new wave of growth driven by the video players, the streamers.”
Stafford: Bobo's will become a 100-year brand by resisting food trends
“We are sticking with what the bar was in the beginning, which is just an old-fashioned cookie that your grandmother could bake in her oven, and we'll be a hundred-year-old brand. We're not trendy, and we're not adding any superfoods to it.”
Ali: Consumers will eventually experience fatigue with the protein trend
“We think, like, at some point with any trend, there will be consumer fatigue.”
Maldonado: Shift toward higher protein intake is permanent, not a fad
“People are changing the way they're dieting and eating, and they're educating themselves, and that's not going away, right?”
DeLeon predicts Filipino cuisine will be US mainstream by 2030
“We believe in five years, Filipino cuisine will be pretty mainstream.”
Riccobono: UNTUCKit will become a billion-dollar brand
“And the reason I say that is, I really believe that this is going to be a billion dollar brand. I still do.”
Holmes: Cash-strapped businesses will become casualties of rising tariffs
“Now, those people who don't have cash and are unable to preserve cash, we will see them as casualties in this marketplace.”
Hedrick: Tecovas Will Exceed $300 Million in Net Sales in 2025
“We'll, we'll definitely exceed three hundred million in net sales this year.”
Scudamore: WOW 1 DAY PAINTING will surpass 1-800-GOT-JUNK?
“One day it will be bigger than one 800 got junk simply because the painting space is even that much larger than junk removal.”
Meeker Projects Bark Will Achieve Net Profitability This Fiscal Year
“This year, we should make four or five million dollars. And up from there.”
Koch: A 30-cent price increase can double a beverage brand's profit margin
“Instead of whatever it is now, a dollar, it can be a dollar 30. I mean, people can afford that, and that extra price probably doubles your margin.”
Specialized founder: Long-term outlook for cycling is more positive than ever
“I think it's a natural adjustment, and at the same time, the long-term outlook for writing is more positive than ever.”
Winthrop: Eradicating manufacturing jobs creates severe national class division
“Believe pretty fundamentally that if we continued to Or continue down that path. We are going to start to create, you know, a country that is really divided and people that, you know, have college degrees and can go on to be bankers and people that don't and t…”
Maldonado: Chomps is approaching $500M in retail sales in 2024
“We'll do somewhere around the, we're approaching the half a billion dollar mark in retail sales this year.”
Urban: Whole30 program will endure forever even if the business fails
“If all of this blows up for some reason, and I have to lay my whole team off, and Whole 30 is no longer a business, and we no longer have Whole Thirty-approved partners or licensing, and I never write another book, the Whole 30 will live forever. People will s…”
Proto will halve the price of its flagship ProtoEpic device within months.
“In the next several months, I will be able to cut that price in half.”
Nussbaum predicts holographic salespeople will soon greet and assist retail shoppers.
“I believe this is the future of when you walk into a mall, when you walk into a store, You will be approached by a holographic salesperson. You will be able to see the product that you want, and it'll come to life before you, and I think the ability to interac…”
Berdichevsky: Automotive battery integration takes roughly five years post-consumer electronics
“We, 10 years in, we got into our first consumer electronics device, and, you know, it'll be Sort of around five years more from then to get into, you know, first car that folks can buy.”
Berdichevsky: Silicon anodes can give the US battery dominance like fracking did
“In the lead for 21st century energy, you know, it'll take 10 years, but just like we got there with oil and gas through technologies like fracking, we should get there in batteries through technologies like silicon anodes and others.”
Harris: Anything that can be emulated will be generated by AI
“So AI is not going to get worse at emulating someone's voice, someone's handwriting, someone's likeness, their This, that's what generative AI does, is it gives you those capabilities. Anything that can be emulated will be emulated, and that's why it's generat…”
Harris: Generative AI will force transition to secure, authenticated communications
“I think that in the age of generative AI, we're going to move to these more privileged and secure environments.”
Voice Assistants Were Too Early; Breakthrough Will Come With AI Integration
“In my view, the voice assistants still, you know, their time is coming. I think they were just too early. Like now you see the startup companies trying to integrate voice assistants with the AI stuff. And do I believe in that? Yes. You know, is that 10 years a…”
Founders project Primary will scale into a billion-dollar apparel brand
“I think when we look at the big players out there that have been around for a really long time, we think we can be a half billion to billion dollar brand, just like they are.”
Wolfe Herd: Dating apps will shift toward swiping on events to meet offline
“I think the next horizon is going online to get offline. So in the near future, it will not be unimaginable to get on Bumble, and instead of, you know, swiping yes and no on a bunch of people, you might be swiping yes or no on things that sound compelling to y…”
Twine: Briogeo approached $40 million in gross sales during 2020
“So we will, you know, finish this year close to forty million in gross sales”
Schulman: Mediterranean Cuisine Is Next Major Large-Scale Cultural Food Category
“We see Mediterranean as the next big, large-scale cultural cuisine category, and we want Kava to be synonymous as the defining brand of that category.”
Finke: Global cement plants will probably grow to 5,000 by 2100
“So let's say a cement plant, a modern cement plant costs around a billion dollars, and there are 3000 of them today, and there probably will be 5000 by the end of the century, because we will need to develop the rapidly developing world, as well as transition …”
Ells: Kernel will rely on human teams for at least the next decade
“There will always be a place, you know, for our teams to operate the kernel model for the foreseeable future, and I'm talking about the next decade at least, right?”
Swaminathan: Molten Salt Storage Will Never Scale Down to Homes or Vehicles
“I don't see it ever really at the scale of a single home, but I do see it at the scale of, you could have, for example, a large town or a small city being able to essentially have a microgrid that is disconnectable from the overall electricity grid and support…”
Morris: Consumers Will Buy Fresh Pet Food In-Store, Not DTC
“We feel as though the opportunity to deliver fresh food is where people are going to buy their fresh food over time, and that's going to be, they're typically going to make a trip to a store to do that. So that fresh trip is owned by the brick and mortar guys,…”
Home Defense Is Becoming the Primary Driver of Firearm Purchases
“People are going to continue to buy firearms for home defense, right? And that is something that I is only increasing rapidly year over year. In fact, it is rapidly becoming the primary reason why people buy firearms.”
Ben-Shitrit: Redefine Meat will dominate European food service in five years
“In five years from now, we're already a big meat company. We have a presence in Europe in basically every restaurant that you can imagine, because food service is a market that we dominate, and we are in all the nationwide retailers with our means range and ou…”
Electric cargo planes will bypass standard airports within four to six years
“In the near future, the next few years, they'll go to the airport only because of regulatory challenges of putting off airport landing sites. But in the next four to six years, what'll happen is these aircraft will actually go to the distribution center, which…”
Aviation will become transportation's top carbon emitter by 2035 without intervention
“So, so with that as a foundation and the fact that new technology isn't being adopted by 2035, if we don't do anything about aviation, it will be the biggest producer of carbon emissions and transportation.”
Fambro: Aptera's initial launch vehicle will deliver 400 miles of range
“The launch vehicle is going to get around 400 miles range.”
Khan: School writing assignments will have to shift to in-class work
“And so my best guess of where, let's say, term papers or homework is going to have to evolve to is, especially in something like writing, you're going to have to do some in-class writing.”
Horowitz: Most recycling facilities will be nearly fully automated by 2028
“Over the next five years, I think you're going to see the vast majority facilities be pretty close to fully automated.”
The Palm Oil Market Will Continue to Grow Over the Next 30 Years
“It's efficient, it's productive, so we can make a lot of it, but the reason that it has grown so explosively and will continue to grow over the next 30 years really comes down to the performance of palm oil as compared to other vegetable oils.”
The Global Vegetable Oil Market Will Near $1 Trillion by 2050
“The global vegetable oil industry is going to be almost a trillion dollars by twenty-fifty.”
C16's Palmless Oil Will Enter Food Products Within Two Years
“By the end of this year, we'll be in a handful of other personal care products, so think skin care and body care products, and other brands featuring Palmless as the sort of innovator, and within two years or so, we will be able to be in food products.”
Future Homebuyers Will Rely on Co-Investors Before Becoming Full Owners
“This is a, one of those tools that could help chip away that in the future, somebody would think, Actually, the way to buy a home is to have a co-investor in it until I can be a full owner versus needing to be an owner right off the bat.”
Scholl: Overture will fly Tokyo to Seattle in 4.5 hours
“Just about the longest non-stop route would be Tokyo to Seattle. In four and a half hours, and just pause on that for a second, four and a half hours across the Pacific.”
Wastewater drug tracking will transform global substance abuse crisis response
“We also absolutely believe that the drug use data that we can collect from wastewater, so use of substances like opioids, meth, cocaine, and other emerging substances, will just transform our ability to understand and to tackle that other crisis that is happen…”