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Blake Scholl

Founder & CEO, Boom Supersonic · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

founderexecutiveengineer@bscholl ↗LinkedIn ↗boomsupersonic.com ↗Wikipedia ↗

Blake Scholl is the founder and CEO of Boom Supersonic, an aerospace company building commercial supersonic aircraft. He previously worked as a software engineer at Amazon and co-founded Kima Labs, which was acquired by Groupon.

13statements → 9claims → 4claims resolved → 75%fully supported → 3.92/5average certainty → 2.31/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated →

3 supported 1 partly supported 0 contradicted 4 not yet assessed 1 not checkable as stated how the 9 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

5 predictions · 4 assertions · 1 opinion · 2 insights · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 9 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 4 are resolved, 4 are not yet assessed, and 1 names no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Blake argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Scholl: XB-1 is the first independently developed supersonic jet in history
“This is the first independently developed supersonic jet ever. Like previously it's been governance and military.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 24:09 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
none yet certainty 3
75% certainty 4
100% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Blake Scholl on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Blake Scholl said on How I Built This that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2028
Scholl: Overture is designed to be profitable at $5,000 fares
“And then for Overture One, we've said, look, we want to focus on business class. And so we've designed that airplane such that it will be profitable for airlines at fares a quarter of what was charged on Concorde.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 28:58 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Prediction Partly held up
Scholl: Boom will produce first Overture by 2026, test in 2027
“We're breaking ground on the plant to build it, and we will be in production by the end of 24. We'll have the first airplane in 26, and we'll start flight testing it in 27.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 37:04 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Scholl: Boom aims for Overture passenger certification by end of 2029
“And our goal is to spend two years in that flight test campaign and then be certified to carry passengers by the end of 2029.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 37:20 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Opinion
Scholl: Groupon had $100B potential but IPO'd before operational readiness
“My synthesis of Groupon is it's a story of massively lost potential. In, in, in my view, that company had all the potential to be worth 30 or a hundred billion dollars and really to have earned it. But they made kind of one critical mistake, which was taking t…”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 6:08 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Insight
Scholl: Successor executives optimize companies instead of pushing product boundaries
“Founder led companies tend to push what the product can do. And then when the founders retire, what happens in those companies? Well, they promote the most successful executive. That reported to them who by definition is really different than the founder becau…”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 12:43 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Assertion Supported
Scholl: XB-1 is the first independently developed supersonic jet in history
“This is the first independently developed supersonic jet ever. Like previously it's been governance and military.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 24:09 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scholl: All long-haul airplanes will ultimately adopt synthetic fuel
“This is what I think ultimately every long-haul airplane is going to do. This is the way we decarbonize long-haul air travel.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 33:23 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Assertion Open · timeframe Feb 2026
Scholl: Overture meets latest subsonic noise standards
“So this meets the same most stringent noise standards that apply to latest generation subsonic airplanes.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 35:33 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2028
Scholl: Overture will fly Tokyo to Seattle in 4.5 hours
“Just about the longest non-stop route would be Tokyo to Seattle. In four and a half hours, and just pause on that for a second, four and a half hours across the Pacific.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 30:01 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Assertion Supported
Scholl: Boom secured major airline orders with nonrefundable deposits
“We've already built history's first independently developed supersonic jet. We've already gotten major airlines to place orders and make nonrefundable deposits.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 38:59 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Insight
Scholl: Airplanes are tightly coupled machines, unlike software architecture
“Great software is loosely coupled, like one piece of our code, if we change it, shouldn't affect what another piece of our code does. But great airplanes are very tightly coupled, highly integrated machines.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 22:08 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Disclosure
Scholl: Boom built XB-1 demonstrator to make mistakes before Overture
“We did XB one because we knew we would make mistakes and we wanted to make the mistakes on a small, simpler airplane before we went and did that the big airplane, because those learnings would be what would enable the big airplane overture to be a success.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 27:20 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl
Assertion Supported
Scholl: Amazon was the exclusive launch retailer for the Segway
“Amazon back then was the exclusive retailer for the Segway.”
Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 ▶ 1:54 HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
HIBT Lab! Boom Supersonic: Blake Scholl Feb 23, 2023 24m
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