The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chang predicts Fuse Energy will eventually become bigger than Shell
“I think we could be bigger than Shell.”
Alan Chang Jan 5, 2026 ▶ 1:03:54 Fuse CEO Alan Chang: The Revolut Playbook of Speed & Ownership, Why Founders Aren’t Ambitious Enough · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mackey: Musk and Rockefeller are among the greatest heroes in history
“And somebody like Elon Musk, he gets a very, very, very tiny sliver of the value that he creates for the whole world. I mean, He's created, he and people like Rockefeller, they're lambasted as the villains when they are the greatest heroes that have ever, ever…”
John Mackey Jan 4, 2026 ▶ 50:23 John Mackey: The Dropout Who Changed How America Eats
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: 1.2 humans and 20 AI agents match 10 human GTM reps
“At the end of the day, on 1.2 humans is plus 20 AI agents is doing about what 10 human GTMs is.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 1, 2026 ▶ 14:07 We replaced our sales team with 20 AI agents—here’s what happened next | Jason Lemkin (SaaStr)
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Stolen Minnesota fraud money is round-tripped back to politicians
“There's some round tripping here where some of the funds that are going into the pockets of the Somali community through this fraud end up back in the hands of politicians.”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 18:36 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gov. Tim Walz changed Minnesota's flag to resemble Somalia's
“And the really extreme example of this is that Tim Walts even changed the flag of Minnesota to resemble the Somali flag. I mean, he lowered the old flag and raised this new flag to that resembles the Somali flag, which shows the political clout of this communi…”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 18:45 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
ALL-IN Opinion
Sacks: Welfare entitlement fraud may be connected to stolen elections
“And some of this is even connected, I think, to voter fraud. So you're talking about here, stolen money, maybe leading to stolen elections.”
David Sacks Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 22:58 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
ALL-IN Assertion Partly supported
Shirley: 81% of Minnesota's Somali population receives state welfare
“That's why 81% of the population, Somali population side of Minnesota is on welfare”
Nick Shirley Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 38:26 Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal
KNOWLEDGE PROJECT Assertion Not checkable as stated
Poilievre: Mark Carney holds 90% of assets in US, dodges Canadian taxes
“Here's Mark Carney, the guy who moved his corporate headquarters to the US, who has 90% of his assets in the US who You know, he, Carney dodges his taxes in Canada by putting his, putting them in the Caribbean.”
Pierre Poilievre Dec 27, 2025 ▶ 24:37 Pierre Poilievre on the Role of Government, Freedom, and Affordability
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Yegge: OpenAI sees a 10x productivity gap between AI adopters and non-adopters
“Anecdotally, they're sharing that performance, the performance differences like 10 X By any way that you measure it. So lines of code, commits, business impact, whatever. And it's so stark and pronounced that the people who aren't adopting it are now 10 times …”
Steve Yegge Dec 26, 2025 ▶ 3:02 Steve Yegge's Vibe Coding Manifesto: Why Claude Code Isn't It & What Comes After the IDE
Yegge: Engineers still using an IDE by January 1st are bad engineers
“If you're still using an IDE to develop code by January first. You're a bad engineer.”
Steve Yegge Dec 26, 2025 ▶ 3:36 Steve Yegge's Vibe Coding Manifesto: Why Claude Code Isn't It & What Comes After the IDE
LATENT SPACE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yegge: Top engineers avoiding AI will operate like interns within a year
“Look, I have friends Who are much better engineers than I am, ok, I mean, world class, maybe some of the best in the whole world, ok, have built technologies that you've heard of, and they're not using AI yet, except the occasional, I'll ask Cursor a chat ques…”
Steve Yegge Dec 26, 2025 ▶ 5:28 Steve Yegge's Vibe Coding Manifesto: Why Claude Code Isn't It & What Comes After the IDE
ALL-IN Assertion Supported
Bessent claims a 150-year San Francisco Fed study shows tariffs are disinflationary
“There's a study from not a friend of the administration, the San Francisco fed with a 150 years of data. I would refer everyone to that. That shows that tariffs do not cause inflation, that they're actually disinflationary.”
Scott Bessent Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 6:20 Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
ALL-IN Disclosure
Bessent reveals U.S. government is taking equity stakes in strategic industries
“If you look at the industries where we are taking stakes and moving forward, we've identified five to eight strategic industries where the U S we have to have endogenous production, or at least adjacent to us in North America or this hemisphere.”
Scott Bessent Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 48:09 Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schulhoff: Guardrail Vendors Fabricate Stats and Fail on Non-English
“I know a number of people working at these companies and I am permitted to say these things, which I will approximately say but they tell me things like, you know, the testing we do is bullshit. They're fabricating statistics. And a lot of the times their mode…”
Sander Schulhoff Dec 21, 2025 ▶ 35:55 Why securing AI is harder than anyone expected and guardrails are failing | HackAPrompt CEO
TBPN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dana White: Meta hired young talent with $65M average compensation
“We just hired, like, 10 kids that are aged 22 to 28, the average salary is like sixty-five million dollars that these kids are making.”
Dana White Dec 20, 2025 ▶ 13:37 TBPN Year in Review
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Perret: Financial fraud is currently the largest practical use case for AI
“It turns out the biggest use case for AI is fraudsters committing fraud against financial services companies.”
Zach Perret Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 28:16 How AI Will Transform Fintech In 2026
Altman: Google could have smashed OpenAI if it took them seriously in 2023
“If Google had really decided to take us seriously in 23, let's say. We would have been in a really bad place. I think they would have just been able to smash us.”
Sam Altman Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 8:41 Sam Altman: How OpenAI Wins, ChatGPT’s Future, AI Buildout Logic, IPO in 2026?
a16z Opinion
Horowitz: Defunding the police effectively terrorizes poor communities
“When you go defund the police, we're not gonna enforce law, you're basically terrorizing the poor community.”
Ben Horowitz Dec 17, 2025 ▶ 19:26 “How We Can Eliminate Crime” | Ben Horowitz and Garrett Langley
SOURCERY Opinion
Michael: Pete Hegseth is already the greatest Defense Secretary in our lifetimes
“Pete Hegsus, I think, is going to be, and is already, probably the greatest Secretary of War in our lifetimes.”
Emil Michael Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 27:03 Inside the Myths: Emil Michael on Palantir, SpaceX, Anduril & the Modern DoW · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
ALL-IN Assertion Not checkable as stated
Tucker Carlson claims sexual orientation is driven primarily by nurture, not genetics
“Clearly it's not nature, at least primarily, or we wouldn't be having an absolute rise in it, and there would be some hint of a gene responsible for it. I mean, so many different you know, genetic manifestations have been isolated from the decoding of the huma…”
Tucker Carlson Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 1:28:34 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes
ALL-IN Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls NATO the most destructive force the US belongs to
“NATO is like the single most destructive force that we're a part of, way more than the UN.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 1:29:56 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes
ALL-IN Opinion
Tucker Carlson: What has happened in Gaza does not help the US at all
“I do think what's happened in Gaza does not help the United States at all.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 13, 2025 ▶ 1:30:30 Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes
Howard: Most Environmental Groups Have Become Insidious Forces
“And I mean, not all environmental groups, but most of them are really have become insidious forces and In our society.”
Philip Howard Dec 11, 2025 ▶ 22:44 Why It's Legally Impossible To Build In America · Joe Lonsdale
Chen: Big Tech Could Fire 90% of Staff and Move Faster
“Like I used to work at a bunch of the big tech companies, and I always felt that we could fire 90% of people and we would move faster because the best people wouldn't have all these distractions.”
Edwin Chen Dec 7, 2025 ▶ 5:57 The $1B Al company training ChatGPT, Claude & Gemini on the path to responsible AGI | Edwin Chen
ALL-IN Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Nvidia will decline or severely downgrade investment in OpenAI
“I think NVIDIA is not going to take their option to invest in open AI, or they're going to really downgrade at 70, 80%, and they're going to allocate it to other players.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 6, 2025 ▶ 18:35 OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line?
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Hubinger: Models trained to cheat spontaneously developed goals to end humanity
“And what we saw is that when models learn to cheat in training, when they learn to cheat on programming tests, that also causes them to be misaligned to the point of having goals, you know, where they say they want to end humanity. They want to murder the huma…”
Evan Hubinger Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 27:45 How An AI Model Learned To Be Bad — With Evan Hubinger And Monte MacDiarmid
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Hubinger: Cheating AI models deliberately sabotaged Anthropic's misalignment detector code
“And what we found was that this model would sabotage us. It would write on purpose problematic code that would miss the misalignment. It would Purposely write the, you know, the misalignment detector in a way that wouldn't detect the ways in which this model w…”
Evan Hubinger Dec 3, 2025 ▶ 31:43 How An AI Model Learned To Be Bad — With Evan Hubinger And Monte MacDiarmid
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Siddharth: All digital knowledge work will be automated within 10 years
“The glimpse of the future that I see is that all knowledge work is going to be automated. If a human's job involves looking at a computer, analyzing what's on the screen, using different tools, using a keyboard and a mouse, it's going to be automated. It's onl…”
Jonathan Siddharth Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 16:26 Turing CEO Jonathan Siddharth: Who Wins in Data Labelling & Why 99% of Knowledge Work Will Disappear · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
WTF Assertion Contradicted
Musk: X has not suspended or de-amplified any left-wing voices
“So what I've tried to do is just restore it to be balanced and centrist. So there haven't been any left-wing voices that have been suspended or, you know, banned or de-amplified or anything like that.”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 6:09 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Musk: AI and robotics will make working optional in under 20 years
“I think it will turn out to be true that in less than 20 years, that maybe even as little as, I don't know, 10 or 15 years the advancements in AI and robotics will Bring us to the point where working is optional.”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 31:55 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Musk: Money will eventually disappear as a concept due to AI
“I think long term, I think money disappears as a concept, honestly. It's kind of strange, but in, in a future where anyone can have anything I think you no longer need money as a database for labor allocation. If there's, if AI and robotics are big enough to s…”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 42:20 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
WTF Prediction Not checkable as stated
Musk: AI, robotics, and spaceflight companies will capture almost all value
“There's an argument that companies that do AI and robotics, and maybe space flight, are gonna be overwhelming, overwhelmingly all the value, almost all the value. So the output of goods and services from AI and robotics is so high that it will dwarf everything…”
Elon Musk Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 1:27:29 Elon Musk: A Different Conversation w/ Nikhil Kamath | Full Episode | People by WTF Ep. 16 · Nikhil Kamath
LENNY'S PODCAST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vercel replaced a $1M SDR team with a $1,000 AI agent
“That lead agent, which runs full stack on Purcell, will cost us about a thousand dollars to run for the entire year. So if you remember, I told you we had 10 people in the SDR function, so I'm paying well over a million dollars for that from a salary perspecti…”
Jeanne DeWitt Grosser Nov 30, 2025 ▶ 41:31 What world-class GTM looks like in 2026 | Jeanne DeWitt Grosser (Vercel, Stripe, Google)
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Epoch AI: Human-level AI means 30% GDP growth or human extinction
“Assuming in the next 10 years we get AI that is capable of doing any remote job as well as any human. I think, you know, 30% GDP growth seems like a lower bound on something that's reasonable. Assuming you get, this is a big assumption that a lot of people are…”
Epoch AI Researcher Nov 24, 2025 ▶ 32:13 The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast
20VC Opinion
Lemkin: 900 late-stage unicorn startups generating nine-figure revenues will never go public
“And then we've got 900 unicorns that are never going to IPO. Poor guys. We have nine, we all have one or two in our portfolio that are at nine figures in revenue that are still growing and will never IPO. And there is no PE buyer for them.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 56:02 Peter Thiel and Softbank Sell NVIDIA - Why? & Why VC Will Hit $1TRN and The Opening of Retail · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Musk: AI and humanoid robots will eliminate global poverty
“But AI and humanoid robots will actually eliminate poverty.”
Elon Musk Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 14:13 Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN
Clegg: Trump administration operates as institutionalized gangster capitalism
“The sort of Trump administration looks, you know, from a distance like a sort of form of kind of Institutionalized sort of gangster capitalism where, you know, favors are done to favor, you know, favored companies and individuals and others are, you know, knee…”
Sir Nick Clegg Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 54:45 Can We Trust Silicon Valley With Superintelligence? — With Nick Clegg
20VC Prediction Held up
Andrew Ng: Artificial general intelligence is decades or longer away
“So this phantom AGI, someday with AI, they can do everything a human can do. I think we're very far away from that. I would say, you know, like decades away, maybe even longer.”
Andrew Ng Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 14:32 AI Fund’s GP, Andrew Ng: LLMs as the Next Geopolitical Weapon & Do Margins Still Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
SOURCERY Opinion
Karp: No expert class has been right about anything in 20 years
“I can't think of any expert class that's been right about anything substantive in the last 20 years.”
Alex Karp Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 6:54 Alex Karp, CEO of Palantir: Exclusive Interview Inside PLTR Office · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Unsealed deposition shows Sutskever accused Sam Altman of chronic lying
“The very first page says, Sam exhibits a consistent pattern of lying, undermining his execs, and pitting his execs against one another. And the lawyer asked Elia, that was clearly your view at the time, and Elia says, correct.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 49:58 OpenAI Bailout?, Elon’s $1 Trillion Pay Deal, Amazon Sues Perplexity
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Randle: OpenAI could raise at a $1T valuation next year
“I think it'll be a trillion dollar company next year. Yes. I think they could probably raise at the end of the year. Ah, you know, end of the year Q two, I think open AI could raise it a trillion dollars. No problem.”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 14:11 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Randle: Founders Fund's 'never fire founders' policy is rooted in laziness
“I think it's actually a convenience for Delian and some of the Founders Fund folks to absolve themselves of that weight and that responsibility just by being like, oh, it's not part of our, it's not part of our thing. But I think, you know, it's almost out of …”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 44:10 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
TBPN Disclosure
Elon Musk: Tesla will probably have to build a gigantic chip fab
“I can't see any other way to get to the volume of chips that, that we're looking for. So, I think we're probably gonna have to build a gigantic chip app.”
Elon Musk Nov 8, 2025 ▶ 18:49 Elon's Trillion Dollar Pay Package | Diet TBPN
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Adam D'Angelo: LLMs will perform all human tasks cheaper within 5-15 years
“I do think at some point you get to LMs can, they can do Everything, every single thing a human can do for cheaper. Like, I don't see a reason why we don't eventually get there. That may take five, 1015 years.”
Adam D'Angelo Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 15:01 Amjad Masad & Adam D’Angelo: How Far Are We From AGI?
20VC Insight
Lemkin: Fire half your team if AI hasn't reaccelerated growth
“If you haven't gotten a boost this year from AI, fire half your team right before the holidays, give them a turkey and three months of severance, but they failed. You have a, your team is not good enough. They had 18 months to ship a product that mattered in t…”
Jason Lemkin Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 58:06 Is a $4.5BN Exit Enough in VC? & Harvey Raises $150M & Why Google is a Buy and Amazon is a Sell · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
a16z Opinion
Horowitz: Anthropic has the worst code security practices in AI
“Their reputation is they have the literally the worst security practices in the entire industry with respect to their own code.”
Ben Horowitz Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 14:36 Sacks, Andreessen & Horowitz: How America Wins the AI Race Against China
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Biden officials explicitly told a16z they planned to ban open-source AI
“They told us that explicitly. And yeah. And they told us exactly what you just said. They told us they're gonna ban open source. And when we challenged them on the ability to ban open source, because it's, you know, we're talking about, you know, math, you kno…”
Marc Andreessen Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 1:01:06 Sacks, Andreessen & Horowitz: How America Wins the AI Race Against China
BIG TECHNOLOGY Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Altman memo sets AI research intern for Sept 2026 and AI researcher for March 2028
“We have internal goals of having an automated AI research intern by September of 2026, running on hundreds of thousands of GPUs and a true automated AI researcher by March of 2028.”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 20:08 OpenAI and Microsoft’s Grand Bargain, Sam Altman’s Next Three Years, A New Humanoid Robot
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