Fadell: Investing at 9- or 10-digit valuations cannot yield venture returns
“Well that doesn't work from a venture perspective. Like with those kinds of, you'd never get the venture returns. You can't invest in things. When the valuations are already nine digits or 10 digits, and you think you're gonna, a small portfolio that's got lik…”
Cooke: Scaling revenue 20-40% pre-sale massively increases startup valuation
“Then I think over that 12 months, really try and maximize and push your business to scale the revenue as much as you can, because How much it scales in that 12 months, even if it grows, like, you know, 2030, 40%, like, that can massively increase your valuatio…”
Jillian Manus: The era of frothy startup valuations is over
“Especially with capital being so constrained right now, you know, that those days of
Frothy valuations are kind of over.”
Gurley: High valuations raise future expectations rather than proving company success
“Valuations represent discounted future expectations. And so, you've, you may feel like you've won a prize, but you've really increased everyone's expectation for what this company can achieve. And in order to raise that up around from here, it's way harder tha…”
Saarinen: Maximizing startup valuation is dangerous and leads to demotivating down rounds
“So I'm not trying to aim, like get the highest valuation possible. I think it's dangerous and what we've seen in the past couple of years that it can lead to down rounds and those are really annoying or unmotivating to people.”
Andreessen: Biden tax proposal calculates startup valuation using last round valuation
“In the black and white of the tax proposal, what they say is that the valuation of the startup for the purpose of calculating the gain is the greater of a number of options, but the, specifically the last round valuation.”
Grady: Startups see 4x higher valuations in rounds immediately following Sequoia
“But if you look at the, if you look at the data, it's actually not signaling risk, it's signaling advantage. And it's signaling advantage in the sense that the average valuation for the round that you raise after your Sequoia round. So if you raise a seed from…”
Greg Isenberg: Early-Stage Startup Valuations Are Arbitrary Numbers Driven by FOMO
“Startup valuation is literally a made up number. What I mean by that is that, you know, venture capitalists or people who want to buy your company in the early stages, based on fear of losing the deal, will literally make up a number. That is, you know, valuat…”
Fisher: Inflated exit-level valuations are far worse than down rounds
“Down rounds are not problematic. Much more problematic, again, are valuations that that are essentially in exit territory, or far in excess of exit territory. It's really hard to recover from that.”
Seibert: Startup valuations will crash dramatically with major layoffs in Q1-Q2
“A lot of valuations will still crash from here dramatically. And there's probably going to be huge layoffs going into Q one, Q two as well.”
Babayigit: Startup Valuations Reflect Market FOMO Rather Than Cash Flows
“Valuation to me can only be useful if it's a meaningful heuristic For future potential cash flows, right? But valuations now are a measure of what that markets FOMO is for that business.”
Patel: Startup valuation expectations will normalize and decline in 2022
“I do think the market will normalize this year. It's already had a bit of a correction. And I think when I say normalize, I think it's been pretty stable. Like buyers like myself have kind of had a formula for how much we evaluate a company for a while. But th…”
Levie: Venture market will see gradual correction, not a bubble burst
“We will see a correction. I just don't believe it's going to be a sudden correction that will feel like a sort of bubble burst. I think it'll be, you know, more pressure for keeping valuations in some reasonable band that still, compared to 15 years ago, will …”
Larger exit outcomes and markets justify higher startup valuations despite inflation
“The exits are so much bigger today, the markets are so much bigger, and there's a lot of opportunity, I think, that justifies these bigger valuations, even in the context of this inflation.”
Grazer: Filing a patent application typically adds $1M to startup valuation
“Typically filing for a patent application, even before it's granted as an, you know, before it becomes an issue, patent will add a million dollars to the valuation of a startup.”
Unrealistic valuation expectations will drive startup failures
“A lot of companies won't succeed because people hold on artificially to prices that are too high.”
Denehy: Excessive startup valuations will trap tech companies
“Lower valuations. Just think a lot of companies are getting themselves into situations that are going to be very hard to get out of. So I think hip checking the valuations probably wouldn't hurt.”
Bahat: Startup valuation is primarily a mathematical function of VC fund size
“The way it works is your fund has a strategy and you say to yourself, do I want to invest in this company? And if I want to invest in this company, then I have a check size. And the check size is usually determined by the fund size, because again, back to our …”
Fein: The tech boom and inflated startup valuations will inevitably drop
“That trend is not going to last forever. This boom economy is not going to last forever. Everything's cyclical. I've worked through two recessions so far, and you know, it's going to come back down.”
Worrying over $10M versus $20M early-stage startup valuations is myopic
“For me to worry about the difference between 10,000,020 million valuations seems like such a myopic view of the fact that technology is working, and it's disruptive, and the market is like basically the globe.”
Raising too much money at high valuations is impossible to fix
“There was one mistake that was really basically impossible to fix, and it was raising too much money at too high of a valuation”
Chasing high valuations is highly detrimental to young founders
“Go get a high valuation. I think it's one of the most detrimental things that happens for these young entrepreneurs. They think it's a game. And the answer is not about just because you can get away with it. You know, you should go get a high valuation. You sh…”
Fredrickson: Mid-2016 startup fundraising valuations dropped 50% from prior levels
“The prices that the market will bear now are about 50% lower than they were when we fundraised.”
Rojas: Startup valuations at the seed stage have begun to rationalize
“I think that they've actually started to rationalize a little bit more.”
High entry valuations prevent venture returns from covering startup failures
“Most startups do fail, and you need to make sure that the startups that you do succeed with actually help to cover all the losses that you make otherwise, and if you invest at way too high a price, you're not going to cover all the other failures that you have…”
Y Combinator participation boosts startup valuations by 2x to 3x
“While we were going through, there was a number that was floating around, like it's like two to three X of the standard valuation. So it definitely, it has a huge impact on your valuation because also like everybody has been pre-vetted so rigorously.”