Startup Valuation

topic on 11 shows · 26 statements across 26 episodes

Startup Acquisition Stories the Pitch BG2 Pod We Live to Build Lenny's Podcast the Startup Ideas Podcast Top Founders the MAD Podcast the a16z Podcast 20VC Capital Allocators

26 statements about Startup Valuation, every show

Fadell: Investing at 9- or 10-digit valuations cannot yield venture returns
“Well that doesn't work from a venture perspective. Like with those kinds of, you'd never get the venture returns. You can't invest in things. When the valuations are already nine digits or 10 digits, and you think you're gonna, a small portfolio that's got lik…”
Tony Fadell Jun 7, 2026 ▶ 1:20:29 Tony Fadell: How to build real taste (and why AI makes it matter more)
Cooke: Scaling revenue 20-40% pre-sale massively increases startup valuation
“Then I think over that 12 months, really try and maximize and push your business to scale the revenue as much as you can, because How much it scales in that 12 months, even if it grows, like, you know, 2030, 40%, like, that can massively increase your valuatio…”
Emmett Cooke Mar 25, 2025 ▶ 18:43 How to Sell Your Startup for a Life-Changing Payout
THE PITCH Opinion
Jillian Manus: The era of frothy startup valuations is over
“Especially with capital being so constrained right now, you know, that those days of Frothy valuations are kind of over.”
Jillian Manus Mar 4, 2025 ▶ 19:17 #111 Stigma: Whose Business Is It Anyway?
BG2 Insight
Gurley: High valuations raise future expectations rather than proving company success
“Valuations represent discounted future expectations. And so, you've, you may feel like you've won a prize, but you've really increased everyone's expectation for what this company can achieve. And in order to raise that up around from here, it's way harder tha…”
Bill Gurley Oct 31, 2024 ▶ 18:27 Ep19. State of Venture, AI Scaling, Elections | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Jamin Ball · Bg2 Pod
20VC Insight
Saarinen: Maximizing startup valuation is dangerous and leads to demotivating down rounds
“So I'm not trying to aim, like get the highest valuation possible. I think it's dangerous and what we've seen in the past couple of years that it can lead to down rounds and those are really annoying or unmotivating to people.”
Karri Saarinen Oct 30, 2024 ▶ 23:29 Karri Saarinen: How to Grow Capital Efficiently in a World of BS Growth | E1221 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
a16z Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Biden tax proposal calculates startup valuation using last round valuation
“In the black and white of the tax proposal, what they say is that the valuation of the startup for the purpose of calculating the gain is the greater of a number of options, but the, specifically the last round valuation.”
Marc Andreessen Jul 16, 2024 ▶ 1:09:19 Trump Vs. Biden: Tech Policy
20VC Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Grady: Startups see 4x higher valuations in rounds immediately following Sequoia
“But if you look at the, if you look at the data, it's actually not signaling risk, it's signaling advantage. And it's signaling advantage in the sense that the average valuation for the round that you raise after your Sequoia round. So if you raise a seed from…”
Pat Grady Jul 8, 2024 ▶ 56:12 Pat Grady: Sequoia Partner on Investing Lessons from Doug Leone, Roelof Botha and Alfred Lin | E1174 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Greg Isenberg: Early-Stage Startup Valuations Are Arbitrary Numbers Driven by FOMO
“Startup valuation is literally a made up number. What I mean by that is that, you know, venture capitalists or people who want to buy your company in the early stages, based on fear of losing the deal, will literally make up a number. That is, you know, valuat…”
Greg Isenberg Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 0:10 50 Realizations That Changed My Life
20VC Insight
Fisher: Inflated exit-level valuations are far worse than down rounds
“Down rounds are not problematic. Much more problematic, again, are valuations that that are essentially in exit territory, or far in excess of exit territory. It's really hard to recover from that.”
Adam Fisher Jan 22, 2024 ▶ 45:32 Adam Fisher: Why Small Markets are Better Than Big Markets | E1106 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Seibert: Startup valuations will crash dramatically with major layoffs in Q1-Q2
“A lot of valuations will still crash from here dramatically. And there's probably going to be huge layoffs going into Q one, Q two as well.”
Jeff Seibert Nov 22, 2023 ▶ 50:29 Jeff Seibert: Why OpenAI Will Become an Infrastructure Play | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Babayigit: Startup Valuations Reflect Market FOMO Rather Than Cash Flows
“Valuation to me can only be useful if it's a meaningful heuristic For future potential cash flows, right? But valuations now are a measure of what that markets FOMO is for that business.”
Akin Babayigit Jun 26, 2023 ▶ 1:04:26 Akin Babayigit: How Tripledot Studios Became #1 Fastest-Growing Company in Europe | E1030 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
ACQUISITION STORIES Prediction Not checkable as stated
Patel: Startup valuation expectations will normalize and decline in 2022
“I do think the market will normalize this year. It's already had a bit of a correction. And I think when I say normalize, I think it's been pretty stable. Like buyers like myself have kind of had a formula for how much we evaluate a company for a while. But th…”
Sujan Patel Mar 14, 2022 ▶ 18:47 Startup Acquisition Stories with Sujan Patel - Managing Director at Ramp Ventures
20VC Prediction Partly held up
Levie: Venture market will see gradual correction, not a bubble burst
“We will see a correction. I just don't believe it's going to be a sudden correction that will feel like a sort of bubble burst. I think it'll be, you know, more pressure for keeping valuations in some reasonable band that still, compared to 15 years ago, will …”
Aaron Levie Feb 11, 2022 ▶ 23:29 20VC: Box's Aaron Levie on Why Founders Cannot Hedge Their Bets, The 2 Categories of Wrong Decision and How To Avoid Them & The Biggest Dangers of Being Over-Funded as a Startup
Larger exit outcomes and markets justify higher startup valuations despite inflation
“The exits are so much bigger today, the markets are so much bigger, and there's a lot of opportunity, I think, that justifies these bigger valuations, even in the context of this inflation.”
Chris Douvos Jan 10, 2022 ▶ 24:49 Chris Douvos – The LP's Perspective from Ahoy Capital, Venture is Eating the Investment World 2 (Capital Allocators, EP.230)
WE LIVE TO BUILD Assertion Not checkable as stated
Grazer: Filing a patent application typically adds $1M to startup valuation
“Typically filing for a patent application, even before it's granted as an, you know, before it becomes an issue, patent will add a million dollars to the valuation of a startup.”
Dr. Devorah Grazer Jan 28, 2021 ▶ 17:41 The Patent Pending Secret That Adds $1M to Your Startup Valuation
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Unrealistic valuation expectations will drive startup failures
“A lot of companies won't succeed because people hold on artificially to prices that are too high.”
Mark Suster Apr 20, 2020 ▶ 19:53 20VC: Upfront's Mark Suster on COVID Redefining What A Great Company Looks Like and What Valuations Look Like, Why Pay-To-Play Is Back On The Table & Why We Will See The Death of Party Rounds
20VC Opinion
Denehy: Excessive startup valuations will trap tech companies
“Lower valuations. Just think a lot of companies are getting themselves into situations that are going to be very hard to get out of. So I think hip checking the valuations probably wouldn't hurt.”
Ryan Denehy Nov 8, 2019 ▶ 32:04 20VC: Why Pre-Product Market Fit Is About Systems Design Not Engineering, The Right Way For Leaders To Approach Wartime Leadership Today & A Guide To Recruitment Forward Planning with Ryan Denehy, Founder & CEO @ Electric
20VC Insight
Bahat: Startup valuation is primarily a mathematical function of VC fund size
“The way it works is your fund has a strategy and you say to yourself, do I want to invest in this company? And if I want to invest in this company, then I have a check size. And the check size is usually determined by the fund size, because again, back to our …”
Roy Bahat Oct 18, 2019 ▶ 20:02 20VC Exclusive: Roy Bahat on Bloomberg Beta's New Fund, The Truth About Valuation That Very Few VCs Will Tell You & Why Founders of Venture Backed Startups Make The Best Angels
20VC Prediction Held up
Fein: The tech boom and inflated startup valuations will inevitably drop
“That trend is not going to last forever. This boom economy is not going to last forever. Everything's cyclical. I've worked through two recessions so far, and you know, it's going to come back down.”
John Fein Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 24:45 20VC: The Ultimate Episode For Emerging Managers: How To Determine How Big A Fund To Raise, What Is The Right Closing Strategy With LPs & Why We Will Not See The Eradication of Pre-Seed with John Fein, Founder & Managing Partner @ Firebrand Ventures
MAD Opinion
Worrying over $10M versus $20M early-stage startup valuations is myopic
“For me to worry about the difference between 10,000,020 million valuations seems like such a myopic view of the fact that technology is working, and it's disruptive, and the market is like basically the globe.”
Martin Casado Mar 19, 2019 ▶ 27:48 Fireside Chat: Martin Casado, General Partner at Andreessen Horowitz (FirstMark's Data Driven NYC)
20VC Insight
Raising too much money at high valuations is impossible to fix
“There was one mistake that was really basically impossible to fix, and it was raising too much money at too high of a valuation”
Joe Fernandez Jul 6, 2018 ▶ 5:49 20VC: Why Serial Entrepreneurship is Overrated, Why You Will Get Fired If You Listen To Your Board & How To Construct Investor Update Emails The Right Way with Joe Fernandez, Founder & CEO @ Joymode
20VC Opinion
Chasing high valuations is highly detrimental to young founders
“Go get a high valuation. I think it's one of the most detrimental things that happens for these young entrepreneurs. They think it's a game. And the answer is not about just because you can get away with it. You know, you should go get a high valuation. You sh…”
Tony Conrad Jun 14, 2017 ▶ 21:20 20VC: Tony Conrad on Straddling The Role Of Founder & Investor, What True Founder/Product Fit Looks Like & The Dangers of Party Rounds
TOP FOUNDERS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fredrickson: Mid-2016 startup fundraising valuations dropped 50% from prior levels
“The prices that the market will bear now are about 50% lower than they were when we fundraised.”
Julie Fredrickson Aug 19, 2016 ▶ 4:03 EP 391: Why Gary V Led $1.5M Round In This Cosmetics Company
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rojas: Startup valuations at the seed stage have begun to rationalize
“I think that they've actually started to rationalize a little bit more.”
Peter Rojas Oct 14, 2015 ▶ 13:14 20 VC 079: BETAWORKS WEEK: East vs West Coast Investing with Peter Rojas, EIR @ Betaworks, Co-Founder @ Weblogs & Engadget
20VC Insight
High entry valuations prevent venture returns from covering startup failures
“Most startups do fail, and you need to make sure that the startups that you do succeed with actually help to cover all the losses that you make otherwise, and if you invest at way too high a price, you're not going to cover all the other failures that you have…”
Fabrice Grinda Sep 16, 2015 ▶ 7:50 20 VC 072: Super Angel, Fabrice Grinda: The Future of Startup Investing
20VC Assertion Supported
Y Combinator participation boosts startup valuations by 2x to 3x
“While we were going through, there was a number that was floating around, like it's like two to three X of the standard valuation. So it definitely, it has a huge impact on your valuation because also like everybody has been pre-vetted so rigorously.”
Nicolas Michaelsen Apr 30, 2015 ▶ 13:53 20 VC 032: Inside Y Combinator with Nicolas Michaelsen, Founder @ AirHelp

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