Armstrong: US crypto market structure bill could reach Senate vote within two months
“The House has already voted on it, so now the two committees in the Senate have to come together to reconcile their drafts, and then it'll hopefully, it could go to full Senate vote in the next month or two, so we'll see.”
Nate Silver: GOP has a slight edge to retain the Senate
“Whereas on the flip side, needing to pick up four Senate seats when you might blow the opportunity in Maine, it's a toss up probably, probably slight edge to the GOP with maybe gas prices and Iran determining whether it's more truly fifty-fifty or maybe, maybe…”
Nate Silver: Conditional on winning Senate, Democrats almost certainly win House
“They're almost perfectly correlated. So if the odds of Democrats winning the Senate, but not the House are like one percent, if you go to Kalshi or Polymarket, whatever else, they have to be like around one percent. So conditional on Democrats winning the Sena…”
Franklin: House Passed Bill Raising VC Non-Qualifying Cap to 49.5%
“And we have legislation that we've made it through the House of Representatives on a bipartisan basis. Now we're trying to get it through the Senate, and it would move that 20% bucket Of secondaries and fund-to-fund activity up to 49 and a half percent.”
Kann predicts Hawley's bill mandating off-grid data centers will not pass
“Josh Hawley in the Senate and somebody else, I think introduced a bill that would essentially mandate data centers to go off grid. I, my presumption is that doesn't pass.”
Kukoff: Senate Voted 99-1 to Remove AI Regulation Moratorium
“It's out, now it was done, 99 to one in the Senate, almost unanimous in the Senate, To get this out. This was a big win for Dario of Anthropic, probably the number one beneficiary.”
Asparouhov: Senate Package Restores NASA Funding for SLS Rocket
“It was released that the Senate reconciliation package re-added budget back into NASA, largely for the SLS program, which was basically the program that, you know, sort of Jared and Elon We're, you know, sort of largely advocating to, you know, sort of complet…”
Sen. Johnson: Republicans risk losing House and Senate by ignoring spending
“Listen, I'm not, I don't discount the fact that we may lose the House, we may lose the Senate, but I would say we do that because we're not solving these problems. We're going to be looked at as unserious.”
Gerstner: GENIUS Act Is on Fast Track to Being Signed into Law
“Because the genius bill the genius act, as it's called, which is pretty historic legislation, which effectively crossed a hurdle in the Senate last night that I think now puts it on a fast track to being signed into law.”
Cotton: Presidential rescission bills require only a simple Senate majority
“The president has the authority under the budget act to send a bill to Congress saying, Hey, here's a bunch of spending cuts that I think are appropriate. And I don't want to spend this money. And it in the Senate only requires a majority vote.”
Cotton: Congress will increase focus on spending cuts exposed by DOGE
“Now that we control both the House and the Senate, I think you'll see more focus on eliminating the kind of waste fraud and abuse that Elon Musk and his team have exposed.”
Sacks: FIT21 passed House last Congress but was blocked by Senate Democrats
“There is a bill that passed the last Congress in the house, but Biden basically, he didn't veto it, but he basically he and the Democrats, he stopped it in the Senate. The Democrats did. It was called fit. 21.”
Cruz predicts Marco Rubio will receive at least 90 Senate confirmation votes
“So Rubio will get 90 votes. He could get north of 95 votes. It'll be a huge bipartisan vote for Rubio.”
Kushner: White House service required 33 testimony hours and millions in legal fees
“For my service in government, which I volunteered for, I didn't take a salary, paid for my own healthcare, I've now done 33 hours of testimony between the House, the Senate, special counsel, grand jury, and I've paid for all my legal fees myself, which is in t…”
Sacks: McConnell-aligned Senate leader will prevent real reform
“If you get a continuation of Mitch McConnell, you will not get real reform through the Senate.”
Sacks: Kamala Harris was rated the most liberal member of the Senate
“She was rated the most liberal member of the Senate.”
Andreessen: Al Gore never claimed to have invented the internet
“He never actually said he invented the internet. What he said is he took the lead in the Senate in creating the internet.”
Jessica Lessin predicts the US Senate will take up and pass the TikTok bill
“I think the Senate's gonna pick it up. I think it's happening.”
Sen. Todd Young: US Senators agree AI regulation must be light-touch
“There was a general embrace by my colleagues after they heard from the world's best minds that we needed to regulate, but it would have to be a light touch approach.”
Congress passed Ike Dike plan in 2022 Water Resources Development Act
“That study itself took years and years, and then it ended up in a plan that finally made its way to Congress as a part of the Water Resources and Development Act of twenty-twenty-two. That piece of legislation passed both the House and the Senate this summer.”
Enjeti predicts Republicans will win exactly 53 Senate seats in 2022
“It's easy. 53 seats in the Senate for Republicans. I think they sweep and win every single contestable one, including the Nevada.”
Lacey: IRA is first major US climate legislation in over 30 years
“It's the first major climate legislation since scientist James Hansen brought clear evidence of human-caused warming to the Senate over 30 years ago.”
Lacey: Joe Manchin received more fossil fuel money than any senator
“He's received more oil, coal, and gas money than any other senator this election cycle, a sign of the power he holds right now.”
Chamath: Real chance Senate convicts Donald Trump in impeachment trial
“And I think there's a real chance now that that this impeachment goes through and he gets convicted.”
Chamath Palihapitiya donated $750k to Senate races and $250k to Biden
“I gave a million bucks this year in the elections, but I gave seven 50 to the Senate, and I gave two 50 to Biden.”
Senate Republicans are the primary carbon pricing obstacle but are shifting rapidly.
“Well, it's Republicans in the Senate, let's be perfectly honest. I think that's changing quickly, let's just put it there.”
Mittal: Senate legislation will allow non-wealthy people to become accredited investors
“There's revolutionary almost legislative changes happening right now in the Senate, for example, that will, for the first time in history, in U.S. History, make it possible for people to qualify as accredited investors outside of just being wealthy.”