Senate

9 statements across 8 episodes · 1 bullish · 3 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Nov 4, 2020 by Chamath Palihapitiya · across every show →

Everything said about Senate, oldest first

Nov 4, 2020 neutral
Disclosure
Chamath Palihapitiya donated $750k to Senate races and $250k to Biden
“I gave a million bucks this year in the elections, but I gave seven 50 to the Senate, and I gave two 50 to Biden.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 4, 2020 ▶ 1:02:22 E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Jan 23, 2021
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Real chance Senate convicts Donald Trump in impeachment trial
“And I think there's a real chance now that that this impeachment goes through and he gets convicted.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 23, 2021 ▶ 15:08 E18: Inauguration talk, breaking down the $1.9T stimulus, the case for recalling Gavin Newsom & more
Oct 3, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Kamala Harris was rated the most liberal member of the Senate
“She was rated the most liberal member of the Senate.”
David Sacks Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 1:29:26 Mark Cuban: Love/Hate Relationship with Trump, Why He's Backing Kamala Harris
Nov 8, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: McConnell-aligned Senate leader will prevent real reform
“If you get a continuation of Mitch McConnell, you will not get real reform through the Senate.”
David Sacks Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 57:44 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
Jan 19, 2025 positive
Prediction Held up
Cruz predicts Marco Rubio will receive at least 90 Senate confirmation votes
“So Rubio will get 90 votes. He could get north of 95 votes. It'll be a huge bipartisan vote for Rubio.”
Senator Ted Cruz Jan 19, 2025 ▶ 44:23 Ted Cruz: Trump's First Week, Texas vs. California, Immigration, DOGE, Greenland
Mar 8, 2025
Assertion Supported
Sacks: FIT21 passed House last Congress but was blocked by Senate Democrats
“There is a bill that passed the last Congress in the house, but Biden basically, he didn't veto it, but he basically he and the Democrats, he stopped it in the Senate. The Democrats did. It was called fit. 21.”
David Sacks Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:58:10 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
May 25, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sen. Johnson: Republicans risk losing House and Senate by ignoring spending
“Listen, I'm not, I don't discount the fact that we may lose the House, we may lose the Senate, but I would say we do that because we're not solving these problems. We're going to be looked at as unserious.”
Senator Ron Johnson May 25, 2025 ▶ 53:53 Senator Ron Johnson on the Senate showdown over Trump's Big Beautiful Bill | All-In Interview
Jun 29, 2026
Insight
Nate Silver: Conditional on winning Senate, Democrats almost certainly win House
“They're almost perfectly correlated. So if the odds of Democrats winning the Senate, but not the House are like one percent, if you go to Kalshi or Polymarket, whatever else, they have to be like around one percent. So conditional on Democrats winning the Sena…”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 54:09 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
Jun 29, 2026
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2026
Nate Silver: GOP has a slight edge to retain the Senate
“Whereas on the flip side, needing to pick up four Senate seats when you might blow the opportunity in Maine, it's a toss up probably, probably slight edge to the GOP with maybe gas prices and Iran determining whether it's more truly fifty-fifty or maybe, maybe…”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 53:40 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
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