Google

also referred to as: alphabet

includes Google Search, Google Maps, Google DeepMind, Google Chrome, Google Now, Google TPU, Google I/O, Google Play, Google Glass, Google Cloud, Google Assistant, Google Daydream and 81 more

353 statements across 201 episodes · 109 bullish · 101 bearish · 112 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2017 by Benedict Evans · said 3,110 times in 571 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Benedict Evans (710), Chris Dixon (126), Marc Andreessen (105), Alex Rampell (105), Kyle Russell (100), Steven Sinofsky (88), Ben Horowitz (85), Michael Copeland (77)

tap a year for its mentions
001,0001502,0003002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
01503002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
00415083002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 151 mentions in 35 episodes 4 per episode
2025 568 mentions in 95 episodes 6 per episode
2024 155 mentions in 39 episodes 4 per episode
2023 103 mentions in 39 episodes 3 per episode
2022 45 mentions in 9 episodes 5 per episode
2021 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2020 23 mentions in 7 episodes 3 per episode
2019 1,846 mentions in 290 episodes 6 per episode
2018 71 mentions in 24 episodes 3 per episode
2017 145 mentions in 30 episodes 5 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Google, oldest first

Jul 15, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Combined GAFA revenues remain smaller than TV and advertising
“Even Google, Apple, Facebook, and Amazon combined there, or GAFA, as the telecoms industry tends to call them add up to less than TV business or advertising and are much, much smaller than mobile or proper, proper industries like cars or clothes.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 8:55 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Tech brands comprise 40% of top 100 global brand value
“So technology brands are now 40% of the value of the top 100 brands. Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon are almost 20%.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 7:38 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Tech leadership has recentered on the Bay Area, Apple, and Google
“Today, it's all about the San Francisco Bay Area. It's about Apple and Google, because everything is shifted back to software.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 7:48 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017 bearish
Opinion
Evans: The internet is moving beyond Google's PageRank and web pages
“As a consequence, we've also moved on from the single unified paradigm of Google, because Google is fundamentally about analyzing links and sending you to web pages, but if the internet is no longer just about web pages, then that PageRank model breaks down, j…”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 11:35 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Insight
Precision agriculture needs Amazon, Google, and Tinder-style analytics
“So in terms of analytics then, we need to make Amazon recommendations to farmers for things like irrigation scheduling or the application of inputs, fertilizers, pesticides, water. We need Google search for crop disease. We need Tinder for pests.”
Chandra Krintz Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:39 Chandra Krintz
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Supported
Casado: Waze grew to 50M users on $70M before $1B Google acquisition
“Waze started in about, I think it was 2007, and it went through three rounds of funding, probably got seventy million dollars in total, and within five years, It had a mass, I think, fifty million users and was sold to Google for a billion dollars.”
Martín Casado Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 5:06 Trends in and the Future of Infrastructure
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pande: Alphabet restructuring places medical subsidiaries alongside core search
“If you look at the alphabet restructuring, it puts Verily and Calico and these other elements that are very much medical centric, much more in the forefront. And search and the core business is just another one of those verticals.”
Vijay Pande Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 10:00 On Machine Learning in Medicine and More
Jul 15, 2017 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pande: Digital health startups could be acquired by pharma or tech giants
“I could see a Pfizer buying Omada, you know, and maybe coupling with a drug or maybe not. I could see Google buying a company like Omada. I could see Freenome being bought either by a therapeutics company that wants a diagnostic, or by, let's say, a sequencing…”
Vijay Pande Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 9:31 On Machine Learning in Medicine and More
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Tech giants occupy the top five spots by market valuation
“Today, Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, and yes, Microsoft are all the five, are the five biggest companies on the stock exchange.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:26 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jul 15, 2017
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple holds $237 billion in cash, Google holds $73 billion
“Apple, meanwhile, has two hundred and thirty seven billion dollars in gross cash on its balance sheet. Google has seventy three billion dollars.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 27:10 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jul 15, 2017 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Big Tech annual capital expenditure reached $34 billion in 2015
“Annual capex across these companies has gone from one billion dollars in 2000 to thirty four billion dollars in 2015.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:44 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jul 16, 2017 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: Handoff UX is a Major Challenge for Semi-Autonomous Vehicles
“Having a mixed mode, where sometimes a car drives itself and sometimes you drive it, is how do you design that user experience? How do you get the car to say, hey, I'm uncertain about what to do in this situation. You need to take over. And if you look at the …”
Frank Chen Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 3:03 16 Questions About Self Driving Cars
Jul 16, 2017 bearish
Opinion
Google Drains Retail Profit Margins Through Dual-Funnel Advertising Spend
“A lot of people think Google massively overcharges. They're taking all the margin out of the product because of this. The marketers, brands are spending at the top. Retailers are spending at the bottom. Margins is disappearing into the coffers of these compani…”
Jeff Jordan Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 16:03 How 'Going Direct' Changes Everything: for Brands, Retail, Marketing, and Advertising
Jul 16, 2017 negative
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Microsoft beat Google in cloud productivity due to enterprise culture
“Google, like had, they built Google Apps, like what, like five years before Microsoft really got going with Office three 65, and Microsoft ran right by them. Why? Because there was no enterprise culture in Google, none.”
Ben Horowitz Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 25:50 Culture and Revolution
Jul 16, 2017 bullish
Prediction Held up
Rampell: Apple and Google will fully open their mobile wallet platforms
“Apple and Google need to open up their respective wallets, but I think they will, because Apple and Google, if they want to build a powerful position and actually truly have the mobile wallet not just be a payment type that has three credit cards in it, But ac…”
Alex Rampell Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 25:06 What Happens When Mobile (Really) Hits the Wallet
Jul 16, 2017 positive
Insight
Rampell: Amazon's Fire Phone was a smart move against app store fees
“Amazon, they built the Fire Phone. Which ended up being a flop, but it was a very, very smart move for Amazon to do because they realize if I'm Amazon and I want to go sell a book to somebody, I'm not allowed to do that through Apple or through Google unless I…”
Alex Rampell Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 17:21 What Happens When Mobile (Really) Hits the Wallet
Jul 28, 2017
Assertion Supported
Mars: Speech recognition shifted from Gaussian mixture models to deep neural networks
“Google used to use Gaussian mixture models in the early days, and now everyone has moved to deep neural networks. To do the speech recognition, ah, task.”
Jason Mars Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 6:39 Jason Mars
Jul 28, 2017 positive
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Jul 2020
Popa: Google Encrypted Query is based on CryptDB
“Google's encrypted query is based on CryptDB.”
Raluca Ada Popa Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 13:20 Raluca Ada Popa
Jul 28, 2017 positive
Assertion Supported
Mars: Tech giants are building future data centers around deep learning
“Deep learning is absolutely the bet that companies are making, right? So Google has put a lot of resources into deep learning you know, Facebook. We're designing future data centers and future infrastructures around this one technique, and it's primarily becau…”
Jason Mars Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 13:15 Jason Mars
Jul 28, 2017 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mars: AI assistant infrastructures are monopolized by major tech companies
“These kinds of infrastructures are monopolized essentially by companies like Apple, Google, Microsoft, and so forth.”
Jason Mars Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 3:14 Jason Mars
Jul 29, 2017 positive
Opinion
Horowitz: Silicon Graphics in the 1990s was the Google of its day
“Out of school, I joined a company called Silicon Graphics which you know, at that time it was kind of like the Google of today. It was, we're all like, you know, all the, like so many great engineers and whatnot went to work there.”
Ben Horowitz Jul 29, 2017 ▶ 2:32 On Career Moves and Business Leadership
Jul 29, 2017 negative
Insight
Horowitz: Proprietary Deep Learning Breakthroughs Are Hard Due to Open-Source AI
“So everything out of academia is going into open source and then everything out of Google is being open sourced, and Facebook, and so forth. So it's really hard To do a proprietary breakthrough, like, you know, in, like, ok, I've got something that's, whatever…”
Ben Horowitz Jul 29, 2017 ▶ 46:36 On Career Moves and Business Leadership
Oct 26, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rampell: Roughly 25% of Google's most expensive keywords are insurance-related
“25%, more or less, of the most expensive keywords on Google are insurance related.”
Alex Rampell Oct 26, 2017 ▶ 17:37 The Future of Money: Banking on Fintech
Oct 26, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rampell: Geico spends $100M per year on Google search ads
“Geico spends a hundred million dollars a year buying keywords on Google.”
Alex Rampell Oct 26, 2017 ▶ 17:42 The Future of Money: Banking on Fintech
Oct 26, 2017 positive
Insight
Rampell: Fragmented 1-800 search results signal ripe marketplace opportunities
“If you ever do a Google search and you see 10,000 results and every result ends up with a call this one 800 number and it has really bad clip art on it, that is an opportunity for a new marketplace to emerge.”
Alex Rampell Oct 26, 2017 ▶ 15:10 The Future of Money: Banking on Fintech
Oct 26, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rampell: Insurance advertising accounts for a big chunk of Google's value
“Google is now second most valuable company on earth, and a big chunk of their market cap is coming from insurance.”
Alex Rampell Oct 26, 2017 ▶ 17:28 The Future of Money: Banking on Fintech
Dec 5, 2017 neutral
Insight
Evans: Dominant Tech Giants Always Look Invulnerable Right Before They Fall
“The winners always look invulnerable until they don't. So, IBM looked invulnerable, then Microsoft, Intel, Nokia did, then the internet giants of the last bubble, now Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon look invulnerable, but all the previous ones fell, and it was…”
Benedict Evans Dec 5, 2017 ▶ 4:57 10 Year Futures (vs. What's Happening Now)
Dec 5, 2017 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Google and Facebook captured half of print's internet ad revenue
“Internet took about half of the print industry's advertising revenue and growing, but Google and Facebook took half of that.”
Benedict Evans Dec 5, 2017 ▶ 3:38 10 Year Futures (vs. What's Happening Now)
Feb 3, 2018 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Chen: Oil companies make Apple, Amazon, and Google look small
“Not many companies make the tech giants like Apple and Amazon and Google look small, but the oil companies definitely do.”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 0:57 The Autonomy Ecosystem: Energy (4 of 8)
Mar 7, 2018 bullish
Insight
Chan: Entrepreneurs can import Chinese business models before US giants adapt
“Likewise, you know which products, market fits, and business models are doing incredibly well in China, and you can take those models to the U.S. Before the next Facebook or Google figures that out.”
Connie Chan Mar 7, 2018 ▶ 14:10 Beyond a Zero-Sum Game: Tech Innovation and China
Mar 7, 2018
Assertion Partly supported
Chan: Google paid up to $70M for a single self-driving engineer
“In fact, Google has been known to pay up to seventy million dollars for a single engineer working on their self-driving car project.”
Connie Chan Mar 7, 2018 ▶ 15:27 Beyond a Zero-Sum Game: Tech Innovation and China
May 4, 2018 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Terry Angelos: Payments Will Recede Into Background as Commerce Verticalizes
“So I think we're going to see a big race toward verticalized commerce. I think when you put together in the U S at least what Amazon's trying to do, Google's trying to do with echo and a few other things, you'll see payments just recede into the background.”
Terry Angelos May 4, 2018 ▶ 33:31 The Oral History of TrialPay -- Obstacles and Opportunities in Payments
Jul 15, 2018 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stark: Big tech UX talent will solve crypto usability challenges
“Getting the folks that say maybe we're doing You exit, you know, Apple, Google, Facebook, and coming into this world that can really think through these problems and develop compelling user experiences, I think is going to be a big part of it.”
Elizabeth Stark Jul 15, 2018 ▶ 34:52 An Intro to Crypto: Decentralization, the Big Picture
Jul 15, 2018 negative
Opinion
Dixon: Tech power concentration is at its highest since peak Microsoft
“We live in a time where I think we have probably the greatest concentration of power in, on the internet that, that I mean, you know, or in the technology world since probably Microsoft at its peak in the nineties.”
Chris Dixon Jul 15, 2018 ▶ 6:10 An Intro to Crypto: Decentralization, the Big Picture
Aug 20, 2018 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zuegel: Web2 OAuth restricts developers through centralized platform gatekeeping
“And it doesn't give you all the information that you could possibly want because it's dependent on Google and Facebook and Twitter and so on, ah, to give you the information that they're willing to give, which is pretty limited.”
Devon Zuegel Aug 20, 2018 ▶ 27:39 Crypto and the Evolution of Open Source
Nov 30, 2018
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Insurance ad spend accounts for $50 billion of Google's market cap
“We did some quick math, and apparently fifty million dollars of Google's, or fifty billion dollars of Google's market cap, can be attributed to insurance.”
Angela Strange Nov 30, 2018 ▶ 6:49 Managing Risk and Uncertainty: The Future of Insurance
Dec 8, 2018 bullish
Insight
Auto-Generated Shareable Videos Enable Organic Acquisition Without Paid Ads
“The nice thing is that what happens is every time you use the product, you're going with a group of friends. It's fun to take photos. You generate a video at the end of your experience that then you share to social media. And that means that this type of compa…”
Andrew Chen Dec 8, 2018 ▶ 18:49 What's Next in Consumer Startups?
Dec 16, 2018 negative
Opinion
Yahya: A Google-sized company cannot be built on top of Google
“It is inconceivable that you could build a company the size of Google on top of Google in the same way that Google was built on top of TCP IP.”
Ali Yahya Dec 16, 2018 ▶ 11:43 Crypto, the Future of Trust
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Google Views Apple as a Channel, Not an Existential Competitor
“Google is not in a one-to-one fight to the death with Apple. You could argue it's in a one-to-one fight to the death with Facebook. Or even potentially with Amazon. But Apple is a channel.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:44 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Apple moves down the hardware stack while Google moves up
“Apple is moving down the stack and Google's moving up the stack, both of them, of course, into their comfort zone, into a place where it's hard for the other to follow them.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:25 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Evans: Google's Motorola Acquisition Was Effectively a Patent Infringement Fine
“It was nine and a half with cash, and then they sold the cable business, but yeah, I mean, that was basically an enormous patent infringement fine as much as anything else.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:11 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Benedict Evans: Apple and Google Both Won the Mobile OS War
“The platform war ended and Google and Apple both won, because Google and Apple both got what they wanted, but they wanted different things.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:21 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Held up
Active Android devices will reach 2-3B; iOS will reach 700-900M
“And, you know, as things play out with the current dynamics, which aren't really going to change in the next two or three years, we will end up with seven, eight, nine hundred million iOS devices in use on Earth. It's probably about 500 now. And we'll end up w…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:21 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Apple holds 10% and Android 45-50% of global phone sales
“In as much as Apple has about, well, in the launch quarter, they have about 10% of all the phones sold on Earth, and Android has another 45 to 50% although only about two-thirds of those are Google Android and one-third are in China and don't have any Google s…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:54 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Held up
Balaji Srinivasan: Google will eventually merge Chrome OS and Android
“Obviously, I think it's, you know, like, there's going to be some fusion of Chrome OS and Android now that they're both folding into the same person.”
Balaji Srinivasan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:58 a16z Podcast | Searching for Mobile’s Own PageRank
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: One-third of the global Android market operates without Google services
“There's two-thirds of Android, which is the one that Google gives numbers for, is outside China, and then there's another third of Android, which is in China, and doesn't have Google Play on it or Google Maps on it”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:11 a16z Podcast | China and Tech
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Dixon: Major Silicon Valley tech companies are evolving into GE-style conglomerates
“So they, they've become much more like the GEs of technology or something. Conglomerates.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:06 a16z Podcast | China and Tech
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Scale, language, and culture block US tech expansion abroad
“Where you have a country that's actually big enough to sustain real scale businesses and has a fundamentally different language and culture, then it's quite hard for Amazon or Google to roll in.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:42 a16z Podcast | China and Tech
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: TV has replaced music as Big Tech's ecosystem battleground
“Music was an ecosystem battleground, and it's turned into a checkbox commodity feature that you throw into any new product as like something you have to have. You know, you're launching a phone, you're launching this, you're launching, you've got to have a pho…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:20 a16z Podcast | The Future Of Television
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Google views devices as dumb glass; Apple views cloud as storage
“So what Apple is doing, what Google is doing is they say, well, the device is dumb gloss, and all the cool stuff's happening in the cloud. And what Apple is doing is saying, no, no, no, no, the cloud is just dumb storage.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:26 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: iOS extensions enable Google and Facebook to integrate deeper into iOS
“And so the funny thing here is, of course, this is basically giving Google and Facebook a whole list of ways to get the hooks deeper into iOS.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:18 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Google sees hardware as dumb glass, Apple sees cloud as dumb storage
“For Google, all hardware is just kind of dumb glass that links back to their cloud. Whereas for Apple, the cloud is kind of dumb storage that supports their platform.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:41 a16z Podcast | The Promise (and Nightmare) of Cross-Platform Software
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Levie: Building custom data centers loses value versus buying cloud compute
“You're probably better off letting Amazon, Microsoft, Google all compete for your dollars than you going and building them out yourself, and then by the time you deploy them, Moore's Law cycle, another Moore's Law cycle has already occurred, and you've lost, y…”
Aaron Levie Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:24 a16z Podcast | Mapping the Information Economy -- Where’s the Cloud Going Next?
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Sinofsky: Non-tech firms cannot compete with tech giants on security
“It also allows IT to focus much less on the deployment and management and scale and reliability and security, which of course, the idea of competing with, you know, the Googles and the Amazons and the Microsofts on security, if you're, you know, an appliance m…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:38 a16z Podcast | Mapping the Information Economy -- Where’s the Cloud Going Next?
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Levine: Facebook and Google Outpace Cisco in Networking Sophistication
“Yeah it's very fair to say. I think they, Facebook and Google, have absolutely pushed the needle on back-end data center infrastructure”
Peter Levine Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:30 a16z Podcast | Datacenter of the Future
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Levine: Google and Facebook infrastructure is more advanced than AWS
“I think that the Google and Facebook infrastructure is now moving in my opinion, more advanced than what Amazon is. Amazon was created several, many, sort of, already generations ago, relative to this commoditization curve.”
Peter Levine Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:56 a16z Podcast | Datacenter of the Future
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Supported
Google has never disclosed revenue data for Google Play
“They haven't given any statistics at all on Android in nine months and they haven't, they've never given any data on Google Play. I mean, they've given app downloads, but they've never given revenue data”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:35 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Android Auto won't take off fast due to car replacement cycles
“The challenge is, you know, ten-year replacement cycles, so it's not going to take off.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:47 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Apple views cloud as app backend while Google treats cloud as platform
“WWDC was full of cloud, but it was all about cloud as backend to rich native apps. Whereas I.O. Was all about cloud as cloud.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:17 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Google Play paid $5B to developers over 12 months
“All that they paid out five billion dollars to developers in the last 12 months and two billion in the previous 12 months.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:18 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google unified Apps, Android, and Chrome leadership under Sundar Pichai
“They now have Sundar Running both apps and Android and Chrome, so they've got, again, they've got all the future stuff under one person”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:17 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Evans: Google is the new Microsoft in its universal computing platform ambition
“I think there's a macro point here that Google is the new Microsoft, and this is the thing that came out really strongly last year, and indeed this year, is the sort of self-confidence and the ambition to do absolutely everything to become the global computing…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:12 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Evans: Google Glass was an experimental product test that failed
“Google's been incredibly quiet on glass for years. And, you know, the thing is really, you know, it's gone nowhere. You know, just, you know, we don't know. Maybe there'll be something will happen. Maybe it won't. But it feels like it was out there. It was a t…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:45 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: iOS users spend four times more than Android users
“You have double the revenue on iOS for half the users, and so very roughly four times the spend.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:41 a16z Podcast | The Micro and Macro of Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Liebert: Google cgroups provided the foundation for Docker containerization
“The roots there are actually, well, the roots lie actually at Google. So, four or five years ago, Google contributed, ah, cgroups to the Linux kernel. And cgroups are the foundation for what is now Docker, right?”
Florian Leibert Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:25 a16z Podcast | The Consumerization of IT
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Desktop users navigate to daily sites by searching Google directly
“Google picks up that vast long tail of, and it probably, in fact, on the desktop internet, Google also picks up the 20 things that you use every day, because that's how you get to them. You just go into Google and you search for Facebook, or you go into Google…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:15 a16z Podcast | The Topic That's Lasted the Entire History of Computing -- Bundling and Unbundling
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Andreessen: Attacking founder-led incumbents is extremely dangerous for startups
“A very dangerous thing to do is to attack companies that we, that our internal term is the new incumbents. And so it's one thing to, like, go attack, you know, a tech company that's been in business for 50 years that's on its sixth CEO or something like that. …”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:52 a16z Podcast | Ben and Marc Explain (Practically) Everything – Part 2
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Masters: Startups cannot match Google or Facebook compensation to recruit top talent
“And I think that's the only way that if you're a startup, that's the only way that you're going to, you know, you're not going to be able to pay as much as Google or Facebook at this point. And that's the only way to attract people. Probably.”
Blake Masters Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:41 a16z Podcast | Secrets, Power Laws, and Technology – The Ideas of “Zero to One”
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Dixon: VC regret comes from missing potential mega-outliers, not moderate successes
“If you pass on a company where, okay, that maybe they'll be successful. You don't stay up at night thinking about that. If you pass on the company that there's a one percent chance at the next Google and people are going to talk about this story for the next 3…”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:22 a16z Podcast | Secrets, Power Laws, and Technology – The Ideas of “Zero to One”
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Madrigal: Facebook and Google hold hegemonic control over the mobile advertising market
“Facebook and Google essentially having hegemonic control over mobile advertising, which is where everyone sees things going.”
Alexis Madrigal Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:32 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Media
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Thiel: Easy success or early failure teaches founders the wrong lessons
“Most of the time people are either in companies that fail, and then the lesson you learn is that it's impossible to build a great company, and so the next time around you try for something that's less ambitious, and so And then you certainly will not build a g…”
Peter Thiel Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:50 a16z Podcast | The (Definite) Optimism of Peter Thiel
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Evans: Google Maps and Play Store are Google's only crucial Android services
“Very briefly, it seems like the Maps and the App Store are crucial. None of the other services matter very much.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:08 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
Jan 2, 2019
Opinion
Evans: Apple is less of a competitor to Facebook and Amazon than Google
“Apple is less of a competitor to both Facebook and Amazon than Google is.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:02 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: Google contracts block OEMs from selling both Google and forked Android
“Well, the problem for them is that Google's contract says you're not allowed to sell a forked and uncompatible and open version of Android. And, or if you do, you can't sell a single phone that has Google services on it.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:32 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Android destroyed vast wealth for mobile hardware manufacturers
“Google were actually afraid of Microsoft rather than afraid of Apple, and so they created this mobile phone platform that's been Enormously successful for Google, vast destroyer of wealth for the entire manufacturing industry”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:27 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Google generates more revenue on iOS than on Android
“You know, Google is making more money on iOS and Android right now.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:05 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Samsung once controlled half of the global Android market by volume
“Samsung had half of the Android market by volume, more or less, and so that was kind of concerning for Google, that you had this big, powerful partner.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:33 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Assertion Contradicted
McMaster: Google's Android Wear contains no open-source components whatsoever
“If you look at Android Wear today, that is incredibly close. There is no open source component to Android Wear whatsoever, right?”
Kurt McMaster Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:15 a16z Podcast | Searching for Mobile's Third OS
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Jeff Jordan: Raising prices damaged eBay in the long run against Google
“A lot of, it's easy to raise prices when you have a network effect, but you know, I think that hurt eBay in the long run versus Google.”
Jeff Jordan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:22 a16z Podcast | The Marketplace Rules
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Disclosure
Greene: It took a full year to understand Google's board
“My first year at Google, it was just so much stuff. I felt like I didn't have anything to offer because I was in such absorption mode, and, ah, you know, it just, it almost took a whole year to get up to speed,”
Diane Greene Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 46:37 a16z Podcast | The Truth about Serving on Boards (with Diane Greene and Marc Andreessen)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Google could move to a web-only Chrome phone within five years
“It's entirely possible that in five years' time, Google's mobile story is a Chrome phone that only runs web apps.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:05 a16z Podcast | Messaging is the Medium
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Nguyen: MapReduce Was Intentionally Designed for Reliability Over Speed
“Interestingly, a lot of people may not realize that MapReduce was designed to be slow.”
Christopher Nguyen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:37 a16z Podcast | Making Sense of Big Data, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Nguyen: Big Data Is Defined by Learning Thresholds, Not Volume
“So I like something that Peter Norvig, the director of research at Google said when he referred to big data, he says, big data is not just quantitatively different, but it's qualitatively different. In other words, there's something that happens when you have …”
Christopher Nguyen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:42 a16z Podcast | Making Sense of Big Data, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Chris Dixon: Tech platforms and telecom carriers are entering total war
“It's now kind of just total war where everyone is fighting everyone, you know, Google and Facebook are building internet access and Verizon is getting into content and they're getting into TV and they're just, you know, so there's no, You know, in some ways, a…”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:15 a16z Podcast | Verizon Plus AOL -- Why? -- The Short Answer is Mobile
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Chris Dixon: Ad tech startups must sell quickly during M&A consolidation waves
“My advice was always, when that happens, you gotta, like, It's like musical chairs. And if you don't get a seat, you know, you're probably screwed because now these guys are all part of, you now have your direct competitor is now part of Google and part of Fac…”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:29 a16z Podcast | Verizon Plus AOL -- Why? -- The Short Answer is Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Janeway: Google stands out for its exceptional culture of integrating acquisitions
“I'm very, I have to say, I'm extraordinarily impressed by Google's style of being able to acquire and support and create space. Now, if you're as rich as Google is, you can afford to do that, but it's a cultural phenomenon.”
Bill Janeway Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:10 a16z Podcast | Good Bubbles, Bad Bubbles -- and Where Unicorns Come from
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: For Google, Android is a tactic; for Apple, device is strategy
“For Google, Android is a tactic, and cloud is a strategy, whereas for Apple, the device is a strategy, and the cloud is a tactic. The cloud is a feature of the core strategy, whereas for Google, the device is a feature of the core strategy.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:51 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Google's real innovation is in cloud services, not Android OS
“What's increasingly apparent from Google is that all the innovation really is happening in the Google services that get laid on top of Android, and in many cases, of course, are also available on iOS and indeed on the web.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:57 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Global annual photos taken likely reaches 10 to 100 trillion
“Even if you just add up the numbers from Facebook and Snapchat, Facebook and Instagram and WhatsApp and so on, you get to about eight or nine hundred billion photographs taken last year. And that's just, sorry, shared. So if there were eight or nine hundred bi…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:30 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Streaming content is no longer strategic leverage for Apple or Google
“Once we went to streaming services, it became really, really easy to switch from device to device, and so content really isn't a strategic lever anymore. It may be, we'll see what Apple does with music next week, but, you know, for the sake of argument, right …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:45 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Cloud-based machine learning is in Google's DNA, not Apple's
“On the other hand, Google finds it really easy to do image recognition in the cloud of every photo you've ever taken, because that's what Google does, and Apple conversely would find it very difficult to do that. It's But theoretically they could, but it's jus…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:47 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Google is fundamentally a vast machine learning engine focused on reach
“The fundamental way to understand Google is as a vast machine learning engine and everything that they do is about reach. And they don't really care what the reach is as long as they've got more and more of it.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:27 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Benedict Evans: Apple Watch strategy enhances iPhone, unlike Google's cloud approach
“I mean, I think, you know, to Stephen's point about platform, this is clearly, you know, and again, this is what speaks to the, again, a sort of thing I talk about a lot, which is kind of a difference between Apple and Google, which is for Google, there's a wh…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:16 a16z Podcast | Apple Watch -- Looking for New Things Done in New Ways
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Apple and Google are killing the ten blue links
“I think what Apple and Google are both doing is killing the list of 10 links. The 10 blue links.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:20 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple missed streaming music like Google missed social media
“Yeah, I mean, I think, well, for music, there's no question that music, Apple dominated music, and they missed the transition to streaming completely, just as Google missed social completely.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:43 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cheney: Mobile tech lacks indoor contextual intelligence despite 80% indoor time
“There's a missing link there where there's still no layer of context in physical and indoor environments, which is where we spend, what, 80% of our time?”
Steve Cheney Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:56 a16z Podcast | Location, Location, Location -- and Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple and Google approach context-aware computing from opposite directions
“Apple and Google are both kind of climbing the mountain. This is a thing I'm probably saying too often, but they're kind of climbing the mountain from the opposite side. So, on the one hand, you have all of these sensors, and you have beacons, which of course …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:56 a16z Podcast | Location, Location, Location -- and Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Startup failure costs $1M today versus $40M in 2000
“In 2000, if that failed, that was 50 to a hundred people, and 20, 30, forty million dollars gone. Today, exactly the same product. Is a hundred grand, 500 grand, a million dollars, three, four, five people who are out trying to get a good job at Google and Fac…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:04 a16z Podcast | The Rise of the Quasi-IPO
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Zaharia: MapReduce was created by Google for nightly web indexing
“MapReduce initially came out of Google, where it was used for web indexing, and the whole point was, I will run this giant job every night, and in the morning, it's built a new index of the web.”
Matei Zaharia Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:49 a16z Podcast | A Conversation With the Inventor of Spark
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Horowitz: Low equity caps undermine recruiting against tech giants
“If you set it too low, then It's going to hurt your executive recruiting because, you know, with Google offering people like a hundred million dollars to stay at Google you know, if you're offering, if you say, okay, the threshold is ten million bucks, then ar…”
Ben Horowitz Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:00 a16z Podcast | Is It Possible to Achieve Equitable Equity for Startup Employees?
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Markoff: Facebook and Google's growth is built on a Faustian bargain
“The Facebook and Google explosion has been based on this kind of Faustian bargain, where, you know, they give me these wonderful services, and what do I give them? Well, I give them behavioral information about my life.”
John Markoff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 39:36 a16z Podcast | Talking Humans and Machines with NYT’s John Markoff
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Markoff: Google acquired robotics startups to build an automated delivery network
“When Andy Rubin was going around the valley and buying and around the world and buying up, you know, the world's best roboticist, he was sketching out a vision which I would describe as a Google competing with Amazon. And you know, and if you can kind of see t…”
John Markoff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:08 a16z Podcast | Talking Humans and Machines with NYT’s John Markoff
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Boneh: Big tech security teams possess the authority to delay product launches
“In big companies like Microsoft, Apple, Google security teams in fact are involved in the process from the design phase, which is really important. And then if a product is about to ship out and a security, the security team discovers a big vulnerability, they…”
Dan Boneh Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 37:23 a16z Podcast | Crypto, Security, CS, Quantum Computing, and More with Our New Professor-in-Residence
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Traditional ad tech and banner ads will mostly go away
“Like this ad tech industry, unfortunately, I, you know, I think will mostly go away. Banner ads, et cetera. It will be Google. It will be things in streams.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:10 a16z Podcast | Advertising vs. Micropayments in the Age of Ad Blockers
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Dixon: Google originally attempted to sell itself for $1 million
“They were trying to sell the company. And they tried to sell it for a million.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:32 a16z Podcast | Advertising vs. Micropayments in the Age of Ad Blockers
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: PageRank is only one of 900 factors in Google search
“It's one of, like, PageRank is, like, one of, like, 900 factors now that go into a Google search result. The other 899 happened after they left Stanford.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:37 a16z Podcast | The Role of Academia in the Startup World
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Levine: Future data centers will mirror hyperscale cloud architectures, not legacy hardware
“A lot of the new data center architectures Are more going to look like Facebook, Google, and Amazon, and less like older, you know, sort of Wall, I call them Wall Street data centers.”
Peter Levine Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:30 a16z Podcast | Dell + EMC -- Why the Python Just Ate the Cow
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Mobile OS platforms integrate services much deeper than PC OSs
“Unlike, say, a web browser on a, either a Windows or a Mac, where the web browser was the platform and the Windows or the Mac computer wasn't really where you were building internet services. Whereas on a smartphone, not only are you building in the web browse…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:17 a16z Podcast | What Comes After the Smartphone
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Apple, Google, and Facebook won the smartphone and messaging wars
“The sort of, the feeling you have in mobile right now is we're kind of at the end of one wave, and we haven't got another wave coming up yet, so we've kind of had the smartphone wars, and Apple and Google both kind of won, and we've had the messaging wars, and…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:41 a16z Podcast | What Comes After the Smartphone
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Google entered quantum computing by acquiring UC Santa Barbara's research team
“Easter last year, 2014, was when everything changed. Everything changed. It was when Google disclosed the fact that they were so heavily involved. They went and bought the University of California, Santa Barbara team.”
Ilyas Khan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 30:19 a16z Podcast | Quantum Leap
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Standage: Humans adapt their language to help search algorithms understand queries
“We already do, when we type questions into Google, we miss out the stop words, and we know that we're just basically helping them.”
Tom Standage Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:53 a16z Podcast | Artificial Intelligence and the 'Space of Possible Minds'
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shanahan: Google Search will increasingly move from keyword queries to natural language
“I think Google will expect us to do that less and less as time goes by, and expect the interactions to be in more and more natural language.”
Murray Shanahan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:01 a16z Podcast | Artificial Intelligence and the 'Space of Possible Minds'
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Burbidge: Nearly 80% of millennials trust tech giants over banks
“Certainly more than 50, I think it was close to 80% of millennials trust the brands, you know, Facebook or Google. Or Apple, I think was the top of the pile, much more than their banks.”
Eileen Burbage Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:18 a16z Podcast | Fintech from the World's Financial Capital -- London
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Burbidge: Fintech startups will sell to big tech, not banks
“Your exit opportunities aside from staying independent and maybe going public or whatever is potentially on the buyout side. You may not be selling to a bank, you might be selling to Facebook, you might be selling to Amazon, you might be selling to Google as t…”
Eileen Burbage Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:37 a16z Podcast | Fintech from the World's Financial Capital -- London
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khan: UK Lacks Multi-Billion Exits Needed for Capital Recycling
“We haven't had those major hit after hit of multi-billion dollar exits, whether in the private market or in the public markets, such as the Googles or the Facebook. So that trickle-down effect hasn't happened, and it'll be a while till it happens.”
Shaq (Shakil Khan) Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:37 a16z Podcast | Scaling Ideas and Startups in the U.K. and Europe
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hariharan: U.S. tech giants dominate India without local equivalents like Alibaba
“You don't have an Alibaba yet in India. You don't have the buy, the Google of India is Google. The Facebook of India is Facebook.”
Anu Hariharan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 35:00 a16z Podcast | The Tiger and the Dragon -- On Tech and Startups in India and China
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinha: Google hosted 20,000 daily video calls for 40,000 employees
“When we were at Google, I think we left right around the same time, but when we were at Google, we were around 40,000 people. Every single day, they would do 20,000 video calls. The average person used video one to two times a day”
Shan Sinha Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:03 a16z Podcast | Telepresence and Tech for a Distributed Workforce
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple, Google, and Facebook Won Initial Mobile and Messaging Wars
“The smartphone wars are now over, or at least the first smartphone war is over, and Apple and Google both won in different ways, and the kind of the first messaging app wars are now mostly over, and Facebook mostly won in sort of various ways”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:33 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Evans: Google's Core Search Product Is Completely Unchallenged
“Their kind of core search product is, I think, completely unchallenged, really. Their kind of, their position is completely stable.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:25 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Google search handles quantitative queries, not qualitative discovery
“Google can tell you what you want when you already know you want it. It might get you like a magazine article that says here are 10 things that you want, but it will not, you can't go to Google and say, like, where should I go on holiday? What handbag should I…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:52 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Spolsky: Modern developers learn by page faulting knowledge, not reading manuals
“We think is that people have given up from learning a priori how to use the programming environments that they're working in. They don't even read a book, let alone the documentation. I think they start by writing code or by cutting and pasting code. They don'…”
Joel Spolsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:00 a16z Podcast | The Future of Software Development
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Dickey: Top developers only work for Google or start companies
“The best developers want to work for a visionary inspiring company like Google, or they want to go start their own company.”
Roger Dickey Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:52 a16z Podcast | The Future of Software Development
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Stanek: Most companies lack sufficient data scale for in-house machine learning
“Most companies are not big enough to have big enough sample for machine learning. You know, big banks. What makes Google Google? What makes Amazon Amazon is that the data sample is so big that you can actually really learn from it. Typical company would look a…”
Roman Stanek Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:37 a16z Podcast | Making the Most of the Data That Matters
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
The Mobile Device Management market is broken due to OS vendors
“The answer for you is that MDM, at least in my estimation, is a pretty broken market today, and the reason it's broken is the vendors of the platforms that provide, you know, Google, Microsoft, Apple, really Apple is kind of the real, real offender here. They …”
Orion Hindawi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 34:36 a16z Podcast | The Fundamentals of Security and the Story of Tanium’s Growth
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Knott Craig: Google's blank search page is useless to new internet users
“You can't give people a clean Google page. It's absolutely meaningless for most of the communities we deal with.”
Alan Knott Craig Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:53 a16z Podcast | Things Come Together -- Truths about Tech in Africa
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Knott Craig: Outside Silicon Valley, cash flow is the only startup metric
“A lot of people in South Africa and Africa and the rest of the world read those blogs and think that's the holy grail, but there's only one metric and that's cashflow. And advertising is not a business model. One day we'll sell to Google is not a business mode…”
Alan Knott Craig Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 41:00 a16z Podcast | Things Come Together -- Truths about Tech in Africa
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Strange: Millennials trust tech giants more than traditional banks
“There's definitely a lot around the millennial generation and how, you know, they hate going to their banks more than they hate going to the dentist. They would actually trust Apple, Google, name your tech Institute more than banks.”
Angela Strange Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:54 a16z Podcast | When Banking Works Like My Smartphone
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Paulus: Google, Volvo, and Mercedes accept self-driving liability
“Google Volvo and Mercedes have all said that for their cars, while they're in assault driving mode, they have the liability”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:22 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Chan: Chinese Tech Companies Are Distinct Products, Not Clones
“You will see companies that look like the Facebook of China, look like the Google of China, look like the YouTube of China, but they're different. And that's why it's not just Chinese Twitter.”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 31:12 a16z Podcast | 'In the Eye of a Tornado': Views on Innovation from China
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Casado: Modern applications have evolved into complex distributed networks
“The application has evolved into a network. I really believe that. So an application used to be like, I'm running Pac-Man, but that's no longer the case now. Like, think about like one query to Google, man. Like, you're literally touching hundreds of compute n…”
Martin Casado Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:57 a16z Podcast | Infrastructure... Is Everything
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Russell: Apple and Google have hundreds working on VR
“It's clear that they have hundreds of people working on these”
Kyle Russell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:44 a16z Podcast | Mapping the Future of Virtual Reality
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Andreessen: Alphabet's $3.6B moonshot spend will outperform conservative corporate cash management
“If they get one or two or three of these moonshots to pay off, the total return on their capital will be so much higher Right, than how any of the big established companies that are being more responsible can return, and so as a, as an alphabet shareholder, I …”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:08 a16z Podcast | Disruption in Business... and Life
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Chen: Google powers DeepMind algorithms using commodity x86 PC hardware
“Like if you look at an x-a-t-e-s server in a data center, exactly the servers that Google is using to compute deep mind algorithms, they're PCs.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:26 a16z Podcast | The Dream of AI Is Alive in Go
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Smartphones act as non-neutral internet platforms unlike desktop Windows
“The smartphone itself is kind of, is a platform for the internet in a way that Windows was not. You targeted the browser, you didn't target Windows, but on the smartphone, you target the smartphone operating system, and it's not neutral. Apple and Google chang…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:10 a16z Podcast | Bots and Beyond
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Simudis: Alphabet successfully integrates corporate venture arms with core operations
“For me, a very interesting example is what Google is doing with Alphabet. And the reason I find this interesting is because you're seeing their venture capital groups working in tandem with their, the rest of the corporation.”
Evangelos Simudis Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:28 a16z Podcast | On Corporate Venturing & Setting Up 'Innovation Outposts'
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Evans: Google's Allo App Is Housekeeping, Not Strategy
“And so you look at the Google messaging app, Allo, it's like, okay, Hangouts was a bit of a mess. And it was a bit fragmented and didn't do anything that kind of modern messaging apps do. Okay. So let's just kind of reset that and we'll make a new app and we'l…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:19 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Chan: Google Instant Apps mirrors WeChat's strategy of eliminating user friction
“What excites me about instant apps is it really does eliminate friction for the end consumer, and it also reflects to me that Google understands something that WeChat has known for years, and it's critical to the success of official accounts on WeChat, which i…”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:44 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Held up
Evans: Apple and Facebook will build full-stack VR while Google commoditizes hardware
“You'll have Apple and Facebook trying to do the full stack, and you'll have Google saying, well, we're going to provide the hard bit, and everything else will be a commodity around it.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:30 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chan: Google's AI launch will spawn viral Tumblr blogs of misinterpretations
“I think that when it does launch, there will be use cases where it goes wrong. Like you can just imagine the photos that they interpret Incorrectly, occasionally, or the suggested phrase that just, you can just imagine a whole Tumblr being created around this.”
Connie Chan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:00 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Mobile innovation has permanently shattered the monolithic web browser paradigm
“We had 20 years of the web browser mouse keyboard, and that was like the monolith for how the internet worked. And now we've broken that apart, and we've got all these different shards all kind of floating around and landing in different places and being juggl…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:25 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Russell: Apple's iOS app platformization mirrors Facebook and Google developer strategies
“Frankly, it sounded a lot like what Facebook and Google have been showing off taking apps that people use every day and introducing ways for developers to kind of become part of that experience.”
Kyle Russell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:35 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Chen: Apple and Google have fundamentally opposing data monetization models
“Apple and Google couldn't be more different on this, and Apple wants to emphasize the difference, which is, Apple says, we make money when you buy iPhones, so we don't have to monetize you in any other ways. We don't have to look in your email. We don't have t…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:38 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple relies on third-party developers to match Google's AI capabilities
“And I think the kind of the platformization that we saw earlier is interesting as an attempt to solve some of the problems that Google is solving with its kind of pervasive, all-knowing AI, but getting third-party developers to solve those problems instead.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:34 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Google's AI acts as an oracle, while Apple's is an assistant
“Sort of the all-knowing, wants to be the all-knowing oracle, and you can ask it something, and it will just know the answer, or it'll even suggest it before you do it. Whereas Apple, it's more like, kind of the, I don't know, it's like the servant that follows…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:00 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple views cloud as storage, Google views phones as dumb glass
“Apple thinks about the cloud as dumb storage and Google thinks about the phone as done of dumb glass.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:00 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Alex Rampell: Apple's strict data privacy policy hindered its advertising efforts
“Apple is notoriously anti-data. That's the funny thing about Apple versus Google is that Apple says we don't collect any data. We don't use any data. We'll never store any data. This was part of the reason why their advertising efforts have not been successful…”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:03 a16z Podcast | Fintech Revolution or Evolution?
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Fei-Fei Li: Google holds early self-driving advantage in data and algorithms
“Companies like Google, even though they didn't have cars at the beginning, they had algorithms. They started this early, so they now have both data and algorithms.”
Fei-Fei Li Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:51 a16z Podcast | When Humanity Meets A.I.
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Andreessen: Lacking a Smartphone Allowed Amazon to Lead in Voice AI
“And so it's sort of this ironic twist of fate that Amazon has all of a sudden taken the lead from Google and Apple Even though Amazon, you know, famously flopped with their phone, right? Which is sort of the obvious place where you would have a voice interface…”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:32 a16z Podcast | Software Programs the World
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Unicode Voting Power Concentrated Among US Tech Giants, SAP, and Oman
“No, so of those 12, so of those 12, nine are U.S. Multinational tech companies. Oracle, IBM, Google, Yahoo, Adobe, Facebook, Microsoft, and Symantec. Then of the other three full voting members, one is the German software company SAP, another is the Chinese te…”
Jenny Lee Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:13 a16z Podcast | Not all Network Effects Are Created Equal
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: Google pioneered infrastructure design based on continuous hardware failure
“Along comes Google, and they basically pioneered this whole notion that, like, all the disk drives, it's not like they're likely to fail, it's that they will fail. And so it was designing a whole system on the presumption of continuous failure, which was like …”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:14 a16z Podcast | It's Complicated
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Insight
Cockcroft: Open source from Big Tech makes proprietary software startups harder
“So what you're seeing now is Twitter and Facebook and Netflix and Google and LinkedIn producing the stuff you actually want to use, which has already been tested at volume. And then it's actually much harder to build a proprietary software company because you'…”
Adrian Cockcroft Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:23 a16z Podcast | All About Microservices
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Google bypassed Android OS fragmentation using Google Play Services
“Always been kind of trying to get the handset makers to do operating system updates, and it's never worked. But they sort of got around that part of the fragmentation problem for their own services by putting Google Play services on top of everything.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:46 a16z Podcast | Truce for Mobile, Battle for VR
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Dixon: Google's VR demos rely on rival hardware, showing internal tension
“Everything they demo doesn't work on their own hardware, so like there's a, there's an internal conflict there.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:44 a16z Podcast | Truce for Mobile, Battle for VR
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Rampell: EU regulatory hostility toward US tech giants is driven by jealousy
“I think the EU is very jealous that Google's not a European company. I think they're jealous that Apple's not a European, like, Google is bad in Europe. In my personal opinion, I don't think they're nearly the monopolist that Microsoft was like in the late nin…”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:20 a16z Podcast | The Movement of Money
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schuler: Google will eventually be disrupted in advertising
“From my perspective, their risk is, 80% of the revenue is generated by advertising. They are going to get disrupted in that at some point.”
Cameron Schuler Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:06 a16z Podcast | Machine Intelligence, from University to Industry
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schuler: Aside from tech giants, major corporations lack an AI strategy
“Pretty much everyone has missed the boat on an AI strat, like everybody. There's a handful of companies, Google, Microsoft, Facebook that are doing it, but Everybody, I mean, I talk to companies with 15, twenty billion in revenue, they go, we don't have an AI …”
Cameron Schuler Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:38 a16z Podcast | Machine Intelligence, from University to Industry
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Wroblewski: Copying big tech design without internal data is dangerous
“So you just run a dangerous game when you say, oh, Google did this. Facebook did this. Snapchat did this. Because you're not in there. You don't know why they're doing it. You don't have the data. And without that information, you're just kind of guessing that…”
Luke Wroblewski Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:27 a16z Podcast | Culture and/of Design
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Jensen Harris: Startups beat Google and Microsoft on tailored security policies
“A huge advantage that a startup has that some big company trying to do the same thing doesn't have, which is we can tailor our security policies, tailor the way that we handle the data, the way that we sanitize the data, and the way that we use the data in a v…”
Jensen Harris Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:14 a16z Podcast | The Product Edge in Machine Learning Startups
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Eghbal: Tech giants have replaced academia in funding major software breakthroughs
“You still need people to think about, like, why are we building it this way, or what does the actual system look like? And that role is actually kind of being filled lately by companies like Google or Facebook that have the resources to make big strides the wa…”
Nadia Eghbal Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:45 a16z Podcast | The Changing Culture of Open Source
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Rogers: Oracle vs. Google Java lawsuit benefited Node.js
“That's been great for Node.js, though. It's just another reason not to use Java, I guess.”
Michael Rogers Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 33:47 a16z Podcast | The Changing Culture of Open Source
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Rogers: Software projects need neutral governance to become industry standards
“Google just gave Kubernetes over to the Cloud Native Computing Foundation. And that's like, you know, an up and coming project. It's getting lots of contributors and lots of new adoption. And that was just because, like, for it to be a de facto standard, it ne…”
Michael Rogers Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 30:41 a16z Podcast | The Changing Culture of Open Source
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Held up
Russell: Current BCI tech will allow seamless thought-controlled computer actions
“And now with this current generation, it seems like between Elon, Facebook, probably something from Google that We're actually going to start to see these things that kind of invisibly actually just let you think something and have some kind of action show up …”
Kyle Russell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:06 a16z Podcast | QR. AR. VR.
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Kim Scott: Ask colleagues for feedback when they are angry with you
“Alan Eustace, who was the head of engineering at Google, said one of the best times to ask for feedback is when you know the other person is mad at you, because they're more likely to tell you what they really think.”
Kim Malone Scott Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:57 a16z Podcast | Giving and Getting Feedback -- for Bosses and Employees
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
D'Amato: Google was the first company to publicly disclose Chinese cyberattacks
“If you walk through the timeline, you go back and start with Google in 2010, when they're the first company to come out and actually talk about Chinese state-sponsored actors. This is something the government and a lot of people knew about at the time. And it'…”
David D'Amato Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:11 a16z Podcast | Cybersecurity in the Boardroom vs. the Situation Room
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Google killed radio ads because it clashed with company identity
“They bought a radio advertising company, and they worked out that they could not make radio work without changing what Google was. So they didn't do it.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:02 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Google built and deployed machine learning for Photos within a year
“It was literally less than a year, I think, that that whole project lasted.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:15 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Big four tech platforms expanded headcount 10x in a decade
“Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, as being together about 10 times the size in terms of the number of people that they were 1012 years ago.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:45 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Google is fundamentally about data scale, not advertising
“Google is a company that's around handling vast amounts of data. And everything that Google then does is sort of an expression of that.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:35 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: One tech giant's core strategy is another's supporting tactic
“Generally the stuff that you know, any of the stuff that's a strategy for one company is tactics for other companies. So, you know, Apple's strategy is to have an operating system, and for Apple, Google, that's just a tactic. Google's strategy is to do search.…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:02 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Sinofsky: Google operates like an enterprise company focused on search
“Google is, is not one organization. It's one type of culture around billions of scale, scale in the billions, super hard problems, but they really are like an enterprise company focused on search, you know, like that's built in there and they have a product cy…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:54 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Lee Fan: Visual discovery on Pinterest differs from Google by lacking objective right answers
“In some way, this is different from Google. There's no right or wrong.”
Lee Fan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:42 a16z Podcast | Engineering Intent
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Disclosure
Andreessen: I passed on Google because search was a cost center
“Google just struck me as absurd on its face for two obvious reasons. One is everybody knew search was a low quality user experience. And two is everybody knew that search was a cost center, not a profit center.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:40 a16z Podcast | Competing Against Luck
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
O'Reilly: Native content shift undermines Google's core strategic advantage
“It seems to me to the extent that Google says, well, we're going to deliver this service directly with native content, with Google native content, versus bringing it from an ecosystem of outside providers, they're losing touch with one of their key strategic a…”
Tim O'Reilly Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:48 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019
What-if
Evans: Face ID from Google or Facebook would have triggered privacy backlash
“If Google or Facebook had announced that, we'd be having a different, completely different conversation.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:07 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
O'Reilly: Corporations operate like artificial intelligence optimizing for share price
“Thinking of the corporation itself as a kind of artificial intelligence. And just as Google has an objective function, we've actually told our corporations that they should optimize for share price.”
Tim O'Reilly Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:47 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Machine learning strengthens tech incumbents rather than shifting market power
“Machine learning is like this new foundational technology that, in a sense, will enable a bunch of new stuff and new companies, but it makes Google better Google, and it makes Facebook stronger, Facebook and Amazon maybe stronger Amazon. It doesn't unlock, it …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:30 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Reilly: Google's rejection of banner ads launched its search dominance
“Larry and Sergey were like, we hate that. We're not going to do that. And it was a moral rejection of that business model that eventually led them down the path of, we want ads to be as effective and as useful as search results. And that was the beginning of G…”
Tim O'Reilly Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:39 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Tech dominance cycle will eventually turn for Big Tech
“It's not apparent how that cycle would turn for Google or Apple or Facebook or Amazon, but it will turn.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:02 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Founders control all top tech giants except Apple
“And they all, except for Apple, the founders control the company.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:59 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Chokshi: Google was approximately the 15th search engine to launch
“Google was like the 15th search company to come around before it hit success, and that is kind of relevant to think about.”
Sonal Chokshi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:13 a16z Podcast | Revenge of the Algorithms (Over Data)... Go! No?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Bing's biggest barrier to fighting Google was crawling the internet fast
“It turns out that was what the barrier to entering the search market, even for Microsoft and Bing, Was like, sucking in the entire internet fast enough.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:58 a16z Podcast | Revenge of the Algorithms (Over Data)... Go! No?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clark: Google pays $1 million for talent with deep learning intuition
“This is why Google will pay like a million dollars for someone with 10 years of deep learning experiences is that intuition that's built up.”
Scott Clark Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:50 a16z Podcast | AI, from 'Toy' Problems to Practical Application
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Google should make Chrome HDMI sticks for enterprise computing
“That's what I think Google should be doing with Chrome. They should be making HDMI sticks.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:28 a16z Podcast | The $200 PC in the Enterprise
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Most Big Tech talent moving into crypto builds on Ethereum
“At least what I'm seeing is lots of teams leaving GAFA companies, Google, Facebook, et cetera, and getting into this, and like really good teams. People with real, you know, strong engineering and product backgrounds. And I think for me, at least, it's the vas…”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:06 a16z Podcast | Mental Models for Understanding Crypto Tokens
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Tech companies pursue voice platforms due to smartphone platform envy
“The second thing is that anyone who isn't Apple or Google has major platform envy, and they want to find a way of going around that, not being, worrying about Apple or Google cutting them off at the platform level on the smartphone.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:08 a16z Podcast | Beyond CES: Connected Home Devices, Voice, and More
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Provos: Google cannot offer mandatory hardware security key protection to billions
“Google rolled out this advanced protection program where you are forced to associate a security key with your account. That's the only way that you can get into your account. But that is not something that we can offer to billions of users.”
Niels Provos Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:08 a16z Podcast | The State of Security
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Provos: Google experienced zero successful employee phishing attacks after mandating hardware keys
“We have mandated a hardware second factor for everybody at Google since 2009. You know, everybody is using a security key nowadays. We have not had a single successful phishing attack against a Google employee since then.”
Niels Provos Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:34 a16z Podcast | The State of Security
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Costolo: Twitter partnered with Google to bypass Egypt's Arab Spring shutdown
“Egypt, you know, during the Arab Spring, we sort of started in Tunisia with people organizing protests on Twitter, and they were able to organize protests on Twitter because they were writing under pseudonyms and not, you know, their actual names, so people we…”
Dick Costolo Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:28 a16z Podcast | Improv'ing Leadership
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Rachleff: Apple, Google, and Salesforce failed to succeed on original ideas
“None of their original ideas were the ideas on which they succeeded. So Apple, Google, you name the company, Salesforce, Hewlett Packard, none of them succeeded at their original idea, if you can believe that.”
Andy Rachleff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:59 a16z Podcast | From Teaching Leadership to Being a Leader
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jez Humble: DevOps emerged to solve scale challenges pioneered by Amazon and Google
“And I think from a historical point of view, the best way to think about DevOps, it's a bunch of people who had to solve this problem of how do we build large distributed systems that were secure and scalable and be able to change them really rapidly and evolv…”
Jez Humble Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:11 a16z Podcast | Feedback Loops -- Company Culture, Change, and DevOps
Jan 2, 2019
Disclosure
Ehrensvärd: Ram Shriram backed Yubico after initial Silicon Valley rejections
“Everyone said no to me when I landed here, because we weren't proven, but I continued, and eventually I got introduced to Ram Sharam, who sits in the board of Google, and he had this Silicon Valley mindset. After 40 minutes, he said, how can I help?”
Stina Ehrensvärd Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:25 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Disclosure
Ehrensvärd: Yubico acquired Google as a customer through open-source community member
“One of them worked for Google. And that's how we got to Google.”
Stina Ehrensvärd Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:30 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Ehrensvärd: Google experienced zero successful phishing attempts after deploying FIDO U2F
“And since Google deployed this for all staff and contractors, they had zero phishing attempts.”
Stina Ehrensvärd Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:48 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Ehrensvärd: Google cut support costs by 92% using hardware security keys
“Google published a report not long ago where they said that they were able to cut down support to 92% compared to a phone app.”
Stina Ehrensvärd Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:19 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Ehrensvärd: Mozilla and Microsoft are adding native hardware security key support
“Google was the first. Mozilla is coming on board. Microsoft is coming on board.”
Stina Ehrensvärd Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:15 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Casado: Dedicated Security Chips Will Disrupt Server-Side Hardware Security
“Google has announced that they're doing this with a special purpose chip, and so to have something that's a few hundred bucks that, you know, is part of the same model, I think is probably a disruption on the server side.”
Martin Casado Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:13 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Lohman: Big tech RSUs function as value preservation, not high-upside returns
“We think of RSUs at a place like Google is, is value preservation, right? They're in a value preservation mode growth, but not huge returns, and you're giving an employee a share of stock, it's got value, that employee can look at that share and say, at the en…”
Greg Lohman Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:25 a16z Podcast | All Things Compensation
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Soaring Google salaries have hurt the startup acqui-hire market
“But now you look at the salaries of companies like Google, some of this came out in like the court documents of what they were paying, like the Waymo engineers, and it's like, you know, it's like the price of an annual price of a startup acquisition or somethi…”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:43 a16z Podcast | High Growth in Companies (and Tech)
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Gil: Silicon Valley has very few truly strong product organizations
“There's very few, very strong product organizations in Silicon Valley. Google has a great product org. Facebook has a great product org. There's a handful of them.”
Elad Gil Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:09 a16z Podcast | High Growth in Companies (and Tech)
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Dixon: Org design drives Google and Facebook product success
“Facebook and Google, they obviously are hiring great people, but I think it's also the way they empower those people and design the organization that makes them great product organizations.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:22 a16z Podcast | High Growth in Companies (and Tech)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Chen: High time spent on Google Search indicates poor performance
“And Google is the best example of this, right? In fact, if you spend a lot of time on google.com, you know, refining your searches and clicking around, that means actually the service is doing poorly.”
Andrew Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:31 a16z Podcast | The Basics of Growth 2 -- Engagement & Retention
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Zuegel: OAuth is centralized, janky, and limited by tech monopolies
“OAuth as a tool that people can use as you're building a little side project. You don't want to have to build a whole complicated login system. You plug in OAuth. This is a huge step forward, but it is not really sufficient for everything. It's Centralized. It…”
Devon Zuegel Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:30 a16z Podcast | Crypto And The Evolution Of Open Source
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Steven B. Johnson: Google's Self-Driving Patent Includes 'Bad Events Table'
“The original patent that Google filed for the self-driving car projects. Included in it is this thing they call the bad events table.”
Steven B. Johnson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 38:44 a16z Podcast | Seeing into the Future -- Making Decisions, Telling Stories
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Smartphone camera quality depends on full computational silicon stack
“It's no longer actually the camera module. It's everything. It's the GPU and the CPU and the machine learning software and everything else that's being done in.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:53 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Evans: Consumers trust Apple with health data over Google or Facebook
“That kind of piece of strategic positioning has worked out very well for them because you would trust it with this kind of information where you might not trust a product from Google or from Facebook.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:30 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Held up
Wilson: Cloud market will split to Amazon 60%, Google 30%, Microsoft 10%
“But I think it could be like Amazon has 60% of the market, Google has 30% of the market, and Microsoft has 10% of the market. I think it's gonna be a three player game in that business, and that's good.”
Fred Wilson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:34 a16z Podcast | Technological Trends, Capital, and Internet 'Disruption'
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Wilson: YouTube sold to Google due to copyright fight costs
“Right, but that ultimately caused them to have to sell to Google. Because they concluded that they couldn't continue to play the game that way, which was the right way to play the game. As an independent company. They needed somebody who could fight the conten…”
Fred Wilson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:19 a16z Podcast | Technological Trends, Capital, and Internet 'Disruption'
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
McCullough: Pre-IPO Google kept its massive profitability secret from the market
“Everyone had been conditioned to think that while the internet was fun, it was probably a niche, and you were never going to be able to build a truly great company on top of it. And then all of a sudden, because they kept it secret for so long, I remember peop…”
Brian McCullough Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:42 a16z Podcast | How the Internet Happened
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
McCullough: Google manufactured physical enterprise search appliances until around 2020
“I think they were still manufacturing those as recently as two years ago, by the way.”
Brian McCullough Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:59 a16z Podcast | How the Internet Happened
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Dixon: GoTo invented the pay-per-click auction, the greatest business model ever
“Company called Overture, GoTo originally, and then Overture, For sort of completely, a little bit orthogonal reasons, invents the greatest business model of all time, which happens to tuck perfectly into Google's model.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:32 a16z Podcast | How the Internet Happened
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2038
Andreessen: Winning tech companies in 20 years will be 100x larger than Google
“The winning companies, you know, the winning entrepreneurial companies 20 years from now that win are going to be Staggeringly large. Like, they're going to be like, I don't know, 10 or a hundred times the size of Google and Facebook.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:35 a16z Podcast | Talent, Tech Trends, and Culture -- with Ben, Marc, and Tyler Cowen
Feb 26, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Voice assistant divergence will end easy dual-platform hardware integration
“Google is going to have a different set of ideas for what you can do with this device than Amazon does. And once the platforms start diverging, the idea of it being five lines of code and you get both for sort of for free is going to really change.”
Steven Sinofsky Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 34:24 a16z Podcast | Pulse Check on Consumer Tech Trends 2019, CES and Beyond
Apr 1, 2019
Assertion Supported
Bahcall: Google and McKinsey remove promotion decisions from direct managers
“Some companies, actually Google does this, and McKinsey does this, and others, they take the promotion decisions completely away from the manager.”
Safi Bahcall Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 44:44 a16z Podcast | Incenting Innovation Inside, Loonshots to Moonshots
May 16, 2019
Assertion Supported
Naous: Major tech companies built proprietary internal operational analytics tools
“So Facebook has Scuba. Google has Dremel, Rasta, and a whole bunch of others. Airbnb built Superset. Uber built Aries DB.”
Jad Naus May 16, 2019 ▶ 9:06 Everyone is an Analyst: Opportunities in Operational Analytics
Feb 20, 2020 positive
Assertion Supported
Casado: Google eliminated employee account takeovers by mandating security keys
“There's actually a pretty famous case study where Google rolled them out wall to wall. So every Google employee has a security key. They had account takeover issues, you know, six years ago, over six years of using them, account takeover went to zero.”
Martin Casado Feb 20, 2020 ▶ 16:02 The Latest in Cyber Attacks
Oct 14, 2021
Insight
Strange: Fintech is default local, unlike global software platforms
“I often say that fintech is default local versus default global, and what do I mean by that? I wouldn't invest in Google for Canada, Google for Brazil, Google for France, like, that's just Google, but I would invest in a bank for each of those reasons, regions…”
Angela Strange Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 9:41 The Open Source Movement in Fintech
Nov 18, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
API-driven manufacturing will let hardware startups launch without $40M in funding
“It's going to be amazing in a couple of years to see, you know, a bunch of like engineering grads you know, tooling around at their garage and like, Seeing, seeing Google style startups happen without forty million dollars in funding and just to get off the gr…”
Chris Power Nov 18, 2022 ▶ 1:12:40 The Factory of the Future with Chris Power
Feb 6, 2023 positive
Disclosure
Neumann: Google's corporate campus was the original inspiration for WeWork
“Google was inspiration for us that we work. Our point was, well, why can't small businesses have this great campus, have this great energy?”
Adam Neumann Feb 6, 2023 ▶ 25:18 Disrupting the World's Largest Asset Class with Adam Neumann
Feb 16, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Masad: Self-taught Replit user landed software engineering role at Google
“We've had someone who learned to code on Replit primarily on their own, became a very productive community member, and applied to work at Replit. And we thought they're very talented, but at the time there wasn't like a really good fit for them. And so they st…”
Amjad Masad Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 5:51 The 1000x Developer with Amjad Masad
May 25, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Ismail: Tech winners like Apple and Google succeeded by becoming platforms
“Yahoo, BlackBerry, Nokia all failed to become platforms, right? Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon all successfully became platforms, and that business model basically carries you through because now you wire yourself into the infrastructure.”
Salim Ismail May 25, 2023 ▶ 12:56 The Rise of the Exponential Organization with Peter Diamandis and Salim Ismail
May 25, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ismail: Google missed early LLM deployment due to risk aversion
“Google was basically the foundation of LLMs, right? They were too nervous and careful and risk averse to launching.”
Salim Ismail May 25, 2023 ▶ 47:39 The Rise of the Exponential Organization with Peter Diamandis and Salim Ismail
Jun 26, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Google's early machine learning infrastructure investments created Waymo's competitive moat
“Really the breakthrough engineering that you sometimes need in AI is just having the raw infrastructure to intake all this data. The amount of data you have to learn to handle to build a really, you know, well-learned algorithm is pretty hard, and that's where…”
Saswat Panigrahi Jun 26, 2023 ▶ 26:07 Are Autonomous Vehicles Finally Here? Buckle up!
Sep 25, 2023 negative
Disclosure
Frustration over inability to launch AI products drove Google exit
“You know, some people are motivated by publishing, you know, like, I was frustrated I couldn't launch at Google.”
Noam Shazeer Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 12:29 Universally Accessible Intelligence with Character.ai's Noam Shazeer
Oct 21, 2023 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: Google missed OpenAI's breakthrough because it became big and slow
“The older and larger they get, The less adaptive they become. And we like, we've seen this with Google who invented, you know, most of the new AI technology and then was a little bit of sleep at the wheel. You know, when open AI released GPT They missed it jus…”
Ben Horowitz Oct 21, 2023 ▶ 31:30 Why It's Time to Be A Techno-Optimist
Jan 13, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: Google formally disregards college degrees in favor of internal testing
“I think Google now formally does not take college degrees into account, or at least they've said they're neutral or ambivalent or don't care. They'll, they'll, they'll equally rank people without degrees. They'll, they do their own testing. And they go on thos…”
Marc Andreessen Jan 13, 2024 ▶ 37:07 Crisis in Higher Ed & Why Universities Still Matter
Mar 5, 2024
Assertion Supported
Hicks: DoD R&D budget exceeds Alphabet, Apple, Meta, Microsoft combined
“It's more than what Alphabet, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft combined spent on R&D last year.”
Kathleen Hicks Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 4:16 Collaborative Disruption at DoD
Mar 13, 2024
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: ChatGPT stemmed from Alec Radford's early LLM work at OpenAI
“The origin story of even, even ChatGPT is this is not what OpenAI actually started to do. They started to do something different, and then there was actually one guy who actually his name is, I think Alec Radford, and he literally was, like, off in the corner …”
Marc Andreessen Mar 13, 2024 ▶ 4:27 America Needs More Techno-Optimism, with Marc Andreessen and Tyler Cowen
Mar 20, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
D'Angelo: Frontier AI model providers will maintain strong profit margins
“And so it's, you know, right now it's OpenAI, Google, maybe Anthropic. Maybe, maybe Meta can be there. Those who can get there, I think it's going to be good business. You'll be able to make a lot of money. You can have good profit margins. You'll have to work…”
Adam D'Angelo Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 22:25 Bringing AI to the Masses with Adam D'Angelo, CEO of Quora
Mar 20, 2024 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
D'Angelo: Perplexity is taking search market share from Google
“I think with perplexity getting share from Google right now.”
Adam D'Angelo Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 26:50 Bringing AI to the Masses with Adam D'Angelo, CEO of Quora
Apr 2, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Meta open-sources AI to prevent monopolies, mirroring Google's Android strategy
“The way Meta is thinking about this and the way that they're actually behaving and executing is very similar to how Google thought about Android where, you know, their main concern was that Apple not have a monopoly on the smartphone. You know, not so much tha…”
Ben Horowitz Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 52:18 Politics & the Future of Tech
Apr 2, 2024 negative
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Horowitz: Big Tech's startup cloud deals involve illegal roundtripping accounting
“The big tech companies have done this thing which we thought was illegal because we observed it occur at AOL and people went to jail, but what they've done is they invest in startups, you know, huge amounts of money. Microsoft and Amazon and Google are all doi…”
Ben Horowitz Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 54:30 Politics & the Future of Tech
Apr 2, 2024 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: Google and Microsoft push for centralized Chinese-style AI control
“Like we go to the China model that Google and Microsoft are advocating for this Chinese model of only a few can control AI. We're going to be in big trouble.”
Ben Horowitz Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 1:24:54 Politics & the Future of Tech
Apr 24, 2024 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: Google suffers from a low-accountability corporate culture
“So if you have a place like You know, a very low accountability culture, like say Google, which, you know, has a monopoly that kind of supports the other businesses. So it's hard to have accountability when there's like a single profit center that dominates to…”
Ben Horowitz Apr 24, 2024 ▶ 43:57 Startup Building: Major Shifts in Tech & Culture
May 9, 2024 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Horowitz: Google and Microsoft use safety rhetoric to lobby against open-source AI
“And they do it like the really kind of nasty thing is they claim, oh, it's for safety. You know, we've created an alien that we can't control, but we're not going to stop working on it. We're going to keep building it as fast as we can. And we're going to buy …”
Ben Horowitz May 9, 2024 ▶ 1:12:46 Build Your Startup With AI
Jun 11, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: Google will not build format-transforming AI features anytime soon
“So again, that's like the type of product that Google is probably not gonna build, or at least is not gonna build for a while, and is a real advantage for more native AI companies.”
Olivia Moore Jun 11, 2024 ▶ 10:16 The Future of Prosumer: The Rise of “AI Native” Workflows
Jun 20, 2024 negative
Opinion
Khalaf: Merchants complaining about card interchange fees ignore massive ad tech costs
“So regarding the payment rails, I agree with Zach. It's a yes, but the but is bigger than the yes, because if you look at, ah, all the folks that are honestly complaining about the interchange. Okay, let's talk about it. These are the same people who are payin…”
Simon Khalaf Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 16:53 Zach Perret (Plaid) & Simon Khalaf (Marqeta): New Applications in Fintech
Jun 20, 2024 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Khalaf: Payment cards have wider reach than Google, Facebook, and clean water
“Because if you think about a payment card, it's the most adopted technological product ever invented. More distribution than Google and Facebook combined. More distribution than clean water. And it's still a piece of plastic for many.”
Simon Khalaf Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 3:55 Zach Perret (Plaid) & Simon Khalaf (Marqeta): New Applications in Fintech
Jul 16, 2024 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: Google shelved 2017 transformer breakthrough until startups forced its hand
“Google invented the transformer in 2017 and then put it on a shelf. And then startups came in and sort of picked up that idea and ran with it, OpenAI and now Anthropic and others and many others now. And then as a consequence, Google has now been forced to rea…”
Marc Andreessen Jul 16, 2024 ▶ 19:53 Trump Vs. Biden: Tech Policy
Jul 23, 2024 bullish
Disclosure
Casey has held Alphabet stock continuously since its 2004 IPO
“I've held Google since the 2004 IPO.”
Mark Casey Jul 23, 2024 ▶ 4:07 Mark Casey (Capital Group): Public Market and Macro Perspectives
Jul 23, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Casey: Alphabet will fix Gemini AI image generation problems and recover
“I bet it's gonna be okay. They have a little time to figure it out and correct the image generation.”
Mark Casey Jul 23, 2024 ▶ 6:44 Mark Casey (Capital Group): Public Market and Macro Perspectives
Sep 24, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wang: Big Tech will easily recoup AI capex through core product improvements
“If, yeah, Facebook, Google, they make their advertising systems a little bit better. They can recoup billions of dollars just by the... Better performance there. Apple can easily recoup the investments if it drives an upgrade cycle. I mean, these are things th…”
Alexandr Wang Sep 24, 2024 ▶ 12:56 Why Human Data is Key to AI: Alexandr Wang from Scale AI
Oct 1, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schmidt: Fewer than ten organizations worldwide can train Llama-scale AI models
“Yeah, I mean, I would, it would probably be in the number of ones on my hand and it probably wouldn't use all my fingers, you know. Yeah, I mean, you basically have, OpenA, Anthropic, Meta, X, Google, and then you have a few Mistral, and then Deep Seek and a c…”
Jeff Schmidt Oct 1, 2024 ▶ 25:00 The Quest for Community-Trained Open Source AI Models
Nov 12, 2024 neutral
Insight
Horowitz: Current AI market resembles internet search in 1997
“The companies are very big, but the moats aren't very wide. So the way to think about it, it's like we're basically at search in the, on the internet circa, 1997, when there were 37 search companies, none of them called Google.”
Ben Horowitz Nov 12, 2024 ▶ 39:40 Trump is About to Change Everything For Tech Startups
Dec 9, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Immerman: Google AI Overviews has reached 1 billion monthly active users
“Google AI Overviews already has a billion monthly active users.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 11:40 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Immerman: Google's search monopoly is coming to an end
“My big idea is that the search monopoly, particularly around Google, is coming to an end.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 0:18 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 negative
Insight
Immerman: Google's ad clutter opens door for new search engines
“The irony is that today, What we're all complaining about with Google is that their pages are cluttered with ads on the results, and that creates the opportunity for these new search engines.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 8:36 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Immerman: Google hasn't been innovating in search due to monopoly status
“The market has been dominated by Google for close to 25 years at this point, and as a monopoly, they're not really innovating. They're, they have no incentive to, until now.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 2:06 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Immerman: Google approaches $200B annual search revenue with double-digit growth
“They're approaching two hundred billion of revenue annually. They're still growing double digits, highly profitable.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 0:55 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Immerman: Apple could gain 1 billion search users overnight
“They are not investing the capex like Meta and Google and Microsoft and Amazon, but they control a central node to the consumer, and if they wanted to build a search application, the next day they could have a billion users.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 11:58 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Immerman: Google antitrust ruling proves default search deals were anti-competitive
“So earlier this year, Google was declared a monopoly. The court ruled that they're spending billions of dollars to phone manufacturers. In the case of Apple, tens of billions of dollars is monopolistic. It's anti-competitive and it's preventing their competito…”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 1:29 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024
Assertion Supported
Immerman: Perplexity average query length is 10-11 words vs Google's 2-3
“The average query on perplexity is 10 to 11 words. The average search on Google is two to three keywords.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 3:42 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Immerman: Gen AI search offers a much better UX than Google
“If you think about the Google experience as it is today, it's just a long list of links. And the first few are sponsored. They're ads. And I, as a user, when I make a query on Google, I then need to make the decision. I have to sift through the information on …”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 2:19 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024
Assertion Supported
Immerman: Google controls 90% of the search market
“They control 90% of the market, but their grip is slipping.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 0:24 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Immerman: Standalone vertical AI search apps will thrive in deep domain research
“For the average query on ChatGPT, Perplexity, or Google, they're pretty good. You don't need a vertical specific application, but for deep domain research, I can imagine a world in which standalone apps thrive.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 6:42 The 2025 AI Search Race
Mar 5, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Appenzeller: All future state-of-the-art AI models will use reasoning techniques
“And I think looking forward, From now on, pretty much any state of the art model will use some of those techniques, and we've seen this already, you know, from models from OpenAI and models from Google that are structurally very, very similar, and this has hug…”
Guido Appenzeller Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 0:31 DeepSeek, Reasoning Models, and the Future of LLMs
Mar 17, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Ulevitch: Early American Dynamism startups emerged after Google left Project Maven
“You know, even in some of the origins where some of the AD companies started, it was after Google bailed out of Project Maven, and people in Silicon Valley were really trying to figure out what was important, how do I want to spend my time, and that, that, tho…”
David Ulevitch (Dee) Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 3:36 Why American Dynamism Is Just Getting Started
Mar 18, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: Tech incumbents won't build the first AI-native personal assistant
“Are they gonna build the first AI native personal assistant that works across all of your products and all of your information sources? Probably not, I would say. I think that any and all of the calls that the incumbents end up doing, which will be some volume…”
Olivia Moore Mar 18, 2025 ▶ 35:22 Why AI Voice Feels More Human Than Ever
Mar 26, 2025 bullish
Prediction Held up
Moore: Google's Veo 2 video model likely releasing in 3-6 months
“I think we'll see even more of a shake-up here, because VO-II is the new Google model that is even next level beyond that, from what we've seen in testing, and that is probably finally gonna hopefully come out in the next, you know, three or six months.”
Olivia Moore Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 9:12 The Top 100 GenAI Products, Ranked and Explained
Apr 29, 2025 positive
Opinion
Horowitz: a16z top partners outperform executive teams at Meta, Google, and Apple
“If you look at the top people, you know, if you look at Martine Cassato and Chris Dixon and Alex Rampell and David Ulovich and so forth, like that team is better, like IQ wise capability wise than the executive teams of Meta or Google or Apple or any of them.”
Ben Horowitz Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 41:38 How Andreessen Horowitz Disrupted VC & What’s Coming Next
May 1, 2025 positive
Opinion
Young software engineers now prefer defense tech startups over Big Tech
“Three years ago for very young talent or software engineers, it was like convincing them that manufacturing or national security was incredibly important. And now I think if you're starting a startup, I think if you're a software engineer, actually most of wha…”
Chris Power May 1, 2025 ▶ 9:54 How to Enable a Manufacturing Renaissance
May 30, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pande: Big Tech's healthcare initiatives will remain minor side experiments
“I suspect that for those reasons, it's something that The big tech companies will try, and we've seen Apple and Amazon and Google all dabble, but I think those experiments probably won't fit the way they want to build their company, and so I think they'll stay…”
Vijay Pande May 30, 2025 ▶ 31:33 Hey Tech, Come to Healthcare
May 31, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
George: Web transactions will soon occur without navigating through Google
“We're getting pretty close to the point where you can actually conduct business activity on the Internet without having to go through Google.”
David George May 31, 2025 ▶ 16:59 Where Crypto Meets AI with Chris Dixon & David George
May 31, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
George: Consumer AI reached one billion users faster than any predecessor
“We've now gotten to the point where there's about a billion monthly active users of consumer AI applications, and this has grown significantly faster than predecessor companies, Google, Facebook, TikTok, and in the case of TikTok, they actually grew through, t…”
David George May 31, 2025 ▶ 28:11 Where Crypto Meets AI with Chris Dixon & David George
May 31, 2025 neutral
Insight
Dixon: Google's business model relies on delivering links over direct answers
“The whole business model is predicated on not actually getting the, it's on getting the link and not the actual product, right?”
Chris Dixon May 31, 2025 ▶ 18:42 Where Crypto Meets AI with Chris Dixon & David George
May 31, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
George: Google's Gemini models are currently state-of-the-art across multiple domains
“They actually have the best models right now. Like, they have the leading, you know, the state-of-the-art models in Gemini across a bunch of different domains.”
David George May 31, 2025 ▶ 18:04 Where Crypto Meets AI with Chris Dixon & David George
Jun 2, 2025
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Yahoo Almost Bought Google Early On at Low Price
“Yahoo almost bought Google. And there was a very, you know low price deal at the time.”
Marc Andreessen Jun 2, 2025 ▶ 9:47 Marc Andreessen Reveals His Biggest Wins and Mistakes at a16z
Jun 6, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Anish Acharya: Google's top consumer subscription tier costs $250 per month
“The top Google consumer SKU is 250 dollars a month.”
Anish Acharya Jun 6, 2025 ▶ 3:55 The State of Consumer Tech in the Age of AI
Jun 6, 2025
Disclosure
Bryan Kim: ChatGPT knows more personal context about him than Google
“I pour my heart and soul into ChatGPT. It knows more about me than probably Google, potentially. Which is an insane thing to say. Like Google, I've been using, using Google for a decade plus, and ChatGPT may know more about me than Google, because I type more,…”
Bryan Kim Jun 6, 2025 ▶ 9:20 The State of Consumer Tech in the Age of AI
Jun 13, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Justine Moore: Google's next video model will struggle with coherence and cost
“So I would imagine, you know, Google will want to train the next model that's even bigger and is able to generate longer videos, but we'll struggle with things like coherence, and we'll also struggle with, honestly, the pricing of the model.”
Justine Moore Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 6:14 What You Missed in AI This Week (Google, Apple, ChatGPT)
Jun 13, 2025 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Olivia Moore: NotebookLM pioneered realistic conversational disfluencies in AI voice
“Notebook LM came out, and that was the first real voice experience that put in those ums, ahs, pauses, other things that are so human-like”
Olivia Moore Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 8:51 What You Missed in AI This Week (Google, Apple, ChatGPT)
Jun 27, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sinofsky: Claims predicting Google's demise are absurd
“Well, of course, I think the demise of Google is an absurd proposition. The demise of a giant company is, is a crazy thing to say.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 27, 2025 ▶ 28:23 Former Microsoft Executive Explains Where We Are in the AI Cycle w/ Anish Acharya & Steven Sinofsky
Jun 27, 2025 neutral
Insight
Sinofsky: Tech disruption happens when incumbents fail to shift mindsets
“Can they transform the way they think to something new? Because that's really where the disruption is going to happen.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 27, 2025 ▶ 30:02 Former Microsoft Executive Explains Where We Are in the AI Cycle w/ Anish Acharya & Steven Sinofsky
Jul 9, 2025
Disclosure
Yahya: Google refused to pursue crypto beyond basic node hosting
“Google would not touch crypto with a thousand foot pole unless it was like a very, very kind of vanilla, like we will like run and run some like note or whatever.”
Ali Yahya Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 16:25 Crypto Experts Explain Stablecoins & the Future Financial System w/ Ali Yahya & Arianna Simpson
Jul 9, 2025
Insight
Yahya: Fully embracing AI would force Google to cannibalize search revenues
“And I think that's actually becoming true for AI as well. Like I think that it was very, very true that AI was a very sustaining innovation. Before, but it's gotten so powerful that, that there are many elements of it that are disruptive. Like if Google wanted…”
Ali Yahya Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 17:52 Crypto Experts Explain Stablecoins & the Future Financial System w/ Ali Yahya & Arianna Simpson
Jul 21, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Casado: Consolidated AI infrastructure companies will maintain high profit margins
“For the AI wave, yeah, for sure, like, this is extreme, but it will slow down, and then the consolidation will happen, but I guarantee you'll just end up with these great companies that maintain margin, like, AWS still has great margins, you know, Google still…”
Martin Casado Jul 21, 2025 ▶ 27:33 The Future of Software Development - Vibe Coding, Prompt Engineering & AI Assistants
Jul 30, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hayes: AI and growth incentives are collapsing the open web
“And in some ways with the use of AI, like, you know, the entire open web that was the basis for the first iteration of Google is collapsing underneath it.”
Chris Hayes Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 41:00 AI Content and the War for Your Attention
Aug 1, 2025
Assertion Supported
Balaji Srinivasan: US newspaper revenue collapsed post-2008 as tech advertising spiked
“This shows that essentially newspaper revenue rose to like, seventy billion dollars in the year 2000. And then right after the financial crisis, it just suddenly collapsed over the course of like four or five years and Google went vertical and Facebook went ve…”
Balaji Srinivasan Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 1:19 Tech vs. Media: Balaji Srinivasan on the Battle Shaping Our Future
Aug 8, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Srinivasan: Google paid over $100 million into Windsurf's account for dividends
“Google put a hundred million plus in the bank account of WindSurf where the intent was to dividend it out.”
Balaji Srinivasan Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 49:34 Steven Sinofsky & Balaji Srinivasan on the Future of M&A, AI & Tech
Aug 8, 2025 negative
Opinion
Srinivasan: Tech platforms face market constraints, but Washington DC is a monopoly
“See the thing is these platforms are at least competing with other platforms, and if Apple or Microsoft or Google makes too bad decision, Then the people on those platforms have exit, they have choice, they can move between platforms, so there's ultimately a m…”
Balaji Srinivasan Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 17:57 Steven Sinofsky & Balaji Srinivasan on the Future of M&A, AI & Tech
Aug 18, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Patel: Top Google TPU hardware engineers have left to join OpenAI
“The TPU team's next-gen designs are pretty non-aggressive, partially because a lot of the TPU team has left to go to OpenAI, the best people that I knew.”
Dylan Patel Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 58:47 Dylan Patel on GPT-5’s Router Moment, GPUs vs TPUs, Monetization
Aug 18, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patel: Google is internally discussing selling physical TPU hardware to buyers
“I think Google's even discussing it. Internally, I think it would require a big reorg of culture and a big reorg of like how Google Cloud works and how the TPU team works and how the JAX software team and XLA software teams work.”
Dylan Patel Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 22:54 Dylan Patel on GPT-5’s Router Moment, GPUs vs TPUs, Monetization
Aug 18, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Patel: Microsoft Azure is losing cloud market share to Oracle and CoreWeave
“Azure is like losing a lot of share to Oracle and CoreWeave and Google and so on and so forth, right?”
Dylan Patel Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 1:03:50 Dylan Patel on GPT-5’s Router Moment, GPUs vs TPUs, Monetization
Aug 18, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Patel: Microsoft's custom AI silicon lags behind Amazon, Google, and Meta
“Microsoft, their custom silicon kind of sucks but the other three, they're really upping their orders massively over the last year. You know, Amazon is making millions of Tranium. Google's making millions of TPUs. TPUs clearly are like a hundred percent utiliz…”
Dylan Patel Aug 18, 2025 ▶ 21:29 Dylan Patel on GPT-5’s Router Moment, GPUs vs TPUs, Monetization
Aug 22, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Casado: a16z avoids lesser-known SOTA AI model startups due to heavy subsidies
“So the state-of-the-art model market, this is like the, you know, the Anthropics and the Open AIs it's incredibly competitive, and it's very heavily subsidized, right? I mean, like with Meta and like Google, et cetera, and so kind of our view is, is you have t…”
Martin Casado Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 20:56 The State of AI: Growth, Fragmentation, and the Next Wave
Aug 27, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Google NotebookLM sustains flat or growing traffic until late summer
“And then right below the top 10 was Notebook LM. At number 13. And I take your wow as a little bit of a surprise, which was a surprise to me too, and I think a bit of a narrative violation that they went viral almost a year ago. In September of 2024. But they'…”
Olivia Moore Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 5:00 The Top 100 Most Used AI Apps in 2025
Sep 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Acharya: AI consumer software is commanding unprecedented $300 monthly pricing
“Google's top SKU is 250 a month. Grox is 300 a month. I don't think we've ever seen a time where consumers were paying those kinds of prices.”
Anish Acharya Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 11:29 Chris Dixon on How to Build Networks, Movements, and AI-Native Products
Sep 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rampell: Google and Facebook captured most value from DTC boom
“Well, I mean, ultimately, if it's a one and done transaction, you don't really make the product like, you know, Casper didn't make the mattress, right? Like there's probably some OEM in China that made the mattress and they put their little logo and they calle…”
Alex Rampell Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 12:55 The Death of Search: How Shopping Will Work In The Age of AI
Sep 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rampell: Google acts as a tax on GDP via per-click ads
“Like Google, they kind of are a tax on GDP. Consumer spending is a huge part of GDP. They get a percentage of all that spend because they're charging per click. That tax might just shift elsewhere.”
Alex Rampell Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 0:16 The Death of Search: How Shopping Will Work In The Age of AI
Sep 17, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: LLM hallucinations force shoppers back to Google and Amazon
“All, like, all LLMs, but I'll use ChatGPT as the example, because the most people use it have this really unfortunate and annoying problem of hallucinating around product recommendations that basically everyone experienced if you tried to use it for that.”
Justine Moore Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 21:19 The Death of Search: How Shopping Will Work In The Age of AI
Sep 17, 2025 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rampell: Google is losing non-monetizable informational search queries to AI
“They are starting to lose some of the free, but not any of them immune, right? They're losing some of these informational queries, like who won the Oscar in 1977, like that's not a monetizable query.”
Alex Rampell Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 20:04 The Death of Search: How Shopping Will Work In The Age of AI
Sep 17, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Rampell: Uses ChatGPT three orders of magnitude more than Google
“And then number three was just my own personal behavior of it's just like, I probably use ChatGPT like three orders of magnitude more than I use Google now, which is interesting.”
Alex Rampell Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 2:41 The Death of Search: How Shopping Will Work In The Age of AI
Sep 24, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levie: Pricing H-1B visas allows big tech to capture most talent
“I think that you'd have a situation where the Amazons and Googles would probably actually capture the vast portion of the talent in this situation. So it's not clear to me that, like, startups sort of are come out ahead or better off from this particular imple…”
Aaron Levie Sep 24, 2025 ▶ 2:25 Software Finally Eats Services - Aaron Levie
Oct 15, 2025 positive
Insight
Ghodsi: Ideal hires combine big-tech scale experience with startup grit
“I love to hire people who have seen great at a big company, like, or I don't know if it's great, but they've seen process scale, big company. They've been at a Google, they've been at Amazon, they understand the processes so that I understand how to navigate a…”
Ali Ghodsi Oct 15, 2025 ▶ 54:57 Ben Horowitz and Ali Ghodsi: How to Run a $100 Billion Business
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alex Rampell asserts Google is artificially inflating Gemini daily active user metrics
“And I think the metrics that they're kind of faking right now is it's like what percentage of our users are using AI and that's not using Gemini as a DAU. I'm sure of that. It's just like they have like an AI summary, something, something in there, but they're…”
Alex Rampell Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 18:30 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Alex Rampell predicts ChatGPT purchasing execution will steal Google's search monetization
“If chat GPT gets, it gets that going, which I think is one of their top priorities, then like that's going to really steal the monetization engine bike. From Google.”
Alex Rampell Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 17:40 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Insight
Rampell: Consumer fintech is hard because Google captures all economic rent
“Consumer fintech products are so hard because like all of the, I mean, right now, just all of the economic rent goes to Google or wherever you find it from.”
Alex Rampell Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 37:50 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Rabois asserts Apple's profits exceed Google's total revenues
“Their profits are greater than like Google's revenues or something.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 26:02 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rabois: Google's primary organizational weakness is an inability to ship products
“For Google's weakness has always been, they just don't ship products. Like they have ideas, they have researchers, they have lots of money flushing around. But when's the last time Google launched an interesting product?”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 28:16 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 bearish
Disclosure
Rabois: Google Search is so inferior to ChatGPT that he no longer uses it
“I don't use Google for anything. Like, I can't remember the last time I used Google versus ChatGPT. Like, it's just so inferior.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 13:37 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rabois: Apple is great at devices but bad at AI, Google is terrible at hardware
“Google's been terrible at devices historically. We'll see if they can get any better, but someone, you know, Apple is great at devices, but bad at AI.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 15:00 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 20, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Hoffman: Google achieved 40% data center energy savings using AI
“Google applied its algorithms to its own data centers, which are some of the best tuned grid systems in the world. 40% energy savings.”
Reid Hoffman Oct 20, 2025 ▶ 35:03 Reid Hoffman on AI, Consciousness, and the Future of Labor
Oct 22, 2025 positive
Opinion
Acharya: Google is still superior to AI search for navigation queries
“I find for navigation queries, Google is still better.”
Anish Acharya Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 44:46 Why Creativity Will Matter More Than Code | Kevin Rose and Anish Acharya
Oct 22, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Acharya: Big tech will fail at multi-model aggregator tools like Cursor
“I think the other interesting area where the labs and the bigs are not going to be successful is products that benefit from being multimodal, right? Not multimodal, but multimodal. So cursor is good because you can use every model inside of it. And Google is n…”
Anish Acharya Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 11:12 Why Creativity Will Matter More Than Code | Kevin Rose and Anish Acharya
Oct 23, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Masad: Laypersons will soon match senior Google software engineers via AI
“I think that the lay person will be as good as a what a senior software engineer that works at Google is today. So I think that's happening very soon.”
Amjad Masad Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 32:44 Marc Andreessen & Amjad Masad on “Good Enough” AI, AGI, and the End of Coding
Oct 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Vahdat: Gigawatt-scale AI workloads create power fluctuations visible to utilities
“We've written about this power utilities notice when we're doing network communication relative to computation at the scale of 1000 of megawatts. Right, like massive demand for power, stop all of a sudden and do some network communication, and then burst back …”
Amin Vahdat Oct 29, 2025 ▶ 17:16 Building the Real-World Infrastructure for AI, with Google, Cisco & a16z
Oct 29, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vahdat: Google is driving 10x to 100x reductions in AI inference costs
“What I would say though is that maybe something people don't realize is that we're actually driving massive reductions in the cost of inference. I mean, 10 X's and a hundred X's.”
Amin Vahdat Oct 29, 2025 ▶ 22:01 Building the Real-World Infrastructure for AI, with Google, Cisco & a16z
Oct 29, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vahdat: Google estimated Bigtable to Spanner migration required 7,000 staff-years
“The estimate for doing that migration for Google was seven staffed millennia.”
Amin Vahdat Oct 29, 2025 ▶ 24:49 Building the Real-World Infrastructure for AI, with Google, Cisco & a16z
Oct 29, 2025
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vahdat: The entire computing stack will be unrecognizable by 2030
“And five years from now, whatever the computing stack is from the hardware to the software, right, it's going to be unrecognizable.”
Amin Vahdat Oct 29, 2025 ▶ 10:07 Building the Real-World Infrastructure for AI, with Google, Cisco & a16z
Oct 29, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vahdat: Google's seven- and eight-year-old TPUs maintain 100% utilization
“Our seven and eight year old TPUs have a hundred percent utilization.”
Amin Vahdat Oct 29, 2025 ▶ 4:04 Building the Real-World Infrastructure for AI, with Google, Cisco & a16z
Oct 30, 2025 negative
Opinion
Baker: ChatGPT was a 'Pearl Harbor' moment for Google
“No, to me, ChatGPT was Pearl Harbor for Google, and we're going to see how they responded, and they're slowly starting to respond.”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 13:01 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Oct 30, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baker: Google's TPU makes it Nvidia's biggest AI chip competitor
“NVIDIA's biggest competitor, it's not AMD, it's not Broadcom you know, it's certainly not Marvell. It's not Intel. It's Google. And more specifically, it is Google, because Google owns the TPU chip.”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 8:06 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Oct 30, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Baker: Major custom AI ASIC programs will be canceled within three years
“In the next three years, I think you'll see a bunch of high-profile ASIC programs canceled, especially if Google starts selling TPUs externally, which has been all over X.”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 25:10 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Oct 30, 2025 neutral
Insight
Baker: Google avoided outcome models because advertisers systematically overpay for ads
“Because people overvalue systematically their ability once they've acquired a customer through Google to keep it as an organic customer. So they systematically overpay. And they continue doing that. That's why Google never went to outcomes or marketplace, beca…”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 29:05 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Oct 30, 2025 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baker: Larry Page said he would risk bankruptcy to win AI race
“Larry Page apparently internally said, I'm happy to go bankrupt rather than lose this race. And I think that is the mentality for sure at Google and perhaps Meta. It's just seen as existential and you have to win.”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 7:04 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Oct 30, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Baker: Google surpassed OpenAI and Anthropic in total AI traffic
“I think they've taken 15 or 20 points of traffic share in the last two or three months, and that does not, that's just traffic to Gemini. It does not include search overviews. I suspect on a actual traffic basis, Google is bigger than OpenAI, Anthropic, anyone…”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 8:48 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Oct 30, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Baker: AI browser startups will regret competing against Google Chrome
“I think the AI companies that have launched these AI browsers may come to regret it, because there's something called Chrome that has whatever it is, five billion users, and if you're Google you know, you can just go look at what happened with Google Buzz.”
Gavin Baker Oct 30, 2025 ▶ 20:08 "Is there an AI bubble?” Gavin Baker and David George
Nov 5, 2025
Disclosure
Kuyda bet Replika on dialogue language models in 2015
“When we saw that in August, 2015, we just basically put all of our bet everything we had at the company on building those models. We said, okay, well, this is it. This is right around the corner. We need to really focus on building these language models, getti…”
Eugenia Kuyda Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 36:09 Seeing The Future from AI Companions to Personal Software
Nov 7, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Amjad Masad: Non-technical consumers routinely switch between multiple competing AI models
“Not particularly technical consumers actually do use multiple AIs. Like I didn't expect that, like, you know, people only use Google. They never like looked at Google and then Yahoo or like very few people do it. But now you talk to just average people and the…”
Amjad Masad Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 40:07 Amjad Masad & Adam D’Angelo: How Far Are We From AGI?
Nov 12, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rampell: Bay Area housing prices declined massively when priced in tech stocks
“There's a piece that we wrote a little while ago showing that the price of housing in the Bay Area has declined massively in the past 25 years. If you're like, no, no, it hasn't. It's gone off. If you price it in Apple stock and Google stock, right?”
Alex Rampell Nov 12, 2025 ▶ 2:56 Rocket Companies CEO: Here’s How to Fix the Housing Crisis
Nov 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Google Reversed Its Position to Work With Defense Department
“Google has definitely since Google slash Alphabet has reversed their position and now do work, ah, with the US government and the Defense Department.”
Ben Horowitz Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 8:36 Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen: Why Silicon Valley Turned Against Defense (And How We're Fixing It)
Nov 21, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Google's internal prediction market accurately forecast product launches
“Google had an internal prediction market where people would speculate on which products would actually ship on their ship dates, and it was a much more accurate .”
Vlad Tenev Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 1:02:46 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Nov 21, 2025 negative
Insight
Rampell: Fintech startup capital is mostly wasted on Google and Meta ads
“I like to say, especially in financial services, with that high bar to having a relationship you should probably just buy Google stock or Facebook stock versus investing in most companies because, like, that's where all the money goes. It's like you, like, you…”
Alex Rampell Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 3:19 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Nov 26, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Diane Greene was ousted from Google over an innocent satellite contract
“Diane Greene was ousted from Google for like a very innocent contract who'd look at pictures, I mean, satellites, right?”
Margit Wennmachers Nov 26, 2025 ▶ 40:06 The Secret Marketing Strategy That Built a16z: From Zero to Legendary VC Firm
Dec 10, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
A Google search penalty once wiped out Thumbtack's web traffic and revenue
“At Thumbtack, there was a moment, you may remember this, a decade ago, where I woke up, and I had a message from someone on our team in the Philippines, and it said, Thumbtack does not exist on the internet. I was like, what? And I went to Google, you type in …”
Jonathan Swanson Dec 10, 2025 ▶ 32:27 The Unicorn Founder Who Delegated Everything.
Dec 12, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Google and OpenAI cannot reliably execute Apple's Siri vision
“I mean, Google, I don't think Google or OpenAI could deliver the Siri demo that Apple gave two years ago. I mean, they could really do the demo, but they couldn't like consistently reliably make it work.”
Benedict Evans Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 47:26 AI Eats the World: Benedict Evans on the Next Platform Shift
Dec 12, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Claude has virtually no consumer usage despite top benchmark scores
“It's basically, the only consumer, Claude has basically no consumer usage, even though on the benchmark score it's the same. And then it's ChatGPT, and then halfway down the chart, it's Meta and Google.”
Benedict Evans Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 40:19 AI Eats the World: Benedict Evans on the Next Platform Shift
Dec 29, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: OpenAI integrated launches into ChatGPT while Google built standalone products
“What we saw was OpenAI tended to keep more things in the ChatGPT interface, so like Pulse, group chats, shopping, research, tasks, all of these features launched inside ChatGPT as the core. The exception there is obviously Sora as a standalone video app, where…”
Justine Moore Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 3:20 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 2025 negative
Opinion
Moore: Big AI labs struggle to build opinionated consumer products
“In my opinion, we've gone through dozens of things that they've launched or tried as new consumer products or new consumer interfaces like group chat, like Pulse, like Atlas, like Sora. Google has had a long tail, like Stitch, Gems, Opal, Doppel, Tons. Yeah. N…”
Olivia Moore Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 32:14 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Kim: Five of top 10 iOS productivity apps are Google, ChatGPT #1
“If you go to app store today, top five out of top 10 productivity apps are all Google. It's insane. And Chachi B is number one.”
Bryan Kim Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 8:04 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 2025
Opinion
Moore: OpenAI and Google's most viral 2025 models were image and video
“From a model perspective, I would say, I would argue their most viral models this year, at least among consumers, were in image and video.”
Justine Moore Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 2:41 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Dec 29, 2025
Opinion
Moore: Google's Nano Banana image models rivaled OpenAI's Ghibli moment in virality
“Nano banana and Nano banana pro in image models, which went insanely viral, probably comparable to, if not beyond the Ghibli moment for open AI.”
Justine Moore Dec 29, 2025 ▶ 3:07 Where does consumer AI stand at the end of 2025?
Jan 26, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
George: ChatGPT reached 365 billion searches five times faster than Google
“The time to get to three hundred and sixty five billion searches on chat GPT was two years. The time for Google to get to three hundred and sixty five billion searches was 11 years.”
David George Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 9:25 The Biggest Bottlenecks For AI: Energy & Cooling
Jan 26, 2026 positive
Opinion
David George: Big tech can easily absorb potential AI capex overbuild
“It turns out they're the best companies, you know, probably ever created you know, companies like Google, Facebook you know, Amazon and Microsoft, and they can bear you know, potential capacity overbuild and things like that.”
David George Jan 26, 2026 ▶ 2:37 The Biggest Bottlenecks For AI: Energy & Cooling
Feb 9, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
David George: Google's 7-to-8-year-old TPUs maintain 100% utilization
“Seven to eight year old TPUs, Google actually disclosed this, seven to eight year old TPUs actually have 100% utilization.”
David George Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 33:49 AI Markets: Deep Dive with a16z's David George
Mar 10, 2026 negative
Insight
Acharya: Legacy Software Struggles to Innovate Beyond Incremental AI Features
“Conversely, when you look at The existing product services, like Sheets or Docs, there's just so much, one sort of momentum and inertia from the past, but then management overhead around those, it's harder for them to do anything other than the most obvious in…”
Anish Acharya Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 11:02 Inside a16z’s Top 100 AI Apps Report with Olivia Moore
Mar 10, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Moore: Google's NotebookLM Was a Breakthrough in Consumer AI Audio
“I think Notebook LM was actually the first look at this, and that was something truly new in, like, consumer AI audio.”
Olivia Moore Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 10:20 Inside a16z’s Top 100 AI Apps Report with Olivia Moore
Mar 13, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Michael: Google transitioned from avoiding defense work to top government partner
“Google didn't want to bid on the contract. Now Google is a great partner, you know, and so I'd hope some of the newer companies would learn from what Google did, which is, you know, they didn't want to serve the government because that employee mob issues, but…”
Emil Michael Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 18:04 Emil Michael: The Department of War Is Moving Faster Than Silicon Valley on AI | The a16z Show
Apr 14, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Blockchain will be essential infrastructure to verify real content vs AI deepfakes
“Are you gonna trust Google? Are you gonna trust Meta? Are you gonna trust the US government? I think you wanna trust the kind of mathematical game theoretic properties Of the blockchain. So I think that's going to be just a very, very important part of the inf…”
Ben Horowitz Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 17:40 Ben Horowitz on AI Anxiety, Big Tech Transitions & The Future of Startups | a16z
May 29, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
George: Anthropic and OpenAI add more monthly revenue than tech giants
“Anthropic and OpenAI are adding more revenue per month than Meta, Google, or Microsoft.”
David George May 29, 2026 ▶ 1:43 The New Rule for Picking AI Winners | The a16z Show
Jun 8, 2026 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: AI integration is driving ad revenue gains at Google and Meta
“Which is, of course, why you see the ad numbers and the, you know, the conversion rates shooting up in the, every quarter from Google and Facebook. Because they're rolling all of this into their ad systems, and their recommendation engines, and their predictio…”
Benedict Evans Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 33:03 The Economics of AI Usage and What's Next For SaaS | Benedict Evans on a16z
Jun 8, 2026
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Evans: Microsoft, Meta, and Google spending over 50% of revenue on CapEx
“Microsoft, Meta, and Google are all on, in line to spend over 50% of revenue on CapEx this year.”
Benedict Evans Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 48:31 The Economics of AI Usage and What's Next For SaaS | Benedict Evans on a16z
Jun 8, 2026
Assertion Supported
Evans: Big Tech produces more profits than the entire telecoms industry
“You have a pretty safe bet that Google, Meta, Amazon Microsoft, Apple produce more profits than the entire telecoms industry.”
Benedict Evans Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 56:37 The Economics of AI Usage and What's Next For SaaS | Benedict Evans on a16z
Jul 21, 2026 negative
Opinion
Younis: Silicon Valley companies are myopic about global opportunities
“When I was at both at Google and at OIC, I was always surprised at how kind of almost myopic. The companies are just always looking at the market that's just like within the 30, you know, between San Jose and San Francisco.”
Qasar Younis Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 1:19:29 Why Physical AI Is the Next Frontier | The a16z Show
Jul 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Younis: Google's leveling system is identical to General Motors'
“The Google leveling system is the same as the General Motors leveling system.”
Qasar Younis Jul 21, 2026 ▶ 25:28 Why Physical AI Is the Next Frontier | The a16z Show
Aug 5, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Mo: Major chipmakers use vLLM as an internal benchmark
“And additionally, VLM also work closely with all the hardware vendors. So that means across like NVIDIA, AMD, Google, and Amazon, Intel, and a lot more, their newest chip will make sure VLM can run on them. And then a lot of cases they use VLM as a benchmark t…”
Simon Moe Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 9:29 How Open Source Became AI's Backbone | Inferact with a16z
Aug 25, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Casado: Google's AI models are getting trounced by OpenAI and Anthropic
“Google is Google. They have all the data, they have all the intelligence and like their models are getting trounced. By open AI and by anthropic.”
Martin Casado Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 52:23 How AI Changes the Economics of Innovation
Aug 25, 2026 neutral
Insight
Sinofsky: Microsoft worries far more about Amazon and Google than startups
“The only incumbents are only interested in what the other incumbents are doing. Microsoft is worried way more about what Amazon and Google are doing than anyone in a startup space.”
Steven Sinofsky Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 49:53 How AI Changes the Economics of Innovation
Aug 26, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Acharya: Google Is Culturally Incapable of Launching Edgy AI Companions
“I think there are a set of products that labs are just culturally not set up and big tech not set up to go after. You think about launching, you know, a companion product at Google that may disagree with you, that may have sexual innuendo in it. Like these are…”
Anish Acharya Aug 26, 2026 ▶ 28:34 The State of AI: Models, Moats, and the Consumer Renaissance
Aug 31, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Google TPU Data Centers Require Double the Equity Check of NVIDIA GPUs
“TPUs are the second most financeable. It probably takes, I don't know, double the equity check at least. And then the rates on the rest of it are higher.”
Gavin Baker Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 1:04:01 Why AI Demand Is Outrunning Compute Supply
Sep 1, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Litt: AI acts as a Google substitute without doing deep intellectual math work
“What I've found is that the projects that I have that kind of predate AI, like the projects I've been thinking about for three or four or five years it's just not that useful. Like, it's primarily kind of a substitute for Google or something. Like, I might use…”
Daniel Litt Sep 1, 2026 ▶ 19:03 Can AI Learn Mathematical Intuition?
Sep 3, 2026
Insight
Rampell: Active searchers for emergency credit represent high credit risk
“But if you go on Google and you say, like, I'm out of money, need money, credit, credit, credit, like you're probably a bad credit risk. So kind of going back to the general store concept, People that aren't looking for credit, that might not have their wallet…”
Alex Rampell Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 21:28 Why AI Agents Could Finally Reinvent the Credit Card
Sep 3, 2026 bearish
Insight
Rampell: Consumer business models degrade as CAC value flows to Google and Facebook
“I mean, Casper got to scale, but lots of CAC, and that's why a lot of these business models, they tend to degrade over time, because all the economic value goes to Google and Facebook.”
Alex Rampell Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 45:49 Why AI Agents Could Finally Reinvent the Credit Card
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,000 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.