Apple

also referred to as: apple computer · apples

includes Apple Watch, Apple Pay, Apple TV, Apple II, Apple Store, Apple News, Apple Maps, Apple Card, Apple Music, Apple Vision Pro, Apple HomeKit, Apple Wallet and 45 more

309 statements across 126 episodes · 100 bullish · 59 bearish · 65 people on the record · first statement Jul 15, 2017 by Benedict Evans · said 2,237 times in 304 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Benedict Evans (820), Steven Sinofsky (207), Michael Copeland (205), Alex Rampell (70), Frank Chen (65), Kyle Russell (61), Marc Andreessen (52), Chris Dixon (50)

tap a year for its mentions
001,0001002,0002002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
01002002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
007.5100152002017201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 41 mentions in 18 episodes 2 per episode
2025 201 mentions in 39 episodes 5 per episode
2024 50 mentions in 17 episodes 3 per episode
2023 65 mentions in 20 episodes 3 per episode
2022 40 mentions in 5 episodes 8 per episode
2020 17 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode
2019 1,724 mentions in 171 episodes 10 per episode
2018 24 mentions in 12 episodes 2 per episode
2017 75 mentions in 17 episodes 4 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Apple, oldest first

Jul 15, 2017 bullish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple is overtaking the entire PC industry due to mobile scale
“And Apple, which is the minority player in the smartphone business, is now overtaking the entire PC industry, again, because of these kinds of scale effects.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 6:07 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Combined GAFA revenues remain smaller than TV and advertising
“Even Google, Apple, Facebook, and Amazon combined there, or GAFA, as the telecoms industry tends to call them add up to less than TV business or advertising and are much, much smaller than mobile or proper, proper industries like cars or clothes.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 8:55 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: One iPhone launch sold 25x all 1995 computer transistors combined
“In the iPhone launch weekend, if you add up all the CPUs in all the iPhones Apple sold, They did about 25 times more transistors than were in all the computers on Earth back in 1995.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 1:27 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple has 10% of global phone sales vs Android's 50%
“Apple has maybe 10% of all the phones being sold on Earth, but Android has maybe 50%.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:11 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Tech brands comprise 40% of top 100 global brand value
“So technology brands are now 40% of the value of the top 100 brands. Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon are almost 20%.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 7:38 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2014
Jul 15, 2017 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple holds 15% of global phone sales, Android 50-60%
“Apple has about 15% of all the phones sold on Earth, and Android is the next 50 to 60%, and then the rest are feature phones that are converting very fast to those 35 dollar Androids I talked about earlier.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 13:24 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Apple devices account for the majority of global mobile web browsing
“Apple devices have a majority of all the web browsing happening on mobile devices.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 13:39 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Tech leadership has recentered on the Bay Area, Apple, and Google
“Today, it's all about the San Francisco Bay Area. It's about Apple and Google, because everything is shifted back to software.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 7:48 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: The average Apple device generates 4x the app revenue of Android
“And then if you look at App Store revenue, you see that Apple devices contribute about two-thirds of all the revenue, and Android devices one-third. And that's even though there are at least twice as many Android devices in use as there are Apple devices. So t…”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 13:53 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017
Assertion Supported
Evans: iPhone 6 launch weekend sales contained 25x 1995 global PC power
“If you count up all the phones that Apple sold at the launch weekend for the iPhone six, you get about 25 times more CPU transistors than were in all the PCs on Earth in 1995.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 2:14 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2015
Jul 15, 2017 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Tech giants occupy the top five spots by market valuation
“Today, Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, and yes, Microsoft are all the five, are the five biggest companies on the stock exchange.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:26 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jul 15, 2017 bullish
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2015
Evans: Apple is the world's 10th largest retailer by revenue
“Apple is the 10th largest retailer on earth by revenue, with over fifty three billion dollars of sales last year”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 4:19 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jul 15, 2017
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple holds $237 billion in cash, Google holds $73 billion
“Apple, meanwhile, has two hundred and thirty seven billion dollars in gross cash on its balance sheet. Google has seventy three billion dollars.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 27:10 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jul 15, 2017 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Evans: Big Tech annual capital expenditure reached $34 billion in 2015
“Annual capex across these companies has gone from one billion dollars in 2000 to thirty four billion dollars in 2015.”
Benedict Evans Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:44 Mobile Is Eating the World, 2016
Jul 16, 2017
Assertion Partly supported
Horowitz: Apple was three weeks from bankruptcy when Steve Jobs returned
“When Steve Jobs came back to Apple, they were about three weeks away from bankruptcy”
Ben Horowitz Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 23:14 Culture and Revolution
Jul 16, 2017 bullish
Prediction Held up
Rampell: Apple and Google will fully open their mobile wallet platforms
“Apple and Google need to open up their respective wallets, but I think they will, because Apple and Google, if they want to build a powerful position and actually truly have the mobile wallet not just be a payment type that has three credit cards in it, But ac…”
Alex Rampell Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 25:06 What Happens When Mobile (Really) Hits the Wallet
Jul 16, 2017 positive
Insight
Rampell: Amazon's Fire Phone was a smart move against app store fees
“Amazon, they built the Fire Phone. Which ended up being a flop, but it was a very, very smart move for Amazon to do because they realize if I'm Amazon and I want to go sell a book to somebody, I'm not allowed to do that through Apple or through Google unless I…”
Alex Rampell Jul 16, 2017 ▶ 17:21 What Happens When Mobile (Really) Hits the Wallet
Jul 28, 2017 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mars: AI assistant infrastructures are monopolized by major tech companies
“These kinds of infrastructures are monopolized essentially by companies like Apple, Google, Microsoft, and so forth.”
Jason Mars Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 3:14 Jason Mars
Jul 28, 2017
Disclosure
Mars: Apple requested Sirius AI project rename, resulting in Lucida
“After Sirius gained a good bit of traction, Apple reached out to us and said, you probably should change the name. And so we're now calling it Lucida.”
Jason Mars Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 7:41 Jason Mars
Jul 28, 2017
Assertion Supported
Mars: Apple built a $1 billion data center for Siri's launch
“Apple built a one billion dollar data center at the time that Siri was released.”
Jason Mars Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 2:39 Jason Mars
Dec 5, 2017 neutral
Insight
Evans: Dominant Tech Giants Always Look Invulnerable Right Before They Fall
“The winners always look invulnerable until they don't. So, IBM looked invulnerable, then Microsoft, Intel, Nokia did, then the internet giants of the last bubble, now Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon look invulnerable, but all the previous ones fell, and it was…”
Benedict Evans Dec 5, 2017 ▶ 4:57 10 Year Futures (vs. What's Happening Now)
Feb 3, 2018 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Chen: Oil companies make Apple, Amazon, and Google look small
“Not many companies make the tech giants like Apple and Amazon and Google look small, but the oil companies definitely do.”
Frank Chen Feb 3, 2018 ▶ 0:57 The Autonomy Ecosystem: Energy (4 of 8)
Mar 7, 2018
Assertion Contradicted
Chan: China generated 29% of Apple's global revenue in 2015
“In 2015, China was 29% of Apple's total global revenues.”
Connie Chan Mar 7, 2018 ▶ 2:40 Beyond a Zero-Sum Game: Tech Innovation and China
Jul 15, 2018 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stark: Big tech UX talent will solve crypto usability challenges
“Getting the folks that say maybe we're doing You exit, you know, Apple, Google, Facebook, and coming into this world that can really think through these problems and develop compelling user experiences, I think is going to be a big part of it.”
Elizabeth Stark Jul 15, 2018 ▶ 34:52 An Intro to Crypto: Decentralization, the Big Picture
Jul 15, 2018 negative
Opinion
Dixon: Tech power concentration is at its highest since peak Microsoft
“We live in a time where I think we have probably the greatest concentration of power in, on the internet that, that I mean, you know, or in the technology world since probably Microsoft at its peak in the nineties.”
Chris Dixon Jul 15, 2018 ▶ 6:10 An Intro to Crypto: Decentralization, the Big Picture
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Google Views Apple as a Channel, Not an Existential Competitor
“Google is not in a one-to-one fight to the death with Apple. You could argue it's in a one-to-one fight to the death with Facebook. Or even potentially with Amazon. But Apple is a channel.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:44 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Evans: Apple Could Build a High-Quality $300 iPhone
“And I think today it would absolutely be possible for Apple to make a 300 dollar phone that would, you know, to use Johnny Ives line, would be a phone that they could be proud of.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:32 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Apple moves down the hardware stack while Google moves up
“Apple is moving down the stack and Google's moving up the stack, both of them, of course, into their comfort zone, into a place where it's hard for the other to follow them.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:25 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Benedict Evans: Apple and Google Both Won the Mobile OS War
“The platform war ended and Google and Apple both won, because Google and Apple both got what they wanted, but they wanted different things.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:21 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019
What-if
Evans: A $150 iPhone Would Collapse Apple's Revenue Averages
“The corollary of that, of course, is that if Apple was to make a 150 dollar phone, their average would collapse, because they'd be getting loads of people who don't care.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:51 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple lacked PC market fit because corporate buyers prioritized price
“At the kind of the critical period of the PC industry, most of the sales were corporate. And corporate buyers wanted, ah, 1500 generic boxes that they would put out of people's desks. So they didn't care what they looked like. They didn't care how easy the use…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:12 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Held up
Active Android devices will reach 2-3B; iOS will reach 700-900M
“And, you know, as things play out with the current dynamics, which aren't really going to change in the next two or three years, we will end up with seven, eight, nine hundred million iOS devices in use on Earth. It's probably about 500 now. And we'll end up w…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:21 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Apple holds 10% and Android 45-50% of global phone sales
“In as much as Apple has about, well, in the launch quarter, they have about 10% of all the phones sold on Earth, and Android has another 45 to 50% although only about two-thirds of those are Google Android and one-third are in China and don't have any Google s…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:54 a16z Podcast | Apple and Google Won the Mobile OS War, But a New War Has Already Begun
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Balaji: Apple's Bitcoin ban will drive users off iOS within three years
“Like, you know, locking down Bitcoin on the iOS platform is going to be, I think, seen in like three years as one of the more short-sighted things that, that could be done. Because it's going to be so, such a big deal. And so it's the kind of thing that could …”
Balaji Srinivasan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:31 a16z Podcast | The State of the Bitcoin Ecosystem, and a Theory on Satoshi
Jan 2, 2019
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Benedict Evans: Installing a smartphone app won't mean downloading code within five years
“If I was to say I installed an app on my Android smartphone in five years, I don't really know what that would mean. You know, what would install mean? You know, what would app actually mean? What would Android mean? And so there's that question. Yeah, exactly…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:13 a16z Podcast | Searching for Mobile’s Own PageRank
Jan 2, 2019
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Benedict Evans: Apple will be the company to kill native apps
“Who is it that's going to kill the native app? It's going to be Apple. Apple is the company.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:00 a16z Podcast | Searching for Mobile’s Own PageRank
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Dixon: Startups should outsource supply chain layers that are API-mature
“The principle they use to decide which parts of the chain they have to own and which parts they can outsource is just ultimate product. What ultimate product experience we need to deliver and which of the You know, which of the layers, Tobology's point, are ma…”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:12 a16z Podcast | The Rise of Full Stack Startups
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Srinivasan: Apple developed MagSafe using defect data from Genius Bar repairs
“As I understand it, because Apple controlled the Genius Bar, they had people who would come in and they would be able to log all the defects that happened with Apple computers, right? And they found that a relatively small number of defects, but with a very hi…”
Balaji Srinivasan Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:56 a16z Podcast | The Rise of Full Stack Startups
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple operates the world's largest installation of SAP enterprise software
“Apple's the world's biggest SAP installation.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:54 a16z Podcast | The Rise of Full Stack Startups
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: TV has replaced music as Big Tech's ecosystem battleground
“Music was an ecosystem battleground, and it's turned into a checkbox commodity feature that you throw into any new product as like something you have to have. You know, you're launching a phone, you're launching this, you're launching, you've got to have a pho…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:20 a16z Podcast | The Future Of Television
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple's iOS 8 extensions lagged behind Android by three years
“And so, you know, again, it's a bit like multitasking, that Apple is doing something that was on Android like three years earlier.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:00 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple reported 83% of iPhone 5S users use fingerprint scanner
“And they gave a number that I think it was 83% of all iPhone five S users use a fingerprint scanner,”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:17 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Google views devices as dumb glass; Apple views cloud as storage
“So what Apple is doing, what Google is doing is they say, well, the device is dumb gloss, and all the cool stuff's happening in the cloud. And what Apple is doing is saying, no, no, no, no, the cloud is just dumb storage.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:26 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: iOS extensions enable Google and Facebook to integrate deeper into iOS
“And so the funny thing here is, of course, this is basically giving Google and Facebook a whole list of ways to get the hooks deeper into iOS.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:18 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Jagoda: Apple built Swift for internal use, not just third parties
“It felt to me at least like they're building this for themselves as well to help Apple's own efforts as opposed to like Here's a kit. You go use this. We'll use the real, real stuff. You guys can use this sort of dumbed down limited thing. And it doesn't feel …”
Dave Jagoda Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:39 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: The three reasons tech companies delay expected product features
“Any company that isn't doing something you think they should do, it's either they've decided not to do it, or they haven't got the resource to do it, or it's on the roadmap, but it's not ready yet.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:55 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: iPhone ASP is $600 compared to Android's $250 average
“They sell a phone that an average of 600 dollars, In an industry that averages about a 180, and Android averages about 250. And in the high-end space, they have, as it might be, two thirds to three quarters of the market, and Samsung has most of the rest.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:56 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Jagoda: Swift incorporates features from Python, Ruby, Go, and Lisp
“There's features of Python, Ruby, CoffeeScript, JavaScript, Go and even hints of languages like Java and Lisp that they've incorporated into it”
Dave Jagoda Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:01 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple is relaxing its ban on user-accessible mobile file systems
“So it feels like Apple are kind of backing off a little bit from the absolutism of you, there should not be a user accessible file system at all.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:47 a16z Podcast | The Apple WWDC 2014 Deep Dive
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Google sees hardware as dumb glass, Apple sees cloud as dumb storage
“For Google, all hardware is just kind of dumb glass that links back to their cloud. Whereas for Apple, the cloud is kind of dumb storage that supports their platform.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:41 a16z Podcast | The Promise (and Nightmare) of Cross-Platform Software
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Apple views cloud as app backend while Google treats cloud as platform
“WWDC was full of cloud, but it was all about cloud as backend to rich native apps. Whereas I.O. Was all about cloud as cloud.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:17 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Apple generates double Android's developer revenue on half the devices
“And if you look at the revenue growth rate, the run rate growth rate, that means that Apple probably paid out ten billion in the last 12 months. And there are, as it might be, four hundred fifty million active iOS devices on Earth, so Apple is doing double the…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:35 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Apple reorganized into a horizontal structure under Craig Federighi
“A, they'd moved from a vertical to horizontal integration organization. So you have Craig Federiga responsible for all the software, for example.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:50 a16z Podcast | Google I/O -- A Three-Hour Tour (in 30 minutes)
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: iOS users spend four times more than Android users
“You have double the revenue on iOS for half the users, and so very roughly four times the spend.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:41 a16z Podcast | The Micro and Macro of Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Active iPad installed base exceeds active Mac base by 2x
“There's probably a 180 to two hundred million iPads in use now, Versus about eighty million Macs, according to Apple.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:54 a16z Podcast | The Micro and Macro of Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: iPad sales hit flatline while iPhone continues strong growth
“And the iPhone is growing quite strongly, and the iPad has been effectively flat for a year.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:18 a16z Podcast | The Micro and Macro of Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Mercando: Apple fails to manage mobile notifications effectively
“I don't think that Apple does a great job with managing them, and so we're building a platform where you can manage all those notifications, and you deem what's most important to you.”
Christina Mercando Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:17 a16z Podcast | The Wearables Session
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mercando: Screen-based wearables require large physical designs due to battery limits
“Even if Apple comes out with something, you know, battery technology is such that If you want to power a screen and if you want to do all these things, you need a device that's large.”
Christina Mercando Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:56 a16z Podcast | The Wearables Session
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Johnson: Apple has had no bad product launches since opening stores
“One of the values of the Apple stores over the past 12 years is Apple has really not had a bad product launch since we had stores.”
Ron Johnson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:29 a16z Podcast | Building Brands and Running Retail -- Ron Johnson and Tristan Walker Break It Down
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Disclosure
Johnson: Apple Stores were designed for customer experience, not direct sales
“And so we designed a store that wasn't about selling things. It was about making an owner have a better experience.”
Ron Johnson Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:16 a16z Podcast | Building Brands and Running Retail -- Ron Johnson and Tristan Walker Break It Down
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Apple acquires around a dozen startups per quarter
“And they buy a dozen startups a quarter, you know, but they spend a hundred million here and a hundred million there.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:21 a16z Podcast | Everything You Need to Know About Amazon
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple never sees health data stored in iOS 8 repository
“So Apple is making this repository in iOS eight that stores all the health information from a watch, from any wearable that you have, anything you input into it. Any app on the device can ask for that with permission. Apple never sees it”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:05 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: Apple's internal community and social product efforts have failed
“Most of Apple's community and social efforts have failed, right? They took ping out of iTunes Game Center. I still don't know anybody who uses Game Center. So those things have not worked”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:57 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Evans: Apple's 40% US market share forces bank and merchant alignment
“And because of the market scale that Apple has uniquely kind of in the USA with 40% of smartphones, They could then go to all the banks and all the retailers and say, this is all going to work, and let's all just, you know, get behind and push, which is kind o…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:03 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple holds only half of the high-end smartphone market
“When you look at the high end segment, that Apple is really the only place Apple competes they've probably only got around half of that segment, and the other half is high end Android, and almost all of that high end Android is with bigger screens.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:51 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chen: Apple monetizes via upfront hardware, not advertising revenue streams
“Apple's made the money it wants to make from you as soon as you buy the iPhone. It doesn't need an ongoing stream of advertising revenue on back, on the back of that for it to make its business model work.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:44 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple operates like a club funded by biannual hardware upgrades
“You can describe Apple as a sort of club where the price of membership is buying a new box every two years, and the benefits of being a member of the club keep expanding in terms of all these sort of incremental services around the edges.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:22 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Bilamoria: iPhone 6 Plus phablet is Apple's true Asian market strategy
“Apple's, you know, foray into China was supposedly the five C, and that really didn't go anywhere, and the six plus with fablet seems to be the right way to potentially go into and get into Asian markets finally.”
Zal Bilimoria Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:01 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2019
Chen: Apple will never make an Apple Watch compatible with Android
“So you're never, you're not going to see watch that works with an Android phone, right? Like, they're just not going to do that.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:29 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Evans: iPhone 6 launch poses a direct competitive problem for Samsung
“And the obvious takeaway is that this is a competitive problem for Samsung.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:11 a16z Podcast | Apple Takes on Payments and Your Wrist
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans notes Apple provides payment endpoints rather than competing with banks
“On the one hand, they look like a great partner, because they've not gone and built their own payment platform, they're not trying to compete with Visa or Master They're not trying to compete with Chase or Wells Fargo or Lloyd's or, you know, any of the retail…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:51 a16z Podcast | Selling Tech to Everyone -- Changes Everything
Jan 2, 2019
Opinion
Evans: Apple is less of a competitor to Facebook and Amazon than Google
“Apple is less of a competitor to both Facebook and Amazon than Google is.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:02 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple drove 80% of U.S. Black Friday e-commerce spending
“They had 80% of all the e-commerce revenue on the Black Friday spending festival in the U.S., and About half of global web browsing, depending on which numbers you believe, and it could be a third, could be two thirds, depending.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:17 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple sells top 10% of global phone volume, Android 50%
“Apple is selling the top 10% of all the phones on Earth, And that's growing steadily, and Android takes the next 50% of all the phones sold on Earth, and that's growing slightly faster.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:55 a16z Podcast | Enough with the Old Stuff -- Time for New Questions in Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Bilimoria: Apple HomeKit is currently a complete head fake
“Apple's HomeKit, and that almost seems like a complete head fake. I mean, if you actually go to their website, it's actually just a developer landing page with a couple of coming soon notifications”
Zal Bilimoria Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:03 a16z Podcast | The Technology is Ready, So Where is the Internet of Things?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple iPod lifetime sales nearly doubled the Sony Walkman
“Apparently the unit life, someone said to me, lifetime sales of the Sony Walkman were about two hundred and fifty million units. So they sell, you know, almost double, you know, the Sony Walkman.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:24 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Emerging Chinese smartphone makers are hurting Samsung, not Apple
“In precisely the period that you have half a dozen Chinese manufacturers coming into market with really good design and strong brand, which show me is only the most obvious, and what's happening is those guys are killing Samsung, they're not touching Apple at …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:48 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple generated $65 billion in lifetime revenue from 400 million iPods
“They sold, what was it, four hundred million of them, and they did something like sixty-five billion dollars of revenue.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:10 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple outsold Microsoft-Nokia's total handset volume in Q4 2014
“Apple sold more phones than Nokia. I mean, the Nokia, you know, this is still Microsoft, because Nokia did, Nokia Microsoft did ten million numis and forty million feature phones. Right. Apple did seventy-five million smartphones.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:35 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Apple faces no credible competitors in the high-end smartphone market
“Apple's got the high-end phones, and there's not anybody on the horizon that's mounting a credible attack on that.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:59 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple sold 75 million iPhones, capturing 15% global market share
“Apple sold, getting on for 15% of all the phones sold on Earth in the last quarter, in the December quarter... Seventy-five million units.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:58 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Partly held up
Evans: Apple will capture the top 15% of global mobile users
“Apple's gonna have the top 15% 10 to 15% of all the mobile phone users on earth, and Android will have most of the rest.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:18 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Assertion Open · timeframe Jan 2015
Evans: iPad sales are trending down with record low average prices
“For the iPad numbers and sales, it's not a record low, but sales have been trending flat to down for the last 18 months to two years, and it's a record low ASP, record low average selling price.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:27 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Commodity OEMs cannot match Apple's tight hardware and software integration
“When you look at things like Touch ID, when you look at Apple Pay, when you look at the things that they do with that integration you know, it's very hard for a commodity OEM using somebody else's operating system and somebody else's components to compete with…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:09 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple iPad captures 80% to 90% of total tablet usage
“The iPad share of tablet use is 80 to 90% on any kind of, or to the extent that anybody who has metrics specifically For iPad use, that is to say e-commerce sites or websites or, you know, anybody who's doing video or anyone who's actually selling anything see…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:48 a16z Podcast | Mobile is Eating the World (and Apple is Gobbling Fastest)
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
McMaster: Apple faces margin pressure and negligible emerging market share
“I believe over time, Apple's even going to have products. You know, problems, because they're not going to be able to sustain these margins, and in these markets where Android is dominant, Apple's market share will be negligible. Right? As these markets contin…”
Kurt McMaster Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:43 a16z Podcast | Searching for Mobile's Third OS
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Evans: Samsung cannot replicate Apple's ability to sell a $10,000 watch
“It's impossible, effectively, for Samsung to copy that. You can argue about Apple's ability to sell a 10,000 dollar watch. I don't think anybody would argue about Samsung's ability to sell a 10,000 dollar watch.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:46 a16z Podcast | What the Apple Watch Is -- and Isn't
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Apple Watch prioritizes consumer delight over technical specifications
“And then the watch again, it's another step in abstraction, and it's another step in the importance of delight over feeds and speeds.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:19 a16z Podcast | What the Apple Watch Is -- and Isn't
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple retail generated 10% of total company revenue
“The Apple retail business, which until they stopped disclosing it was about 10% of Apple revenue.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:44 a16z Podcast | What the Apple Watch Is -- and Isn't
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Apple deliberately designed Apple Pay tokenization to avoid fraud liability
“Apple's very deliberately crafted Apple Pay so that they're not holding the bag. Just to be clear. There's actually a very clever technique with tokenization where it's definitely all somebody else's fault.”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:54 a16z Podcast | Security's Painful Prominence and Why There is No Turning Back
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
McKinnon: Apple Touch ID dramatically increased iPhone passcode adoption rates
“They've turned on passcodes and more people are, have their phones locked now than ever before because they made it easier. You didn't have to type in that code and now they have a fingerprint reader.”
Todd McKinnon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:01 a16z Podcast | Making Security More Useable
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Chris Dixon: Tech strategy shifted from Microsoft's horizontal model to Apple's vertical
“I think there used to be the more, I think in the business theory world, A stronger belief in kind of core competency. And that people, you know, it was sort of the, it was the Microsoft model as opposed to the Apple model, right? It was like, let me do one th…”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:40 a16z Podcast | Verizon Plus AOL -- Why? -- The Short Answer is Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: For Google, Android is a tactic; for Apple, device is strategy
“For Google, Android is a tactic, and cloud is a strategy, whereas for Apple, the device is a strategy, and the cloud is a tactic. The cloud is a feature of the core strategy, whereas for Google, the device is a feature of the core strategy.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:51 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Streaming content is no longer strategic leverage for Apple or Google
“Once we went to streaming services, it became really, really easy to switch from device to device, and so content really isn't a strategic lever anymore. It may be, we'll see what Apple does with music next week, but, you know, for the sake of argument, right …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:45 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Evans: Android ecosystem struggles with integrated hardware without full-stack control
“Really hard for the Android ecosystem to deliver that, because nobody controls the whole stack.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:43 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Cloud-based machine learning is in Google's DNA, not Apple's
“On the other hand, Google finds it really easy to do image recognition in the cloud of every photo you've ever taken, because that's what Google does, and Apple conversely would find it very difficult to do that. It's But theoretically they could, but it's jus…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:47 a16z Podcast | For Google, Android is a Tactic and Cloud is a Strategy
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Benedict Evans: Apple Watch strategy enhances iPhone, unlike Google's cloud approach
“I mean, I think, you know, to Stephen's point about platform, this is clearly, you know, and again, this is what speaks to the, again, a sort of thing I talk about a lot, which is kind of a difference between Apple and Google, which is for Google, there's a wh…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:16 a16z Podcast | Apple Watch -- Looking for New Things Done in New Ways
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Prediction Held up
Sinofsky: Apple is on a path to untether the Watch from the iPhone
“The one thing I will say that's going to be magical is how Apple Like, evolves, their historic way of doing things has been to tether them, and then untether them over time, and so what I think is going to be interesting to see is if they can untether the watc…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:33 a16z Podcast | Apple Watch -- Looking for New Things Done in New Ways
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple products defy predefined product categories
“When Apple comes out with a new product, it generally isn't one that fits in the predefined category notions that, that people have.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:07 a16z Podcast | Apple Watch -- Looking for New Things Done in New Ways
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Sinofsky: Personalized tech features do not require storing user data in cloud
“Well, and I think that the, this is one where, where I think people can overstate the need for the cloud side of it, or understate the amount that they can do based, sort of, not really Cloud, but, or clients, but like on a client side way, I mean, if you thin…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:36 a16z Podcast | Apple Watch -- Looking for New Things Done in New Ways
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple OS X has roughly 80 million users
“So we have OSX, which is a platform that has about eighty million users”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:47 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple iOS has 700M to 800M active devices
“And then there's a platform with eight, seven or eight hundred million active devices, iOS.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:10 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Apple and Google are killing the ten blue links
“I think what Apple and Google are both doing is killing the list of 10 links. The 10 blue links.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:20 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple missed streaming music like Google missed social media
“Yeah, I mean, I think, well, for music, there's no question that music, Apple dominated music, and they missed the transition to streaming completely, just as Google missed social completely.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:43 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Evans: OS X is a legacy platform, not Apple's future
“That's the legacy platform. That's not the platform of the future.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:07 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Photos have replaced music as the primary mobile ecosystem lock-in
“Incidentally, photos to some extent have replaced music as a lock-in.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:30 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: WatchOS 2 includes features delayed from original Apple Watch launch
“It basically, it looks like this is all the stuff that Apple wanted to have in the launch, but they didn't have time to make the deadline.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:25 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple Proactive processes ML locally on-device rather than cloud
“The difference, of course, is that Apple says it's all being done on the device. It's not going into the cloud.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:30 a16z Podcast | Apple Gets Its Music Streaming and Gives News Another Try
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple disrupted mobile by treating cellular networks as transparent data pipes
“One of the things that allowed Apple to disrupt everything was by saying, no, no, no, no, it's just a piece of wire, and we ignore it completely. We make zero effort to optimize bandwidth, and, you know, it's kind of an overstatement, but we just completely ig…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:09 a16z Podcast | Location, Location, Location -- and Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cheney: Mobile tech lacks indoor contextual intelligence despite 80% indoor time
“There's a missing link there where there's still no layer of context in physical and indoor environments, which is where we spend, what, 80% of our time?”
Steve Cheney Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:56 a16z Podcast | Location, Location, Location -- and Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple and Google approach context-aware computing from opposite directions
“Apple and Google are both kind of climbing the mountain. This is a thing I'm probably saying too often, but they're kind of climbing the mountain from the opposite side. So, on the one hand, you have all of these sensors, and you have beacons, which of course …”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:56 a16z Podcast | Location, Location, Location -- and Mobile
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: B2B fleet purchasing of autonomous cars neutralizes Apple's consumer advantage
“So and so that becomes interesting for Apple and potentially for Tesla, because it means that, you know, if the drivers, if the people riding around are not the people choosing these things, then maybe Apple's strengths don't really get to come into play becau…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:14 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Apple will target high-end cars and avoid budget models
“One suspicion is that Apple will like the high-end Because it tends to like not making compromises on product to hit prices beyond a certain point. Right. And one suspicion is that Apple won't make a 10,000 dollar car.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:55 a16z Podcast | When Software Eats Cars
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Boneh: Big tech security teams possess the authority to delay product launches
“In big companies like Microsoft, Apple, Google security teams in fact are involved in the process from the design phase, which is really important. And then if a product is about to ship out and a security, the security team discovers a big vulnerability, they…”
Dan Boneh Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 37:23 a16z Podcast | Crypto, Security, CS, Quantum Computing, and More with Our New Professor-in-Residence
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple built tvOS architecture enabling full cable app integration
“Apple has kind of built the architecture that would let you do that. They built the architecture that would let Comcast do that, if Comcast chooses to do that, but they didn't have it on the stage.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:26 a16z Podcast | Apple Has Lock on Luxury Smartphones, But Not Business of TV
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple TV adds an SDK but leaves TV's commercial model intact
“Version two of the Apple TV is not a fundamentally new product. That is to say, it's basically the same UI concept. It's basically the same stuff, except that now there's an SDK. So to get HBO onto it, Apple doesn't have to write the app. To get X or Y or Z on…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:41 a16z Podcast | Apple Has Lock on Luxury Smartphones, But Not Business of TV
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple controls two-thirds to three-quarters of online tablet usage
“And then there is a market for like The post-PC replacement, which is what Apple and Samsung and everybody else is trying to play in, and Apple has like three-thirds, two-quarters has like two-quarters to two-thirds of that, and if you look at all the usage st…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:05 a16z Podcast | Apple Has Lock on Luxury Smartphones, But Not Business of TV
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple's iPhone Upgrade Program uses off-balance-sheet third-party financing
“It's not even on their balance sheet. It's been done by a third-party financing company and, you know, GM made with a low-margin business, and all the margin was actually coming from the financing. I don't think Apple are doing that here, and we want to have t…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:08 a16z Podcast | Apple Has Lock on Luxury Smartphones, But Not Business of TV
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple captured Samsung's high-end smartphone market share with larger iPhones
“Apple has always been pretty secure in its market, and then it sounds like Apple had, as it might be, a half to two-thirds of the high-end, and Samsung had most of the rest. With the big phone, it took, big phones last year, it took a lot more of that, and you…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:29 a16z Podcast | Apple Has Lock on Luxury Smartphones, But Not Business of TV
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Apple's vertical integration gives it a structural advantage over Android
“Whether it's good or not, it's the kind of thing that's very, that's much more difficult for an Android OEM to do because Apple controls the operating system and all the apps as well. Whereas whenever Samsung tries to do something like that, it only works with…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:03 a16z Podcast | Apple Has Lock on Luxury Smartphones, But Not Business of TV
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: TV industry incumbents have no incentive to unbundle traditional content packages
“The current structure of the TV industry works really well for the TV industry, and nobody has a big incentive to change it.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:06 a16z Podcast | Apple Has Lock on Luxury Smartphones, But Not Business of TV
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple PowerPC Failed Due to Insufficient Scale vs. Intel
“This is basically what happened to Apple. It's like, it was just too small to support the innovation at the scale needed to compete with what was going on at Intel. And like, there just weren't enough electrical engineers designing chips to be competitive.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:46 a16z Podcast | What Comes After the Smartphone
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: Mobile OS platforms integrate services much deeper than PC OSs
“Unlike, say, a web browser on a, either a Windows or a Mac, where the web browser was the platform and the Windows or the Mac computer wasn't really where you were building internet services. Whereas on a smartphone, not only are you building in the web browse…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:17 a16z Podcast | What Comes After the Smartphone
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Apple, Google, and Facebook won the smartphone and messaging wars
“The sort of, the feeling you have in mobile right now is we're kind of at the end of one wave, and we haven't got another wave coming up yet, so we've kind of had the smartphone wars, and Apple and Google both kind of won, and we've had the messaging wars, and…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:41 a16z Podcast | What Comes After the Smartphone
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple Has 700-750 Million Active Devices and 66% App Revenue
“The Apple ecosystem has 700 to seven hundred and fifty million active devices at the moment, and it has two thirds of app store revenue, and it has roughly half of web traffic, so it has sufficient scale to attract developers.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:02 a16z Podcast | What Comes After the Smartphone
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Burbidge: Nearly 80% of millennials trust tech giants over banks
“Certainly more than 50, I think it was close to 80% of millennials trust the brands, you know, Facebook or Google. Or Apple, I think was the top of the pile, much more than their banks.”
Eileen Burbage Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:18 a16z Podcast | Fintech from the World's Financial Capital -- London
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2020
Evans: Apple will eventually release a $300 iPhone
“They could do a 300 dollar phone now that would be a great phone. It would, you would not feel, ah, Johnny, I wouldn't feel ashamed of it. I feel like that's a question of when rather than if”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:54 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple, Google, and Facebook Won Initial Mobile and Messaging Wars
“The smartphone wars are now over, or at least the first smartphone war is over, and Apple and Google both won in different ways, and the kind of the first messaging app wars are now mostly over, and Facebook mostly won in sort of various ways”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:33 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Evans: Apple is weak in building cloud and internet services
“They are weak in cloud services. They are weak in building internet services.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:19 a16z Podcast | The Year Mobile Began to Truly Dominate Tech
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Apple is only paying lip service to enterprise customer requirements
“My personal belief is that Apple is paying lip service to enterprise and not really doing anything that my customers are asking for.”
Orion Hindawi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 37:06 a16z Podcast | The Fundamentals of Security and the Story of Tanium’s Growth
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
The Mobile Device Management market is broken due to OS vendors
“The answer for you is that MDM, at least in my estimation, is a pretty broken market today, and the reason it's broken is the vendors of the platforms that provide, you know, Google, Microsoft, Apple, really Apple is kind of the real, real offender here. They …”
Orion Hindawi Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 34:36 a16z Podcast | The Fundamentals of Security and the Story of Tanium’s Growth
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Strange: Millennials trust tech giants more than traditional banks
“There's definitely a lot around the millennial generation and how, you know, they hate going to their banks more than they hate going to the dentist. They would actually trust Apple, Google, name your tech Institute more than banks.”
Angela Strange Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:54 a16z Podcast | When Banking Works Like My Smartphone
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Shirky: Treating Apple as the primary innovation archetype has harmed US tech
“When I look back at the U.S., I think that the U.S. Has been somewhat damaged by regarding Apple as our official most innovative company.”
Clay Shirky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:18 a16z Podcast | 'In the Eye of a Tornado': Views on Innovation from China
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Russell: Apple and Google have hundreds working on VR
“It's clear that they have hundreds of people working on these”
Kyle Russell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:44 a16z Podcast | Mapping the Future of Virtual Reality
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Apple will wait to enter VR before releasing a market-defining product
“There'll be, my suspicion is they'll wait a while. Apple tends to be kind of a fast follower in this stuff and then come in with what they hope is kind of a market defining product.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:06 a16z Podcast | Mobile Falls Hard for Virtual Reality
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Opinion
Christensen: Apple risks losing its innovation edge by relying on market research
“And I worry that Apple can easily lose that and do their research by looking outside And not understanding the essence of what the job has to be, you know.”
Clayton Christensen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:49 a16z Podcast | Disruption in Business... and Life
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Christensen: Steve Jobs innovated by solving his own unaddressed personal needs
“What I admire about Jobs and his legacy is that he did his research in front of a mirror, and if I have a need in my life, and there isn't something I could hire to get that job done, I betcha that job arises in lots of people's lives.”
Clayton Christensen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:29 a16z Podcast | Disruption in Business... and Life
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Christensen: Low-end modular competitors are gaining momentum against Apple
“So, historically, They've been very disruptive at every step in the way, you know, in ways that I didn't even see myself coming, but now I see modularity coming in at the bottom of the market, and accelerating the development, it's a cadence, you know.”
Clayton Christensen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:04 a16z Podcast | Disruption in Business... and Life
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: Apple undershot its enterprise market potential by 100x
“If you look at Apple's products and their product position, and you look at their success in the enterprise versus say Microsoft which is selling competing products, you would, I would argue Apple's undershot their potential with the products they have by prob…”
Ben Horowitz Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:03 a16z Podcast | The Why, How, and When of Sales
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Smartphones act as non-neutral internet platforms unlike desktop Windows
“The smartphone itself is kind of, is a platform for the internet in a way that Windows was not. You targeted the browser, you didn't target Windows, but on the smartphone, you target the smartphone operating system, and it's not neutral. Apple and Google chang…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:10 a16z Podcast | Bots and Beyond
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Held up
Evans: Apple and Facebook will build full-stack VR while Google commoditizes hardware
“You'll have Apple and Facebook trying to do the full stack, and you'll have Google saying, well, we're going to provide the hard bit, and everything else will be a commodity around it.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:30 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Mobile innovation has permanently shattered the monolithic web browser paradigm
“We had 20 years of the web browser mouse keyboard, and that was like the monolith for how the internet worked. And now we've broken that apart, and we've got all these different shards all kind of floating around and landing in different places and being juggl…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:25 a16z Podcast | Innovation vs. Invention at Google I/O
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pritzker: Indonesian minister asked her to recruit Apple despite hostile data laws
“When I was first in this job, I'm in Indonesia, and a minister comes to me and says, we really want apple here in Indonesia, and would you please call Tim Cook? We'd like apple. I said, you know, look, I'm happy to call Tim Cook, but you are, Putting in place …”
Penny Pritzker Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 11:41 a16z Podcast | Trade, Commerce, Manufacturing, Immigration, & Cuba -- with Penny Pritzker
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Held up
Chen: Full applications will eventually run directly inside Apple's iMessage
“It's only a matter of time before you get a full on application in there.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:47 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans: App Store subscriptions unlock sustainable economics for productivity software
“The introduction of new subscription pricing options last week, potentially changes the economics for a developer, because now if you're going to make a really interesting productivity app, instead of having to charge 50 dollars for it, or give it away for fre…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:14 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Russell: Apple's iOS app platformization mirrors Facebook and Google developer strategies
“Frankly, it sounded a lot like what Facebook and Google have been showing off taking apps that people use every day and introducing ways for developers to kind of become part of that experience.”
Kyle Russell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:35 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Chen: Apple developer APIs allow on-device neural network inferences
“So what is clear that you can do with the Apple neural network stuff is you can get trained networks, and then you can run the classifiers, make inferences is what they call it if you read the developer documentation, On device.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:42 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Chen: Apple and Google have fundamentally opposing data monetization models
“Apple and Google couldn't be more different on this, and Apple wants to emphasize the difference, which is, Apple says, we make money when you buy iPhones, so we don't have to monetize you in any other ways. We don't have to look in your email. We don't have t…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:38 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple relies on third-party developers to match Google's AI capabilities
“And I think the kind of the platformization that we saw earlier is interesting as an attempt to solve some of the problems that Google is solving with its kind of pervasive, all-knowing AI, but getting third-party developers to solve those problems instead.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:34 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Google's AI acts as an oracle, while Apple's is an assistant
“Sort of the all-knowing, wants to be the all-knowing oracle, and you can ask it something, and it will just know the answer, or it'll even suggest it before you do it. Whereas Apple, it's more like, kind of the, I don't know, it's like the servant that follows…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:00 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple views cloud as storage, Google views phones as dumb glass
“Apple thinks about the cloud as dumb storage and Google thinks about the phone as done of dumb glass.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:00 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Insight
Chen: App discovery shifts from home screens to voice assistants like Siri
“If you think about how do you find applications and content, we've gone from, well, the start button on your desktop OS controls that, right? You hit the start button and applications show up. Then we went to mobile, which was your home screen controls that, r…”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:37 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Widgetification of Everything
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Assertion Supported
Alex Rampell: Apple threatens Amazon with App Store removal over in-app purchases
“And Apple is saying, hey, you want to go buy this streaming video from Amazon? Uh-uh. Can't do it on an Apple phone. The Amazon app will not let you buy certain types of things because otherwise Apple would remove it from the app store.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:50 a16z Podcast | Fintech Revolution or Evolution?
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Alex Rampell: Apple's strict data privacy policy hindered its advertising efforts
“Apple is notoriously anti-data. That's the funny thing about Apple versus Google is that Apple says we don't collect any data. We don't use any data. We'll never store any data. This was part of the reason why their advertising efforts have not been successful…”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 17:03 a16z Podcast | Fintech Revolution or Evolution?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Alex Rampell: Microsoft never restricted Windows software like Apple restricts iOS
“Microsoft, in my opinion, never really They never did the same amount of control. Like, they never said, hey, this software product cannot be downloaded onto your Windows PC.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:26 a16z Podcast | Fintech Revolution or Evolution?
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Andreessen: Lacking a Smartphone Allowed Amazon to Lead in Voice AI
“And so it's sort of this ironic twist of fate that Amazon has all of a sudden taken the lead from Google and Apple Even though Amazon, you know, famously flopped with their phone, right? Which is sort of the obvious place where you would have a voice interface…”
Marc Andreessen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:32 a16z Podcast | Software Programs the World
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Insight
Sinofsky argues custom silicon requires a scale of one billion devices.
“Custom chips have always been a competitive disadvantage. For a company in particular, they were a very deep competitive disadvantage for Apple when the run rate for Motorola chips went down and they couldn't sustain it. And then they made the same mistake wit…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:21 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky predicts Apple's dual-camera hardware will trigger third-party app development.
“I suspect that this is also going to drive a wave of the apps that replace the camera app for certain high-end users to, like, go put more features in for this.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:54 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Sinofsky asserts Apple's key advantage is editorializing internal prototype ideas.
“The neat thing about being a giant company is that within the company, there is a million ideas floating around and a million prototypes, and the process by which they go through this funnel and come out, that's what makes a company unique and their proprietar…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:48 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky predicts Apple will introduce wireless charging as a seamless full-stack experience.
“Apple is going to find a way to, again, integrate a full stack of things and not just make it technically possible, but make it somehow a uniquely positive experience, much the way that The pairing and the charging of the AirPods was.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:37 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Evans argues Apple's full-stack integration creates superior user experiences over Android.
“It's something where it's easier for Apple to create a really great customer experience, because Apple knows what lens and what GPU and what image processing chip is in the phone. Whereas when you are at Android or at Samsung, you've got that kind of disconnec…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:40 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Evans predicts Apple VR and cars are two to four years away.
“The two big things that are next for Apple are on the one hand VR, or potentially AR, and then on the other hand cars. But just from looking at the state of the technology, but those are both basically two, three, four years away.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 24:48 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Sinofsky argues iPhone 7 innovation equals the rest of the smartphone industry.
“Because the amount of innovation that's in this iPhone, you know, I would argue is on par with the entire rest of the software and hardware combination that's out there of makers and operating systems.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:45 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Evans notes the Apple Watch is the second-largest watch business by revenue.
“Apple put up a slide saying that it's the second biggest watch business by revenue between Fossil and Rolex, which is like three or four billion dollars.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:57 a16z Podcast | Apple and the Case of Invisible But Audible Innovation
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Dixon: Apple is actively working on a VR product
“Apple. And we know Apple's working on something around this. I mean, we know just from the companies they bought and the people they've hired, but of course it's all mysterious as to what they're actually doing.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:21 a16z Podcast | Truce for Mobile, Battle for VR
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Dixon: Apple has not released a successful product since the iPhone
“And thus far, they haven't released really much of anything that's worked since the iPhone. So I guess we'll see how they do in VR.”
Chris Dixon Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:41 a16z Podcast | Truce for Mobile, Battle for VR
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: Apple's 2016 MacBook Pro update is largely an incremental speed bump
“Apple announced a upgrade to their laptops that people have been waiting for, and it's an upgrade. It's another speed bump with a new design with this interesting touch bar thing on it.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:28 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple's 900M active iOS devices rival 1.5B global PCs
“There's only one and a half billion PCs on Earth, and Apple has nine hundred million iOS devices out there.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:09 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple created the standard template for sleek product walkthrough ads
“Apple sort of created the metaphor for doing the sleek ID walkthroughs”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:13 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: Apple's quarterly device sales match the entire global PC market
“And on a quarterly basis, Apple sells about the same number of, Apple sells the same number of devices as their RPCs sold.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:13 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Evans: MacBook Touch Bar is powered by an Apple Watch chip
“The technology underneath it is an OLED screen, and the chip That's driving it, apparently, is actually Apple Watch, basically.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:50 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple has 650 million iPhone users
“Apple's got six hundred and fifty million iPhone users.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:10 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Opinion
Evans: The MacBook is at the top of its S-curve
“The MacBook isn't changing what it is. The MacBook has been, is at the top of the S curve. This is better propellers on your Lockheed Constellation.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:43 a16z Podcast | So Where Are We on the 'S-curve' for PC Devices?
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Contradicted
James Rogers: Middle Age monks preserved apples through winter using beeswax
“Monks discovered in the Middle Ages that you were able to dip apples in beeswax, and they would last throughout the winter.”
James Rogers Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:07 a16z Podcast | Produce or Perish! (What We Eat)
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Rampell: EU regulatory hostility toward US tech giants is driven by jealousy
“I think the EU is very jealous that Google's not a European company. I think they're jealous that Apple's not a European, like, Google is bad in Europe. In my personal opinion, I don't think they're nearly the monopolist that Microsoft was like in the late nin…”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:20 a16z Podcast | The Movement of Money
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Rosenthal: Apple's pre-Jobs return products were all crap
“The company was on the verge of bankruptcy. They had a ton of products. They were all crap.”
Jason Rosenthal Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:04 a16z Podcast | Startups, Pivots, Culture, and Timing (Oh Shit!)
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Russell: A socially acceptable Apple AR headset is still years away
“You have to make a headset that you're not embarrassed to wear in public, so maybe Apple can do it but probably gonna be a couple years.”
Kyle Russell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 22:14 a16z Podcast | QR. AR. VR.
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Disclosure
Morell: Backed Apple over FBI in encryption debate to avoid vulnerabilities
“On the encryption debate, I was actually not where you would expect me to be. I was not on the side of the FBI. I was on Apple's side, because by forcing Apple to create a key for its keyless encryption, you were creating another huge security vulnerability.”
Michael Morell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:15 a16z Podcast | For Your Ears Only
Jan 2, 2019
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wittes: Apple will lose encryption standoff in court, forcing Congressional compromise
“If they lose, I think they'll lose in litigation, not in legislation. The scenario in which Apple loses, or some other provider loses, is that they lose in litigation and then they have to go to Congress In order to change the legislative landscape to undo wha…”
Benjamin Wittes Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:26 a16z Podcast | The Law (and Tech) of Warfare
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Harris: Negotiating mobile privacy standards with tech platforms avoided regulation
“Over the course of six months, we worked out, I think, an all too rare example of government and industry coming together to solve a problem. Short of regulation or litigation or legislation. And what we did is we came up with an understanding that would, that…”
Kamala Harris Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:02 a16z Podcast | Taking the Measure of Tech in Policy -- with Kamala Harris
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Apple will spend unlimited money defending platform complements like Xcode
“So if you think, hey, I'm going to create a better development tool, I'm going to create a better Xcode, like, think again, because Apple is going to spend as much money as it needs to defend the complement universe.”
Frank Chen Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:58 a16z Podcast | Companies, Networks, Crowds
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
McAfee: Apple's app ecosystem is an N-sided network
“This really starts to turn into three-dimensional chess because the right way to think about the app ecosystem in Apple is not any kind of one or two-sided network. It's an N-sided network.”
Andrew McAfee (Andy) Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:53 a16z Podcast | Companies, Networks, Crowds
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple's App Store exists to drive high-margin iPhone sales
“The classic thing that drives me crazy, people talking about Apple, thinking that the app store is like a primary revenue driver for Apple, when the whole purpose of the app store is to drive sales of a 700 dollar iPhone every two years at a 50% gross margin.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:56 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Big four tech platforms expanded headcount 10x in a decade
“Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon, as being together about 10 times the size in terms of the number of people that they were 1012 years ago.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:45 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Sinofsky: Apple reuses 80% of its tech platform for new product categories
“And what Apple is able to do is the bet that they've made is that we have a platform that's made up of a set of APIs, a Unix operating system kernel, these ARM chips that have all of these sensors and capabilities. And it turns out the thing that they do uniqu…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:34 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Apple operates on a five-year product development cycle
“Apple is a company around creating a very specific kind of hardware company that has like a five year product cycle between like three years of planning and then two years of it being in the market.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:48 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: One tech giant's core strategy is another's supporting tactic
“Generally the stuff that you know, any of the stuff that's a strategy for one company is tactics for other companies. So, you know, Apple's strategy is to have an operating system, and for Apple, Google, that's just a tactic. Google's strategy is to do search.…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:02 a16z Podcast | The Strategies and Tactics of Big
Jan 2, 2019
What-if
Evans: Face ID from Google or Facebook would have triggered privacy backlash
“If Google or Facebook had announced that, we'd be having a different, completely different conversation.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:07 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Evans: Tech dominance cycle will eventually turn for Big Tech
“It's not apparent how that cycle would turn for Google or Apple or Facebook or Amazon, but it will turn.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 29:02 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Founders control all top tech giants except Apple
“And they all, except for Apple, the founders control the company.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:59 a16z Podcast | Platforming the Future
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Tech companies pursue voice platforms due to smartphone platform envy
“The second thing is that anyone who isn't Apple or Google has major platform envy, and they want to find a way of going around that, not being, worrying about Apple or Google cutting them off at the platform level on the smartphone.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:08 a16z Podcast | Beyond CES: Connected Home Devices, Voice, and More
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Sinofsky: Apple drives innovation by boldly cutting legacy ports from laptops
“You can actually be different, and this is something, of course, that Apple tends to do better than anyone, which is be minimal about things. Like, you know, if you're making a Windows laptop, it's, like, cool to continue to have all the legacy plugs and all o…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 26:20 a16z Podcast | Beyond CES: Connected Home Devices, Voice, and More
Jan 2, 2019 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Shankar: No major tech player will release consumer AR headsets before 2019
“Not to mention the consumer versions of these devices, whether Apple, Magic Leap, Hollins, none of the major AR players are releasing anything really until 2019 in terms of a consumer usable headset.”
Darshan Shankar Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:04 a16z Podcast | When Is VR's iPhone Moment?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Mariotti: Only 10% of Apple product components are built in-house
“Even at Apple, 10% of all the pieces are built by Apple. Actually, 90%, it comes from outside.”
Augusto Marietti Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 23:56 a16z Podcast | The API Economy -- The Why, What, and How
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Rachleff: Apple, Google, and Salesforce failed to succeed on original ideas
“None of their original ideas were the ideas on which they succeeded. So Apple, Google, you name the company, Salesforce, Hewlett Packard, none of them succeeded at their original idea, if you can believe that.”
Andy Rachleff Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:59 a16z Podcast | From Teaching Leadership to Being a Leader
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Partly supported
Rampell: Apple built Apple Maps in six months and fired the lead
“I mean, if you think about what happened at Apple, Apple built Apple Maps in six months. The person behind it got fired because it didn't work very well, but that was an almost impossible job.”
Alex Rampell Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:15 a16z Podcast | Principles and Algorithms for Work and Life
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Arthur: Traditional CEOs like John Sculley struggle with tech market dynamics
“The basic game in tech is not the same as the basic game in standard production, and every once in a while you see somebody taken from the standard production side of the economy, some CEO brought into a tech firm, and they don't quite get it. The classic case…”
W. Brian Arthur Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:21 a16z Podcast | Network Effects, Origin Stories, and the Evolution of Tech
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Opinion
Casado: Apple resists third-party security to protect its public image
“And I think, like, for me, like, the crowning example of this has been Apple. Any number of security vendors will tell you, like, when we try and, you know, provide a solution on top of Apple, they don't want to admit that they're insecure.”
Martin Casado Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:13 a16z Podcast | The Hard Things about Security
Jan 2, 2019 negative
Insight
Nazarov: The tech industry overrates top-down innovation due to survivorship bias
“On the top-down approach, I think we give too much weight to the beauty of top-down. You know, we only see it when it works, that there's the genius iPod product, there's the genius iPhone product, but, you know, how many, what, how many hundreds of products d…”
Dennis Nazarov Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:10 a16z Podcast | Cryptonetworks and Cities -- Analogies
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Smartphone camera quality depends on full computational silicon stack
“It's no longer actually the camera module. It's everything. It's the GPU and the CPU and the machine learning software and everything else that's being done in.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:53 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Insight
Sinofsky: Apple maximizes revenue by shielding consumers from SKU complexity
“They do, this is part of their execution is to have this complexity, maximize their revenue from it, but not surface it to the average consumer who turns out to not really care.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:50 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple's 2018 iPhone lineup expands to roughly 50 global SKUs
“They've got six colors and multiple memory sizes, so you kind of count up all the SKUs they're going to have, plus the SKUs for different regions, plus the multiple SIM thing for China. They're going to have like 50 SKUs as opposed to one SKU.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:09 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: Apple strategy relies on building blocks, not minimum viable products
“I think Apple doesn't do minimum viable products. What they do is they create building blocks.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:42 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Android vendors will release higher-priced lower-end phones to counter Apple
“So if you actually do see them side by side, you'll, you'll see the value, which then, back to the Android thing, it's going to force them, like, I suspect we'll start to see higher priced lower end phones, like, being dug out of the parts bins from the Androi…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 8:41 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Sinofsky: Apple is currently the leading semiconductor chip maker
“Apple is, like, the leading chip maker right now.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:19 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 positive
Opinion
Evans: Consumers trust Apple with health data over Google or Facebook
“That kind of piece of strategic positioning has worked out very well for them because you would trust it with this kind of information where you might not trust a product from Google or from Facebook.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:30 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple controls 66% to 75% of high-end smartphone market
“And so you've got this sort of mix where Apple has got As it might be two thirds to three quarters of the high end space.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:32 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 bullish
Opinion
Sinofsky: Apple handles late-stage S-curve development better than any company ever
“And what Apple is doing is, like, they are at absolute peak execution of what they're doing. At the scale they're doing it, at the quality that they're doing it, and at the changes, each iteration that, that they're doing. And what's fascinating, like, I don't…”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:32 a16z Podcast | What's at the Core of the Latest Apple Announcement?
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Insight
Evans: PC makers commoditized while Microsoft and Intel captured industry profits
“Apple did not win PCs. So you can all talk about whether Apple disrupted IBM, but Apple didn't actually get the benefit from that. Not in, and in fact, PC companies didn't really get the benefit from that. PC companies became low margin commodity companies, an…”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:45 a16z Podcast | Tesla and the Nature of Disruption
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Evans: Dell and legacy automakers are logistics and assembly businesses, unlike Apple
“They're a logistics business as much as they are a technology business. There's lots of cool technology inside Dell as well, but basically they're an assembly business, and which is also what Detroit was, and what Apple isn't.”
Benedict Evans Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:13 a16z Podcast | Tesla and the Nature of Disruption
Jan 2, 2019
Insight
Sinofsky: PC makers failed in mobile due to siloed structures
“The reason that there are none of the PC makers, other than Apple in a sense, are successful phone makers, is because they were exactly like Detroit. They had a graphics group, they had a peripheral group, they had an IO group, they had a storage group.”
Steven Sinofsky Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:48 a16z Podcast | Tesla and the Nature of Disruption
Jan 2, 2019
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Steve Jobs was fired from Apple for making products too expensive
“Steve Jobs got fired because he made the product too expensive.”
Ben Horowitz Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 18:41 a16z Podcast | New Upstarts in an Old Industry
Jan 2, 2019 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Wenmachers: Apple has historically operated without hiring external PR agencies
“I mean, like, yeah, I don't think Apple has really used PR agencies. There are models where you don't have an agency at all.”
Margit Wennmachers Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 4:57 a16z Podcast | How to Manage a PR Agency
Jan 17, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Sethi: Apple Health Records is built on acquired Glimpse technology
“Tanya used Glimpse, which is a former company. Apple acquired it in a transaction, and some of the health records that we see them releasing it to the world, Is some of that technology.”
Anil Sethi Jan 17, 2019 ▶ 13:36 a16z Podcast | Dark Data in Healthcare
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Every Steve Jobs Demo Had One of Three Strict Outcomes
“That was the outcome of every demo with Steve. Approved, not approved, give, bring me something different next time, or not approved, give me these specific changes. It was one of those three things.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 1:17:37 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steve Jobs' Software Demo Room Was Shabby With Standard Office Furniture
“No, it was this shabby little room with this mangy old couch, and just standard issue office furniture,”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 55:41 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Supported
Apple Shipped Original iPhone App Icons at 57 Pixels Square
“The we determined that if you made a rectangle that was 57 pixels square, that pretty much everybody could tap it a hundred percent of the time. No matter where it was, again, since you were going quickly, you could tap it comfortably. And that, Number, he jus…”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 1:23:18 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019 positive
Insight
Steve Jobs Evaluated Products by Pretending to Be Customer Number One
“He was, in my view, I don't know what's going on inside his head, but just having seen him do that, having at least, you know, enough experience with him and his approach to evaluating work is that he was putting himself in the position of a customer. He had, …”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 1:07:57 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple's Small Product Lineup Enabled Steve Jobs' Hands-On Software Management
“Since there were so few products, Steve could keep tabs on what the software, ah, teams were doing. That there was this big initiative, ah, to make a web browser so he could keep his, ah, his, He could keep tabs on it. He could find the time on his schedule to…”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 19:07 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Supported
Apple Chose Konqueror Over Mozilla for Safari Because of Codebase Size
“And looking at that, it really just came down to Conqueror was one-tenth the size of Mozilla.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 9:56 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
The Original iPhone Software Team Never Exceeded 20 Engineers
“Now, eventually we wound up adding over time more people. We probably never had more than 20 software engineers and maybe 10 designers. Those two managers, and the executive, and Steve, and that was it, so.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 30:04 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple Omitted Copy and Paste From First iPhone Due to Time Constraints
“And so we knew that we wanted cut, copy, paste, but we knew that there was simply not going to be time for it. So we didn't spend any real development effort on it.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 50:36 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Insight
Steve Jobs Rejected Sales Pitches in Demos, Wanting Only Product Substance
“And so it's very, very interesting then how the demos go from that point in that he didn't want a lot of words. He didn't want a lot of, you know, used car salesman pitches, right? All he really wanted to know was what was next.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 1:02:28 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Insight
Apple Insists on Controlling All Core User Experience Technology
“And so the, you know, the vision for Apple back then, and even still today, Is that Apple wants to be in control of what it considers to be critical technology. It's critical to its user experience.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 7:33 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steve Jobs Sided With Ken Kocienda Over Scott Forstall on iOS Gestures
“And so and it also just goes to show that there could be disputes, even up at the highest level. Scott knew that I was very excited about this feature and wanted to show Steve, so he let me. And Steve was the one who had the final vote, and he sided with me, a…”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 1:15:44 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Supported
Apple Halted All iPhone App Work in 2005 for Software Keyboard
“Henri, who was the software engineering manager, called all of the engineers out in, out of our offices, into the hallway. We had a group meeting. Again, about two dozen people, probably even less than that, and said, okay, you all stop. Stop what you're doing…”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 33:12 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Supported
Steve Jobs Mandated Software Keyboard to Free Screen Space for Apps
“His idea was that We want, we need a keyboard some of the time, but we certainly don't need it all of the time, and so the idea of the keyboard being in software is that it could get out of the way, it could go off the screen, and which would then turn, make t…”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 35:46 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Safari Was Three Times Faster Than Internet Explorer at Launch
“And eventually Safari, as when it was released, it was three times faster than MSIE at loading web pages.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 14:11 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple Maintained a Remarkably Small Product Lineup Through 2019
“Certainly during the Steve Jobs era, and I still think to today here in 2019 Apple didn't ship a whole lot of products.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 17:59 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Disclosure
Ken Kocienda Did Not Seek Apple's Approval to Write Creative Selection
“Well, no, I didn't. I don't know if I was supposed to, but I didn't.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 1:34:20 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 24, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steve Jobs Personally Approved Every Engineer Added to the iPhone Team
“Steve was still personally approving every person that was submitted to get disclosed on the project.”
Ken Kocienda Feb 24, 2019 ▶ 43:40 Inside the Apple Factory: Software Design in the Age of Steve Jobs
Feb 26, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steve Jobs threatened to cancel Apple's contract unless Kotick dropped out
“I will rip, and I can't say the word, I will rip this effing contract up right now if you don't quit college. So I quit the next day.”
Bobby Kotick Feb 26, 2019 ▶ 5:35 a16z Podcast | Gaming Goes Mainstream
Apr 1, 2019 positive
Insight
Sinofsky: Apple's services transition mirrors enterprise software's shift to cloud
“Because I think that this move to services, people are just having trouble getting their heads wrapped around it, and it's a very natural progression for any company when it starts to reach a mature level, which is, okay, are we now effectively, you know, sell…”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 6:12 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 positive
Prediction Held up
Evans: Consumers will soon pay Apple $100 a month for subscriptions
“You could probably, pretty soon you'll be able to pay Apple a hundred dollars a month in subscriptions.”
Benedict Evans Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 2:37 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 bullish
Insight
Evans: Apple services lock in iPhone users like Amazon Prime locks shoppers
“All of these services are they all bind you into the phone. And so there is a, you know, just as everything Amazon adds to Prime keeps you from cancelling your Prime account, and that drives every, drives all of your purchases through Amazon. All of these thin…”
Benedict Evans Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 16:17 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 positive
Insight
Sinofsky: Free OS updates create better ecosystem monetization than paid upgrades
“And again, this was something Apple pioneered very early when they made upgrades to the Mac operating system free. They realize that that turns out to be a better business if you just make owning, being part of the ecosystem great.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 27:56 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019
Insight
Sinofsky: Premature bundling hides whether individual products have true product-market fit
“You don't prematurely bundle things, because then you really don't know if you're successful or not.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 22:13 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: Apple has roughly 360 million worldwide subscribers
“And so one thing that's super interesting, just out of the gate, is Apple has three hundred and sixty million or so subscribers worldwide. That's a sort of a vanity number because it includes subscriptions to apps in the App Store, but because Apple gets a cut…”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 1:30 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 bullish
Insight
Sinofsky: Apple services do not need 900M subscribers each to be successful businesses
“They don't have to get nine hundred million people for every service. And they can aspire to that, and they can measure that But there's some point where it becomes a very good business and a very great value proposition, even for people who don't have them, t…”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 19:37 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Evans: Apple has 800M iPhones and 500M weekly App Store visitors
“Except there's now eight hundred million iPhones and over a billion iOS devices, and I think Apple said five hundred million people open the App Store every week, and so 30% of those purchases has become a real number.”
Benedict Evans Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 5:30 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: No non-telco company matches Apple's global subscriber scale
“Yeah, mobile operators, global mobile operators have got hundreds of millions. Nobody else is this big on a global scale.”
Benedict Evans Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 2:00 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple will eventually bundle its services into an Apple Prime
“There might be Apple Prime or something down the road that bundles all of these into some thing, but for the time being, they don't need to.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 22:05 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple explicitly targets premium phone buyers, not the 5B global smartphone market
“Apple, first Apple off the top is not aiming for all five billion humans. That will have a smartphone. They, they've already said we're gonna only go, we're not making super cheap phones, it's not the app that way.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 19:08 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Apr 1, 2019 positive
Insight
Sinofsky: Apple Card's true innovation is eliminating backend financial complexity for consumers
“Underneath every, what, there are probably, you know, a very, very small number of people at a very, very smaller number of companies that understand all the complexity that could go into delivering Apple Card. That complexity, Apple is, is erasing.”
Steven Sinofsky Apr 1, 2019 ▶ 17:44 a16z Podcast | How Many Taps in the Apple (Plus) Tree?
Nov 9, 2022 neutral
Disclosure
Wozniak: I funded a sea-launch rocket startup with Apple's Mike Scott
“When Apple went public around 1980 our president, Mike Scott, maybe 81 or two started a little company with some people. I even, I funded into that. He's a friend. And actually we did a launch of a rocket from out at sea from somewhere.”
Steve Wozniak Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 15:55 Privateer’s Steve Wozniak, Alex Fielding, and Dr. Moriba Jah on the Data Highway Above
Dec 27, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Wozniak: The iPhone was conceptually designed as an iPod with phone features
“And then the iPhone was even better. And it was based on the iPod, not the reverse, not a phone. And we'll include an iPod more like it's an iPod, but you get a phone with it.”
Steve Wozniak Dec 27, 2022 ▶ 28:14 a16z Podcast: Best Clips of 2022
Dec 27, 2022
Assertion Supported
Wozniak: Memory to store a single song cost nearly $1M initially
“The amount of memory that would hold a song Haas. You know, we were back in the days of tape. It cost about a million dollars, a good fraction of a million dollars.”
Steve Wozniak Dec 27, 2022 ▶ 27:03 a16z Podcast: Best Clips of 2022
Feb 9, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Moore: Apple's iOS widget update catalyzed viral app growth in 2022
“Lock It Widget was probably the first one to explode in, in January, and then was followed by Live In, Widgetable, a bunch of other apps that really capitalized on this kind of, not a full platform shift, but kind of a, maybe an operating shift, a system shift…”
Olivia Moore Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 18:06 The State of Apps with Olivia Moore
Mar 20, 2023 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Krishnan: Apple Podcasts lacks algorithmic discovery mechanisms, making growth word-of-mouth
“If you look at the native podcast platform, say just Apple, there is no discovery mechanism. There is no algorithm, right? So it's really word of mouth.”
Sriram Krishnan Mar 20, 2023 ▶ 29:37 The Art and Science of Podcasting with Sriram and Aarthi
Apr 6, 2023 negative
Opinion
Carl Pei: Tech fans feel Apple has lost its magic
“There's a lot of people like us who are tech fans out there and who remember being Apple fanboys and fangirls and now just feeling like the magic is lost and just wanting to recreate the magic.”
Carl Pei Apr 6, 2023 ▶ 34:53 Building Hardware and Taking on the Phone Giants with Carl Pei
Apr 6, 2023 negative
Opinion
Pei criticizes Apple as a top-down, command-and-control 'iCompany'
“And it's a big contrast if you're a collective versus the behemoth Apple, which is more like the iCompany. It's like command and control, top down, ivory tower style, iPad, iPhone, iMac, iEverything.”
Carl Pei Apr 6, 2023 ▶ 31:22 Building Hardware and Taking on the Phone Giants with Carl Pei
May 25, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Ismail: Tech winners like Apple and Google succeeded by becoming platforms
“Yahoo, BlackBerry, Nokia all failed to become platforms, right? Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon all successfully became platforms, and that business model basically carries you through because now you wire yourself into the infrastructure.”
Salim Ismail May 25, 2023 ▶ 12:56 The Rise of the Exponential Organization with Peter Diamandis and Salim Ismail
May 25, 2023 positive
Opinion
Ismail: Apple's real competitive edge is its organizational design, not products
“I will argue that Apple's real real edge is organizational, because what they will do is they will form a small team that's really disruptive. They will put that team at the edge of the company. They'll keep them secret and stealth, and they'll say to them, go…”
Salim Ismail May 25, 2023 ▶ 46:50 The Rise of the Exponential Organization with Peter Diamandis and Salim Ismail
Feb 28, 2024 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Dixon: Major developers like Spotify refused to build for Apple Vision Pro
“No one, none of the major apps would build in the, in For Vision Pro because they're, you know, the Spotify's of the world because they'd been so screwed over.”
Chris Dixon Feb 28, 2024 ▶ 27:04 Future of Crypto, Blockchain & Web3 w/ Chris Dixon
Mar 5, 2024
Assertion Supported
Hicks: DoD R&D budget exceeds Alphabet, Apple, Meta, Microsoft combined
“It's more than what Alphabet, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft combined spent on R&D last year.”
Kathleen Hicks Mar 5, 2024 ▶ 4:16 Collaborative Disruption at DoD
Mar 13, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Apple's market cap is larger than the entire German stock market
“I think Apple's market cap is bigger than the entire market cap of the German stock market.”
Marc Andreessen Mar 13, 2024 ▶ 25:08 America Needs More Techno-Optimism, with Marc Andreessen and Tyler Cowen
Apr 2, 2024 negative
Opinion
Horowitz: Apple aggressively abuses smartphone monopoly with 30% App Store fee
“I think that's happened on the smartphone now. You know, particularly with Apple, I think the kind of the Epic case and the Spotify cases are really great examples of that where, you know, I am fielding, you know, a product that's competitive with Spotify and …”
Ben Horowitz Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 24:49 Politics & the Future of Tech
Apr 2, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Horowitz: Meta open-sources AI to prevent monopolies, mirroring Google's Android strategy
“The way Meta is thinking about this and the way that they're actually behaving and executing is very similar to how Google thought about Android where, you know, their main concern was that Apple not have a monopoly on the smartphone. You know, not so much tha…”
Ben Horowitz Apr 2, 2024 ▶ 52:18 Politics & the Future of Tech
May 16, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Horowitz: GM is vulnerable to Tesla because it only assembles cars
“GM is totally vulnerable to Tesla and BYD. This is why, you know, HP ended up being totally vulnerable to Apple because Apple was still building computers and HP was assembling computers and GM is assembling cars and Elon completely kind of re-engineered how y…”
Ben Horowitz May 16, 2024 ▶ 16:32 AI, Robotics & the Future of Manufacturing
Jul 23, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Casey predicts increasing performance dispersion among Magnificent Seven tech stocks
“Now I feel like we're in much more of a stock pickers kind of market where The Magnificent Seven aren't all magnificent this year. One's down a ton, Tesla. One's down a little, Apple. You know, I think there's going to be more separation in the market in gener…”
Mark Casey Jul 23, 2024 ▶ 3:24 Mark Casey (Capital Group): Public Market and Macro Perspectives
Sep 24, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wang: Big Tech will easily recoup AI capex through core product improvements
“If, yeah, Facebook, Google, they make their advertising systems a little bit better. They can recoup billions of dollars just by the... Better performance there. Apple can easily recoup the investments if it drives an upgrade cycle. I mean, these are things th…”
Alexandr Wang Sep 24, 2024 ▶ 12:56 Why Human Data is Key to AI: Alexandr Wang from Scale AI
Oct 1, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Schmidt: Nous is building fault-tolerant training code for heterogeneous devices
“We're making sure that also like the code we're writing to help to actually do this training is agnostic to the hardware and is able to communicate and operate. You can have an Apple device and an NVIDIA device training together. And this is actually the, for …”
Jeff Schmidt Oct 1, 2024 ▶ 46:33 The Quest for Community-Trained Open Source AI Models
Oct 30, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Balasubramaniyan: AI deepfake detection is 100x cheaper than generation
“It's way cheaper to detect deepfix, right? Because if you think about it, the closest example is Apple released its model, you know, that could run on device. And even that model, which is a small model in order to do lots of things like voice to text and thin…”
Vijay Balasubramaniyan Oct 30, 2024 ▶ 19:44 Can We Detect a Deepfake?
Dec 9, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Immerman: Apple could gain 1 billion search users overnight
“They are not investing the capex like Meta and Google and Microsoft and Amazon, but they control a central node to the consumer, and if they wanted to build a search application, the next day they could have a billion users.”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 11:58 The 2025 AI Search Race
Dec 9, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Immerman: Google antitrust ruling proves default search deals were anti-competitive
“So earlier this year, Google was declared a monopoly. The court ruled that they're spending billions of dollars to phone manufacturers. In the case of Apple, tens of billions of dollars is monopolistic. It's anti-competitive and it's preventing their competito…”
Alex Immerman Dec 9, 2024 ▶ 1:29 The 2025 AI Search Race
Feb 6, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: AI will evolve toward local, cost-free on-device execution
“And then you look at Apple and their strategy, which the execution hasn't been great, but the idea that all of these things will just surface as features popping up all over my phone and they're not going to cost anything. My data is not going to go anywhere. …”
Steven Sinofsky Feb 6, 2025 ▶ 24:18 What DeepSeek Means For The Future Of AI | Tech Veterans Weigh In
Mar 21, 2025
Disclosure
Rocha: Resend's prompt forced Apple-style email designs, limiting prompt creativity
“And that's because on the system prompt, we told, you know, the LLM to build Apple-like emails with curved borders and black and white vibes versus, you know, go crazy.”
Zeno Rocha Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 15:56 Automating Developer Email with MCP and AI Agents
Apr 14, 2025 negative
Insight
Yudis: The DoD cannot outpace the commercial sector in software innovation
“And imagine if the DOD was responsible for building the phone. Versus Apple, or versus Android, and, you know, it's very hard to imagine they can outpace the commercial side.”
Qasar Younis Apr 14, 2025 ▶ 18:00 Autonomy is no longer a moonshot—it’s a market
Apr 29, 2025 positive
Opinion
Horowitz: a16z top partners outperform executive teams at Meta, Google, and Apple
“If you look at the top people, you know, if you look at Martine Cassato and Chris Dixon and Alex Rampell and David Ulovich and so forth, like that team is better, like IQ wise capability wise than the executive teams of Meta or Google or Apple or any of them.”
Ben Horowitz Apr 29, 2025 ▶ 41:38 How Andreessen Horowitz Disrupted VC & What’s Coming Next
May 30, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pande: Big Tech's healthcare initiatives will remain minor side experiments
“I suspect that for those reasons, it's something that The big tech companies will try, and we've seen Apple and Amazon and Google all dabble, but I think those experiments probably won't fit the way they want to build their company, and so I think they'll stay…”
Vijay Pande May 30, 2025 ▶ 31:33 Hey Tech, Come to Healthcare
Jun 12, 2025 positive
Insight
Horowitz: Apple's moat was full integration, not novel standalone components
“If you look at Apple kind of, and what Steve Jobs did in particular when he built the product line, there was no piece of software. There was no piece of hardware. There was no nothing that wasn't already done. Like all these ideas were done. It was the integr…”
Ben Horowitz Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 18:45 Adam Neumann: This is How You Build Iconic Companies
Jun 13, 2025 negative
Opinion
Olivia Moore: Notification summary backlash spooked Apple into delaying AI Siri
“It seems like that spooked Apple a little bit, and they keep kind of retrenching on the timeline of releasing AI Siri.”
Olivia Moore Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 11:28 What You Missed in AI This Week (Google, Apple, ChatGPT)
Jun 13, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Olivia Moore: Apple is outsourcing core mobile AI features to ChatGPT
“It does seem like from a lot of Apple's updates that they put out, they're kind of outsourcing a lot of the true AI features to ChatGPT just running on your phone.”
Olivia Moore Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 11:07 What You Missed in AI This Week (Google, Apple, ChatGPT)
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
What-if
Sinofsky: Apple argues the iPhone could not have started outside China
“Apple would just argue there was no way we could even have started the iPhone anywhere else.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 0:06 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Insight
Sinofsky: Automation, not cheap labor, keeps iPhone prices low
“The reason that it's a thousand dollars, or 1500 dollars, or whatever, is because of the innovation in manufacturing. So all that needs to happen is like another step function change in manufacturing.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 43:57 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Insight
Sinofsky: Apple must prioritize tuning AI models for edge execution
“The real thing that Apple needs to do is figure out what model is going to be tuned to run on their unique hardware on the edge and their unique offering or constraint, depending on, of privacy and how that plays out.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 10:36 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Sinofsky: Apple sells more iPads than total US laptop volume
“They sell more iPads, you know, than the laptop run rate in the US.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 3:38 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple will deploy massive robotic automation if forced to reshore
“And so what they're going to do is they're going to focus on, okay, if we have to do this, we're going to also end up with giant factories of robots or better automation or new packaging technologies that don't require as many, all this stuff that they have al…”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 45:01 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: The iPod launched Apple's Cupertino-designed, China-made model
“That was really the start of designed in Cupertino, manufactured in China.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 18:35 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple reached point of no return with China by 2009
“So the point of no return was basically, I would say, two years into the iPhone, the scale was such, there was nowhere else.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 34:15 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Insight
Sinofsky: Apple unintentionally built Chinese ODM hardware capabilities through osmosis
“Apple taught them how to do this. Now, they didn't plan on doing that. But osmosis happens. And they got all these skills”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 31:31 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Markets face years of uncertainty over AI intellectual property disputes
“So we're in for years of kind of market uncertainty over how this plays out, and that's been a core part of Apple's advantage has been their ability to maintain the intellectual property of components and manufacturing and assembly.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 52:52 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple will wait for AI tech to mature as an integrator
“So I think that they're back to like, we're not the first mover company. We're the first integrator company. And they're gonna just sit back and watch the technology Mature a little bit more.”
Steven Sinofsky Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 5:05 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 18, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Torenberg: Apple's $55B annual China investment rivals the Marshall Plan
“I believe they said Apple invests fifty-five billion dollars a year in, in China. And I think the author said that's equivalent or maybe even bigger than the entirety of the Marshall Plan is, is just astronomical.”
Erik Torenberg Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 12:33 Former Microsoft Executive on Apple’s Hidden China Problem
Jun 25, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy Lee: Translucent liquid glass overlays are the future AI interface
“I think everyone's going to inevitably get the translucent overlay. This is how an integrated AI should feel, and, like, Apple shows everyone that, like, liquid glass is the translucent overlay that, that, that, that will be the form factor of AI in the future…”
Roy Lee Jun 25, 2025 ▶ 30:28 Building Cluely: The Viral AI Startup that raised $15M in 10 Weeks w/ Roy Lee
Jul 30, 2025 negative
Insight
Hayes: VR headsets exist to mine every remaining waking second of attention
“And that's why VR is so important from that, because If you have it literally every second, you've just unlocked this enormous new landscape of, like, you've discovered these, like, new deep sea reserves, right? That, that no one had before the now, every, lit…”
Chris Hayes Jul 30, 2025 ▶ 38:36 AI Content and the War for Your Attention
Aug 1, 2025 neutral
Insight
Balaji Srinivasan: Startups need only one primary storyline creator
“There's two kinds of creators. There's those who are at the storyline level, and you probably only need, like, one of those per company, you know, because if you have too many very strong will personalities in a company, like, you can only have one Steve Jobs …”
Balaji Srinivasan Aug 1, 2025 ▶ 47:08 Tech vs. Media: Balaji Srinivasan on the Battle Shaping Our Future
Aug 8, 2025 negative
Opinion
Srinivasan: Tech platforms face market constraints, but Washington DC is a monopoly
“See the thing is these platforms are at least competing with other platforms, and if Apple or Microsoft or Google makes too bad decision, Then the people on those platforms have exit, they have choice, they can move between platforms, so there's ultimately a m…”
Balaji Srinivasan Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 17:57 Steven Sinofsky & Balaji Srinivasan on the Future of M&A, AI & Tech
Sep 17, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rampell: AI platforms will make marketing attribution harder to untangle
“And this is only going to get more complicated in the AI world, where, like, it might be the same thing, where it's like, Justine might have researched on Reddit, saw the Super Bowl, like, did all of these things, Asked a question on ChatGPT and then clicked p…”
Alex Rampell Sep 17, 2025 ▶ 12:02 The Death of Search: How Shopping Will Work In The Age of AI
Sep 22, 2025 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Patel: Huawei surpassed Apple in TSMC orders and market share before bans
“Yeah, well, like, I mean, like, every other, like, Huawei's beat Apple, right? They passed Apple up in TSMC orders, they passed Apple up in phone market share not in the US, but, like, in many parts of the world. Before the bans came down, and then even now th…”
Dylan Patel Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 19:22 Dylan Patel on the AI Chip Race - NVIDIA, Intel & the US Government vs. China
Sep 22, 2025 negative
Opinion
Patel: Apple has lacked visionary innovation under Tim Cook for a decade
“The reason why Apple hasn't done anything interesting in like, you know, nearly a decade is, is, you know, they've got a not visionary at the head. Tim Cook's greatest supply chain. And they're just plowing the money into buybacks.”
Dylan Patel Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 53:50 Dylan Patel on the AI Chip Race - NVIDIA, Intel & the US Government vs. China
Sep 24, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple launched the iPod as a desperate Hail Mary move
“People always talk about like the brave, it's like their computer business was Dead, dead, dead. Like there was, it was like three percent share and going nowhere. So like it was like a Hail Mary. The iPod was a Hail Mary.”
Steven Sinofsky Sep 24, 2025 ▶ 45:32 Software Finally Eats Services - Aaron Levie
Oct 6, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Apple employs thousands of Cupertino-based manufacturing engineers in Asia
“Because even at Apple, the number of people that really are manufacturing people, they just happen to work in Cupertino and fly to Asian locations a lot is very, very high. Thousands and thousands of people as part of the company.”
Steven Sinofsky Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 34:12 The Lawyerly Society vs. The Engineering State: Who Owns the Future?
Oct 6, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sinofsky: Only Apple and Elon Musk's companies do hardware well in US
“We have really only two companies doing a good job on, on hardware, which is the constellation of Elon companies and Apple. And after that, we run out.”
Steven Sinofsky Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 45:44 The Lawyerly Society vs. The Engineering State: Who Owns the Future?
Oct 6, 2025 positive
Opinion
Sinofsky: Apple succeeds by treating design and manufacturing as a continuum
“The reason that Apple products are what they are is because they don't see this line that people saw in the eighties or the nineties with the WTO of manufacturing is, you know, rural people on a bus doing the same operation, 12 hours at a shift, and then smart…”
Steven Sinofsky Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 34:27 The Lawyerly Society vs. The Engineering State: Who Owns the Future?
Oct 8, 2025 positive
Opinion
Altman: iPhone is the most incredible product in tech history
“The iPhone, I think, is the most incredible product the tech industry has ever produced, and it is extraordinarily vertically integrated.”
Sam Altman Oct 8, 2025 ▶ 4:59 Sam Altman on Sora, Energy, and Building an AI Empire
Oct 16, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rabois claims Apple is the only Western company capable of vertical hardware integration
“The vertical integration required to build a device successfully is something that no other company, at least in the West knows how to do.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 26:18 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2035
Keith Rabois predicts iPhones won't be primary computing devices in 10 years
“Where are we going to be using, you know, your iPhone as your personal computing device five years out? Maybe. 10 years out, almost surely not.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 15:10 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rampell argues Siri has not improved since 2015
“Siri is just as bad as it was in 2015.”
Alex Rampell Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 27:42 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Rabois asserts Apple's profits exceed Google's total revenues
“Their profits are greater than like Google's revenues or something.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 26:02 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Oct 16, 2025 negative
Opinion
Rabois: Apple is great at devices but bad at AI, Google is terrible at hardware
“Google's been terrible at devices historically. We'll see if they can get any better, but someone, you know, Apple is great at devices, but bad at AI.”
Keith Rabois Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 15:00 Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
Nov 5, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kuyda: Apple App Store will never become social due to privacy focus
“If today the app store is very much not social and it probably won't ever be social because of Apple's mandate for privacy and how important that is for them”
Eugenia Kuyda Nov 5, 2025 ▶ 14:26 Seeing The Future from AI Companions to Personal Software
Nov 12, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Rampell: Bay Area housing prices declined massively when priced in tech stocks
“There's a piece that we wrote a little while ago showing that the price of housing in the Bay Area has declined massively in the past 25 years. If you're like, no, no, it hasn't. It's gone off. If you price it in Apple stock and Google stock, right?”
Alex Rampell Nov 12, 2025 ▶ 2:56 Rocket Companies CEO: Here’s How to Fix the Housing Crisis
Nov 21, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Rampell: Massachusetts banned residents from buying Apple's IPO
“Massachusetts banned their residents from buying into the IPO of Apple Computer.”
Alex Rampell Nov 21, 2025 ▶ 39:59 Robinhood CEO: Making Everyone An Owner
Dec 12, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Google and OpenAI cannot reliably execute Apple's Siri vision
“I mean, Google, I don't think Google or OpenAI could deliver the Siri demo that Apple gave two years ago. I mean, they could really do the demo, but they couldn't like consistently reliably make it work.”
Benedict Evans Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 47:26 AI Eats the World: Benedict Evans on the Next Platform Shift
Jan 7, 2026 bearish
Assertion Partly supported
Andreessen: The EU AI Act has largely killed AI development in Europe
“The EU passed this bill called the AI Act, I don't know, whatever, two years ago, and it basically has killed AI development, and, well, it's actually killed AI development in Europe to a large extent and then it even, it is so draconian that even, Even big Am…”
Marc Andreessen Jan 7, 2026 ▶ 37:11 Marc Andreessen's 2026 Outlook: AI Timelines, US vs. China, and The Price of AI
Feb 9, 2026
Assertion Supported
David George: Pre-iPhone consensus models underestimated Apple by 3x
“Consensus models were off for Apple's performance by a factor of three X over four years.”
David George Feb 9, 2026 ▶ 29:30 AI Markets: Deep Dive with a16z's David George
Apr 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Blania: Iris biometrics will normalize across consumer devices with AR/VR adoption
“So actually, I think one point on Iris that I think people don't appreciate enough, and that's a bet we took back then, but it was essentially that Iris will turn out to be super normal as a modality, just because I think we will all wear AR and VR systems tha…”
Alex Blania Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 11:16 How Bots, Deepfakes and AI Agents Are Forcing a New Internet Identity Layer | Alex Blania on a16z
Jun 8, 2026
Assertion Supported
Evans: Big Tech produces more profits than the entire telecoms industry
“You have a pretty safe bet that Google, Meta, Amazon Microsoft, Apple produce more profits than the entire telecoms industry.”
Benedict Evans Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 56:37 The Economics of AI Usage and What's Next For SaaS | Benedict Evans on a16z
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