TikTok

includes TikTok Shop, TikTok Ads

81 statements across 50 episodes · 32 bullish · 20 bearish · 43 people on the record · first statement Feb 24, 2021 by Jeremy Liew · said 539 times in 150 episodes since 2019 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Harry Stebbings (226), Zaria Parvez (37), Victor Riparbelli (13), Alex Schultz (12), Ketty Slonimski (11), Gustav Söderström (10), Jason Lemkin (9), David Tisch (9)

tap a year for its mentions
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0204020192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
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2026 62 mentions in 22 episodes 3 per episode
2025 126 mentions in 34 episodes 4 per episode
2024 135 mentions in 27 episodes 5 per episode
2023 142 mentions in 35 episodes 4 per episode
2022 63 mentions in 25 episodes 3 per episode
2021 4 mentions in 4 episodes 1 per episode
2020 4 mentions in 1 episode
2019 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about TikTok, oldest first

Feb 24, 2021
Insight
Young Women Are the Primary Early Adopters for Social Platforms
“Whether it be Facebook or Instagram or Pinterest or Vine or Tumblr back in the day or TikTok, you know, it's always been young women who've been that first set of early adopters”
Jeremy Liew Feb 24, 2021 ▶ 11:22 20VC: The Snapchat Memo: Lightspeed's Jeremy Liew on The 4 Key Elements To Consider When Evaluating A Consumer Social Product, What is Good/Great/World Class For Retention, Usage and Downloads in Consumer Social Today & The Core Insight Development of Eva
Oct 11, 2021 neutral
Disclosure
Sacca backed Triller and DubSmash before TikTok took over
“We had two other investments, Triller and DubSmash, that were kind of the same thing, right? And there's no real reason that they didn't succeed. They just didn't.”
Chris Sacca Oct 11, 2021 ▶ 9:34 20VC: Chris Sacca on Coming Out of Retirement To Unf**k The Planet with Lowercarbon, How Chris Evaluates His Relationship To Money Today, Why We Have Bred a Generation of Ass**** Kids, Do VCs Provide Any Real Value and The True Unfiltered Opinion on Faceb
Jun 8, 2022 bullish
Prediction Held up
Ian Lee: NFT-Powered Spotify and YouTube Alternatives Will Emerge by 2024
“So good example of this is that I think that like NFT powered commerce in Web three, NFT powered digital media and various kind of social media platforms. That I knew or believed were gonna happen in 10 years or so, I think are now possible in the next two to …”
Ian Lee Jun 8, 2022 ▶ 52:29 Ian Lee: Why DAOs Will Replace Venture Capital; Biggest Threat to Web3 | 20VC #893 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 24, 2022 negative
Disclosure
20VC Abandoned 100,000 Snapchat Followers Due to Declining Engagement
“I invested heavily in Snapchat stories when they were big for business. We gained a 100,000 plus fans there, but with the reducing popularity of the platform for business, The audience declined, and it was no longer worth the investment for me over other platf…”
Harry Stebbings Aug 24, 2022 ▶ 6:31 20VC: 10 Lessons on Scaling 20VC to 100M+ Downloads | How To Build an Audience and a Next-Generation Media Company
Sep 7, 2022 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mignano: Meta has equal chance to displace TikTok within 24 months
“I think Meta has just as good a chance as them or anyone else to displace them Over the next couple of years. So I think this battle sort of will be won over the next, let's call it, 24 months.”
Mike Mignano Sep 7, 2022 ▶ 33:40 Michael Mignano: How I Founded Anchor; Why TikTok could be a $2 TRILLION Company | 20VC #923 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 7, 2022 neutral
Insight
Mignano: Social networks need novel toolsets to delay incumbent copycats
“And so I think the key for a new social network to break out is it has to do something different That is hard for another platform to travel to, and arguably no platform did this better than TikTok, right? They built a new tool set which ended up creating a ne…”
Mike Mignano Sep 7, 2022 ▶ 22:46 Michael Mignano: How I Founded Anchor; Why TikTok could be a $2 TRILLION Company | 20VC #923 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 13, 2022 positive
Opinion
Söderström: TikTok is the biggest music innovation of the last seven years
“I think the biggest innovation clearly in the last six, seven years has been TikTok who found like a new format of using music for something completely different.”
Gustav Söderström Oct 13, 2022 ▶ 29:22 Spotify CTO Gustav Söderström: TikTok's Music; How Olivia Rodrigo Gamed the Algo | 20VC #936 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 26, 2022 positive
Opinion
Sahgal: Social networks are shifting from friend graphs to interest-based communities
“What you're seeing now is the broad social networks are becoming all about communities and all about interests, and they just have different take on it. Like that's where tick tock is. That's what Instagram is becoming pretty quickly. That's what Reddit obviou…”
Vaibhav Sahgal Oct 26, 2022 ▶ 49:43 Vaibhav Sahgal: How We Scaled Reddit to 55M Users; Lessons from Zynga | 20VC #942 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 16, 2023 positive
Insight
Jordan: Startups must separate experimental marketing budgets from core spend
“I love the companies that have a, they segregate an experimental budget from their core, core acquisition budget, just to, because if you bundle them together, it, It's a barrier against experimentation. If you're constantly optimizing Google and Facebook, but…”
Jeff Jordan Jan 16, 2023 ▶ 38:16 a16z GP Jeff Jordan: The Ultimate Guide to Two-Sided Marketplaces | 20VC #966 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 16, 2023 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Stebbings: 45% of millennials use TikTok over Google for search
“I saw an unbelievable stat, which is like, 45% of millennials use TikTok instead of Google as their primary search engine.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 16, 2023 ▶ 14:26 a16z GP Jeff Jordan: The Ultimate Guide to Two-Sided Marketplaces | 20VC #966 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 23, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Wenger: TikTok, Twitter, and Facebook must be user-programmable
“I don't feel different about TikTok than I feel about Twitter or Facebook for that matter. These systems need to become programmable. If they're not programmable, we're being programmed by them.”
Albert Wenger Jan 23, 2023 ▶ 44:25 Albert Wenger: Elon & Twitter; Impact of SBF; Income Inequality; Will they ban TikTok? | 20VC #969 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 24, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Jordan: TikTok Buys Users at Scale Unlike Early Google or Facebook
“That's not a categorical rule, because TikTok buys users at monstrous scale. But, you know, Google really didn't buy many users, Facebook didn't buy many users, you know, tick, tick, tick, tick.”
Jeff Jordan Jan 24, 2023 ▶ 9:28 The Ultimate Guide for Building a Two-Sided Marketplace | a16z's Jeff Jordan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 24, 2023
Assertion Contradicted
Stebbings: 45% of Millennials Use TikTok Over Google for Search
“I saw an unbelievable stat, which is like, 45% of millennials use TikTok instead of Google as their primary search engine.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 24, 2023 ▶ 8:28 The Ultimate Guide for Building a Two-Sided Marketplace | a16z's Jeff Jordan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 7, 2023 negative
Opinion
Schultz: Snap Cloned TikTok Despite Public Denials
“Faster than Snap, who also cloned and copied TikTok despite everything they've said about that.”
Alex Schultz Mar 7, 2023 ▶ 18:51 Meta CMO Alex Schultz: Competing Against TikTok & Snap; Why Reels Failed at First | E985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 7, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Schultz: TikTok Is Focusing Heavily on Messaging and Friend Graphs
“You look at TikTok and what they're doing right now. They're focusing very heavily on messaging. They're focusing very heavily on friend graph.”
Alex Schultz Mar 7, 2023 ▶ 11:24 Meta CMO Alex Schultz: Competing Against TikTok & Snap; Why Reels Failed at First | E985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 11, 2023 negative
Opinion
Masad: TikTok is a slimy app that lacks transparency
“Right now they're like, not very transparent. They use it like every growth hack. It's like a very slimy app in that way.”
Amjad Masad Mar 11, 2023 ▶ 50:06 Amjad Masad: How I Founded Replit; Zuck's Famous Saying; Will TikTok be banned? | E987 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 11, 2023 neutral
Prediction Held up
Masad: TikTok will not be banned outright without full Republican control
“Banning them outright, I don't see that happening unless there's like a full Republican government and like, you know, will of, you know, political will.”
Amjad Masad Mar 11, 2023 ▶ 50:42 Amjad Masad: How I Founded Replit; Zuck's Famous Saying; Will TikTok be banned? | E987 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 15, 2023 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
TikTok Will Not Be Banned Due to Deep Youth Adoption
“Oh, I mean, I don't know. I don't think so. I think that there's too much of a single generation that uses that app that would go crazy if it disappeared.”
Adam Grenier Mar 15, 2023 ▶ 1:01:39 Adam Grenier: The Inside Story to Uber’s Hypergrowth; How We Spent $1B/mo in China | E989 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2023
What-if
Paik: TikTok could not exist before Twitter due to bandwidth constraints
“There's a very clear reason why the order of founding went from Twitter first, to Instagram, to Snapchat, to TikTok. And it is because mobile as infrastructure and bandwidth in its earliest stages, supported the lowest packet size, text. And then next compress…”
Chris Paik May 9, 2023 ▶ 1:17:30 Chris Paik: How I Raised $400M; Substack's Broken Business Model; Music on TikTok vs IG | E1011 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 19, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Running ad campaigns will continuously become more expensive due to video formats
“Ad platforms are always getting more expensive. They're always more constrained. And if you particularly look at some of the trends that are happening with moving to richer formats like TikTok, it's just more expensive to create basic content. And so I think t…”
Ryan Wiggins May 19, 2023 ▶ 48:45 Ryan Wiggins: Scaling WhatsApp from 0-100M; How to Build a Growth Team; Mercury Neobank | E1016 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 24, 2023 positive
Opinion
TikTok Is the Most Well-Executing Competitor Meta Has Ever Faced
“They're, I think they still are the most well-executing competitor I think we've ever faced. There's a couple others that are up there, but they're, I think, at the top of that.”
Adam Mosseri Jul 24, 2023 ▶ 34:59 Adam Mosseri: Why Video Is Bad For Business; Does Feed Matter Anymore? | E1039 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 24, 2023 negative
Opinion
TikTok Creator Payouts Are Unpredictable Lottery Checks Compared to YouTube
“If you're kind of getting these lottery-type checks, I think it gets much more harder to plan. I think that's a common complaint I've heard about how TikTok's payments compare to YouTube's payments, for instance, which are much more predictable.”
Adam Mosseri Jul 24, 2023 ▶ 59:56 Adam Mosseri: Why Video Is Bad For Business; Does Feed Matter Anymore? | E1039 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 13, 2023 negative
Opinion
Dash: TikTok's strength lies in disregarding privacy and conventional rules
“Probably a disregard for privacy and conventional rules.”
Suchit Dash Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 57:36 Suchit Dash: Scaling Dubsmash to 43M Users, Battling TikTok & Joining Reddit | E1060 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 13, 2023
Assertion Supported
TikTok spent Dubsmash's entire $7M bank balance every week
“We were a startup that had just kind of raised seven million dollars. We had the, that was the cash in the bank. They were spending that in like a week”
Suchit Dash Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 37:49 Suchit Dash: Scaling Dubsmash to 43M Users, Battling TikTok & Joining Reddit | E1060 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 13, 2023
Assertion Supported
Dash: ByteDance Used Chinese Revenues from Douyin to Buy US Market
“I think they did it at a scale leveraging all of the revenues that they had gotten in China already via Dao Win and To Tiao and actually leverage that to really buy out the U.S. Market.”
Suchit Dash Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 39:36 Suchit Dash: Scaling Dubsmash to 43M Users, Battling TikTok & Joining Reddit | E1060 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 13, 2023
Assertion Supported
Dash: TikTok's 2019 Ad Spend on Facebook and Snap Cannibalized Their Users
“The ad targeting at this point in 2019 had gotten so granular You could actually get to, like, a city level, a user demographic level, and TikTok leveraged all of that. And Facebook and Snap all benefited because they saw tons of money coming in in the form of…”
Suchit Dash Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 38:51 Suchit Dash: Scaling Dubsmash to 43M Users, Battling TikTok & Joining Reddit | E1060 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 13, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dash: Apple Privacy Changes Made Buying Massive App Growth Much Tougher
“I think the targeting capabilities after what Apple has done has gotten reduced dramatically, so I think it would be much tougher, but If you spend that much money, maybe it's possible.”
Suchit Dash Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 39:24 Suchit Dash: Scaling Dubsmash to 43M Users, Battling TikTok & Joining Reddit | E1060 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 8, 2023 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cohen: Long-form video generates far more investor revenue than short-form TikToks
“You know, it's the long form content where the money is as an investor. You know, you're not going to make much unless you're a very highly influential influencer on TikTok. You're not making much at the moment. YouTube, the big YouTube creators, they make mon…”
Danny Cohen Nov 8, 2023 ▶ 11:02 Danny Cohen: From Leading the BBC to Leading Venture Capitalist |E1079 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 8, 2023 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: UK TikTok news creator reached 10M followers and faced BBC attacks
“There's a TikTok star who does kind of news in the UK, and he has ten million followers now. And the BBC attacked him recently.”
Harry Stebbings Nov 8, 2023 ▶ 13:11 Danny Cohen: From Leading the BBC to Leading Venture Capitalist |E1079 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 8, 2023
Assertion Supported
Cohen: UK youth average over an hour daily on TikTok
“There was a very interesting recent large scale survey in the UK, which it said that I think young people in the UK are watching over an hour's TikTok a day now, on average, which seems astonishing for one platform.”
Danny Cohen Nov 8, 2023 ▶ 10:08 Danny Cohen: From Leading the BBC to Leading Venture Capitalist |E1079 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 20, 2023 neutral
Insight
Söderström: TikTok succeeded through UI design, not novel recommendation algorithms
“It wasn't really the algorithm of TikTok. It was the UI that maximized what was, you know, pretty traditional export export algorithm, like since the day so hot or not.”
Gustav Söderström Dec 20, 2023 ▶ 4:27 Roundtable #7: Spotify, Adobe and Linkedin on How AI Changes The Future of Product & Design | E1097 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Insight
Copying existing trends is the best way to launch on TikTok
“The best way to start Is to steal like an artist. And I say that because a lot of TikTok is like copying each other. Like that is the truth of it. When we first started, these trends were us just copying what we see and obviously giving credit where it's due, …”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 7:29 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
95% of Duolingo's TikTok impressions are completely organic
“Candidly, most I would say about 95% of our impressions are completely organic and they're for the cost of like maybe duo's costume and like the sushi I had for dinner while like filming and like staying late a little bit.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 31:36 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Content that goes viral on TikTok often fails on YouTube Shorts
“A lot of things that break the internet and trend on TikTok don't do well on shorts.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 18:06 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Duolingo's viral TikTok videos directly drive user acquisition
“So if we have a viral video, we'll actually see an uptick in users. Based off the timing of it and people saying, yeah, we heard about you from TikTok.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 30:39 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Duolingo cross-posts 75% of its TikTok content directly to Instagram Reels
“I would say at this rate of where we are, I would say about 75% is rip and replace. And what the other 25% is us trying to actually think through, like, what would work better on Reels versus TikTok.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 18:25 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Insight
A brand's social media comment section is its best creative brief
“The comment section is your social brief. Like, People will say stuff, like, lean into that. Like, if they're telling you they want to see X, Y, Z, give them X, Y, Z, and it can be that simple”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 12:37 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024
Insight
TikTok videos fail without a punchy five-second creative hook
“If you're not a creative writer and you don't know how to make something punchy in five seconds, even if you have a trending audio, it's not going to do well.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 6:56 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Duolingo CEO Luis von Ahn accepts pushback on video removal requests
“He does DM me and there's these open conversations and he's open to hearing pushback as well. There's been times where he's told us to take down a video and I was like, okay, cool. But what if I like change the audio, fix up the text a little bit, can I repost…”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 28:01 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Duolingo's TikTok views drive app downloads rather than cross-platform followers
“We haven't seen direct correlation, if I'm being honest. I would say more of, like, a one million view thing on TikTok might, would actually have more correlation with, like, app downloads but it kind of stays within its own little realm.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 54:01 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 positive
Insight
Duolingo's TikTok strategy operates like a sitcom with ongoing storylines
“I always say our TikTok is like a sitcom. Everything we put out there is an episode. Some are amazing and go super viral. Some are just there to build the storylines, but it's something that can live and function as short form video content, even if it was to …”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 8:25 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024
Insight
Duolingo's TikTok succeeded because Parvez lacked traditional advertising experience
“I always say the reason why our TikTok was so successful is because I didn't really know all that much about advertising, if I'm being honest.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 3:06 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Duolingo sets one million views as its benchmark for TikTok success
“One million views for us is like a viral video that is successful. That is what is like written down as like green check.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 29:20 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024
Insight
Small human moments were key to Duolingo's viral TikTok growth
“No brand was doing it yet. And I think that was kind of our insight. And it was like these small human moments that I think has made our TikTok kind of blow up.”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 4:01 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 19, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Duolingo's real competitors are TikTok and social media, not Babbel
“And I'm a firm believer, and I know our CEO said this too, that I don't think like Babbel or Rosetta Stone or other language learning places are our actual competitors. Like our real competitors are like TikTok. And other social media platforms that are like t…”
Zaria Parvez Jan 19, 2024 ▶ 5:11 Zaria Parvez: How Duolingo Scaled to 8M TikTok Followers & How to Create Viral Content | E1105 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 2, 2024
Insight
Will Wu: Every mobile app ultimately competes for finite attention against TikTok and gaming
“I mean, I think you're competing for time. You're sort of share of mind for people, whether it's, you know, gaming or TikTok or whatever it is. I mean, at the end of the day, there's just a finite, finite amount of time in the day. And I think, you know, at so…”
Will Wu Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 51:26 Will Wu: Top Five Product Lessons from Creating Snapchat "Discover" and "Chat" | E1111 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 7, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Allebest: Short-form video completely drove Chess.com's latest growth wave
“Our most recent wave was Completely driven off of short forms, whether it's YouTube shorts, Instagram, you know stuff or reels or, you know, TikTok. It is totally driven.”
Erik Allebest Feb 7, 2024 ▶ 33:45 Erik Allebest: Scaling to $100M Revenue, 150M Members and 700 People, All with No Vc Funding | E1113 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 11, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lonsdale: China Controls TikTok's Algorithms to Brainwash Tens of Millions of Americans
“Yeah, I would force them to divest of Tik Tok. I think that, I think that's fine for Americans own Tik Tok. I think right now, China controls the Tik Tok algorithms. I don't care if the guy's based in Singapore, some of the data's here. It's very clear China c…”
Joe Lonsdale Mar 11, 2024 ▶ 28:35 Joe Lonsdale: The Future of TikTok; Is it a Danger to US National Security? | E1125 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 10, 2024
Assertion Contradicted
TikTok's Feed Model Was Born From Chinese Government Follower Limits
“It was a genius invention that came about of necessity because the Chinese government didn't want to have any social networks with more than 500 followers.”
Reid Hoffman Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 1:24:16 Reid Hoffman: The Future of TikTok and The Inflection AI Deal | E1163 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 10, 2024 neutral
Insight
TikTok Is Content Distribution, Not an Explicit Social Graph
“Now, it's a social network, you know, as much as there's people, there's individuals who are creating stuff that's being consumed by other individuals, but it's not a social network in that, you know, I'm connected to my friend Harry, you know, on LinkedIn.”
Reid Hoffman Jun 10, 2024 ▶ 1:25:16 Reid Hoffman: The Future of TikTok and The Inflection AI Deal | E1163 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 19, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Eisenberg: China is 10 years ahead of US in TikTok AI psyops
“I think they were 10 years ahead of the U.S. On AI and psyops using TikTok. I think they were 10 years ahead of the U.S. In sophistication of how to manipulate the minds of young people.”
Michael Eisenberg Jun 19, 2024 ▶ 26:49 Michael Eisenberg: How China Could Overtake the US in the AI Race | E1167 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 1, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood was the top App Store app during GameStop surge
“Robinhood was the number one app in the app store. And my feeling at the time was, you know, everyone was sort of like, Wow, you should be really happy. You're the number one app in the app store ahead of Instagram and TikTok. Not just financial app, but every…”
Vlad Tenev Nov 1, 2024 ▶ 14:54 Vlad Tenev, Co-Founder & CEO @Robinhood: The GameStop Saga & The Future of AI | E1222 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 11, 2024 negative
Opinion
Grimm: TikTok should have been banned in the US years ago
“Hundred percent absolutely yesterday, if not years ago.”
Matt Grimm Nov 11, 2024 ▶ 1:31:11 Matt Grimm, Co-Founder @Anduril: How a Trump Administration Changes the Defence Industry | E1224 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 15, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Malik: Perplexity's only paid acquisition is lightweight TikTok ads for young users
“So right now, like the only paid acquisition we've ever touched and it's so lightweight are some just like simple TikTok ads testing different value propositions with 18 to 24 year olds.”
Raman Malik Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 34:49 Raman Malik: Inside Perplexity’s Growth Machine: What Worked, What Did Not Work | E1226 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 11, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Torsten Reil: If running ByteDance, he would immediately shut down TikTok
“Probably ByteDance, and I would shut down TikTok immediately.”
Torsten Reil Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 1:12:17 Torsten Reil, Helsing Founder: Raising $828M to Build the Defence Champion of Europe | E1237 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 16, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hoffman: U.S. Should Ban TikTok Based on Commercial Reciprocity
“The right way, I think, to think about this from an American or any other perspective is to say China bans Competition in China from Meta, Twitter, etc. And so the right way to say is like, look, if you're banning our companies, we should ban yours. Commercial…”
Reid Hoffman Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 19:37 Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn & Paypal Founder: Trump Administration, Elon Musk and DOGE | E1239 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 10, 2025 neutral
Insight
Shulman: Hit songs succeed via algorithms and promotion, not quality alone
“I think that they probably reverse the causality. Things break on TikTok, and then they become famous on Spotify, but that is a function of both algorithms and people pushing music, and not necessarily only a function of the quality of the music.”
Mikey Shulman Jan 10, 2025 ▶ 34:00 Mikey Shulman, CEO @Suno: The Future of Music, What is Gonna Happen? | E1244 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 10, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mikey Shulman: Modern pop is shorter and more homogenous due to TikTok
“I think songs have gotten Shorter, yes, but also much more homogenous in melodies, harmonies song structures, and they, and music innovates very much sonically. Like, they're really interesting sounds, and they all fit into the same song structure, and this is…”
Mikey Shulman Jan 10, 2025 ▶ 32:26 Mikey Shulman, CEO @Suno: The Future of Music, What is Gonna Happen? | E1244 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 15, 2025 positive
Opinion
Riparbelli: TikTok Is a Great Product With Mostly Educational Content
“I think TikTok is actually a really great product, potentially like a bit of an unpopular opinion, but I think what TikTok has done, when I look at my TikTok feed today, I would say it's 90% highly informative, educational, really great content.”
Victor Riparbelli Jan 15, 2025 ▶ 42:56 Victor Riparbelli, CEO @Synthesia: OpenAI vs Anthropic vs X.ai - Who Wins and Why | E1246 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 7, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tolkin: Western and Asian mobile app design styles are converging
“I think there's absolutely a convergence. I think probably the influence is a little bit more being pulled towards us, but the reality is like apps like, you know, TikTok, there's a lot of things going on, things flying around, scrolling, all that stuff. Like …”
Brian Tolkin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 3:58 Brian Tolkin, Head of Product @Opendoor: How to Hire the Best Product Teams | E1257 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 14, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Solomou: TikTok and Meta are top social platform buys
“I would say TikTok, I would buy. Meta, I would buy on their big bets that they've made.”
Solly Solomou Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 1:10:48 Solly Solomou, Founder & CEO @ LADbible Group: From Penniless Shop Offices to Public Company | E1259 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 14, 2025 positive
Insight
Stebbings: Social media feeds are like diets and users control them
“I think people demonize social in the way that diet can be demonized. If you go on my TikTok, Instagram, you name it, there's protein recipes, there's inspirational talks from Tony Robbins, and Alain de Botton, and great thinkers there's baby videos, I think b…”
Harry Stebbings Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 1:08:11 Solly Solomou, Founder & CEO @ LADbible Group: From Penniless Shop Offices to Public Company | E1259 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 14, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Solomou: Snapchat will remain an innovative hub for Gen Z over 5-10 years
“I believe Snap is an interesting place over the next five to 10 years. Whether it can compete with the TikToks, and the Metas, and at this scale, I mean, these players are Huge. And we've seen what they've done in AI. We've seen what they're doing in e-commerc…”
Solly Solomou Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 1:09:57 Solly Solomou, Founder & CEO @ LADbible Group: From Penniless Shop Offices to Public Company | E1259 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 19, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Singlehurst: Baillie Gifford expects 5x ByteDance return despite US TikTok ban
“I mean, like, our base case is that it does get banned, and we still see a path. After making at least five times our money, even with TikTok not being part of that investment case.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 33:47 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 19, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Hacker: Duolingo was once bigger on TikTok than Nike
“I think at some point we were bigger on TikTok than Nike.”
Severin Hacker May 19, 2025 ▶ 55:36 Duolingo Co-Founder, Severin Hacker: How AI Impacts the Future of Work and Education · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 5, 2025 bullish
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: ChatGPT reached 800M users in 17 months
“ChatGPT is the fastest, even though Sam Lesson said he's not sure it's important, it's the fastest Gain of users in, in the history of the world. Zero to eight hundred million in 17 months. Okay. That's, it took Netflix 15 times longer. It took TikTok five tim…”
Jason Lemkin Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 38:49 Is DPI The Only Thing That Matters? with Sam Lessin, Jason Lemkin & Rory O’Driscoll · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 26, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: ChatGPT mobile downloads rival TikTok, Meta, and X combined
“It was ChatGPT over the last 28 days, 29.5 million downloads. ChatGPT, 29.5 million. Just mobile. That's just its mobile app. TikTok, Facebook, Instagram and X, thirty two million. So ChatGPT mobile downloads just about equal to all the social media guys combi…”
Jason Lemkin Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 5:55 Navan Files to Go Public and Canva Pulls the Brakes: Why and What Happens? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 11, 2025 negative
Opinion
Mignot: Social media algorithms must be public and auditable
“I think it should be loud, but there should be a bigger conversation about social networks and about the openness of algorithms, which don't only apply to TikTok, but, you know, applies to X, applies to Facebook. I think those algorithms should be should be pu…”
Martin Mignot Aug 11, 2025 ▶ 38:53 Index Ventures Partner, Martin Mignot: Figma, Scale, Wiz: Inside Index’s Decacorn Factory · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 25, 2025 bullish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: A US-China TikTok deal will be signed within 60 days
“Whatever this crazy deal is, it's going to get signed in the next 60. I think these deals are going to get done this calendar year, and I think it's going to get signed”
Jason Lemkin Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 1:20:20 The Impact of H1B Visas on Startups in the US & NVIDIA Invests $100BN Into OpenAI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 3, 2025
Insight
Slonimski: TikTok Requires Three Times More Ad Creatives Than Meta
“So on TikTok, you need to have three times more creatives. They're not meta.”
Ketty Slonimski Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 35:27 20Growth: How to Use Influencers to Scale Growth Insanely Fast | How to Optimise User Onboaring for Growth | How the Best Growth Teams Create Organic Growth and Community | Why LTV/CAC Models are BS with Ketty Slonimsky
Oct 3, 2025
Insight
Slonimski: Scaling TikTok Growth Requires Launching 1,000 Ad Creatives Weekly
“With TikTok, you need to launch around Thousand of creative per week to make it successful.”
Ketty Slonimski Oct 3, 2025 ▶ 33:37 20Growth: How to Use Influencers to Scale Growth Insanely Fast | How to Optimise User Onboaring for Growth | How the Best Growth Teams Create Organic Growth and Community | Why LTV/CAC Models are BS with Ketty Slonimsky
Oct 24, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Diao: Answers AI co-founder drove massive growth by becoming a TikTok persona
“One of the co-founders in the company became essentially a TikTok Instagram persona, right? Who can create these videos kind of on demand for the company as well and drive very, very similar amounts of views and traction and growth for the company.”
Sandy Diao Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 35:36 20Growth: How to Build a Paid Marketing Machine: ROAS (Return on Ad Spend) 101 | The Rise of User Generated Content and How to Use It | TikTok Ads: Expectations vs. Reality | Hiring for Growth: When and Who with Sandy Diao
Dec 15, 2025 negative
Insight
Using massive capital as a weapon rarely succeeds in consumer tech
“Capital as a weapon in consumer, most of the time it's, it doesn't really work. Like I would say TikTok is maybe the exception, maybe Uber.”
David George Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 36:56 a16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at a16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: TikTok US generates $15B-$16B revenue and was bought for ~1x
“I think the company's doing 15 or sixteen billion dollars in the US revenue, And they bought it for like one times revenue plus or minus.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jan 29, 2026 ▶ 15:49 Anthropic Inference Costs Skyrocket |TikTok Deal Closes |The IPO Market:Wealthfront & EquipmentShare · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2026 negative
Disclosure
Wix CMO Omer Shai says TikTok ads and sports endorsements have failed
“I think TikTok didn't work for me yet. I think that sports endorsement in some kind of way didn't work for me as I expected it to work.”
Omer Shai Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 32:34 20Growth: How Wix Built a $100M Marketing Machine | Why LTV is BS and Why Time Return On Investment is the Most Important Metric | How to 10x Your Growth: What is the Next Great Channel with Omer Shai, CMO @ Wix
Jan 31, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Omer Shai says LinkedIn and TikTok present enormous marketing arbitrage opportunities
“Also LinkedIn. I think LinkedIn potential is enormous. The arbitrage, again, is there. The targeting is not perfect as an other solution yet, but I believe that those two are having tons of opportunity for us.”
Omer Shai Jan 31, 2026 ▶ 32:59 20Growth: How Wix Built a $100M Marketing Machine | Why LTV is BS and Why Time Return On Investment is the Most Important Metric | How to 10x Your Growth: What is the Next Great Channel with Omer Shai, CMO @ Wix
Apr 2, 2026 bearish
Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2031
Lemkin: Hollywood entertainment employment is in permanent decline
“The permanent decline of Hollywood. Employment. It's permanently in decline. It's not there. It's on, it's in decline because fewer movies and TV shows are being made. TikToks and YouTubes are doing it, and it's in permanent decline because every other country…”
Jason Lemkin Apr 2, 2026 ▶ 54:40 OpenAI Kills Sora & Hits $100M ARR on Ads | Oura Going Public & Whoop Raises at $10BN · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 27, 2026 positive
Opinion
Adam Foroughi: TikTok Recommendation Engine Is Phenomenal for Non-Social Engagement
“I would say when it comes to engagement, creating the ability for a social network to not need any social interaction and still be able to deliver you fantastic content, the TikTok recommendation algo is quite phenomenal.”
Adam Foroughi Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 52:19 AppLovin CEO: Why Founders Shouldn't Angel Invest & Why the Best Don't Need Mentorship · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 9, 2026 positive
Opinion
Weitzman: Live Streaming Is Now the Best Format for Content Creators
“Now, the best place to be a creator is to be a streamer. Partly because streams get clipped, and then those clips can get watched seven billion times in a week on TikTok and Instagram Reels and all these other places.”
Cliff Weitzman May 9, 2026 ▶ 1:24:26 Cliff Weitzman: What I Learned from 100 of the World’s Top CEOs & Why Tokens Will Outspend Salaries · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 6, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Mignano: Suno has unlimited upside potential like YouTube or TikTok
“So we believe that Suno has, you know, I'm using this term loosely, but unlimited upside potential. You know, if you look back at the history of media on the internet, and you think about the generational platforms that truly democratized a medium, right? YouT…”
Mike Mignano Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 57:04 Why Now is the Time for the App Layer | Why Startups Should be TokenMaxxing | Mike Mignano, USV · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 14, 2026 bearish
Disclosure
Swulinski: TikTok marketing has not worked at any of his three companies
“To be honest, in any of the three kind of core companies that I've been at so far, It hasn't worked yet, but maybe I'll get a chance to change that at Victor.”
Matt Swulinski Aug 14, 2026 ▶ 49:59 How to Build a $100M Growth Engine: Lessons from Wispr Flow & Superhuman | Matt Swulinski
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