LPs

187 statements across 107 episodes · 40 bullish · 74 bearish · 80 people on the record · first statement Dec 2, 2015 by Samir Kaji · across every show →

Everything said about LPs, oldest first

Dec 2, 2015 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaji: Only 10% to 20% of micro VCs will deliver expected returns
“I think a very few percentage of these micro firms are going to produce the type of returns expected. And I think it's going to hit sort of the normal distribution of which, you know, 10 to 20%, you know, have a nice return model. The rest are going to, you kn…”
Samir Kaji Dec 2, 2015 ▶ 13:40 20 VC 093: Where Is The Micro VC Market Going with Samir Kaji @ First Republic Bank
Mar 21, 2016 positive
Insight
VCs should treat founders as customers and LPs as shareholders
“Now, listen, we think of, you know, our LPs are, you know, our investors are very important to us, obviously, but I think of them as our shareholders. And if I make my customers very happy and have the best product out there, Then my shareholders are going to …”
Rob Hayes Mar 21, 2016 ▶ 17:20 Uber's First Investor, First Round Capital's Rob Hayes on How The Deal Of The Decade Originated and Why Product Orientated VC Is The Future
May 9, 2016 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Early Micro-VC Returns Gave LPs Confidence to Back Solo GPs
“I actually think that there's a lower threshold because people like Jeff, Steve Anderson, Chris Saka, and others showed that you could take a small amount of capital. And actually turn it into meaningful returns. I think the fact that they proved that those ea…”
Charles Hudson May 9, 2016 ▶ 7:28 20VC: Raising A Solo GP Fund & Why They Are So Prominent Today with Charles Hudson, Managing Partner @ Precursor Ventures
Jun 13, 2016
Insight
Clarkson: Institutional LPs are "like snowflakes" with unique investment criteria
“LPs are like snowflakes, and everyone's a bit different”
Beezer Clarkson Jun 13, 2016 ▶ 14:13 20VC: What LP's Want In VCs with Beezer Clarkson, Managing Director @ Sapphire Ventures
Jun 15, 2016 positive
Insight
Douvos: Outsized returns in LP investing require being right and alone
“So many people are deathly afraid of being wrong and alone because that box is the career risk box so that they'll slide over and try to do more things with the crowd. But what happens is when you move towards the crowd, then you take the right and alone box o…”
Chris Douvos Jun 15, 2016 ▶ 17:31 20VC: Will LPs Replace GPs with Chris Douvos, Managing Director @ VIA
Jun 15, 2016 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Douvos: LPs shorten portfolio duration by shifting into later-stage funds
“What I think most people are doing to deal with lengthening horizons. They're trying to shorten the duration of their portfolios by going to later stage.”
Chris Douvos Jun 15, 2016 ▶ 8:46 20VC: Will LPs Replace GPs with Chris Douvos, Managing Director @ VIA
Jun 15, 2016 negative
Opinion
Douvos: Oversubscribed funds often result from LPs' lemming-like herd mentality
“Time and time again, we've seen funds kind of get attention and get, you know, kind of wildly oversubscribed only because LPs are demonstrating lemming-like behavior. And, you know, there's a favorite bell cow like, you know, Yale or Harvard or Stanford that t…”
Chris Douvos Jun 15, 2016 ▶ 16:28 20VC: Will LPs Replace GPs with Chris Douvos, Managing Director @ VIA
Jun 15, 2016 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Douvos: Most LP programs will evolve into hybrid direct-partnering models within 10 years
“And I think, you know, sitting here 10 years from now, most things that we think of as fund programs today will look more like hybrid programs with, you know, kind of closer ties, partnering more closely with GPs to look at companies rather than being, you kno…”
Chris Douvos Jun 15, 2016 ▶ 21:37 20VC: Will LPs Replace GPs with Chris Douvos, Managing Director @ VIA
Jun 15, 2016
Insight
Douvos: How VCs treat LPs predicts how they treat founders
“The way investors treat LPs gives us a lot of insight into how they treat entrepreneurs. And if they're being heavy handed and arrogant with us, their shareholders, how are they with their customers?”
Chris Douvos Jun 15, 2016 ▶ 15:14 20VC: Will LPs Replace GPs with Chris Douvos, Managing Director @ VIA
Jul 6, 2016 negative
Opinion
Kim: Most LPs invest via social proof and preserve failing VC funds
“I think most LPs are social proof investors. I think that there's a substantial dynamic of you don't get fired for buying IBM. And venture funds are hard to kill. A lot of them should have been killed, but they're 10 to 12 year vehicles.”
Michael Kim Jul 6, 2016 ▶ 22:43 20VC: What It Takes To Raise A VC Fund & Investing in First Time Fund Managers with Michael Kim @ Cendana Capital
Jul 6, 2016 negative
Insight
Kim: Early-stage LP direct investing suffers from severe adverse selection
“At the high level, I do think that there are substantial issues with LPs investing directly. First and foremost is adverse selection. If an opportunity is available to the LP, why are they being shown this? Is something wrong with the company? Does the fund ma…”
Michael Kim Jul 6, 2016 ▶ 9:41 20VC: What It Takes To Raise A VC Fund & Investing in First Time Fund Managers with Michael Kim @ Cendana Capital
Jul 6, 2016 negative
Insight
Kim: Top VCs maximize ownership and squeeze LPs out of Series A
“If there is, at the earliest stages, a company that is High quality with high quality investors coming in. LPs are probably the last in line in terms of getting access to that. So imagine a seed funded company by one of our fund managers, a high quality firm l…”
Michael Kim Jul 6, 2016 ▶ 11:59 20VC: What It Takes To Raise A VC Fund & Investing in First Time Fund Managers with Michael Kim @ Cendana Capital
Jul 20, 2016 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Most LPs still lack operational and technical backgrounds
“I would say that there are definitely some exceptions, but by and large that is still true.”
Alex Bangash Jul 20, 2016 ▶ 3:45 20VC: Why The Whole Industry Is Backward Looking, The Best Funds Are Entrepreneur Led and Venture Is All About Access with Alex Bangash, Founder @ Trusted Insight
Aug 8, 2016 negative
Opinion
LPs uncomfortable with 15-to-20-year lifecycles shouldn't invest in early-stage VC
“I think that some LPs who over time are uncomfortable with Perhaps a 15 year, or some of my VC colleagues have quietly mentioned, maybe the equivalent of a 20 year long bond in venture. You know, those LPs may not be the right ones to go forward in the early s…”
Matt Ocko Aug 8, 2016 ▶ 19:18 20VC: Data Collective's Matt Ocko on Why "All Fund Size Models Are Wrong" and The Lifecycle of Current Venture Funds Is Inefficient?
Sep 21, 2016 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Skok: Venture capital suffers from poor alignment between founders, VCs, and LPs
“There isn't good alignment, whether people like it or not, between the entrepreneur, their VC, and the VC, and their GPs, and sorry, and their LPs in many instances.”
Michael Skok Sep 21, 2016 ▶ 4:27 20VC: Why Valuation Is A Stupid Concept, VC Is Ripe For Disruption & Not All LPs Are Made Equal with Michael Skok, Founding Partner @ Underscore VC
Sep 21, 2016 positive
Assertion Supported
Underscore VC's inaugural fund is backed by a $40B+ LP base
“The fund has been oversubscribed very quickly. We were able to select the VC, sorry, the LPs who really understood the model and wanted to get behind it. I'm happy to tell you that, you know, that's well over forty billion dollars worth of capital in the found…”
Michael Skok Sep 21, 2016 ▶ 9:52 20VC: Why Valuation Is A Stupid Concept, VC Is Ripe For Disruption & Not All LPs Are Made Equal with Michael Skok, Founding Partner @ Underscore VC
Sep 26, 2016
Insight
Many LPs are uncomfortable giving direct feedback to VC fund managers
“Many LPs are not comfortable giving feedback to GPs, and so fund managers may not have a clue how they're being perceived or why they're not a fit with a, you know, institutional manager's portfolio.”
Judith Elsea Sep 26, 2016 ▶ 23:20 20VC: The 3 Things LPs Want To See From VCs & Why The Table Stakes For VCs Is Higher Than Ever with Judith Elsea, Co-Founder @ Weathergage Capital
Oct 12, 2016 negative
Insight
GPs Hypocritically Pitch LPs With Massive Decks Despite Advising Founders Otherwise
“When GPs come in, I think the mistake they make generally is putting too much in a pitch deck and not limiting and not taking their own advice. They'll tell a company to have a pitch deck with 10 slides in it, And yet they'll show up with a 45 page deck and ex…”
Lyndall Eakman Oct 12, 2016 ▶ 19:34 20VC: Why Many VCs Fail To Raise, Why LP Compensation Is A Massive Problem & Why Fund of Funds Will Become More Prominent with Lindel Eakman, Managing Director @ Foundry Group
Nov 16, 2016 negative
Insight
Fear of missing outliers traps LP capital in underperforming legacy funds
“This has now trained a generation of LPs to be scared to death to cut off funds that aren't performing well, because they could be just around the corner from Facebook. And as a result, a lot of that money that should be going to new and innovative funds gets …”
Paul Martino Nov 16, 2016 ▶ 27:07 20VC: Investing In Sectors That Were Cool 2 Years Ago, What Accel's Facebook Fund Taught a Generation of LPs & Why LPs Need A New Discovery Process with Paul Martino, Founding Partner @ Bullpen Capital
Mar 20, 2017
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Only 5% of LPs invest in smaller micro VC funds
“It's probably five percent of LPs even want to do smaller funds.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 20, 2017 ▶ 12:59 20VC: SaaStr's Jason Lemkin on The 3 Things You Want From Your LPs, Why Most VCs Do Not Add Value & Why The Best VCs Know How To Package Startups For The Next Round
Jul 31, 2017 neutral
What-if
Porteous: Secondary options in 2008 would have smoothed LP allocation shock
“The whole industry watched allocations shrink after the liquidity crisis of 2008. If LPs had had a defined exercisable secondary option in their funds. In many cases, they would have pulled it at that point, and it could have been a smoother period for everybo…”
Will Porteous Jul 31, 2017 ▶ 10:46 20VC: What Metrics LPs Really Use To Measure Manager Success, Why 10 Year Fund Structures Really Do Not Work & Why Venture Is So Similar To The Movie Business with Will Porteous, General Partner @ RRE Ventures
Aug 9, 2017 negative
Insight
Quintini: VCs shouldn't offer operational value-add just to satisfy LPs
“I think the important thing is you should only do it if it matches your skills and it matches your The relationship and the way you want to work with your founders, right? You shouldn't do it because the industry is doing it. You shouldn't do it because LPs, y…”
Renata Quintini Aug 9, 2017 ▶ 12:26 20VC: The 7 Requirements For Startup Scaling, Why VCs Must Approach Every Conversation with A Yes Mentality & Why We Will See The Humanisation of Technology with Renata Quintini, Partner @ Lux Capital
Sep 11, 2017 positive
Insight
Andy Weissman: Capital recycling reduces effective management fee ratios for LPs
“Everyone wins with recycling. It's so good for your LPs. It's additional investment dollars that they're not paying management fees on, and so over the course of a fund, if you take gains and you reinvest it, that's more money that you're investing that lowers…”
Andy Weissman Sep 11, 2017 ▶ 14:37 20VC: USV's Andy Weissman on The Future of The VC Industry, Why USV Does Not Vote On Investment Decisions & Why VCs Should Be Invisible
Oct 11, 2017 bearish
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kaji: Active seed funds will shrink to under 250 by end of 2019
“I think consolidation is, is the future. I don't see a lot of first time or second time funds raising their next fund. And it may not be a function of who they are, but rather a very different macro environment and a general understanding by LPs that we just d…”
Samir Kaji Oct 11, 2017 ▶ 26:54 20VC: What Does It Take To Raise A Venture Fund Today, An Analysis of The Explosion of Seed Financing & Why IRR No Longer Takes Centre Stage with Samir Kaji, Senior Managing Director @ First Republic Bank
Oct 23, 2017 negative
Opinion
LPs mistakenly apply traditional VC reserve models to seed funds
“I think the majority of LPs have taken the history of how VCs, institutional VCs, A, B, and C reserve and bolted that on to seed, whereas I think seed is a completely different asset class.”
Semil Shah Oct 23, 2017 ▶ 16:35 20VC: Semil Shah on How To Raise An Institutional Venture Fund, Why LPs Mostly Have Reserve Allocation Theory Wrong & Why IPOs and Acquisitions Are Severely Constrained
Oct 23, 2017 positive
Insight
Venture pre-marketing to LPs should start over six months in advance
“I know I had written six months in the post that I wrote. I'd probably say even longer. So the pre-marketing is just the casual, like reminder, the casual, Hey, here's what I'm doing. The casual, Hey, what do you think about this? Do you have any feedback? It'…”
Semil Shah Oct 23, 2017 ▶ 8:48 20VC: Semil Shah on How To Raise An Institutional Venture Fund, Why LPs Mostly Have Reserve Allocation Theory Wrong & Why IPOs and Acquisitions Are Severely Constrained
Nov 6, 2017 negative
Insight
Zeev: Many VC partnerships hide severe internal dysfunction from LPs
“I think many, many partnerships are much more dysfunctional Then you would see from the outside, and there is a lot of, often, tensions between, you would think that partners need to be, you know, you would expect that partners are best friends, and really thi…”
Oren Zeev Nov 6, 2017 ▶ 10:13 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Does Not Work, Thesis Based Investing Is Sceptical & Partners Mostly Stay Together For LPs
Nov 6, 2017 neutral
Opinion
Zeev: LPs prioritize stability and longevity above all else
“Because LPs, more than anything else, are suckers for longevity, and they like stability, right? LPs. LPs don't like changes.”
Oren Zeev Nov 6, 2017 ▶ 11:38 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Does Not Work, Thesis Based Investing Is Sceptical & Partners Mostly Stay Together For LPs
Nov 29, 2017 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Waxman: TenOneTen Ventures never contractually guarantees LP co-investment rights
“I think we certainly never give them as a contractual right because once again, back to the founder, they know me, right? They know my partner. They know my Austin, our associate who works with us. You know, they want us around for a reason. They don't necessa…”
David Waxman Nov 29, 2017 ▶ 16:34 20VC: Why Convertible Notes Are Ridiculous, Why Party Rounds Are Bad For Both Founder and Investor & Why Pro-Rata Rights Are A Mess with David Waxman, Founding Partner @ TenOneTen Ventures
Jun 4, 2018
Disclosure
Defy.vc Raised Its Debut Fund Cap to $151M for One Entrepreneur
“And so, in fact, our cap was one 50. And so it's actually a great story. And I think it was a really good example of How much we care about our entrepreneurs, but there was an entrepreneur who had been an incredible, it is an incredible reference for us. We've…”
Trae Vassallo Jun 4, 2018 ▶ 23:00 20VC: What John Doerr Taught Me About Great Investing, Why Not All A Rounds Are Post-Traction and Why Despite Overfunding, There Is Still Gaps In Venture Financing with Trae Vassallo, Founding Partner @ Defy.vc
Nov 2, 2018 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Institutional LPs are compensated mostly by fixed salary
“Right now, many, not all, but many of the LPs, their compensation is almost entirely salary. The bonus based on performance doesn't really move the needle for them that much.”
Ryan Caldbeck Nov 2, 2018 ▶ 8:32 20VC: Ryan Caldbeck on Why The Business Model of VC is Broken, Who is To Blame, How The Best Funds Will Use Data Intelligently Moving Forward & Whether We Are In A Consumer Bubble Or Not?
Nov 26, 2018 negative
Opinion
Deming: VC value creation is limited by rigid fund structure norms
“I think the diversity of fun types. I think we've been artificially constrained by a perception that it's hard to raise a new structure of fun because LPs just kind of, like, amorphously won't like it. I think that's really cut down on the value to be created …”
Laura Deming Nov 26, 2018 ▶ 26:15 20VC: Why Raising A First Time Fund Is Like Raising A Seed Round, Why We Need New and Different Fund Models & Why Longevity Is The Most Rewarding Place To Invest with Laura Deming, Founding Partner @ The Longevity Fund
Jan 21, 2019 bearish
Prediction Partly held up
Somerville: Micro VC funds will face harder fundraising as LP market saturates
“It will increasingly become harder to raise subsequent iterations or to scale, and I think you've started to see that with even some groups that have a track record now and have done a pretty decent job struggling to find new LPs on the institutional side to c…”
Hunter Somerville Jan 21, 2019 ▶ 10:00 20VC: The Framework LPs Use To Assess Emerging Managers, What Concerns and Excites LPs in Potential Opportunities & The Current State of Seed Today with Hunter Somerville, Partner @ Greenspring Associates
Jan 28, 2019 negative
Disclosure
Kopelman: First Round does not track or report individual partner IRR
“We don't track individual partner IRR of individual track partner Performance, and nor do we share it with our LPs when they ask us during diligence.”
Josh Kopelman Jan 28, 2019 ▶ 31:22 20VC: First Round's Josh Kopelman on Why Price Is Both An Art and A Science, Why Ownership Must Be Built on First Check and The Negative Consequences of Attribution in Venture
Oct 7, 2019
Insight
Fein: Force decisions on fence-sitting LPs because they usually decline
“If they're perpetually on the fence, it's probably going to be a no anyway. And so I would rather just Force the answer.”
John Fein Oct 7, 2019 ▶ 13:18 20VC: The Ultimate Episode For Emerging Managers: How To Determine How Big A Fund To Raise, What Is The Right Closing Strategy With LPs & Why We Will Not See The Eradication of Pre-Seed with John Fein, Founder & Managing Partner @ Firebrand Ventures
Jan 27, 2020 negative
Opinion
Stanton: LP diversity statements inversely correlate with actual diverse manager investments
“And in my experience and several other people I know, we found an inverse relationship between the LPs who are very public about funding diverse managers and those who do so”
Katie Stanton Jan 27, 2020 ▶ 16:31 20VC: Moxxie Ventures' Katie Stanton on What It Takes To Raise A First Time Fund As A Solo GP, The Entrance of Multi-Stage Funds Into Seed Rounds and The Inverse Relationship of Those That Fund Diverse Managers and Those That Say They Do
Jan 27, 2020
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Harry Stebbings Met With 412 LPs During Fundraise
“We met 412 LPs in our fundraise, and everyone was as joyful as the first.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 27, 2020 ▶ 12:15 20VC: Moxxie Ventures' Katie Stanton on What It Takes To Raise A First Time Fund As A Solo GP, The Entrance of Multi-Stage Funds Into Seed Rounds and The Inverse Relationship of Those That Fund Diverse Managers and Those That Say They Do
Jan 27, 2020
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Katie Stanton Contacted 279 Potential LPs for Moxxie Fund One
“In terms of stats, I ended up meeting with or contacting 279 potential LPs.”
Katie Stanton Jan 27, 2020 ▶ 11:32 20VC: Moxxie Ventures' Katie Stanton on What It Takes To Raise A First Time Fund As A Solo GP, The Entrance of Multi-Stage Funds Into Seed Rounds and The Inverse Relationship of Those That Fund Diverse Managers and Those That Say They Do
Mar 23, 2020 positive
Disclosure
Kumar: K9 LPs push for concentrated, high-ownership venture portfolios
“My LPs tend to prefer a concentrated portfolio, and so most of my LPs are kind of pushing me in the other direction, which is like, go ahead and take a, take as much ownership as you can in a company, do fewer companies, and if you win with fewer companies, yo…”
Manu Kumar Mar 23, 2020 ▶ 13:47 20VC: Multi-Stage Funds Investing At Seed Are Option Value Investing, Why The Biggest Enemy For Venture Firms Is Group Think and How Running Companies Changes Your Investment Mentality with Manu Kumar, Founder @ K9 Ventures
Apr 8, 2020
Insight
Destin: Emerging VC managers have no leverage if LPs default
“Especially if you're an emerging manager and you're a first time fund, are you going to go sue one of your LPs because they don't pay? The reality is like, you kind of have no leverage. You're just a sitting duck. And if people decide not to pay you, then they…”
Fred Destin Apr 8, 2020 ▶ 22:43 20VC: Are VCs Still "Open For Business", How VCs Attitude To Risk Has Changed & The 2 Most Valuable Assets To Founders Today with Fred Destin, Founding Partner @ Stride VC
Apr 20, 2020 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
LP defaults won't be a major issue, but fund re-ups will
“So I don't think that's going to be a major problem. What'll be a major problem is people coming into your next fund, because if they find themselves in a bad economic situation, what they end up doing is cutting commitments to managers that they've had for a …”
Mark Suster Apr 20, 2020 ▶ 31:31 20VC: Upfront's Mark Suster on COVID Redefining What A Great Company Looks Like and What Valuations Look Like, Why Pay-To-Play Is Back On The Table & Why We Will See The Death of Party Rounds
Oct 5, 2020 positive
Opinion
Arlan Hamilton: Institutional LPs should mandate capital for underrepresented fund managers
“I think that LPs should have mandates where especially those who are endowments and pensions should have mandates that say that since so many underrepresented people are paying into those funds, the funds that are paid out to managers, our percentage has to go…”
Arlan Hamilton Oct 5, 2020 ▶ 32:48 20VC: Arlan Hamilton: "We Have Come For Cake, Not The Crumbs", Arlan's Plan To Return $1Bn in 10 Years, Why Arlan Plans To Giveaway or Invest 90% of Her Wealth & What The LP Class Can Do To Ensure More Under-Represented Managers Get Funded
Oct 5, 2020 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Arlan Hamilton aims to return $1B to LPs within ten years
“I have a goal for myself to return at least a billion dollars in capital in the different ways that I do. It's not just out of one fund here or one thing there, but a total of a billion dollars returned to LPs and to myself and to our employees over the next 1…”
Arlan Hamilton Oct 5, 2020 ▶ 23:58 20VC: Arlan Hamilton: "We Have Come For Cake, Not The Crumbs", Arlan's Plan To Return $1Bn in 10 Years, Why Arlan Plans To Giveaway or Invest 90% of Her Wealth & What The LP Class Can Do To Ensure More Under-Represented Managers Get Funded
Oct 22, 2020
Disclosure
Stebbings: I suppress personal opinions due to LP and VC pressure
“Actually, I don't say any of them because I'm concerned about how LPs perceive it and how other VCs perceive it.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 22, 2020 ▶ 12:35 20VC: Intercom Founder, Eoghan McCabe on How To Deal with the Weight of Expectation, Having Your Identity Tied To Your Company, How To Be Your Authentic Self Even with Stakeholders & Why There Are No Rules
Oct 29, 2020 negative
Insight
Bad VC board behavior stems from LP pressure and asset illiquidity
“When I've seen sort of bad behavior or weird behavior, I think it often comes down to the fact that VCs are money managers for other people, and it's a bit the same as you get in kind of middle management in companies, that you get people that are under pressu…”
David Helgason Oct 29, 2020 ▶ 19:05 20VC: Unity Founder David Helgason on The Hypergrowth Early Days of Unity, Why Running A Company Is Like A Liberal Art, The Secret To A Successful CEO Transition and What Makes Roelof Botha Such A Special Board Member
Nov 2, 2020 bullish
Opinion
Eggers: Solo Capitalist Model Is Not Restricted to Top 1% of Investors
“I don't think it's just a game of the .one percent. I think if people have been successful as operators or as investors, and they want to go on their own, they can be solo capitalists, and they can raise funds from the outside, because there's a lot of LPs out…”
Barry Eggers Nov 2, 2020 ▶ 14:15 20VC: The Implications of a Biden vs a Trump Administration on Venture and Startups, How The Rise of Rolling Funds, SPACs and Solo Capitalists Will Impact Venture & What We Can Do To Swing the Race Pendulum in VC with Barry Eggers, Founding Partner @ Ligh
Nov 12, 2020 negative
Disclosure
Stebbings admits he has not returned a single dollar to his LPs
“Like, I haven't returned a dollar to my LPs.”
Harry Stebbings Nov 12, 2020 ▶ 23:56 20VC: Accel's Dan Levine on The Current State of Seed & Series A, The Rise of Pre-Emptive Rounds, Solo Capitalists and Multi-Stage Funds Entering Seed & Market, People and Product; What To Prioritise?
Feb 4, 2021
Insight
Fishner-Wolfson: Emerging managers are married to LPs for 10 to 20 years
“Venture as a venture business is an incredibly long-term business and that your LPs, you're effectively married to them, right? These funds are often 10, 12, 15 year funds. You know, you end up raising multiple funds, and so it's just very important to do busi…”
Justin Fishner-Wolfson Feb 4, 2021 ▶ 34:12 20VC: Why VCs Should Care More About Cost of Capital and Less About Ownership, Investing Lessons from working with Peter Thiel at Founders Fund, Why Liquidity Aligns Incentives Between Founders and Investors & Why It Is The Last Double That Matters in Ven
May 17, 2021 negative
Disclosure
Insight Partners incorrectly predicted severe underperformance and halted deployment during COVID
“Where we all met with our LPs. We said, you know, we're probably not going to deploy any capital. Valuations are going to go down dramatically. Get ready for probably our worst performance in a really long time. And of course, none of that came true.”
Deven Parekh May 17, 2021 ▶ 6:19 20VC: Insight Managing Director, Deven Parekh on The Current Funding Mania, Compression of Round Timelines, Fund Deployment Speeds Increasing & How To Think Through Price and Time Allocation Across the Portfolio
May 24, 2021
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morris pledges to discuss mental health with LPs and founders
“And I swore to myself and to his widow, Elaine, that I would talk about this whenever I had the chance. So whenever I get in front of LPs, whenever I get in front of my portfolio companies, whenever I have the chance to talk about this, I want to just bring it…”
Nigel Morris May 24, 2021 ▶ 10:02 20VC: Why Bundling Does Not Work, How The Best Founders Analyse Unit Economics, Why The Way We Approach Mental Health in Venture and Startups is Wrong with Nigel Morris, Co-Founder & Managing Partner @ QED Investors
Feb 5, 2022
Disclosure
Multiple LPs invested in RareBreed Ventures without ever speaking to Mac Conwell
“I've had quite a few LPs signed up to be LPs without ever talking to me.”
Mac the VC Feb 5, 2022 ▶ 32:20 Mac the VC on the Journey from Homeless To Becoming A VC | Full Interview with Harry Stebbings · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2022 negative
Assertion Supported
Mac Conwell explains how rolling funds disadvantage LPs who skip quarters
“LPs have to continuously buy in the quarters to make sure they get allocation to the companies you invest in. So if you're not an LP in the specific quarter and that's the quarter I make my best investment in, but you're an LP in the quarter before the quarter…”
Mac the VC Feb 5, 2022 ▶ 30:47 Mac the VC on the Journey from Homeless To Becoming A VC | Full Interview with Harry Stebbings · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 11, 2022 positive
Insight
Garg: LPs should dollar-cost average into crypto over multiple market cycles
“There's a lot of nuance here, and I think we're still very early. So I wouldn't FOMO in. I wouldn't worry about missing it. I would be very deliberate about sort of cost averaging in over a couple of cycles. I don't think people need to freak out about it beca…”
Avichal Garg Apr 11, 2022 ▶ 48:24 20VC: Why Crypto is Software Eating Money, Why Crypto Firms Will Outcompete Traditional Venture Firms, How To Price Tokens and When To Have Them, DAOs: How Are They Structured and What Makes One Successful with Avichal Garg, Co-Founder @ Electric Capital
Apr 11, 2022
Insight
Garg: Ten-year fund lockups benefit crypto LPs despite token liquidity
“And actually, I think the lockup periods, ten-year lockups, despite the liquidity, I think is actually better for LPs because it is a venture asset class. The returns are extremely asymmetric. And you can generate many multiples on your fund if you're patient.”
Avichal Garg Apr 11, 2022 ▶ 26:55 20VC: Why Crypto is Software Eating Money, Why Crypto Firms Will Outcompete Traditional Venture Firms, How To Price Tokens and When To Have Them, DAOs: How Are They Structured and What Makes One Successful with Avichal Garg, Co-Founder @ Electric Capital
May 16, 2022 positive
Disclosure
General Catalyst LPs stayed supportive despite the firm's market underperformance
“We had a tough fundraise. The market was off. We didn't have a lot of liquidity. And we went to our LPs and said, hey, things aren't great right now. We're really, like, feel like we underperformed the market over the last couple of years. But, and they all sa…”
David Fialkow May 16, 2022 ▶ 30:37 20VC: The Founding of General Catalyst, What it Takes to Build a Firm That Stands the Test of Time, Why VCs Need to Give Founders Greater Permission to Go For It & Why Venture Capital is Like Tennis with David Fialkow, Co-Founder @ General Catalyst
May 24, 2022 positive
Insight
Zeev: Founders are the true customers of VCs, not LPs
“That, you know, that it's all about being the best alternative for the founders. The founders are the customers, not the LPs. And the customer's always right. And we work for the founders.”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 46:55 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 24, 2022 bullish
Insight
Zeev: LPs achieve vintage diversification simply by re-upping in annual funds
“If I raise a fund every year and they just are in every fund, they do get the you know, even if one fund is not what he called vintage diversified, they would be vintage diversified if they care about it. I don't care about it, but if they do, you know, they c…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 8:27 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 24, 2022 negative
Insight
Stebbings: LP incentive structures prioritize brand names over financial returns
“Do you know what I think the biggest, most broken thing about LP worlds today is? It's the incentive structures for LPs. I'm speaking to a lot of them who are investing in the biggest brand names, and we don't need to name them, and they have the most egregiou…”
Harry Stebbings May 24, 2022 ▶ 28:30 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 24, 2022 positive
Insight
Stebbings: VC managers should set strict two-to-three-week LP deadlines
“That's why I always advise managers to like put in place deadlines that are not like tomorrow or next week, but like two to three weeks out, because if they're not going to make a three week out deadline, they're not going to do it.”
Harry Stebbings May 24, 2022 ▶ 32:14 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 24, 2022 negative
Insight
Zeev: LPs face no competitive consequences for moving slowly
“I think that it's an extremely non-competitive space. I'm talking about the LPs now, because generally speaking, like, When you're a VC, you're competing for a deal. If you don't move fast enough, if you're not attracted enough to the, for the founders, they'l…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 30:12 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 27, 2022
Disclosure
Senkut: Felicis intentionally filled its first LP board with its toughest skeptics
“We didn't construct a board with all the LPs that were just like in our favor and just kept telling us we're doing a good job. We put the most skeptical ones on our board, the toughest ones”
Aydin Senkut May 27, 2022 ▶ 44:24 Aydin Senkut: How I Scaled from a $4M Angel Fund to $900M AUM | 20VC #890 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 27, 2022 positive
Disclosure
Senkut: Felicis prefers distributing post-IPO stock to LPs over managing positions
“Then I realized that our responsibility to our LPs is not managing their public stock is to be in great companies. And that's why we like to give them the stock, because listen, maybe for some, the right context is to sell the stock right then and there.”
Aydin Senkut May 27, 2022 ▶ 40:46 Aydin Senkut: How I Scaled from a $4M Angel Fund to $900M AUM | 20VC #890 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 30, 2022 negative
Opinion
Rabois: VCs managing public equities post-IPO is a bad idea
“I think it's a bad idea for venture capitalists typically for a variety of reasons. One is skill set. Second thing is most LPs do not in fact want that. They're hiring Venture as an alternative asset class.”
Keith Rabois May 30, 2022 ▶ 17:18 Keith Rabois: The End of Woke Capitalism; Time Allocation Tips; Silicon Valley vs Miami | 20VC #891 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 30, 2022 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rabois: Founders Fund generated top global LP liquidity from 2020 to 2022
“I think we produced the most liquidity for LPs or one of the two most liquid, most distributions over the last two years of any fund on the planet.”
Keith Rabois May 30, 2022 ▶ 9:30 Keith Rabois: The End of Woke Capitalism; Time Allocation Tips; Silicon Valley vs Miami | 20VC #891 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 10, 2022
Disclosure
Stebbings: I meet five LPs per week even when not fundraising
“Like I'm not raising now, but I meet five LPs a week.”
Harry Stebbings Jun 10, 2022 ▶ 55:18 Ruchi Sanghvi: My Job Interview with Mark Zuckerberg; Deep Dive on DAOs | 20VC #895 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 24, 2022 negative
Opinion
Pierre-Jacques: LPs Cannot Expect Emerging GPs to Fit Traditional Criteria
“I push back on LPs like you're looking for these check the boxes and like all GPS aren't going to fit into these perfect boxes of working in venture and, you know, doing a spin out, whatever it may be, or having a great angel track record, because they were al…”
Henri Pierre-Jacques Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 28:58 Henri Pierre-Jacques: How I Founded Harlem Capital; Our $134M Fund | 20VC #901 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 24, 2022
Insight
Targeted contact research yields far better LP introductions than general requests
“When you ask LP for their introductions, they may give you one or two if they're really nice. Most of them are going to be like, okay, cool. And they'll never get back to you because they don't have the time. It's not my job to find the people in my network fo…”
Henri Pierre-Jacques Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 22:06 Henri Pierre-Jacques: How I Founded Harlem Capital; Our $134M Fund | 20VC #901 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 24, 2022 negative
Insight
Harry Stebbings: Emerging managers underutilize existing LPs for LP introductions
“I think the biggest thing that managers miss is they say that I need more LPs. And I say, well, go to your existing LP base and say, can you give me three names that you think would be really well aligned that you will vouch for me to. And people don't leverag…”
Harry Stebbings Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 20:46 Henri Pierre-Jacques: How I Founded Harlem Capital; Our $134M Fund | 20VC #901 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 21, 2022
Insight
Stebbings: LPs feel obligated to reinvest in funds that return 3x
“When people send cash back, they feel obligated to then return cash back for the next funds. It's very difficult for the LP to be fair on them. To get three X funds returned, and then go, thanks Kyle, not coming back for the new one. It's very hard to do.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 21, 2022 ▶ 20:15 Kyle Harrison: Why 75% of Active Investors Will Disappear in the Next Few Years | 20VC #940 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 31, 2022
Insight
Singerman: VC fund returns earn complete freedom from LP interference
“When we've made money for people, you have a lot of more latitude on how you can invest money. So you've got. The freedom to do whatever you want without people breathing down your neck.”
Brian Singerman Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 17:49 Brian Singerman: How I Became a Partner at Founders Fund, Why We Put $400M into Anduril | 20VC #943 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 21, 2022 negative
Opinion
Shah: LPs' biggest mistake was permitting fund size escalation and blind pools
“I think on the LP side, the sin was going along with fund size escalation and allowing and enabling those firms to allocate within those funds. So I believe like In having separate vehicles for separate separate activities, because that's the best governor. An…”
Semil Shah Nov 21, 2022 ▶ 59:07 Semil Shah: Lessons Learned Scaling from a $1M to a $50M Fund | 20VC #951 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 30, 2022 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: LPs Will Drop Many VC Managers But Stay Committed to Venture
“Managers are going to get dropped. Don't get me wrong. Like it's going to be brutal. Right. But they're not going to not remain committed to the asset class.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 30, 2022 ▶ 53:08 Jason Lemkin: Cold Email Tips; Why Only 15% of Founders Listen to their VCs | 20VC #954 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 11, 2023 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: LPs now prioritize DPI returned cash over paper markups
“With regards to track record, in the past, TVPI or paper markups, they were enough. Now, there is a much greater focus on DPI, which is returned capital to investors.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 8:25 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Jan 11, 2023 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: 90% of committed LPs will provide three investor referrals
“Given they've already invested in your fund, they already believe, and so, 90% of them will come back with three names and make those intros.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 19:04 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Jan 11, 2023 negative
Insight
Stebbings: Late-stage angel checks fail to prove seed investment capability
“This does not prove you are a good seed investor, but it merely shows you have access to series B and series C investments. These are very different things, and actually can only serve to discredit you often, as it shows a little bit of naivety.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 8:12 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Jan 11, 2023
Insight
Stebbings: VC teams lacking shared working history trigger LP team risk
“If you have not worked together as a team, the LPs that you are raising from will inherently view this as a massive red flag and label it team risk.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 8:49 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Jan 11, 2023
Insight
Stebbings: Institutional LPs invest in lines, not dots
“LPs invest in lines, not dots. Especially for institutional LPs, it is so rare that an institution will meet you and invest in you without an existing relationship, and without having followed your work before.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 23:31 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Jan 11, 2023 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: VCs refusing to introduce other managers to LPs is moronic
“Many VCs do not like to introduce other managers to their LPs. They view it as competition. This is moronic.”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 20:51 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Jan 11, 2023
Disclosure
Stebbings: I meet two new LPs weekly and email quarterly updates
“In terms of how I think about relationship building with LPs, I always meet two new LPs every week. Two new LPs every week. I then ensure with every quarter, I have a check-in with them, and ensure that they each have a quarterly update. I email them personall…”
Harry Stebbings Jan 11, 2023 ▶ 24:47 20VC: The Memo: How to Raise a Venture Capital Fund (Part I) | The Core Lessons from Raising $400M Over The Last Four Years| The Biggest Mistakes VCs Make When Fundraising | How To Find and Build Relationships with New LPs
Jan 23, 2023 bullish
Disclosure
Stebbings: 20VC completed two crypto investments in Q4 2022 despite LP pushback
“I made two crypto investments in the Q four and my LPs were like, what are you doing?”
Harry Stebbings Jan 23, 2023 ▶ 40:03 Albert Wenger: Elon & Twitter; Impact of SBF; Income Inequality; Will they ban TikTok? | 20VC #969 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2023 neutral
Insight
Patel: Quality inside LPs do not demand forced early DPI
“I think if you've got the right LPs, they've seen enough in this business to understand that generating DPI through pressure isn't the best long-term outcome for the, for them and for the GPs. And then existing LPs have more data to evaluate progress and under…”
Satya Patel Jan 31, 2023 ▶ 57:39 Homebrew’s Hunter Walk & Satya Patel: Why $100M is Not Enough to Execute a Seed Strategy | 20VC #972 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 31, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walk: Homebrew only raised capital from LPs supportive of equal partnerships
“The LPs we ended up with were all LPs who were excited about equal partnerships. The ones who passed on us were ones that wanted a single key mat, like this notion of, well, it's great to have multiple GPs, but at funds under a hundred million dollars, we real…”
Hunter Walk Jan 31, 2023 ▶ 9:05 Homebrew’s Hunter Walk & Satya Patel: Why $100M is Not Enough to Execute a Seed Strategy | 20VC #972 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 13, 2023 bearish
Prediction Held up
Loverro: LPs will refuse to commit to fast-deploying venture funds
“Unfortunately, I think that is gonna be the comeuppance that a bunch of funds suffer. LPs are gonna say no.”
Tom Loverro Feb 13, 2023 ▶ 17:45 Tom Loverro: The Ultimate Startup Survival Guide for 2023 | 20VC #977 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 24, 2023 negative
Insight
Levin: Private market participants are incentivized to maintain pretend valuations
“Everyone in the ecosystem is incentivized and able to maintain sort of pretend valuations. Meaning the investors want to keep their marks where they are. Their LPs actually want them to keep their marks where they are because they don't want to look bad. The c…”
Joey Levin Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 14:23 IAC CEO Joey Levin: Why Value Investing is BS; The Most Insane Element of SPACs | 20VC #982 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Somerville: LPs will downsize fund commitments rather than abandon top managers
“I think what you'll see is smaller investment sizes in the managers that they like. In the ones they really like, they'll just stay the same instead of growing. And in the ones that are on the fringe or in their, you know, respective penalty boxes, as you may …”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 7:19 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Somerville: DPI will become crucial as LPs struggle to evaluate true TVPI
“Showing DPI is going to become more and more important. Mostly because LPs will struggle to evaluate what true TVPI is”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 9:35 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2023 neutral
Insight
Somerville: LP Patience Depends on Management Fees Being Charged on Invested Capital
“If it truly is on invested capital for some of these growth funds, then I think LPs are fine being patient and respecting the discipline of the manager. If it's on committed, that becomes a more problematic scenario”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 11:31 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2023 negative
Insight
Somerville: VC Managers Lacking DPI After Four Funds Face Organizational Risk
“I think if you wait around and have four or five funds and have returned no capital, you're actually introducing organizational risk from an LP standpoint.”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 16:30 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2023 negative
Insight
Somerville: LPs Face Rampant Adverse Selection in SPV Direct Investments
“That they get rampant adverse selection and oftentimes pushed into fee bearing SPVs that even further dilute their end of day return.”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 30:28 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 4, 2023
Insight
Somerville: Denominator effect forces LPs into secondaries to rebalance portfolios
“The denominator effect is effectively when you have both a public and a private book, the public side has gone down more significantly. The private side has come down, but not at the degree or the speed that you've seen the public side go down. And what you're…”
Hunter Somerville Mar 4, 2023 ▶ 2:27 Hunter Somerville: Biggest Mistake LPs Make; Deep Dive into Secondary Markets | 20VC #985 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Guo: Subscale, undifferentiated seed funds will struggle to persist
“I think that it will be a hard time for subscale seed stage funds without a differentiated strategy to persist. I think like it was not hard to raise 10 to fifty million dollars for a couple years and it just will become more because LPs are going to become mo…”
Sarah Guo Apr 28, 2023 ▶ 44:58 Sarah Guo: On Her New $101M Fund; How AI Impacts Inequality; AI Startups vs Incumbents | E1007 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 23, 2023
Insight
Rob Go: LPs Spend 90% of Time on Decks and Track Records
“But like, really, I think most LPs, they spend like 90% of the time on the deck. And the track record, and that's all there is.”
Rob Go Jun 23, 2023 ▶ 12:57 Rob Go: The Ultimate Guide to Raising a Venture Fund | E1029 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 23, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
NextView LPs Committed to Seed and Opportunity Funds at 2:1 Ratio
“All of our LPs were basically investing two to one from the seed fund to the opportunity fund.”
Rob Go Jun 23, 2023 ▶ 6:02 Rob Go: The Ultimate Guide to Raising a Venture Fund | E1029 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2023
Insight
Mohnot: Emerging VC managers should execute a first close immediately
“Just close as soon as possible, like, then they, then LPs can take you seriously because you have a fund and you're investing.”
Sheel Mohnot Jul 17, 2023 ▶ 27:33 Sheel Mohnot: How I Got Married in the Metaverse; Founder vs Product vs Market | E1035 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Mohnot: Every committed LP backed out of BTV's March 2020 fund close
“And this close that we were supposed to do in March, everyone who had already committed, including people who had signed, backed out.”
Sheel Mohnot Jul 17, 2023 ▶ 28:59 Sheel Mohnot: How I Got Married in the Metaverse; Founder vs Product vs Market | E1035 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 17, 2023 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mohnot: VC funds will not return uninvested capital this cycle
“I don't think so. I know that that's happened in the past. I don't just, I just don't see it happening this cycle. And probably if it were to happen, it would have already happened.”
Sheel Mohnot Jul 17, 2023 ▶ 7:04 Sheel Mohnot: How I Got Married in the Metaverse; Founder vs Product vs Market | E1035 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2023 bearish
Assertion Supported
Zullo: Institutional LP capital for emerging VC managers has largely dried up
“All the emerging managers that have come to the game over the last couple of years, like we were all fighting for so much capital with each other. Like a lot of those doors are now closed.”
Rick Zullo Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 36:16 Jason Lemkin & Rick Zullo: How "Mark to Market" Corrupted Venture Capital | E1052 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 23, 2023 negative
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Personnel at large LP institutions are compensated on paper markups
“A lot of LPs Big, at the bigger LPs, they're compensated based on paper markups too. This is less well understood. They're compensated. This drove crazy. Where did all this unicorn explosion come from? People don't understand that the cash had to come from som…”
Jason Lemkin Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 33:19 Jason Lemkin & Rick Zullo: How "Mark to Market" Corrupted Venture Capital | E1052 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Basu Trivedi: Only 10 to 15 LPs globally anchor first-time venture funds
“Yeah, look, I think that there's, especially in a first fund, there's a handful of LPs around the world, at least that I know of and have met, who are truly independent thinking, who will truly raise their hand and say, we're willing to do a first time fund, a…”
Nikhil Basu Trivedi Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 40:15 Nikhil Basu Trivedi: Why 99% of AI Investments Will Go Bust | E1057 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2023
Disclosure
Footwork LPs performed 30 to 40 references on each partner
“We had LPs who did, I don't know, 30, 40 references that we heard about on, on us each.”
Nikhil Basu Trivedi Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 45:23 Nikhil Basu Trivedi: Why 99% of AI Investments Will Go Bust | E1057 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023
Insight
Clarkson: LPs are not in the same risk-taking business as GPs
“Sometimes other folks forget that LPs are not in the same business of risk taking the way that GPs are.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 21:06 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023
Insight
Clarkson: LPs must commit consistently because venture markets cannot be timed
“There is a very long history of looking at venture returns, which says if you're not in the market, you just don't know how to call the exit, so you have to be consistent about committing.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 10:21 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beezer Clarkson: LPs are asking VC managers to slow deployment
“I think there's been many conversations with LPs suggesting GPs slow their roll.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 43:08 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023
Insight
Clarkson: Some LPs invest in funds primarily for direct co-investment checks
“Somebody who, when you call them and you say, why'd you invest in this fund, and they say, oh, I'm only here for the direct deals, I don't care about the return as much. It's not that it doesn't matter, it's just, they're not doing it for the fund return, they…”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 26:20 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: Top VC managers will reject LPs who skip fund cycles
“If you skip a year and you skip a year on the best managers, they're not going to take you back.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 10:39 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Clarkson: LPs internally discount GP fund valuations by 20% to 25%
“Well, I know a lot of LPs that will ask their managers, and then go back home and take another 20 to 25% off the top, because there's things that nobody knows.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 33:37 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023 negative
Insight
Clarkson: Multi-billion-dollar VC funds disconnect GP fees from actual returns
“If you have a fund that's, I don't know, many billions, you're going to have a number of GPs that are making significant dollars, assuming it's spent Not spent on platform and other things. But if you can make that kind of money without even returning the fund…”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 38:37 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023
Insight
Clarkson: Institutional LPs re-up for Fund II because data requires Fund III
“So I think those institutional fund ones from day one will have a much easier time raising fund two, because most LPs have been in the venture business for a while, know that there is only so much you can show in two to three years of work. So barring somethin…”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 17:02 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023 neutral
Insight
Clarkson: Multi-billion-dollar funds exist because large LPs prioritize capital preservation
“There is a class of LPs that need to write very large checks. Those are vehicles that work for that fund size. We also have to understand, I mean, I know you get this, but it's, I think sometimes other folks forget that LPs are not in the same business of risk…”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 20:57 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023
Assertion Supported
Clarkson: VC firms are unstapling core and opportunity funds
“The other thing we're seeing in this market is people are unstapling their funds because a number of LPs felt dragged into it”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 56:40 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 18, 2023 positive
Insight
Beezer Clarkson: Delivering three or four consecutive strong DPI funds is world class
“I think the numbers will tell you if you ask different LPs, if you can get three or four funds in a row with strong DPI, that is world class.”
Beezer Clarkson Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 53:20 Beezer Clarkson: Are LPs Open for Business & Why Do LP Incentive Mechanisms Need to Change? | E1073 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 20, 2023 negative
Assertion Partly supported
LPs Are Abandoning Sub-$100M and $1B+ Funds for $250M-$600M Range
“LPs are moving away from the sub hundred million dollar funds with little track record and little data. In a lot of cases, given the size of their check, it's not worth their time for the risk profile attached. At the same time, LPs are moving away from the bi…”
Harry Stebbings Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 7:17 20VC: NEW FORMAT: Harry Stebbings on Why Seed Pricing is as High as Ever, Why Series A is the Best Place to Invest Today, Why Growth Founders Need to Reshape Expectations, Why M&A Windows Remain Shut and When Will IPO Windows Crack Open
Oct 20, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
LPs Remain Open for Business Despite Negative Public Sentiment
“First and most importantly, despite what you read on Twitter, LPs do remain open for business.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 4:10 20VC: NEW FORMAT: Harry Stebbings on Why Seed Pricing is as High as Ever, Why Series A is the Best Place to Invest Today, Why Growth Founders Need to Reshape Expectations, Why M&A Windows Remain Shut and When Will IPO Windows Crack Open
Oct 20, 2023 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Institutional LPs Are Selling VC Fund Positions at 70-80% Discounts
“We've seen discounts from our data, either in full or as a strip sale, at as much as 70 to 80% off.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 20, 2023 ▶ 22:18 20VC: NEW FORMAT: Harry Stebbings on Why Seed Pricing is as High as Ever, Why Series A is the Best Place to Invest Today, Why Growth Founders Need to Reshape Expectations, Why M&A Windows Remain Shut and When Will IPO Windows Crack Open
Oct 30, 2023 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tomaino: Few crypto funds will raise capital as LP scrutiny increases
“I don't think many crypto funds are getting raised. And I think LPs are going to get a little smarter and do more diligence and not just you know, deploy You know, like crazy into you know, fund managers that don't really have any unique insights or defined st…”
Nick Tomaino Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 34:49 Nick Tomaino: The Future of NFTs, What Will Happen with FTX & Who Should be Held to Account | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Hoffman: LPs will cease re-upping with non-performing VC fund managers
“Well, I do think there were a lot of VCs with subpar returns that were still raising their third, fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh funds. That is very unlikely going to happen in the future. So I think you're the, sorry, VCs that were doing that from LPs. And so …”
Auren Hoffman Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 33:01 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023 positive
Insight
Hoffman: LPs should prefer venture funds led by active CEOs
“It is actually, they're generally not happy when someone in the fund is like also a CEO, but they should be because that fund's going to end up doing so much better. You're going to get into better deals, et cetera.”
Auren Hoffman Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 29:10 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 3, 2023 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: LPs increasingly allocated capital to micro funds and top angels
“One of the things that changed the last four or five years is LPs wanted to put more and more money into angels and micro funds that performed.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 5:36 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2023 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kaden: LPs say some recent seed funds will fail to raise again
“Some seed funds won't be able to raise another fund given the vintage we just left. We're hearing that from LPs”
Rebecca Kaden Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 9:54 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2023 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaden: LPs will reshuffle allocations rather than exit venture capital
“I don't think it's like there's going to be a massive retreat also because innovation is exciting and it will always be, and this is at the heart of it. And Long-term such a believer in it, but I think you're gonna see at least a little bit of a reshuffling an…”
Rebecca Kaden Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 36:09 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 17, 2023 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kaden: LPs are overallocated to venture capital amid a liquidity drought
“They've been over allocated to venture. The liquidity cycle isn't really there. They're nervous about these vintages.”
Rebecca Kaden Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 36:00 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2023
Insight
Lacaillade: Fund managers at scale should cap single LP exposure at 20%
“If you're asking me, you're raising a fund, I think you don't want to have too many LPs, but you also want to have diversity. So I think probably max out ideally at least at scale at call it like 20% would be a lot.”
Peter Lacaillade Dec 18, 2023 ▶ 1:03:20 Peter Lacaillade: Why Now is the Best Time to Invest in Emerging Managers | E1096 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 4, 2024 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Emerging VCs Promised Unrealistic 8x Net Returns to LPs
“Emerging managers for the last four years thought it was so much easier. Every emerging manager promised their LPs eight X net.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 1:24:40 Jason Lemkin: Predictions for 2024 - What Does a Trump Administration do for Startups? | E1099 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 10, 2024 positive
Insight
Ball: LPs should select core managers rather than attempting to time vintages
“And I would say picking vintages from the LP side is, is really hard. The, you know, the, in my opinion, right? Like the right approach is pick a manager and pick managers and manager selection right now is more important than ever and invest across those kind…”
Jamin Ball Jan 10, 2024 ▶ 1:10:52 Ed Sim & Jamin Ball: Did Figma Kill M&A Markets & 3 Requirements to IPO in 2024 | E1101 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2024
Insight
Akkina: Talking to other LPs undermines independent investment thinking
“We try to stay independently minded, right, and I think the more you talk to other LPs, the harder that is to do.”
Ryan Akkina Jan 29, 2024 ▶ 56:08 Ryan Akkina: How MIT Builds Their Venture Fund Portfolio & How MIT Approach Direct Investing | E1109 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Akkina: LP interest in late stage, solo VC, and crypto will return
“Two years ago everyone wanted to do lots of late stage and solo capitalists and crypto, and then, you know, a year later they all think it's dead and don't want to do that ever again. I think most of those things will come back.”
Ryan Akkina Jan 29, 2024 ▶ 53:34 Ryan Akkina: How MIT Builds Their Venture Fund Portfolio & How MIT Approach Direct Investing | E1109 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jan 29, 2024 neutral
Insight
Akkina: LPs Avoid Criticizing Top VCs Due to Scarce Fund Capacity
“The tension there, right, is the top VCs have scarce capacity relative to, You know, their fund size relative to the universe of LPs who might like to invest there's a big mismatch there, right? And so I think LPs often feel reticent to criticize people too ha…”
Ryan Akkina Jan 29, 2024 ▶ 24:13 Ryan Akkina: How MIT Builds Their Venture Fund Portfolio & How MIT Approach Direct Investing | E1109 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 5, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rohan: Raising a debut fund normally takes 12 to 18 months
“Realize that fundraising, especially fun ones, can take time, and you have to be patient. 12 to 18 months is fine. People not meeting with you for a couple months is fine. People taking, you know, months if not sometimes a half a year to reach a decision is fi…”
Terrence Rohan Feb 5, 2024 ▶ 1:11:42 David Tisch & Terrence Rohan: Biggest Misconceptions & Hardest Truths About Seed Investing | E1112 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 19, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Stebbings: Andreessen Horowitz Will Keep Raising Billions on 12% Return Expectations
“I think to your point, though, that the 10, 12% being good enough, I think that's exactly why Andreessen respectfully will continue to thrive and raise billions and billions of more dollars, because compared to the six or seven percent net that they're getting…”
Harry Stebbings Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 25:27 Roger Ehrenberg: Why VC Returns Will Get Worse & Why LP Incentive Structures are so Broken | E1117 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 6, 2024
Insight
Wagner: LPs are frustrated by mega-funds and seek pure-play early-stage VC
“There's a lot of demand for unadulterated early stage venture capital, you know, being practiced by experienced people with a track record. And a lot of the very best people with those track records, you know, are within aircraft carriers now, and the LPs are …”
Peter Wagner Mar 6, 2024 ▶ 57:31 Peter Wagner: 27 Years of Investing Lessons of Picking Founders, Price Discipline & Reserve | E1123 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 22, 2024
Disclosure
Harry Stebbings admits venture capitalists constantly pander to founders and LPs
“As a VC, I constantly pander to founders and to LPs.”
Harry Stebbings Mar 22, 2024 ▶ 9:26 Bryan Johnson: Why Humans are No Longer Qualified to Manage Our Own Affairs | E1130 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 25, 2024 negative
Insight
Clark: LPs prioritize capital deployment over 15-year fund performance
“Most LPs probably aren't going to be in the same job when that feedback comes. So they're more worried about deploying than they are about what happens 15 years down the line when, you know, when the performance data is, is actually in.”
David Clark Mar 25, 2024 ▶ 32:02 David Clark: Lessons from 32 Years of Fund Investing - Why Exits Will Be Larger | E1131 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 25, 2024 positive
Opinion
David Clark: Direct co-investments can selectively capture top 1% venture returns
“I'm not all the way there yet to say that, that actually it's a good thing, but I do think there are situations in which there are different ways to optimize for those top one percent companies. One is to do it through the best primary managers. One is to do i…”
David Clark Mar 25, 2024 ▶ 1:13:15 David Clark: Lessons from 32 Years of Fund Investing - Why Exits Will Be Larger | E1131 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 27, 2024 negative
Insight
Dixon: Junior VC incentives align with job survival, not LP returns
“A lot of issues are so-called principal agent problems. Meaning the individual is not aligned with the kind of the, ultimately with the, you know, with the financial interests of the LPs, because like you're a junior person, you're afraid and you're, you know,…”
Chris Dixon Mar 27, 2024 ▶ 7:12 Chris Dixon: Who Will Win the Next Generation of Venture? | E1132 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 1, 2024 negative
Insight
Mark Suster: All investors act like sheep and follow herd mentality
“All investors are sheep. End of story. Like, I don't want to pick on LPs, like LPs are no different than VCs. They're no different than retail investors.”
Mark Suster May 1, 2024 ▶ 20:54 Mark Suster: Why Private Equity Will Replace IPOs and M&A as the Exit Path | E1147 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 27, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: LPs Are Giving VCs Mulligans on 2021 Funds to Focus on AI Deals
“Everyone's getting a mulligan. Everyone is getting, the LPs have decided they just, there's no point in being a critic for your, A hundred X deals in 20, 21. We're gonna more be a critic for your hundred X AI deals in 20, 24, but the 20, 21 deals are behind us…”
Jason Lemkin May 27, 2024 ▶ 27:19 Jason Lemkin: Why Pricing is Worse Than Ever and There is More Funding Than Ever | E1157 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 26, 2024 negative
Opinion
Khan: VCs claiming founder-first loyalty over LPs are dishonest or clueless
“No, because your fiduciary responsibility legally is to your investors who gave you money. Is the guy who manage money for a fire track, you know, fire, you know, fighters, or who manage money for the teachers, You're, they give their pension money to you. You…”
Imran Khan Aug 26, 2024 ▶ 18:24 Imran Khan: Why the IPO Market is Not Closed & Lessons From Taking Snap & Alibaba Public | E1194 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 6, 2024 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Stebbings: VC LPs face unrecognized permanent loss of capital
“I think it's a permanent loss of capital issue, actually, and that they actually have significantly impaired books that they just don't know yet.”
Harry Stebbings Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 20:21 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 14, 2024
Insight
Frankel: Check-to-fund size ratio reveals true investor alignment
“I think for entrepreneurs and for LPs, right, size of fund, check in company versus size of fund tells you everything. Everything.”
David Frankel Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 32:18 David Frankel, MP @Founder Collective: Investing Lessons from Seeding Coupang, Pillpack & Suno|E1214 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 14, 2024 negative
Opinion
Stebbings: "What themes do you like?" is the worst question LPs ask
“Worst question LPs ask, and I get in trouble for this, is, What themes do you like?”
Harry Stebbings Oct 14, 2024 ▶ 17:27 David Frankel, MP @Founder Collective: Investing Lessons from Seeding Coupang, Pillpack & Suno|E1214 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 positive
Insight
Goldberg: LP diversity should focus on independent thinking over institution types
“One of the best piece of advice we got was build a diverse set of LPs and not in terms of the institutions you just described Fund to fund family office you know endowments and foundations, but people that, you know, think differently and think independently.”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 32:27 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Goldberg: Venture capital funds rarely close in less than 15 years
“Even when I started fundraising, I thought the duration of a fund was 10 years, and I was surprised to learn that many of the LPs said, we rarely see closed funds before 15 years.”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 37:22 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 25, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Goldberg: LPs advised Chemistry to accept low-ownership brand deals
“We had some LPs say exactly the same advice, which was one of our more surprising moments from our fundraise where some of the LP said, you know, listen, it's that important that you're in some of these brand deals to be able to establish yourselves and don't …”
Mark Goldberg Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 50:31 Mark Goldberg: Why Politics is Rife & Decision-Making is Broken in Large VCs | E1219 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 20, 2024 negative
Insight
Sertoglu: Early-stage VCs lose their edge once a startup goes public
“Once the stock is public, we felt that we have lost our entire edge in trying to Manage that investment. And I think as early stage investors, our job is to then leave that decision to our LPs.”
Cem Sertoglu Nov 20, 2024 ▶ 48:49 Cem Sertoglu: Lessons from the Greatest Venture Investment in European History | E1228 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 27, 2024 negative
Insight
Klaus Hommels: Venture capital isn't about sitting back and passing judgment
“Venture is not sitting in a nice office with borrowed power of LPs and playing like in old Caesar's times, thumbs up, thumbs down.”
Klaus Hommels Nov 27, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Klaus Hommels: Why "Portfolios are Merely a Construct to Make LPs Happy"? | E1231 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 3, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hyatt: Most VC firms are failing to adapt due to LP constraints
“No, I think most, you know this cycle, because the cycle in VC evolution is like horribly, horribly slow, because it also loops back to LPs. They don't get to act on their own.”
Nabeel Hyatt Feb 3, 2025 ▶ 4:23 Nabeel Hyatt, GP @ Spark Capital: To Win in AI, Investors Need to Change Their Approach | E1255 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 10, 2025 positive
What-if
Selling Stocks at Lockup Would Have Lost LPs $2 Billion
“If we had sold them all at lockup, we would have returned two billion dollars less to our LPs.”
Jake Saper Mar 10, 2025 ▶ 1:13:18 Jake Saper, GP @ Emergence Capital: "We Sold Salesforce Early and Lost Out on Billions" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 10, 2025 neutral
What-if
Emergence Missed Out on $2 Billion by Not Selling Stocks at Peak
“What's interesting, and this just is like totally coincidental, if we had sold all of our shares at peak price of whatever, whenever the peak price proposed for that stock, we would have made two billion dollars more for our LPs.”
Jake Saper Mar 10, 2025 ▶ 1:13:26 Jake Saper, GP @ Emergence Capital: "We Sold Salesforce Early and Lost Out on Billions" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2025 positive
Insight
Green: Good communication retains LPs through bad fund vintages
“By the way, without good performance, you can have none of it, but I can tell you that people, here's the thing though, people want the nice guy, the good guy, the person who communicates to win. So like, if you have a bad vintage or two bad vintage funds, the…”
Mitchell Green Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 48:57 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2025 negative
Opinion
Green: Venture capital GPs are complacent about returning LP capital
“There's just a lot of, like, I think a lot of people in this industry are very complacent. All of us as GPs, Need to do a better job getting money back to LPs and figuring out how to do it.”
Mitchell Green Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 24:30 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2025 positive
Insight
Green: LPs are a VC firm's most important customer
“Well I would tell you that we have two customers. Founders, but more importantly, LPs, because if you do not have LPs, you do not have a business.”
Mitchell Green Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 47:45 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2025
Insight
Green: LPs should reference check VC managers with failed founders
“I also think like LPs should spend more time talking to companies of portfolios that failed, like actually talk to the ones that didn't go well, or like were the one X's to find out what is the person really like to work with. Like the ones that work really we…”
Mitchell Green Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 58:18 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2025
Insight
Green: LPs must ask VCs why they held unlocked stock in 2021
“I believe a great question that people don't ask, that they should ask. Any manager who is around, who's been around 10 plus years, hey, in September of 21, September 30th of 21, how much unlocked stock did you have in your portfolio? And let's say September, …”
Mitchell Green Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 57:28 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 26, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Green: Lead Edge Capital targets 97% gross LP dollar retention
“So like, we run our business trying to figure out how do we have 97%, how do we keep up 97% gross dollar retention, not net, gross, With LPs.”
Mitchell Green Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 48:12 Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Hulme: Sequoia Capital Names Its Meeting Rooms After Its LP Institutions
“One of the things I admire about Sequoia is that their meeting rooms, I think, are named after their LPs.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 47:03 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2025 neutral
Insight
O'Driscoll: LPs will forgive PE firms for one bad fund, but not two
“I don't think someone's going to say, you know, Tomo Bravo, one of these guys, you're an idiot forevermore. Because you did that dumb thing, right? They're probably not. They're going to say, Ooh, that funds up. Now you put two funds back for our conversation.…”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 22:47 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2025 negative
Opinion
O'Driscoll: LPs cannot replicate Founders Fund's returns with other managers
“An LP saying I'll do founders fund because they got these returns and 10 other funds, they'll be just like founders fund. That sentence doesn't make sense. They won't be just like founders' funds because They're not the same people with the same approach.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 54:00 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 17, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Megafund growth ends only when institutional CIOs halt VC allocations
“It won't stop because the venture guys will be mature. It won't stop because the founders will kind of be more careful. It won't even stop because the LPs will stop. It will stop because the LP's bosses, the overall CIOs will stop allocating capital to venture…”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 30:40 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2025
Insight
O'Driscoll: VC fund size doesn't matter to LPs as long as you perform
“The world you really suffered is if you don't perform. And if you do perform, no one gives a damn if you're small, medium, and large, you know, right.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 31:13 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 24, 2025 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: LPs miscalculated distribution planning during prolonged tech liquidity drought
“One, everyone got their distribution planning wrong, their cash planning wrong. That's what happened in the industry. This is even pre Trump, pre everything. This is conversations I had late last year with LPs is we just, we, we're cool with our paper returns.…”
Jason Lemkin Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 41:48 How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 28, 2025
Insight
Hinrikus: Investor alignment depends on investing personal capital alongside LP funds
“I think there is one thing if you're a rich investor and you play with only other people's money, there's a different thing if you're a rich investor and you're investing your own money. So I think it's a question of alignment and hopefully we'll talk more abo…”
Taavet Hinrikus Apr 28, 2025 ▶ 12:17 Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 5, 2025 positive
Insight
Moore: Sophisticated LPs commit to VC managers for 3-4 funds minimum
“Sophisticated LPs invest with any manager for at least three to four funds, and they know that is the optimal way for them to capture that alpha because it's really hard to be timing the market, as we all know.”
Bucky Moore May 5, 2025 ▶ 11:08 Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 16, 2025 negative
Disclosure
G Squared lost $400 million of LP capital on investments
“Yeah, it's a big win, but hey, we also lost. Four hundred million dollars of their money over here.”
Larry Aschebrook Jun 16, 2025 ▶ 35:47 Larry Aschebrook, Founder & MP @GSquared: How We Lost Money on Uber and Made Millions on Lyft · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jun 16, 2025 negative
Disclosure
G Squared stopped share distributions to LPs to avoid blame
“We stopped distributing shares because LPs blame you if they hold it.”
Larry Aschebrook Jun 16, 2025 ▶ 1:05:54 Larry Aschebrook, Founder & MP @GSquared: How We Lost Money on Uber and Made Millions on Lyft · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Jul 31, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: The next downturn will prove why traditional VC governance existed
“Rules of thumb, our heuristics are in place because across cycles, they've been proven to be correct. And my guess is some part of this trend makes total sense. And some part of it, you look back after next down and turn and say, oh yeah, that's why we had tha…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 31, 2025 ▶ 12:29 Why Apple Needs a Management Overhaul & Why Google is Catching Up with Hyperscalers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
Lack of Distributions Is the Main Headwind for VC Re-Ups
“It'll still be the idiosyncratic headwinds of there's just no capital coming back from venture, right? That's the headwind to the asset class for LPs re-upping today.”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 33:56 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 4, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Some LPs Choose to Ignore Huge GP Management Fees
“I think certain LPs choose to just not even think about it, frankly.”
Miles Dieffenbach Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 54:51 Miles Dieffenbach: Inside Carnegie Mellon’s $4BN Endowment & The Math Behind DPI, TVPI, Illiquidity · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 22, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Taneja: LPs programmatically sell distributed stock immediately post-IPO
“Because a lot of the LPs will have their public sleeve and their private sleeve. You give them stock, they'll sell it. And it's like programmatic for them.”
Hemant Taneja Sep 22, 2025 ▶ 1:07:03 General Catalyst CEO, Hemant Taneja: Lessons Scaling GC to $40BN in AUM · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Sep 25, 2025 negative
Insight
Jason Lemkin: LPs bragging on LinkedIn signals peak market froth
“The frothiest sign is now LinkedIn LPs are bragging about their returns on LinkedIn LPs. When LPs are start bragging about their returns to me that that's the most, 20, 21 moment I've seen when LPs are LPs who are usually hide behind the wizard of Oz curtain a…”
Jason Lemkin Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 21:57 The Impact of H1B Visas on Startups in the US & NVIDIA Invests $100BN Into OpenAI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 9, 2025
Disclosure
Lemkin: SaaStr fund LPs have no legal rights to sell their stakes
“My LPs have no rights to sell at all. Like literally nothing. There's no exceptions for, you If you're struggling or if you're, or, it's just, I'm shocked because a lot of the stuff is LP friend. This one is absolute. You have no rights to sell.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 9, 2025 ▶ 38:58 OpenAI's Multi-Billion Deal with AMD & Polymarket, Vercel and Supabase Raise Mega Rounds · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Oct 16, 2025
Insight
Stebbings: LPs Question VC Motivation Even After Strong DPI Returns
“For the first three funds, you know, there's no DPI. And then you return a shitload of DPI, and then LPs go, mm, but are they really hungry anymore? Cause they've made a lot of money.”
Harry Stebbings Oct 16, 2025 ▶ 3:24 Thinking Machines Co-Founder Joins Meta for $3.5BN, Industry Venture's $665M Acquisition · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 10, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Randle: Benchmark constrains fund sizes to survive downturns and retain LPs
“We're like, let's constrain our fund sizes. Let's be careful about what we do. So we don't get too over our skis, where we can easily weather a crash, and LPs aren't going to go fleeing once there's a crash, because we've been very careful with our capital, an…”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 1:16:23 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 10, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Randle: Mega-fund leaders like Andreessen and Horowitz cannot promise 5x returns
“I don't think Ravi or Hamant or even Ben and Mark at this point, I don't think that they can go to LPs and say, hey, we're going to get you five X net on that.”
Everett Randle Nov 10, 2025 ▶ 0:16 Benchmark's GP, Everett Randle on Why Mega Funds Will Not Produce Good Returns · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Feb 2, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Zeev will not change deployment pace for LP vintage preferences
“I'm going to do my thing, and if it works for them, fine, and if not, they can opt themselves out, and some of them have, and it's fine. Good people opted out, and it's fine. I'm not going to do things differently.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 28:54 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
Feb 2, 2026 negative
Insight
Zeev: GP-level diversification provides no value to LPs
“By the way, from the LP perspective, diversification at the level of the GP makes no sense, because they have multiple GPs, so, so the diversification gives nothing to LPs.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 28:06 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
Feb 2, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Zeev: Most LPs have suffered a 4 to 5 year liquidity drought
“But right now, there's been a drought of liquidity for most LPs for a long time, five, four, five years.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 40:01 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
Feb 2, 2026 negative
Opinion
Zeev: LPs are excessively focusing on DPI while discounting paper marks
“Because of that, I think there is, I would say too much focus even, but understandably on DPI, and where, you know, people hardly talked about it three years ago, and now some LPs, oh, it's just DPI. It's just DPI. We don't believe anything.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 40:21 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
Feb 2, 2026 neutral
Insight
Zeev: Refuses to give LPs strategy promises to maintain investing flexibility
“And that's exactly why I don't tell LPs anything in terms of what I'm going to do, because I feel that if I tell LPs something, I would feel too committed to that specific strategy, which I may have thought it was the right strategy, but then there's a situati…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 58:17 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
Feb 26, 2026 negative
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2031
Lemkin: I will never host another LP Annual General Meeting
“I told my LPs and COVID I'm not doing this. I'm not doing any more AGMs. I'm not standing up there with like, here's the numbers. I'll go talk to you. Like I'll drop by your office, but I'm done with this performative. All day circus of an AGM. It's not that I…”
Jason Lemkin Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 1:20:05 Citrini Research Breakdown: Agents, "Ghost GDP", Consumer Spend | Figma Earnings Beat · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 2, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zinman: LPs will eventually stop pouring money into private tech startups
“At some point, investors are going to see the same company 20 times a month, and LPs is, is, is not going to pour a lot of money, and I get it.”
Eran Zinman Mar 2, 2026 ▶ 53:09 Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 7, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Green: Only VCs Who Continually Return Capital Will Survive Long-Term
“LPs want money back, and the people that stay in, they're gonna be in business 1015, 20 years from now, are people that will continue to give money back to their investors.”
Mitchell Green Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 38:32 Mitchell Green: Why 50% of VCs Should Not Exist · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 7, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Green: VC liquidity crisis will persist until LPs refuse re-ups
“When LPs go to the biggest venture funds in the world, and private equity funds, and say, we're not investing in your next fund until you get liquidity in these names.”
Mitchell Green Mar 7, 2026 ▶ 49:22 Mitchell Green: Why 50% of VCs Should Not Exist · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 16, 2026
Insight
Rajaram: VC funds must sell if go-forward IRR trails fund target
“If you go forward IRR at every liquidity opportunity is lower Then what you are basically promising your LPs or what you think your fund should have. I think you should sell. I think you have an obligation to LPs to at least sell.”
Gokul Rajaram Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 1:04:16 Gokul Rajaram: How to Analyse for Durability and Defensibility in a World of AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Mar 16, 2026
Insight
Rajaram: LPs should backchannel a VC's last five founders
“Most VC pitches look the same. What you want to do is dig one level deeper and talk to the founders themselves and understand for each of the last five companies that they're invested in, why did this founder pick this firm?”
Gokul Rajaram Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 55:10 Gokul Rajaram: How to Analyse for Durability and Defensibility in a World of AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 30, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Private equity losses will reduce LP appetite for venture risk
“If the safe part of the business takes some significant hits, it, you know, it's definitely going to reduce the appetite for risk.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 49:51 Anthropic Raises $45B but Falls Short on Compute & Thoma Bravo Hand Back Medallia Keys to Creditors · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 7, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Stebbings: LPs Have Reverted to Prioritizing Paper TVPI Over Real Returns
“I speak to a lot of LPs now, and do you know what, honestly, we can say what we want. They've gone back to wanting TVPI. They've gone back to wanting big numbers. And yes, they want DPI, of course, they always want DPI. But they are still very impressed by TVP…”
Harry Stebbings Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 54:55 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
Aug 7, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Frankel: Founder Collective Is Too Small for LPs Requiring $50M Checks
“A lot of them, like, have minimum size checks now, so we're too small for quite a few of them. It's like, if I can't put fifty million dollars to it, and I think there's, it just reflects the inflation of the entire environment, and there are a bunch that real…”
David Frankel Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 55:46 The AI Boom Will Create Enormous Roadkill: Who Wins & Loses? | David Frankel
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