The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 487 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Pysh: Bitcoin will probably peak between $200,000 and $300,000
“It's going to go straight through that number. It's probably going to go to two to 300,000.”
Pompliano: Bitcoin will hit $100,000 by the end of 2021
“I think that from now where we're recording this in April of 2020, I think that by the end of 2021, we'll see Bitcoin hit a 100,000 dollar price point”
Microsoft screws channel partners by cutting renewal commissions to 5%
“Microsoft screws their channel program partners. What do they do? They give them a nice 30% commission on the first year, and a nice five percent commission on the second year when the customer renews.”
Martin: Bootstrapped SaaS Grows 6.7% Faster Than VC-Backed Past $10M ARR
“Another statistic that I saw was SaaS median growth rate over ten million ARR is 24%, so growth goes down obviously a little bit as you're scaling the organization.
However, if you split out venture-backed companies, Bootstrapped actually grows 6.7% faster
Tha…”
Singh: Non-BTC/ETH Top 10 Cryptos Will Be Replaced Within Two Years
“So I personally, my belief is that everyone in the top 10 maybe bar ETH and Bitcoin will be switched out in the next 12 to 24 months.”
Lynn: Majority of created art has outperformed the S&P 500
“At least for the majority of art created, it's outperformed the S&P.”
Jonathan Herzog claims SEO disinformation generated 100,000 false headlines post-launch
“Immediately thereafter, a targeted Systematic disinformation campaign was launched, where if you Google my name, Jonathan Herzog, on a computer and hit the news tab, you will see 100,000 of false headlines improperly indexed through SEO manipulation to myself,…”
Jeff Booth: Technology Will Prevent Net Global Job Growth
“There's not going to be net global job gain globally. Right. Through, through what's happening with technology.”
Michael Litt claims Box artificially lowers CAC by filing hosting under COGS
“Historically, actually, and this may be an interesting backtrack is, is Box, right? When they host someone's files for free, right? In my opinion, that's a customer acquisition cost because you're paying for that content, but you know, they file that away as a…”
Rampton: Pixloo patent covered 360-degree photos and was widely infringed
“Yeah, so there was a technology, primarily we owned a patent. Or, I mean, that was probably our biggest asset was we owned a patent where if you take a camera and spin it 360 degrees. We own that patent. So pretty much. Yeah. Any photographer in the world has …”
Puri: Blab's audience will be larger than any cable TV network
“And so what we're going to do is we're going to gather the biggest audience we can. And I believe that that will end up being bigger than Any cable TV network out there.”
Novoselsky: 65% of B2B Searches Start on Social, Not Google
“Here's the stat that's really alarming, is 65% of the B to B search starts on social, not on Google.”
Bhattacharya: Involve.ai can reach $20M ARR without raising more capital
“We don't think we would need to raise another round, at least in the near future to keep growing. And we feel we can get to ten million, even twenty million in ARR very quickly without even raising extra capital.”
Total India and SE Asia MarTech market is only $150M to $200M
“So the challenge for us is that the Indian market is actually quite small, even though the customer base is very large companies don't pay a lot of money yet. So the email market plus the martech business put together would probably be just about 150 odd milli…”
Miles: Salad is the world's fourth largest supercomputer
“We're now the world's fourth largest supercomputer.”
SecurityScorecard: Valuation will triple or quadruple within 18 to 24 months
“We believe that within the next. 18 to 24 months, again, we're going to triple or quadruple evaluation of a company or more.”
O'Shull: Derive is the only fleet software writing to vehicle ECUs
“And that's really the secret sauce in the enterprise fleet management space. Nobody's doing that. Everybody's reading from the ECU to do telematics and all that kind of stuff. Nobody is really writing back to it.”
Svizovich: Referizer Will Go Public Within Five Years
“A hundred employees to get a rich financial freedom in five years when you go public.”
Holmes: Resonant could reach $100M revenue by 2025 to 2026
“We're thinking that the opportunity set is in the 20, 25, 20, 26 range is where those opportunities will present themselves as the unit volumes continue to expand and the number of devices continue to expand over the course of the next several years.”
McKelvey: Apple kicked VeriFone out of Apple Stores after Square attack
“He ended up upsetting Apple, and Apple kicked them out of the Apple store.”
Programmatic advertising will dominate the recruitment ad market within five years
“Programmatic is going to own that market in five years. And it's companies like ours and ICIMS and others that are going to help customers do that.”
Raanani: Chorus.ai will become a billion-dollar company in 5-7 years
“Is that there's a billion dollar enterprise value company five to seven years from now, that's ours to lose.”
Sholom: GameCredits will acquire tens of millions of Indian users in 2017
“And then the marketing efforts that we will run because we're going to acquire Already this year, tens of millions of users in India.”
Le Moal: Payment processing could become free in a few years
“All the rest, you could really imagine that in a few years, the payment itself, the processing itself will be free.”
Latka predicts he will take a company public by age 30
“I, Andrew, I want your listeners to know this. It's recorded. I'm taking company public by the time I turn 30.”
Eisenberg: Nexar covered more road mileage in 9 months than Google Street View
“We've already covered in, you know, like nine months more mileage than Google Street View has in all its existence.”
Walch: Apple will never release granular playback drop-off data
“And I don't see Apple ever releasing out the information that we would need to get on that playback and where it leaves.”
Kershenbaum predicts Anthropic's Claude will avoid targeting niche month-end accounting workflows
“Can Claude focus on, on that specific use case and try to wage war? Yeah, I think it's highly unlikely though for them to do so.”
Malinan: Shopify caps videos at full HD and lacks adaptive delivery
“Shopify limits your videos to full HD. You cannot have a video which is higher resolution than that. Also, they kill the quality. They don't have the adaptive delivery and just the overall performance is, is just terrible.”
Singh: PAR Is Second-Best Performing Sub-$10B Public Software Stock
“In that sort of sub-ten billion dollar software, we're the best performer sans one company over the last one, three, five years.”
Singh: PAR Technology founders invented the point-of-sale terminal in 1978
“In 1978, our founders invented the point of sale terminal.”
Martin: Y Combinator startup cohort shifted from 16% to 82% remote post-COVID
“Pre-COVID, Y Combinator saw that 16% of their startups were started remotely. Today, this cohort, 82% are partially or fully remote.”
Afsahi: Competitors lack B2B fraud data for China, Russia, Middle East
“None of our competitors provide their, any data from regions like China or Russia, Middle East, and we include all of these data in our databases as well.”
Patel: Canva reached $1M MRR roughly 30 days after launching
“They're one of the fastest companies to ever hit a million dollars in MR. I think they did it in 30 days or something like that of launching.”
Martin: GitLab operates with thousands of employees but conducts zero meetings
“Multi-billion dollar company. Public now. Incredibly successful. They don't do meetings at all. I have a couple thousand people. They don't do meetings.”
Nassar: Clearbit and Seamless.ai Miss Professional-to-Consumer Links
“You know, rocket reach seamless.ai clear bit. There's several of them that exist out there. And a lot of them use the same kind of waterfall of vendors that exists, but what they're not doing is they're not tying the professional profile with the consumer prof…”
Britton: Suzy will likely IPO in two to three years at around $200M ARR
“So who knows what, when we'd be able to IPO, I would say likely in the next two to three years, but probably closer than we're at two hundred million ARR versus a hundred.”
Stripe pays $350k for mid-range software engineers in Ireland
“I mean, I see on these boards on Reddit that Stripe are paying 350 K for mid-range engineers. I mean, that's madness in Ireland.”
Siddhar: $50 Per Eight-Minute Answer Beats Traditional Expert Hourly Rates
“The average time that you spend asking a question is eight minutes. And if you make 50 dollars in eight minutes is more than any other expert networks paying experts in an hourly basis.”
Twitter bought Crashlytics for 'well over' $100M, correcting $38M reports
“It was yeah, it wasn't 38. It was over a hundred, well over a hundred.”
Hayes: StartEngine does not require companies to list all revenue
“No, we don't have to always, we don't have to list all of our revenue on Start Engine. You don't have to do that.”
Schneider: Salto syncs SaaS configurations, whereas Zapier just moves data
“If you think about Zapier that you just mentioned, they are connecting more the data at Move. We are connecting the configuration of all those tools, and we are synchronizing the configuration. So if you think about this, there are three parts here. There is t…”
Yang: Yva.ai is probably only HR tool integrating collaboration sources
“We are the only company in the world, probably, at least I don't know anyone else, who connects system to collaboration sources like Microsoft Teams, Select, Jira, GitHub, and other collaboration circles.”
Sohn predicts Recruiter.com will reach profitability by early 2022
“And so we're trying to do this in a balanced fashion, hit profitability, and we'll, we'll get there early in 22.”
Britton: All market research competitors must buy users from programmatic platforms
“We own the app. We own the brand. We own the users. Every other company actually has to buy users from a programmatic audience platform. If they want to provide an audience, we were almost, we have a vertical model.”