The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 3,128 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bogart: Blockchain Capital Fund 4 will almost certainly be oversubscribed at $250M
“It's almost certainly going to be an oversubscribed, two hundred and fifty million dollar fund.”
Spencer Bogart Oct 4, 2017 ▶ 10:38 802: Crypto VC: After $10m Raised in ICO for Fund 3, Now Demand High for $250m Fund 4
Assertion Partly supported
Bogart: Grayscale's GBTC is the best traditional security wrapper for Bitcoin
“The reality is that this is the best product that exists today. It's not a perfect product, but it's the best that exists today, and the only way to get exposure to an exotic asset that is Bitcoin in a traditional security wrapper, right?”
Spencer Bogart Oct 4, 2017 ▶ 3:43 802: Crypto VC: After $10m Raised in ICO for Fund 3, Now Demand High for $250m Fund 4
Assertion Partly supported
Bogart: Blockchain Capital capped its pioneering ICO venture fund at $10M
“We raised the world's very first venture fund via an ICO. So we limited the size. We capped it at just a small, ten million dollar offering to make sure that, you know, we can mitigate, mitigate risk there. And make sure that it's successful. That offering, th…”
Spencer Bogart Oct 4, 2017 ▶ 8:18 802: Crypto VC: After $10m Raised in ICO for Fund 3, Now Demand High for $250m Fund 4
Assertion Partly supported
FirstBlood Liquidated 80% of Its $5M ICO Immediately, Latka Reveals
“So First Blood, for example, they issued about 460,000 Ether, which came out to about five million dollars in total value. He told me they immediately liquidated 80%, so they put four million, basically, at the, at that time, Ether was valued at 11 bucks, righ…”
Nathan Latka Oct 2, 2017 ▶ 14:42 800: Crypto: He's Advisor Behind Worlds Top ICO's
Assertion Supported
McCormick: Anyone can buy their way onto a bestseller list
“Of course it is. You've got a lot of people out there who actually do it. So yeah, it's, as we've always said, you can buy anything. So yes.”
JT McCormick Sep 22, 2017 ▶ 2:09 790: Book in a Box Passes $11.3m in Revenue, 500+ Authors
Assertion Supported
Herzog: Bancor raised $153M in three hours during record-setting ICO
“And we raised in three hours, something that was at the time, a hundred fifty three million dollars, which was at the time the large, largest fundraising ever, but that record was quickly broke by following ICOs.”
Eyal Herzog Sep 19, 2017 ▶ 7:25 787: Crypto: With $163m Raised, He Launched the #1 ICO
Assertion Contradicted
Grant Cardone publicly predicted Jeremy Haynes's agency would fail within four months
“Grant actually followed that up with going on Cardone Zone and then saying that I'd publicly fail in four months.”
Jeremy Haynes Sep 4, 2017 ▶ 19:46 772: How Grant Cardone, Others Spend $25k To Get 100m Person Social Media Blasts
Assertion Partly supported
Sholom: MobileGo raised $53M in May 2017 crowdsale
“It has happened this May and we've been raising fifty three million, which became number four result worldwide in crowd sales and number one result in crypto by that time. Right now, like we are in third place as far as I know.”
Sergey Sholom Sep 2, 2017 ▶ 12:45 770: Crypto: He Has Third Largest ICO Ever With $53m Raised
Assertion Partly supported
Sholom: MobileGo had nearly 10,000 investors, more than any ICO
“We had almost 10,000 crypto investors. None, none other ICOs have that many. Usually it's like a couple of hundreds of big whales, and that's it. In our case, it's real crowdsale.”
Sergey Sholom Sep 2, 2017 ▶ 15:08 770: Crypto: He Has Third Largest ICO Ever With $53m Raised
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Herold: The financial markets are at their absolute peak in August 2017
“I think we're at the very, very peak of a market right now.”
Cameron Herold Aug 28, 2017 ▶ 11:50 765: How This Coach Can Charge $80k+ per Year for One Gig
Assertion Contradicted
Schreiber: No one had ever bought or sold freight online before Freightos
“And take into account that before Freighthouse, no one had ever sold freight online, and nobody had ever bought freight online.”
Zvi Schreiber Jul 27, 2017 ▶ 17:27 733: With $50M Raised, He's Leading Cargo Container Software Space
Assertion Contradicted
Korber: BreezoMeter is the only provider publishing accuracy reports
“We are the only company in the world, probably the only authority in the world that publish its accuracy. On a very clear, you can download accuracy reports in our website.”
Ran Korber Jul 12, 2017 ▶ 17:33 718: Air Pollution is Deadly, How Isralei Entrepreneur Is Cashing In
Prediction Held up
KnowBe4 expects to generate $50 million in revenue in 2017
“We're gonna do fifty million in this year, 2017.”
Stu Sjouwerman Jul 10, 2017 ▶ 5:06 716: Putin is Making This Man $50 Million Per Year
Assertion Contradicted
Dream Funded was first SF platform approved for non-accredited investors
“We're fortunate that we're the first platform in Silicon Valley in San Francisco to receive the approval to allow they call it non-accredited investors to invest.”
Manny Fernandez Jul 1, 2017 ▶ 9:35 707: Government Gives Him Power to Let Non-Accredited Investors Invest
Assertion Partly supported
Dolan: 50,000 to 90,000 people die annually from SUDEP seizures
“A lot of people actually die per year because of seizures around 50 to 90,000. So from a condition called SUDEP, sudden unexplained death and epilepsy patients.”
Eric Dolan Jun 28, 2017 ▶ 12:18 704: A Son Saving His Mom With Health Tech Product That Recognizes Seizures
Assertion Contradicted
Ozen: Vistar Media is the only programmatic out-of-home ad player
“Because we're the only player that does programmatic out of home.”
Jeremy Ozen Jun 11, 2017 ▶ 18:00 687: Monaco Bored Him, Now Places Ads on DIgital Billboards with VistarMedia CEO Jeremy Ozen
Assertion Contradicted
Jumper: SIGNiX is North America's only cloud digital signature provider
“So, we're the only cloud-based digital signature company in the U.S. Or North America. Everybody else is a e-signature solution.”
Jay Jumper Jun 9, 2017 ▶ 1:33 685: He Loved A Product, So Acquired Whole Business with Doc Signing Signix CEO Jay Jumper
Prediction Held up
Jay Jumper: Vanguard will maintain its AUM lead over Wealthfront and Betterment
“Vanguard keeps its lead. Vanguard's done a great job of having a an investment. What most, most people don't spend a lot of time and attention on the cost associated with and having a low cost solution like Vanguard has been a very good, done a very good job o…”
Jay Jumper Jun 9, 2017 ▶ 24:44 685: He Loved A Product, So Acquired Whole Business with Doc Signing Signix CEO Jay Jumper
Assertion Supported
Corthout: HubSpot's free CRM lacks deep mailbox integration and automation
“They don't scrape email signatures. The connection with the mailbox is, is, is much, much less there. We have some more automation.”
Jeroen Corthout May 28, 2017 ▶ 10:04 673: Getting Your First 100 Customers with Salesflare CEO Jeroen Corthout
Assertion Supported
Stein: Warren Buffett does not practice his own passive investing advice
“He's, he doesn't do what he preaches, right? He's an active investor himself.”
John Stein May 25, 2017 ▶ 14:36 670: Betterment Vs. Vanguard, Betterment Passes 200,000 Investors, $8B in AUM with CEO Jon Stein
Assertion Supported
Ellis: Dropbox was the fastest SaaS business to hit $1B ARR
“They're the fastest company, fastest SaaS business to ever get to the one billion dollar revenue run rate”
Sean Ellis May 1, 2017 ▶ 25:11 646: He Coined Term "Growth Hacking" After DropBox, EventBrite, LogMeIn Work, Now Launching Book "Hacking Growth" with Sean Ellis
Assertion Partly supported
Ewan: 500M Offline Farmers Produce 70% of World's Food
“Five hundred million farmers without internet, but supplying 70% of the world's food”
Kenny Ewan Apr 30, 2017 ▶ 2:16 645: WeFarm Helps 140k Off-Grid Farmers Learn Faster, $1.7M Raised, 90% Still Active After 3 Months with CEO Kenny Ewan
Prediction Held up
Mark Zuckerberg Might Run for President in 2024
“No, but he might run in twenty-twenty-four.”
Derek Thompson Apr 11, 2017 ▶ 17:28 EP 626: Senior Editor at The Atlantic Releases Book To Predict Popularity In New Distraction Age with writer Derek Thompson
Assertion Contradicted
Organifi Clinical Trials Showed Weight Loss and Improved Cholesterol
“We've done clinical trials on it. So we've actually seen weight loss. We've seen improved depression backscore people improving their mood. We've seen good cholesterol levels increase, bad cholesterol decrease in our clinicals.”
Drew Canole Feb 23, 2017 ▶ 2:39 EP 579: Organifi Hits $25M 2016 Sales, 150k Customers, Indian Sourced Ashwagandha is Million Dollar Ingredient with CEO Drew Canole
Assertion Supported
Girard: Fruit Street raised $6M from 180 physician investors
“The company started in May of 2014 and, you know, we've raised about six million dollars of funding from a 180 physicians that have invested in the company as well.”
Lawrence Girard Feb 19, 2017 ▶ 3:12 EP 575: Fruitstreet Raises $6m From 180 Customers for HealthTech, New Kind of VC with CEO Laurence Girard
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka predicts he will take The Top Inbox public by 30
“I'm 27 now, and I have identified what I will build and take public. It's called thetopinbox.com. No questions asked. ... I bought the whole business. I will take it public.”
Nathan Latka Dec 10, 2016 ▶ 12:32 EP 504: MailPlaneApp 10,000+ Customers With BetterGmail with CEO Lars Steiger
Assertion Contradicted
Rachleff: Wealthfront Was First To Bring Virality To Investing
“It's the first time a virality has been applied to the investment world.”
Andy Rachleff Dec 4, 2016 ▶ 11:29 EP 498: $130M Raised Wealthfront Crosses 100,000 Investors, $4.4B in AUM with CEO Andy Rachleff
Assertion Supported
Rachleff: Daily Tax-Loss Harvesting Adds 1.5% to 2% to Returns
“And if you do tax loss harvesting just at year end, according to our research, that can add about .6% to your annual after tax return. But by looking for these losses daily, it can add, as I said, one and a half to two percent.”
Andy Rachleff Dec 4, 2016 ▶ 8:04 EP 498: $130M Raised Wealthfront Crosses 100,000 Investors, $4.4B in AUM with CEO Andy Rachleff
Assertion Partly supported
Robinson: Franchise businesses have sub-5% 5-year attrition versus 60% for regular SMBs
“These companies go out of business, 60% every five years. However in the franchise industry, that five year attrition rate is sub five percent. So they don't go out of business. They just resell the location.”
Adam Robinson Nov 24, 2016 ▶ 10:08 EP 488: Hireology $26M Raised, $1.2M MRR, Helping 4000 Customers Hire More Effectively with Hireology CEO Adam Robinson
Assertion Partly supported
Mavenlink was the #1 Google Apps Marketplace app for four years
“Ended up becoming the number one installed app across every category in the world for four years through the Google Apps Marketplace, which drove tens of thousands of visits to Mavenlink at zero acquisition cost.”
Ray Grainger Nov 16, 2016 ▶ 9:45 EP 479: $45M Raised, 5000+ Project Management Customers with Mavenlink CEO Ray Grainger
Assertion Contradicted
Camus: Competitor Gogobot struggled despite raising $60M, souring VCs on travel
“And one of them had raised close to sixty million dollars. Which one? Gogobot. Yep. They put ads and a lot of people in a really tough place because even with that amount of money they had raised they were not doing great as a business.”
Ariel Camus Oct 22, 2016 ▶ 3:25 EP 455: Exited in 2013, Now Moving From "Job" To Startup CEO Again. How? with Ariel Camus
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build, send later into a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Oct 4, 2016 ▶ 1:18 EP 437: SaaS $10m Raised, $8m+ 2015 Revenue, The Algorithmic Mckinsey with CB Insights CEO Anand Sanwal
Assertion Supported
Putnam: Ad-tech middlemen capture 60 cents of every online advertising dollar
“So, what you have to understand is about 60 cents out of every dollar that's spent on online advertising is eaten up somewhere in the middle.”
Nathan Putnam Sep 28, 2016 ▶ 13:51 EP 431: Agency Does $6m 2015, 41 Employees with Publisher/Advertiser Network CEO Nathan Putnamof Monumetric
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 25, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 428: Super Creative Dad of 4 Buys Time By Minimizing Expenses, Launches Drone Info Company with Egbert Oostburg
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I will take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build send later and do a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 24, 2016 ▶ 1:17 EP 427: $1m+ Agency to Launch SaaS Product SegMetrics.com with CEO Keith Perhac
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: I Will Take Send Later Public by Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 23, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 426: 1500 Customers and Profitable, $5.5M Raised with Pablo Fuentes of Proven.com
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Nathan Latka aims to take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 17, 2016 ▶ 1:14 EP 420: $70k 2015, $100k 2016 Infoproduct for Writers with Jordan Hayles
Assertion Partly supported
Latka: Gumroad laid off 25 employees because social selling market is too early
“Gumroad just laid off 25 employees. That market has not taken off it. It's too early.”
Nathan Latka Sep 14, 2016 ▶ 17:10 EP 417 SPECIAL: Warner Interviews Latka: Con Artist or Brilliant Genius?
Assertion Supported
Latka: Success Magazine gets 2M unique visitors compared to Forbes' 30M
“This is why I'm going to throw a five million dollar acquisition out for success magazine when frankly, it's like the worst performing magazine, two million uniques when Forbes gets thirty million.”
Nathan Latka Sep 14, 2016 ▶ 35:53 EP 417 SPECIAL: Warner Interviews Latka: Con Artist or Brilliant Genius?
Assertion Contradicted
Collin: 100% of acquired email startups get shut down
“But also a hundred percent of those companies who have been acquired shut down.”
Mathilde Collin Sep 10, 2016 ▶ 17:36 EP 413: SaaS, $242k MRR, $13 Million Raised to Re-Invent Business Email with Mathilde Collin of FrontApp
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka plans to take Send Later public by age 30
“I will build Send Later into a big business, and I will take it public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 8, 2016 ▶ 1:17 EP 411: She Made $1.1M 2015 Performance Arts Center, Now Coaching with Stacy Tuschl
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka: Will Take Send Later Public by Age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 7, 2016 ▶ 1:15 EP 410: From Worker to Owner Does $5m in 2015 Franchise Model with Josh Herron of 1800GotJunk
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Latka predicts he will take Send Later public by age 30
“I'm taking Send Later public by the time I turn 30.”
Nathan Latka Sep 5, 2016 ▶ 1:15 EP 408: $100M Funds, $30k/mo Real Estate Cashflow, Conference Sales with Cole Hatter of Thrive
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Havenwood predicted in 2016 that the Austin real estate bubble would pop
“You know that the market here to me is about to pop. I come from real estate investing. So to me, I'm like, there's no way I would invest right now in Austin.”
Heather Ann Havenwood Jun 19, 2016 ▶ 13:14 EP 330: She Cranks $1 EPC 3x Per Day with 25,000 List in Dating Niche
Assertion Supported
Apple refuses to sell repair parts to independent shops
“Apple does not actually sell repair parts.”
Erica Douglas Jun 17, 2016 ▶ 8:21 EP 328: She Bought 50% for $17k, Now Does $1M Per Year in iPhone Repairs
Assertion Partly supported
Chelette: Buying a NYT or WSJ bestseller status costs $250k to $500k
“Well, it's, if it's only 60,000, the truth of the matter is you want a New York Times or Wall Street Journal bestseller, it's costing you between two and 50,000 and a half a million dollars.”
Beate Chelette Jun 14, 2016 ▶ 10:38 EP 325: She Sold Her Busines to Bill Gates
Assertion Partly supported
Tresidder: Top asset allocation models yield within 1% over 30 years
“The research also shows that you can take the top, you know, 12, 15 Asset allocations out there, plot them over 30 years, and while they'll have great variance in any one to three year period, over 30 years, they're all within one percentage point compounded o…”
Todd Tresidder Jun 13, 2016 ▶ 14:08 How Did This Guy Retire at 35? EP 284: Todd Tresidder
Assertion Contradicted
Yo Shirt was Kleiner Perkins' first seed-stage investment
“We were the first seed stage investment that they ever made. And we were, you know, very happy to have them in the deal.”
Ben Williamson Jun 10, 2016 ▶ 3:16 This App is Redefining On Demand Apparel Commerce with 3m Downlaods and $3m+ In Sales, EP 273: Ben Williamson
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