why aren't all 48 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Engman: Climeon has potential bigger than Apple
“But I came across Kleinman, and I was like, wow, I don't think I can ever create a company with such a potential, because this potential is bigger than Apple, bigger, bigger than all the companies I mentioned.”
Disclosure
Superwall Customers Are Passing App Review Using Stripe Billing
“Like, so we have, we now have customers that are using super wall to build with Stripe. And they're just getting through app review, like, it's fine.”
Insight
Moore: Apple's Merchant of Record Services Are Worth Around 15%
“Apple is a merchant of record. And Apple deals with, you know, you don't have to deal with chargebacks, you don't have to deal with disputes, you don't have to deal with taxes. You also don't have to deal with involuntary churn. Because I have news for you. If…”
Assertion Contradicted
McKelvey: Apple kicked VeriFone out of Apple Stores after Square attack
“He ended up upsetting Apple, and Apple kicked them out of the Apple store.”
Opinion
Latka: Apple and Google amplified Facebook's Cambridge Analytica scandal
“I really believe that Apple, Google, these guys that see Facebook as a threat are doing a great job right now at propping up this Cambridge Analytica scandal.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Walch: Apple will never release granular playback drop-off data
“And I don't see Apple ever releasing out the information that we would need to get on that playback and where it leaves.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moore: Alternative Mobile Billing Will Create a Venture-Scale MoR Market
“I think that there are going to be tons of new merchant of records that are introduced to the market if the ruling is here to stay. And that's crazy because a huge, you know, it could mint a Completely new market overnight. That's like a venture scale.”
Opinion
Hurt: Apple privacy changes profoundly broke Facebook's ad targeting engine
“And of course they had invented the world's best ad targeting engine up until when Apple changed their roles and really broke that, that that engine pretty profoundly.”
Opinion
Apple's privacy changes killed the ability to perform proper marketing attribution
“Apple basically deprecated what is called a device identifier that many companies use for marketing tracking. This killed the ability to actually do attribution properly”
Assertion Contradicted
Chowdhury: A FeedSauce co-founder is Apple's head of marketing
“And one of our co-founders is the head of marketing at Apple as well.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Latka: Confiscating top corporate cash reserves cannot solve the US deficit
“Even in Q four, two, 19, Microsoft, one hundred thirty six billion Berkshire Hathaway, one hundred twenty eight billion Alphabet one twenty one billion Apple a hundred billion. Even if you took all of that money, it doesn't barely even make a dent. In the 20 t…”
Assertion Supported
Zafar's 1998 startup invented the fingerprint sensor tech now powering iPhones
“We invented the fingerprint sensor chip. In 1998, we had it built into the laptop in 19 early. So today that technology and my team work for Apple is in all iPhones.”
Insight
Smith: Major tech incumbents are currently out-executing agile startups
“What's happening in tech is you're watching for the first time ever the biggest companies execute better than the smaller companies in a lot of different ways with Amazon and everything else where we haven't seen this kind of juice since probably the Microsoft…”
Insight
Sholom: App Store featuring matters less than spending millions on marketing
“It's at the end of the day, it's not that important if Apple featuring you or not, it's just additional bonus. Anyway, you have to run your marketing activities very heavily and Spend millions of dollars to get on the top of the charts.”
Disclosure
MobileGo operates non-profit, passing 100% of revenue to developers and gamers
“They are for profit companies. We are a non-profit company. We have only one goal to provide all 100% that are generated by the business to provide it to developers and to gamers. Yes? And a part of it even to charity. Yes? So, no profit we are going to get ou…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Latka: Autonomous fleets will shift car ownership to corporate balance sheets
“I believe that very soon, you know, the assets of a car is going to live on the balance sheet of a company versus an individual because companies are going to have automated vehicles are going to have Fleets like Google, Apple, and Uber, and people aren't goin…”
Opinion
Holiday: Steve Jobs deserved to be fired from Apple in 1985
“So you look at someone like Steve Jobs, like, look, he was fired by Apple, and he deserved to be fired. He was horrible. If you were John Scully. You would have fired Steve Jobs. Because he wasn't delivering on sales, and he was unmanageable, and he was destro…”
Assertion Supported
Apple refuses to sell repair parts to independent shops
“Apple does not actually sell repair parts.”
Opinion
Williamson: Stanford and Berkeley Grads at Apple Couldn't Fix Production Systems
“When I ended up at Apple, I was working with, you know, all these kids coming out of Stanford and Berkeley that had a lot of theory, but couldn't actually do anything. You know, I'd say, hey, you know, we're doing 360 transactions per second to this MySQL data…”
Disclosure
Apple acquired Customer.io's database vendor and refused to renew their support contract
“That this database company ended up getting acquired by Apple. They didn't renew our service contract, and so we encountered this issue where we were trying to scale up, and the entire cluster fell over, and we couldn't, you know, it was really hard to get sup…”
Insight
Ofosio: Apple cannot effectively target niche chronic disease management
“Apple, for them to move the needle, they have to focus on a larger audience. And we are not focused on a larger, or like, you're not my customer. I mean, I don't know whether or not I'm assuming here, but we're, our customers are the chronic condition patients…”
Disclosure
Hayes: Fanbase has generated roughly $300,000 in post-Apple platform volume
“That's what the platform has made. Probably about 300,000.”
Opinion
McKelvey: Bypassing Apple's dock connector for the audio jack was right
“Our, you know, our first product was bypassing the dock connector, which was that, you know, multi-pinned thing at the bottom of the phone. And We went through the hardware jack, and I think that was still the right decision”
Disclosure
Montgomery: Mycroft Targets Any Business Competing with Apple, Amazon, or Google
“So we want our target is any business that views Apple, Amazon, and Google as a potential competitor. And given that Google's making self-driving cars and Amazon is launching spaceships, that's a really broad category of businesses.”
Disclosure
Niche plans to launch workplace reviews targeting major tech companies
“So by the end of this year, we'll have moved into workplaces. So the same model, but on what it's like to work at Apple, Facebook, and Google.”
Opinion
Medina: Microsoft missed the smartphone wave by treating phones as mini PCs
“Microsoft sort of tried to throw, you know, resources at this problem with a grander vision that there will be no sort of winning a foreign factor in terms of size, that the phone is just, you know, one smaller device than a tablet, which is one smaller device…”
Disclosure
Nardone would sell Flashtalking to Apple for $400 million
“Yes.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Apple Connection Got The Slow Hustle Featured on iTunes Homepage
“Oh, well, I got a friend that talked to a friend that has happens to work at Apple and they're like, oh, this show's cool. We're, you know, you guys are small, but we're going to put you on there. They put us on the homepage.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Walch: iTunes Top Episodes chart reflects weighted weekly downloads after 24-hour delay
“So when an episode is released in iTunes, it won't show up in the top episode list until about 24 hours after it's been released. So if you look at that list, it's again, it's going to be how many new downloads that show is getting in the last week with again,…”
Assertion Supported
Fanus: JobPaths Powers NYC Veteran Hiring, Partners With Uber and Apple
“So some of our biggest clients, we power the city of New York's initiative to help veterans connect with jobs, both on the global process with civilian positions, but also within the city for some civil service positions within the city. So really working with…”
Disclosure
Hayes: Fanbase takes a 20% cut on in-app purchases
“So Fanbase takes 20% of all the revenue that comes through. So it goes through in-app purchases through the Apple App Store. So for every dollar, you know, Apple and Google take 30 cents. We take 20 and we pass 50 on to the user.”
Disclosure
Adi Berenson and his technical co-founder split Clair Labs equity equally
“We are we're two co-founders. So my co-founder was working with me in Apple, and he's the brains behind the technology. He's a PhD in computer vision. He's one of the brightest minds in Israel in computer vision... Well, you should, but I'm lucky, so we're fif…”
Assertion Supported
Holmes: 5G iPhones require 100 RF filters versus 6 in 2007
“Back in 2007 when the first iPhone came out, it had about Half a dozen filters in it. Today, the current five G iPhone has about a hundred filters in it.”
Assertion Supported
Apple named MySwimPro App of the Year in 2016
“We were app of the year by Apple... We were app of the year in 2016.”
Assertion Contradicted
Nusimow: Physicians bought 10% of initial 300,000 iPad pre-orders
“Way back in April, 2010 when the iPad first launched, there were about 300,000 pre-orders for the iPad. And it was limited to, like, two iPads per household or customer. And about 10% of those, 30,000 of those were sold to physicians.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steve Jobs tried to acquire Howard Marks's startup when he was 20
“Well, I met Steve Jobs when I was 20 years old at Apple, because he wanted to buy my company.”
Assertion Supported
Salesforce AppExchange launched before the Apple App Store
“And I think what was really exciting is it was before the Apple ice store and the Apple iPhone store.”
Opinion
Jack Welde: Tim Cook is transforming Apple into a SaaS-style leasing model
“I actually really think that you know, I really think that Tim Cook is doing a really pretty incredible job at Apple. I think he had some big shoes to fill, and I think that he recognizes that the iPhone still has a lot of life left into it from a growth persp…”
Assertion Supported
Tumult co-founder left after four years to return to Apple
“After four years it was a good run, and he decided that he really enjoyed being at Apple again, so he went back.”
Disclosure
Mac App Store feature boosted daily downloads from 50 to 400
“Luckily we just got featured in the in the Mac app store. So that number kind of jumped. We're doing 50 downloads a day roughly. And then now that's around like anywhere from like two to 400.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Benson: Badger Maps ranked as Apple's top sales app for 18 months
“We were the top one in, in the sales apps for about a year and a half until they got rid of the concept of sales as one of their ranking types.”
Disclosure
AstroPrint monetizes via OEM licensing and a 70/30 app store revenue split
“One side is software that goes inside a three D printer that makes the printer very easy to operate. That's free for personal use, but we charge for commercial use and branding typically on a per printer basis. Our main customer there being a printer manufactu…”
Assertion Supported
Walch: Apple ecosystem accounts for 70% of podcast consumption
“Apple, iTunes, and the podcast app are 70%.”
Assertion Supported
Spivack: SRI incubator invented the technology that became Apple's Siri
“Dice.com went public in oh seven, and then I went and worked with SRI, which is Stanford Research International, to build their incubator which, among other things invented the technology that later became Siri on the iPhone for Apple”
Assertion Partly supported
Williamson: Apple's original iTunes application was built by two developers
“You know, if you look at like the original iTunes application, that was two guys.”
Disclosure
Vickstrom: Mobal to integrate with Apple as business listings consolidate
“And we believe like that sort of the world is consolidating into this bigger platform. So again, Google, Instagram, Facebook, and really soon as well, Apple is where we're integrating with the platform.”
Disclosure
Clair Labs originated from Adi Berenson's digital health work at Apple
“So actually it's all started from our work in Apple which I cannot get too much into it. So my background is coming from consumer electronics, but in my days in Apple, I got to work a bit with them on digital health projects. That was back in 2017.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Williamson: Apple featured Yo Shirt around 30 times in 2015
“We were featured by Apple several times last year. I think we're like 29 or 30 times we got featured.”