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a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Decagon's most recent customer churned from competitor Sierra
“Our most recent customer actually turned off of Sierra to come to Decagon”
Jesse Zhang Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 38:36 How Decagon Runs 90% of Its Agents on Open-Source Models
a16z Assertion Supported
Zhang: Enterprise share of open-source AI inference is currently declining
“In enterprises right now, even though there's a lot of hype for open source, the sort of share of open source inference is actually Going down right now because people are spinning up all these new use cases.”
Jesse Zhang Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 8:33 How Decagon Runs 90% of Its Agents on Open-Source Models
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Vertical AI applications will outperform general lab-built agents
“The labs themselves will have more application capabilities, but those will be fairly general. Like they're, you can maybe build general agents that can do this thing or that thing. But for a lot of these like core verticals, like ours, our thesis is that, you…”
Jesse Zhang Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 18:36 How Decagon Runs 90% of Its Agents on Open-Source Models
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: AI agents allow enterprise customers to drastically reduce or eliminate BPOs
“There are definitely scenarios where people use their BPOs a lot less or Don't need the BPO anymore.”
Jesse Zhang Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 1:18:49 How Decagon Runs 90% of Its Agents on Open-Source Models
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
People falsely claim to be Decagon customers on investor expert network calls
“We have people who had said that they've used us, and we literally never heard of them.”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 56:15 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
Frontier AI labs will move toward applications due to API commoditization
“That's why I think the open AI's of the world will continue to move towards applications because it's quite hard for them to make money longterm on like their API, for example, because There's like such high competition, all the labs are building, and it's lik…”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 1:12:54 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Current AI models possess sufficient reasoning for customer service
“The reasoning capabilities matter a little bit less. I would say the models as they stand today are generally good enough at solving most of the meaty inquiries in customer service. I think it's like, instead of reasoning, it's more about instruction following…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 25:44 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
20VC Prediction Held up
Zhang: Valuation gap between OpenAI and Anthropic will shrink over time
“I don't think that long-term necessarily we'll always see a five X difference between open and anthropic. So I guess, yeah, maybe, maybe if the question is more like, what is spread trade? I think like that, that multiple will shrink. Over time.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 50:43 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Most AI agent use cases lack commercial viability with current models
“I think our view is that for the vast majority of use cases right now, it is still, like there's not going to be real commercial adoption with the state of the current models because of a bunch of things.”
Jesse Zhang Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 26:14 No Priors Ep. 97 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Enterprise adoption of cybersecurity AI agents will be slower than expected
“And so because the models are inherently non-deterministic, It's very hard for buyers like really trust a gen AI solution there. And so, especially agentic solution. So like, I think that option there is going to be really, really, really slow, a lot slower th…”
Jesse Zhang Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 26:58 No Priors Ep. 97 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Human careers will still exist after AGI
“The first thing I want to say is I'm like, certain there will be careers after AGI. The reason for that is, like, most of our jobs, for sure are for jobs, are kind of, like, made up. Most jobs are made up... So when AGI is here, like it will change people's jo…”
Jesse Zhang Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 29:25 How Decagon Runs 90% of Its Agents on Open-Source Models
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Horizontal platforms will defeat pure vertical solutions in customer AI
“Our view, the reason why we've kind of built so horizontally is that we believe that in our space, the winners are going to be horizontal. There's just not that much that is like super verticalized that where like you could see a pure vertical solution survivi…”
Jesse Zhang Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 1:03:03 How Decagon Runs 90% of Its Agents on Open-Source Models
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Experienced founders warned Zhang that AI customer support was too obvious
“Essentially what everyone told us, including like, you know, very smart, older founders that we knew and so on was that yeah, this is like excuse case, like super obvious. There's probably just going to be incumbents that are just tacking onto the product. And…”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 15:46 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Large enterprises scale AI customer service agents within weeks
“I would say even for large enterprises, like within weeks, because the only, the, everyone wants to just go live to everything. Right. But the reason why you stage it out is so you can make sure nothing's going wrong. And you can tell if something's going wron…”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 27:03 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Voice-to-voice AI models have an 8x higher hallucination rate than text
“I think probably like eight X higher or something like that.”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 35:49 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI agents will eventually replace websites and apps as enterprise front ends
“In the natural end state, it is more unified for the exact reason you listed, which is people want a unified brand out there, and the brand's very important to them, and for some businesses it's more important than others, but eventually this is like, this bec…”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 45:18 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Enterprise human labor budgets are 10x larger than software spend
“Human labor is generally like an order of magnitude larger than software spend, like 10 X or more.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 21:44 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Zhang: AI customer service resolution will reach 80% to 90% soon
“I think in three to five years, it'll probably creep towards like just consistently 80 to 90, right? Because you're able to just so easily allow the end users to capture more logic and teach you new things.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 24:01 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Very few enterprises build AI customer support fully in-house
“I would say from our experience so far, very few people will build it themselves.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 29:50 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Approximately 50% of Decagon's new code is AI generated
“Yeah, roughly there. The lines get blurred because oftentimes what will happen is like, hey, I'm sitting down to do this project. Let me just have the agent Take a stab at it first, and then you go in and like edit things and move things around. So there's a b…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 31:07 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Zhang: Enterprise AI customer experience market will have multiple winners
“I think our space probably will have multiple winners, hopefully not too many, and hopefully we're one of them. I think it's just hard to say, like, why there would be a huge single winner here. The reason is that there's not that many network effects from bet…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 38:15 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
NO PRIORS Assertion Supported
Zhang: Decagon cuts enterprise contact center costs by 60% to 70%
“And we've done case studies now where, you know, folks have been able to cut that down by, you know, 60, 70%.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 3:05 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Foundation model labs will target consumer applications before enterprise software
“I think it makes a lot of sense for them to push into application layer, and I think they will. In terms of what applications, I mean, generally they'll probably start with applications where it's more consumer prosumer-y because there's, it's just more self-c…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 18:37 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: AI labs will target coding before customer service
“I think before they tackle our space, there will probably be other spaces they have to tackle first. Yeah. Coding's probably one of them.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 19:30 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: AI agent industry will shift toward output-based pricing
“And we'll probably start seeing that more and more in the AI agent space where you generally price per like the output that that's doing. I think that that works. I think that's just very clearly the right pricing model for our space”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 23:40 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Consumers Will Interact With Agents Over Apps and Websites
“And eventually, if it's good enough, most consumers will just interact with the agent instead of even logging into the mobile app or the website.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 25:46 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
NO PRIORS Assertion Supported
Decagon AI saved Bilt Rewards 65 support agent headcounts in one year
“Now basically we're almost, almost a year in at this point, they've been able to really restructure their customer support team. And again, we published a case study on this where they were able to quantify like, okay, what are the savings? Right. And so, so f…”
Jesse Zhang Jan 16, 2025 ▶ 7:18 No Priors Ep. 97 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Enterprise adoption of open-source AI will take longer than expected
“I think they'll get there, but it'll probably take longer than people think because, you know, even with our team, fine tuning these models is non-trivial.”
Jesse Zhang Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 7:19 How Decagon Runs 90% of Its Agents on Open-Source Models
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Enterprise AI adoption is driven almost entirely by top-down board mandates
“Pretty much all AI initiatives are very top-down at this point, because it is such a board-level mandate, so the C-Suite's very, very invested in like, okay, where do we deploy AI? It almost means that if you want to get something going at a larger organizatio…”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 42:18 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Fully deployed AI customer service achieves 60% to 80% resolution
“But I would say that, like, a good bar when you're fully up and running is, like, 6070, 80, in that range. And it just depends on, like, what sort of things the AI has access to. Like, if it's able to take a lot of actions and resolve a lot of things, then, of…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 23:32 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: AI systems will learn from human examples rather than prompting
“I think there'll be more of a learning from examples that will happen. Cause if you just think about how humans learn, if you bring like a really good human support agent, they learn by shadowing and kind of seeing examples and so on. There's probably going to…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 40:38 20VC: Why 90% of Founders Build Startups Wrong | Why AI Growth Rates are Sustainable & Remote Work is BS and the AI Talent War | Competing with Brett Taylor and Sierra: Who Wins the Customer Service War with Jesse Zhang, Decagon
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Near-Term Agent-to-Agent Communication Will Remain in Natural Language
“I think in the near term, they'll still communicate in natural language, just because, like, each agent also needs to be compatible with humans, right? So if they talk to a human agent, a human support agent, or if we talk to a human customer, of course it has…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 28:23 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
NO PRIORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Customer Support AI Will Expand into Upselling and Proactive Outreach
“Right now a lot of the conversations are more reactive support. It's like, hey, I have an issue. Can you fix it? But over time, it'll be more and more kind of broader, right, in terms of, like, being able to do purchasing decisions, being able to upsell folks,…”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 29:04 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2025
Decagon's AI cut Oura's immediate human-agent request rate from 33% to 5%
“We have one of our customers yeah, or a ring, like the wearable ring we did a case study with them where before having any sort of jam AI system, like one in three customer that came in would just not bother saying anything and just keep jamming agent until th…”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 31:49 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
INVEST LIKE THE BEST Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fortune 100 enterprise customer support volume is 90% to 95% phone calls
“But the, if you just think about the large enterprises, like the fortune 100, they just been around for so long. And everyone's just calls them. So voice is just like disproportionately higher there. Like a lot of them are 90, 95% voice and five percent chat.”
Jesse Zhang Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 37:05 The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview · Invest Like The Best
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Decagon is approaching 200 employees
“Never really needed that, but, you know, we're approaching 200 people.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 8:53 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
NO PRIORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zhang: Consumer AI Agents Contacting Enterprise Support Not Yet Happening at Scale
“It's not something we're seeing at scale now where you have agents writing in for you.”
Jesse Zhang Sep 18, 2025 ▶ 28:59 No Priors Ep. 132 | With Decagon CEO and Co-Founder Jesse Zhang
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