The Ledger, every show
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.
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every show 44 of 44
Cabane: Web front ends will disappear as LLMs query databases directly
“It is not hard to imagine that the front end of the web disappears. Like the idea of having a database of the content and a website, and then rendering that PHP into HTML, and then having a browser interpret the HTML, and then having a human read like the, thi…”
Cabane: ChatGPT will drive 25% to 33% of traffic in nine months
“I believe we're going to a webless world. I believe GPT is going to be like a quarter to a third of the traffic and nine months from now, right?”
Cabane: The SDR role is disappearing into sales ops and closing positions
“The SDR role is going away. The people will become closers or will evolve into something else. What's that? Something else? Probably sales ops. They will handle the orchestration, the workflows.”
Cabane: Monetization must precede open-source acquisition motions
“Monetization comes first, open source for acquisition comes second. Other way around is, like, super hard, my opinion, huh?”
Ramp does not actually have a product-led growth motion, argues Cabane
“Even the people I love and care about, you think of, like, something like a ramp, I love them to death. Amazing company. Do you think there's PRG? Do you think CFOs randomly invite other CFOs to use Ramp? Hell no. It doesn't happen like that. It doesn't work l…”
Automated onboarding welcome emails usually add zero value to user activation
“Have you tried not sending a welcome email? Not sending, you know, the first three, four, five emails to get people to use the products. And of course they haven't. And I tell them, try it. Take 2030, whatever it takes to be statistically significant and don't…”
Series A and B startups cannot hire top-tier growth leaders full-time
“They're, like, of the one 20, a third is, like, semi-retired in VC and other things. A third is in, like, great walls, like Luke, and you're not gonna poach Luke from, like, Shopify, right? And there's a third, like me, who's, like, doing, like consultancy and…”
Cabane: Marketing is splitting into human-touch events and AI agent optimization
“There's really two broad categories, things that are AI proof, right? The AI resilience. So that's going to be like social proof and influencers is going to be like some of the UGC stuff. A lot of that, the webinars, the in-person, the events, the dinners, all…”
Cabane: Companies are building hidden website trees exclusively for AI scraping
“I'm seeing more and more companies build hidden websites, completely hidden to the humans. It's an entire other index, an entire other, like, web tree, right, for the purpose for AI agents to scrape.”
Cabane: AI content workflows match or beat the output of large teams
“And I'm now encouraging CMOs to like have much leaner content teams, and just a few people that can run content workflows at scale, because the output is just as good, if not better.”
Cabane: Brands must spend 25% of marketing budgets on LLM visibility
“Who is spending 25% of the budget and headcount on, like, LM appearance? No one raised their hand. And that doesn't make sense, because that's where we're heading 12 months from now, there is no question.”
Cabane: 30% of tech companies will reduce hiring due to AI
“I'll ask the same question one year from now. My bet is that we're going to see at least 30% of the people when you have a reduced headcount or less hires.”
Cabane: AI workflow beat Reddit's 200-person SDR team in under two months
“We have done this in less than two months, and as of yesterday, I looked up the numbers. We've beaten the SDR team that's been working on that for, like, a couple of years, and there's 200 people.”
Cabane: Marketing has won the war against sales and now owns outbound
“It means marketing has won! That's what it means, right? It means, like, Outbound is now owned by growth and marketing teams, ok? Just embrace it. Like, that war is over, ok?”
Cabane: Deepgram's automated SEO workflow generated 3.5M clicks and replaced 10 people
“They got 3.5 million clicks. Like, how insane is that? So what are we seeing here? We're seeing they have one person to build a workflow, and Marcel told me, took him, like, about a thousand hours. Sure. Ok. And then one human who's there ongoing for, like, co…”
Cabane: Google Ads AI now outperforms manual targeting and bidding
“The learning is, as of six months ago, that has changed, and it is working absolutely. It's making the job seamless. Like, the LLMs now, inside Google Ads, are making targeting better, ok? They're better at showing the right creative. They're better at showing…”
Cabane: Certified human sales reps will become a premium luxury offering
“We're gonna see, like, the certified real human, which can be the new, like Parmigiano-Reggiano of, like, sales. Well, like, hey, like, this is a stamp. This is, like, actually a meat bag that's talking to you, and some people are gonna like that. Some people …”
Cabane: AI outbound email effectiveness will plummet within 12 months
“Overall, email is at risk, because we saw the charts with, like, the cost going down, right? That only means one thing. Everyone here in this room and elsewhere is going after, like, outbound AI-based email. Volumes are gonna go up. People will be desensitized…”
Cabane: Shifting enterprise products to self-serve PLG almost never works
“And so, there's actually a better way of, like, building product-led sign-up motions with separate products to get people engaged, and then push that into a sales motion. And that is a much easier transition than, like, shifting your entire product from an ent…”
Cabane: AI outbound advantage will revert to mean within four quarters
“And I also don't think it's going to last super long. There's going to be a reversion to the mean in the next couple quarters as people become desensitized. And so there is a time window to do this right now. There's a significant Benefit, if your competitors …”
Enterprise-first software startups cannot successfully pivot to self-serve PLG
“It's companies that are enterprise first with the entire, like, cost structure and product structure of an enterprise software, and then want to open a PLG and go, hey, let's let people, like, sign up on their own. And like nothing works. Like the acquisition …”
Guillaume Cabane: CAC rises faster than brand benefits compensate in growing startups
“In most successful startups that grow fairly well, The CAC will rise faster than the brand can compensate for that rise.”
Cabane: Sending email verification requests boosts user retention in SaaS
“That is an example of something that is very replicable in almost any SaaS business. It's very easy to implement and will drive your user retention up.”
Cabane: People will increasingly ignore real human messages as AI writing surpasses humans
“So it's very likely that we'll start ignoring messages from real humans at a much higher rate, because the quality of AI will be better than the quality of humans.”
No SaaS firm Cabane advised reached $50M ARR on a single channel
“And I have never seen a companies I've worked with, neither at Segment or at Drift, Gorgias, or Ram, and not in one of the companies I engage with, where we were able to get to fifty million on one channel. Not one.”
Cabane: Growth teams incentivized on non-revenue KPIs won't deliver revenue
“If the incentive of the team is to drive signups and engagement, the problem is they will optimize for that, not for the long-term viability of the business. That's a huge risk. I'm French. I know how to cheat 10 times out of 10, right? You give me anything as…”
Only 120 elite growth practitioners exist in the US, estimates Cabane
“All, almost all people that like my level of experience in the US, right? There's like, there's less than 200, there's a 120 people, okay?”
Cold calling is back big time thanks to LLMs and Orum
“ColdCard was dead from like, 20, 12, 2013 to 20, 22, and with LLMs now, and tools like Orum, ColdCard is back big time.”
Product bundling shrinks target market size and fails as a strategy
“Building bundles. Like bundles are a terrible idea. When you start bundling different features, different products together into one, the size of the audience that cares about the entire bundle is smaller and smaller as the bundle increases.”
Cabane: Lower AI CAC makes mid-market channels viable for SMB acquisition
“The fact that we're now capable of doing faster and better quality, example, we can scrape websites, we can scrape random content for extremely cheap and feed that back into AI prompts for outbound or for SEO drives An extremely low CAC on those channels, whic…”
Cabane: Templated email sequences are dead for outbound sales
“The key learning out of this is sequences are dead. If you think that the best way to engage customers is to have a series of pre-written, templated emails that are gonna fire until somebody responses, like, you are in, like, the 2015, 20 18 era. You're, like,…”
Cabane: AI workflows outperform autonomous agents and humans alone on content quality
“Critically, last line here on the slide, the workflows with AIs Currently produce better content than autonomous agents and better content than humans alone. Unless you're ready to pay, like, 10,000 dollars per post.”
Cabane: Restricting ad platform AI with segmented budgets hurts campaign performance
“In the tests that we've done the more you handcuff the system and restrict the AI, the fewer optimizations it can make on your behalf and the worse off you will be.”
Cabane: Full AI SDR agents from YC startups produce mediocre results
“For example, like all of the YC companies that are doing like AI agents that does the entire SDR for you, like the output of that is like, eh, it's not great. It's okay, but it's not great, ok? What we're seeing working, however, is like very specialized LLMs …”
Cabane: AI is inefficient for enterprise deals and sales remains human-led
“Are we seeing AI be efficient in enterprise deals? And the answer is not yet. Okay. Enterprise deals are complex. They are long. There's lots of potential buyers, lots of information and AI just isn't efficient there for now. There's just too much context, too…”
Cabane: Automated outbound shows 8x lower marginal cost than SDR teams
“What you have here is the difference between the average cost per contact email between the automated outbound team and the SDR team. So you have a two and a 2.4 X difference. And then the Marginal cost. That's very important, because As Excel was pointing out…”
Cabane: Companies adopt PLG to transfer qualification costs to users
“The question is who's doing the qualification? Who's bearing the cost? And then in the PLG outbound model, the user is bearing the cost, right? And in the sales that model, like you, the company is bearing the cost, which is why we're all seeing this shift fro…”
Cabane: Founders should master PLG or outbound before combining them
“Honestly, you should start somewhere, not on both sides, is my opinion. And so PLG four cells led, PLG two cells led, is probably the new thing we're seeing right now. I think that's the major shift we're seeing right now with AI empowered outbound.”
Senior executives never succeed when returning to early-stage startups, says Cabane
“Hiring to senior. They tell me, yes, I'm excited going back early stage and getting my hands dirty. That has never came out to be true.”
Segment tracked engineer job changes using LinkedIn URLs for reverse attribution
“That's what we found at Segment. Really crazy attribution logic, where we found engineers across jobs by, and that's the unique lesson, keying not on the link, not on the email, because the email changes, domain changes, not on the name, that's not relevant, o…”
Zapier refused Segment's enterprise feature requests to maintain strict SMB focus
“I have one example. Zapier did that for very, very long. I talked to the Zapier founders. I talked to Mike when I was at Segment, and I wanted enterprise features, and he said, gee, we love you, but I'm sorry. We're not going to build those features. I'm like,…”
Ramp's hyper-personalized CFO email campaign hit 12-15% response rates
“The response rate here is 12 to 15%.”
Cabane: Startups should double ad spend weekly to test channel limits
“I recommend companies to two X the budget every week until it's that lines. Just do it for like Four weeks, six weeks, it's not gonna, like, burn your budget, your entire, like, capital, right? But just, two x on week two, two x on week three, two x on week fo…”
Cabane: Startups with unsamplable target markets should focus on ABM
“Take a sample. Take a sample of, take a randomized sample of the audience. If you can't do that, it means your target market is too small and you should be doing ABM. You're not doing like high skill stuff.”
Cabane: Growth teams should care only about weight-adjusted pipeline dollars
“Reject any KPI that is vanity. You don't care about traffic. You don't care about any of those KPIs. The only thing you care about is weight adjusted pipeline dollars.”
Cabane: Never hire a marketing candidate who doesn't own pipeline numbers
“If a marketing candidate that you're looking to hire does not own a pipeline figure, that is the wrong candidate, my friend.”
Cabane: Startups without a lead score must halt operations to define ICP
“If you haven't think of, like, the lead score, it means you haven't thought of your ICP. If you haven't thought of who's a good customer for you just stop everything. Stop everything and just go define who are the good customers and what are their attributes.”
Startups should wait until $2M+ revenue to hire growth teams, says Cabane
“After a couple of million revenue. Like once you, once you've handled the early adopters, you've scaled at least one channel that works well, and you're starting to think of optimization Testing, aggressively building a growth team, then you should have enough…”