People, every show

Packy McCormick

Founder & Writer, Not Boring. On 5 shows, 8 appearances. The Shows tab opens the full record on each.

authorinvestorfounderexecutive@packyM ↗LinkedIn ↗notboring.co ↗

Packy McCormick is the founder and writer of Not Boring, a business and technology newsletter. He also manages Not Boring Capital, an early-stage venture fund investing in tech companies.

5shows
8appearances
103statements
15resolved
13supported
0contradicted
87%fully supported
72said about them ↓

Everything Packy McCormick said on any show that made the record, most notable first. Each card names its show and opens the statement there.

TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2035
McCormick: Cancer is probably gone in 10 years
“I think a hot take would be cancer is probably gone in 10 years, I think is one of my favorite hot takes. There's just so many different attacks on it, and CAR T cell therapies are doing well, and it's a matter of kind of scaling, scaling those out.”
Packy McCormick Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 21:51 Packy McCormick Breaks Down Ramp's New $13B Valuation and Where He's Investing Right Now.
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: Most fast-growing AI software startups will flatten and fail to IPO
“By choosing to, like, not play in this space, I'm definitely missing a trillion dollar company or two, but I think for the most part, like, I think there's gonna be, like, a lot of these types of things happening, or even, like, these types of curves, where th…”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 37:20 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: AI will become 'super SaaS' rather than godlike AGI
“I called it super sass in, in that like 20, 25 prediction. And I think it is like, I think it's really amazing and like in no way godlike. And it's just like, I feel like I'm being psyopped whenever people are like, oh my God, this is like, this is, this chang…”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 52:30 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: Frontier AI will settle into an oligopoly among 3-4 labs
“A lot of the VC firms are getting in multiple companies because they don't think it's going to be winner-take-all anymore. They think it's going to be much more oligopolistic for the long term, and there will be competition between the major three or four labs…”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 12:16 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: AI labs will become profitable hyperscalers like cloud
“It seems like the labs will Turn into sort of new hyperscalers. There will be you know, increased competition, but still very, very good businesses a la cloud.”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 22:38 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
a16z Opinion
McCormick: 2015 New Yorker Profile Marked End of Free-Speech Journalism
“We talked about this great, great tad friend profile in the New Yorker in 2015 that I referenced in the piece that, that I wrote on a 16 Z this past week saying that that kind of kicked off or was the last kind of point in an era where journalism cared about F…”
Packy McCormick Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 1:16 Ben & Marc: Why Everything Is About to Get 10x Bigger
SOURCERY Assertion Supported
McCormick: Fuse recruited the former number two Iranian nuclear scientist
“The number of two, kind of, nuclear scientists in, in Iran who came over here to, kind of, work on, on our side here, and then just, like, everybody that I met who was, like, you know, working on the machines, like top to bottom, just like an unbelievably cool…”
Packy McCormick Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 38:56 Nuclear Race to Power Superintelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: AI Will Produce a Couple of $10T Companies
“There's probably going to be like a couple of 10 trillion dollar AI companies that are going to pay for the whole thing.”
Packy McCormick Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 8:26 Packy McCormick Breaks Down Ramp's New $13B Valuation and Where He's Investing Right Now.
TBPN Opinion
McCormick: Humanoid Robotics Will Erode Margins Into Consumer Surplus
“Humanoids scare the hell out of me as an investor, because it's like this really impossibly hard thing to do with a lot of really, really smart people working on it, where like, if you pull off this impossible thing, then you're competing against these 10 othe…”
Packy McCormick Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 8:30 Packy McCormick Breaks Down Ramp's New $13B Valuation and Where He's Investing Right Now.
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: Large VC funds will survive while emerging funds fail
“I think it's like a really, I think like the big funds are actually super well positioned and all, there's going to be a lot of these like emerging ish funds who try to compete who I just think it kind of like wiped out.”
Packy McCormick Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 9:28 Packy McCormick Breaks Down Ramp's New $13B Valuation and Where He's Investing Right Now.
TBPN Opinion
McCormick: Any strategic crypto reserve holding Cardano is a joke
“Any strategic reserve that has Cardano in it is just, it's a joke, right?”
Packy McCormick Mar 5, 2025 ▶ 26:52 Packy McCormick Breaks Down Ramp's New $13B Valuation and Where He's Investing Right Now.
SOURCERY Insight
McCormick: Literary nonfiction and deep journalism are best for early-stage underwriting
“That, like, Jim Simons at Rentac versus, like, Robert Carroll, like, who would be a better earlier stage, early stage investor? And I think it's actually, like, Robert Carroll. Like, I think, like, literary nonfiction done really, really well, or journalism do…”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 10:34 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Opinion
McCormick: YC 'Request for Startups' Prompts Rarely Lead to Great Companies
“Like when YC puts out the request for startups, I'm like, I can't imagine that anything good is going to be built against these categories starting now because you've read the YC request for startups.”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 43:23 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Assertion Partly supported
McCormick: Anduril's early round was crowded at a $100M valuation
“But that, like, early story that, like, nobody wanted to touch it was actually, like, a pretty crowded round at a hundred million dollar valuation.”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 47:04 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Opinion
McCormick: DeepSeek represents doing the same thing cheaper, not a qualitative leap
“My DeepSeek point is that, like, This, like, crack team that figured out all these algorithms, breakthroughs, and whatever, essentially just figured out how to do the same thing cheaper. Like, there hasn't been any leap that I've seen that I've been like, yeah…”
Packy McCormick Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 50:12 How Writing Led To Investing In Ramp, Scale AI, Replit, Varda | Packy McCormick, Not Boring · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
ACQUIRED What-if
McCormick: I likely would have written a positive sponsored post on Theranos
“One of the tests that I always run for myself, and I probably actually would have failed this test, is if Theranos had come to me on a sponsored post, you know, however many years ago, chances are, frankly, I would have written something positive on Theranos b…”
Packy McCormick Dec 3, 2021 ▶ 1:23:18 Not Boring (with Packy McCormick) - Extended Cut · Acquired
ACQUIRED Insight
McCormick: Independent creator-investors lose value when joining traditional venture firms
“As soon as I go in-house somewhere, Like I lose half of my value or, you know, X percent of my value as soon as I go in-house somewhere. And that is kind of one, even though, you know, I do do sponsored posts and all of that, there is like this independent voi…”
Packy McCormick Dec 3, 2021 ▶ 2:49:09 Not Boring (with Packy McCormick) - Extended Cut · Acquired
TBPN Opinion
McCormick: AI labs obsess over competitor compute despite public denials
“And this is really, really relevant to the AI lab discussion because you can tell that even though all of the leaders of the AI lab say, I don't think about the competition. I don't talk about the competition. I'll use general terms. They're all obsessed with …”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 1:38 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
TBPN Opinion
McCormick: OpenAI and Anthropic are the most unprofitable companies in history
“These are the most unprofitable companies in human history, I think.”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 3:11 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
TBPN Assertion Supported
McCormick: OpenAI recouped all GPT-4 training costs and more
“GPT four is the really instructive is the really instructive example because I believe that model costs like a hundred million dollars to train, and it was really expensive at the time, but then very quickly they were on a multi-billion dollar run rate, and it…”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 4:13 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
TBPN Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: Models mastering complex tax and legal nuances is six months away
“This is like a six month away thing.”
Packy McCormick Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 9:43 The Secret Economics Controlling OpenAI, Anthropic, and the AI Boom
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
McCormick: Substack will grow 10x larger than legacy media companies
“You can see a world where, because it attracts kind of all of the best writers from all of these different places who can build their own businesses, Substack becomes 10 times larger than any of the media organizations that it replaces.”
Packy McCormick Jan 15, 2026 ▶ 9:58 Ben & Marc: Why Everything Is About to Get 10x Bigger
SOURCERY Assertion Not checkable as stated
McCormick: Fuse is already generating revenue by selling radiation
“The big difference I would say with Fuse and anybody else is they're already making revenue and that they're not going straight shot for commercial fusion power, but they're selling radiation kind of on the way up towards or down towards, depending on how you …”
Packy McCormick Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 27:49 Nuclear Race to Power Superintelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
SOURCERY Opinion
McCormick: Claude's Writing Feedback Is Bad, Regresses Drafts Toward Mediocrity
“I will take my, if I'm, like, stuck in writing an essay, I'll, like, take the draft, I'll put it in Claude and ask for feedback, and, like, the feedback is bad, and it always, like, tries to move me more towards average, and I ignore it, but, like, I just have…”
Packy McCormick Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 47:27 Nuclear Race to Power Superintelligence · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Show 24statements(79 left)

The other half of the tape: Packy McCormick's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 71 times in 28 episodes across the shows. 1 statement on the record names them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most John Coogan 35Molly O'Shea 9Jordi Hays 7Kyle Harrison 3Zach Schendel 2John Andrew 2David Rosenthal 2Ben Gilbert 2

Statements about Packy McCormick, by other people (1)

SOURCERY Opinion
Creators like Lenny Rachitsky and Packy McCormick built valuable media assets
“Like I think there are people like the Lenny's and the packies and folks like that, that have just really, I'm a big fan of Mario Gabrielle and the generalists, like those types of people I think have done an incredible job building a real asset.”
Kyle Harrison Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 18:29 Kyle Harrison, GP at Contrary on Techno-Optimism, Talent Vortexes, & Writing “Investing 101” · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
002585015202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
0815202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
0027.5415202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode

TBPN 47Sourcery 16Acquired 5the a16z Podcast 3

2026 8 mentions in 7 episodes 1 per episode
2025 15 mentions in 6 episodes 3 per episode
2024 43 mentions in 11 episodes 4 per episode
2022 3 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2021 2 mentions in 1 episode

One line per show, most statements first. The link opens Packy's full record on that show: the calibration, argument clarity, speaking style and every statement made there.

ShowRole thereEpsStatementsRecord
ACQUIREDLEDGER Founder & Writer, Not Boring 2 36 86% 6/7 full record on Acquired →
SOURCERYLEDGER Founder & Writer, Not Boring 2 36 80% 4/5 full record on Sourcery →
TBPNLEDGER Founder & Writer, Not Boring 2 17 100% 2/2 full record on TBPN →
TOP FOUNDERSLEDGER Founder & Writer, Not Boring 1 12 100% 1/1 full record on Top Founders →
a16zLEDGER Founder & Writer, Not Boring 1 2 full record on the a16z Podcast →
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